GOLD - Price can correct and then continue to grow in channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price bounced from $2710 resistance level and in a short time declined to $2536 points, breaking $2615 level.
Price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $2615 level one more time and rose to resistance area.
But then, price corrected to support level, after which some time traded near it and then continued to grow.
In a short time, Gold rose to resistance level and then entered to resistance area, but later bounced down.
Thereby price makes a fake breakout of $2710 level, so, now I think that XAU can decline a little more.
After this, price can turn around and then rise to $2760, breaking resistance level inside a rising channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Commodities
Black gold continues its decline!Oil prices are falling for several reasons:
• Saudi Arabia has decided to lower oil prices for buyers in the Asian market.
• A strong dollar continues to pressure black gold.
The drop in oil prices below $70 per barrel is likely being restrained by OPEC+ policies aimed at controlling supply volumes. The organization has decided to postpone the planned January 2025 increase in oil production to April 2025.
Traders dealing with Brent crude oil show the most pessimistic sentiment in recent months after OPEC+ countries decided to delay the resumption of oil production halted since 2022. At best, this postponement may only slow the price decline amid seasonal demand reduction in the first quarter. With the holidays approaching, market volatility is also decreasing, as traders exercise caution and avoid making aggressive bets on sharp price movements.
Morgan Stanley and HSBC have revised their forecasts for oil oversupply, expecting Brent crude oil prices to reach $70 per barrel by 2025. Bank of America analysts predict that the average price of Brent will be $65 per barrel in the coming years.
According to a survey conducted by the law firm Haynes Boone LLP, banks expect WTI crude oil prices to drop to $60 per barrel by 2027.
Trade #BRENT and #WTI crude oil with FreshForex and maximize your profits with leverage of 1:2000 and tight spreads.
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GOLD Speculative Sell - Correction AnticipationDon't forget to check my previous analysis. Afer gold edges up to 2,05% since break out from wide sideways range, finally it's close to resistance area in 2719-2722. Technically, i see classical resistance which it's a LH from D1 chart. It's a invalid seller to hold short position for a longer time. Seller must be exit from market if this level broke up. I also see fibonacci 1.618 in 2719-2722 and we know it's a strong fibbo level that can cause a correction movement. If this area become a strong resistance i anticipate to take a short position and use 2695-2705 as a profit target.
Disclaimer ON! DYOR and always put your SL level to prevent bigger risk to your account. Thankyou
ETH/USDT : $4090 Reached, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe (logarithmic), we observe that, as we expected, the price has increased by 74%, starting from the $2,300 range and hitting all the targets of $2,820, $3,079, $3,700, and $4,090! Note that the price experienced a correction exactly after reaching the $4,090 target and is currently trading around $3,800!
Ethereum's mid-term targets are $4,600, $5,700, and $7,400, respectively! This analysis will be updated if we receive enough support from you!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
THE LAST ANALYSIS :
GOLD → False breakout and negative fundamental backgroundFX:XAUUSD is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. This is also supported by negative fundamentals. Will there be a pullback or will the decline continue?
Optimism over China's economic stimulus is waning amid growing fears of a trade war between the US and China. Expectations of a hawkish Fed interest rate next week helped boost the US dollar, leading to a corrective decline in the gold price.Markets now believe the Fed may send a hawkish signal by signaling a pause in January after PPI came in higher than expected
Technically gold is still inside the channel, consolidation continues. Focus on 2658-2660 support, below which there is a huge pool of liquidity that may not let the price down on the first try
Resistance levels: 2675, 2682, 2699
Support levels: 2658, 2636
From the support 2658 may form a correction from which will depend on the further development of events: if the correction will be small and the price will quickly return to 2658, it will increase the chances of support breakout and further fall, for example, to 2636. But, if gold can consolidate above 2682 and consolidate above the local high, the price may head for a retest of the high
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD | 15M | SCALPING TIME Hello guys, I made FX:EURUSD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL EURUSD 1,04686
🟢TP1: 1,04743
🟢TP2: 1,04801
🟢TP3: 1,04904
🔴SL: 1,04479
Stay with love guys.
GOLD / Consolidation and Breakout Levels Movement Gold Technical Analysis
The price has dropped and stabilized within the bearish trend. Today, it is likely to attempt to reach 2665. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below this level could lead to a decline toward 2653. Alternatively, stability above 2665 may push the price toward 2678.
Gold is expected to consolidate between 2665 and 2678 until a breakout occurs.
A breakout above 2678 will signal a bullish trend toward 2692.
A breakout below 2665 will indicate a bearish trend targeting 2653 and 2625.
Above 2678 will be bullish to 2692, and Below 2665 will touch 2653 and 2625
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2678
Resistance Levels: 2691, 2706, 2720
Support Levels: 2665, 2653, 2625
Trend Outlook: Bearish Volatile
Could the price bounce from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,657.81
1st Support: 2,627.26
1st Resistance: 2,713.51
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XAUUSD: 12/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2675-50
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold was suppressed and fell unilaterally in the volatile trading. The price of Asian and European sessions rose slightly and pierced the 2726 mark, oscillating and falling. The second rebound in the European session was under pressure, and the 2720 line fell downward and showed a unilateral decline. It accelerated downward in the US session and broke through the 2700 integer mark to reach a weak closing near 2675. The overall gold price showed a suppression adjustment pattern above 2726 in the short term, but the daily level technical indicators did not completely turn empty.
From the 4-hour analysis, we pay attention to the suppression of the opening drop 2725 line above, the short-term support of the 2675 line below, and the important support 2650 line below. In the short term, the gold price is expected to enter the long and short wide range of fluctuations. Sell high and sell low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2650near
BUY:2675near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold: AnalysisHello Traders,
We are around a volume POC and we might see some problem at going further.
Scalpers could take short trades with LTF Confirmations,
Intraday (week) Traders could take long trades after breaking the white line regarding the 2h chart.
Longer-term traders could wait for break out of the zone confirmed by 4h chart.
Remember that Trump presidency could affect the geopolitical analysis including giving an end to Russian illegal invasion of Ukraine that make capitals out of gold heading to Stocks, however it may have effects on Longer-term traders.
XAUUSD - gold will be welcomed by the Federal Reserve!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If it returns to the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zone.
1. UBS Gold Forecast:
UBS has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900. This prediction is based on factors such as the rising U.S. debt, strong demand from central banks, and declining interest rates. The institution also anticipates that U.S. inflation will decrease to 3% by the end of 2024, 2.6% by the end of 2025, and 2.5% throughout 2027. These figures are significantly higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, suggesting that persistent inflation may pose a significant obstacle to the Fed’s efforts to control it.
2. U.S. CPI Report:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November highlighted the persistence of inflationary pressures. However, the details of the report appeared somewhat reassuring. CIBC Bank predicts that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 0.25% in its December meeting, though subsequent rate cuts may be delayed due to the economy’s continued growth.
3. Ray Dalio on Gold:
Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, referred to Bitcoin as a hard asset and stated that he prefers Bitcoin and gold over debt-based assets. He expressed concerns about a potential global debt crisis and emphasized the importance of shifting investments toward hard assets.
Dalio pointed to unprecedented levels of debt in major countries such as the U.S. and China, deeming these debt levels unsustainable.Speaking at a financial conference in Abu Dhabi, he remarked, “It is impossible for these countries to avoid a debt crisis in the coming years, which will likely lead to a significant depreciation of their currencies.”
4. Dalio’s Evolving Stance on Bitcoin:
Previously, Dalio believed that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin would not achieve the success many had hoped for. However, in recent years, he has become a prominent advocate of Bitcoin. In 2022, Dalio suggested allocating up to 2% of an investment portfolio to Bitcoin and gold as a reasonable strategy to combat inflation. He also reiterated his preference for gold over Bitcoin while emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification.
5. Peter Schiff’s Warning on Bitcoin:
Peter Schiff, a prominent gold advocate, has warned that creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. could have negative consequences. On December 9, Schiff posted on the social media platform X, suggesting that the Biden administration should sell all Bitcoin currently held by the U.S. government before leaving office. He stated, “This move would not only help reduce the 2024 budget deficit but also put an end to all the nonsense about establishing a ‘strategic reserve’ of Bitcoin, which is detrimental.”
GOLD → False breakout of resistance. Is a correction coming?FX:XAUUSD on the background of CPI on Thursday passes into a rally and realization of consolidation. The price is testing the resistance of 2721 and forms a false breakout. Traders in anticipation of PPI
After the release of CPI, there is a 90% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 0.25% next week.
Gold hit a two-week high due to the Middle East, optimism over China's economic stimulus, CPI news.
PPI and weekly jobless claims data also remain in focus, which could provide new hints on further Fed policy easing and the direction of the US dollar ahead of next week's Fed meeting. Sentiment around the Fed and risk trends will continue to play a decisive role in gold price dynamics.
Technically, the price is in a global wide flat. A false breakdown of resistance is forming and a correction may form.
Resistance levels: 2721
Support levels: 2700, 2682
The retest did not allow the bulls to pass through the resistance. In the near future the price may test the nearest support and form a bullish correction from which further growth or fall will be initiated. We should also take into account today's news
Regards R. Linda!
Gold can hit 2750 before continuing it's bearish reversal trend?Gold prices climbed further, driven by escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions and a Wall Street selloff boosting safe-haven demand.
China likely acquired over five tonnes of gold in Nov, according to the PBoC report.
Upcoming central bank decisions in Canada, the EU, Switzerland, and the Fed are expected to heighten gold price volatility as investors await key economic signals.
XAUUSD firmly broke above its sideways range, with higher swings and diverging bullish EMAs indicating its bullish momentum.
If XAUUSD surpasses the previous high at 2720, the price could rise toward its resistance at 2750 before a potential bearish reversal.
Conversely, if XAUUSD retraces, the price may dip to 2680 before continuing its uptrend.
1M liquidity found on 2720 and 1M+ liquidity found on 2750 so move is confirm
gold buy around 2685 target 27131. Buy Zone: 2685 CAPITALCOM:GOLD (entry level)
2. Target: 2713 (27-point profit potential)
3. Stop Loss (Recommended): To manage risk, consider placing a stop loss below 2680 or at a level based on your risk tolerance and market volatility.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio: Calculate based on your stop loss to ensure it's favorable (e.g., at least 1:2).
GOLD corrects, possibility remains optimistic as FOMC is comingOANDA:XAUUSD eased the correction significantly, which was partly due to the market taking profits after gold prices hit a five-week high and rushing to close positions ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting. In addition, higher US bond interest rates also affect gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply on Thursday and was limited this trading day (Friday), as of press time, as traders booked profits following the release of US PPI data.
PPI data exceeded expectations, suggesting the fight against inflation may be stalling. In addition, the 10-year US Treasury bond interest rate increased slightly by 1.5 basis points to 4.289%, which also put pressure on gold.
The US producer price index (PPI) rose higher than expected in November due to soaring food costs. The U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that the U.S. PPI rose 3% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month in November. Previous market expectations were 2% .6% and 0.2%.
Although Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was in line with expectations, it still rose at a seven-month high.
However, gold is expected to hold onto gains this week as optimism grows that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. Traders' attention is turning to the prospect that the Federal Reserve may pause policy easing as early as 2025. Lower borrowing costs typically benefit gold because gold itself does not create out yield.
According to a report released by the World Gold Council (WGC) on Thursday, gold's gains are expected to slow in 2025 as concerns about growth and inflation during Donald Trump's presidency have can affect the ability to increase the price of gold.
Gold prices have risen more than 30% year-to-date and are on track for their biggest annual gain since 1979. The rapid rise has been fueled by the Federal Reserve's easing policy, demand safe-haven demand and continued buying activity by global central banks.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has corrected but overall it still has all the conditions for a technical upside with price activity outside the channel and above the EMA21 level.
Currently, gold's uptrend is temporarily limited by resistance at $2,693, the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement price point, more than the 0.236% Fibonacci level noticed by previous readers.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index also maintains activity above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal for the bullish outlook in the near future.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21 and outside the price channel, in the short term it is still likely to increase with notable points listed below.
Support: 2,676 – 2,663 – 2,644USD
Resistance: 2,693 – 2,700 – 2,730USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2706 - 2704⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2710
→Take Profit 1 2699
↨
→Take Profit 2 2694
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2666
↨
→Take Profit 2 2671
World gold prices decrease when the USD increasesWorld gold prices fell more than 1% on Thursday as investors rushed to take profits after prices hit a 5-week high.
"Gold still has an upward trend. However, last night's decline may have occurred because investors sold to take profits ahead of next week's meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED)" - Zain Vawda - analyst market analysis at MarketPulse commented.
This expert believes that the market is shifting its focus to next year's interest rate plan from the FED. This will determine the sustainability of the current uptrend. According to the CME FedWatch interest rate tracking tool, investors currently forecast a 98% probability of the FED cutting interest rates in December.
In its "2025 Outlook" report released on Thursday, the World Gold Council (WGC) said the gold market will face two distinct scenarios next year as uncertainty dominates investor sentiment. . However, their base case predicts gold prices will move relatively neutrally if current market conditions continue.
“The market consensus is that macroeconomic variables such as GDP, yields and inflation, if viewed in simple terms, suggest that gold will have positive but modest growth in 2025.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥
💵 TP1: 2680
💵 TP2: 2670
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2710
We are bearish and sell below the resistance of 2710Gold fell sharply on the daily line, breaking the bullish structure that had been rising strongly from 2613 to 2726 in this round. The daily line retracement tested the MA5 daily moving average. The upper track of the Bollinger Band suppressed the 2713 line, the middle track was at the 2654 line, and the RSI indicator was running above the central axis. The short-term chart fell below 2700 in four hours, and a structure of accelerated decline appeared. The RS1 indicator returned to the central axis. The intraday trading ideas for gold are short-term bullish and long-term bearish!
Gold fell from a high level in the US market and is now under pressure at 2713. Gold can be sold directly near 2710. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn at a high level. After the downward divergence, the downward space of gold will be further opened, and it will continue to be sold under the pressure of 2710!
First support: 2675, second support: 2670, third support: 2660
First resistance: 2692, second resistance: 2700, third resistance: 2713
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2680-2678
SELL: 2710-2712
GOLD PRICE TREND ANALYSIS FOR TODAY, DECEMBER 13, 2024SPDR Gold Trust sold 24.88 tons of gold on December 12, which is the reason for the sharp decline in gold prices last night, suddenly dropping back into the previously broken downtrend structure around the 2675-2676 region.
Key Resistance Levels: 2700 - 2710 - 2732
Key Support Levels: 2666 - 2675
XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Price Zones:
SELL XAUUSD around the 2700-2701 region
Stoploss: 2706
Take Profit 1: 2695
Take Profit 2: 2690
Take Profit 3: 2675
“If there is a breakout above the 2728 level during the day, we look to sell around the 2749-2750 region in a long-term channel.”
BUY XAUUSD around the 2675 region
Stoploss: 2670
Take Profit 1: 2680
Take Profit 2: 2685
Take Profit 3: 2690
Note: Always set a stop loss in all cases to stay safe!
@Henrybillion wishes you a successful trading day.