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CAD/CHF Sell Trade: Navigating Oil Dynamics and Safe HavensAlright, let's break down this CAD/CHF sell trade. 📉 First off, if you peek at the monthly and weekly charts, you'll notice this pair's still riding the bearish wave. 📊 On the hourly chart, buyers seem to be in control and have pushed the market into overbought territory. 📈 Now, my eye's on two attractive targets: 0.65750 and 0.65000. 🎯🎯 Now, a bit of context: CAD's been on a rally lately, thanks to the surging oil demand. 🛢️ But, I've got a hunch that this momentum might not last much longer. Why, you ask? Well, CAD's closely tied to oil, and with all the uncertainties in the world, the oil demand might waver. 🌍 And don't forget about the Swiss Franc - it's a safe haven currency, especially in turbulent times. Given the current global climate, I think it's gonna stay strong. 💪 No stop losses this time. I'm playing it cautious with small lots, about .01 for every 1000 USD. Keep an eye out for updates! 🚀
Short
by GlobalHorns
UsdChf watch out for rejectionTechnically Uchf came back to its R zone, 4 up candles on daily so far. careful with this zone. or the uptrendline later on. Of coz act accordingly as PA unfolds over the week. **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
CADCHF BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity CADCHF I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Long
by TheGrove
Bearish Again on the 1 Hour...?Yesterday, we made our analysis and found a possibility of the market dipping. The market played out our prediction and hit the 1 and 4-hour liquidity target at 0.89016. With that swing completed, we are setting up for the next trading opportunity. We see prices begin to retrace Bullish after hitting our liquidity target. We have prices back inside our Panzy Pips Block (PB) and we are setting up for a trade. Price is expected to get to our marked-out zone, and from there, it will reverse Bearish. We will look to jump on that Bearishness when the reversal begins. Even though we are Bearish on the 1 Hour, as well as the 4 hour, it is important to notice and pay attention to the fact that the daily chart is bullish and we have seen prices very recently come into our marked-out zone. This is a sign of Bullishness on the Daily. Be that as it may, since we are trading the 1 hour time frame, we will hold on to the Bearishness sold to us by the 1 hour timeframe and only look to think otherwise where and when the 1 hour reverses adn begins to move Bullish, in the direction of and in syncrony with the Daily Chart.
Short
by PanzyPips
NZDCHF BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity NZDCHF I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Long
by TheGrove
CHF at Key Technical Support⏰CHF at key levels ⏰ Overview The Swiss Franc is at key technical support levels on several pairs. The CHF strength is driven by the Israel-Hamas war. The Details The support levels will likely not hold if there is further escalation in the region. Expect the support levels to break and ***CHF pairs to move lower. If by some miracle, the war becomes stagnant or things de-escalate, the support levels could hold. Things to consider Buying the CHF is painful due to Switzerland's low-interest rate. The swap rate offered by most brokers is off-putting. A better trade may be a de-escalation trade, though we could be waiting a while The Swiss Franc continues to downtrend longer-term. A de-escalation trade may catch a downside correction move rather than a long-term uptrend. The CHF could strengthen on global recession fears, possibly in the coming months.
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
CADCHF - Around The Lower Bound Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. on Weekly: Left Chart After rejecting the 0.68 resistance, CADCHF traded lower and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of the range, and support 0.65. on H1: Right Chart For the bulls to take over, and activate our buy setup, we need a break above the last high in gray. Meanwhile, CADCHF would be bearish and can still trade lower inside the green weekly support. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
6
USDCHF Stuck within the 1D MA50 - MA100. Break-out trade.The USDCHF pair is pulling back after making nearly a Lower High on the long-term Channel Down and hit last hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Today it is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance, so the closing of the 1D candle either way will most likely decide the next trend. Above the 1D MA50, we will buy, targeting 0.94000 (Channel Up Higher High and Resistance 2). Below the 1D MA100, we will quick sell, targeting 0.88000 (Channel Up bottom). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF 22/10/23UC is another example of bearish price action we know from what we have seen of our other pairs that this is likely to carry over into this week but we will more than likely look to fill some of our high areas, which would match up nicely with what we know of our other pairs for example GU. Main focus here is to take out a major high or low, as it stands we have a lot of liquid on both sides of the market, so we don't want to get caught up in anything we don't need to be in! Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
by PipSurfingSociety
SUN 22 OCT USDCHF BEARISH TRADEIn the chart, the USD/CHF price has been following a bearish channel, consistently making lower lows and lower highs. The next opportunity for traders is to wait for the price to pull back to the support level that has become resistance. With a risk-reward ratio of 3, traders have several strategies available: A) Wait for the price to pull back and demonstrate a bearish candlestick pattern such as a pinbar, engulfing pattern, inside bar, doji, etc. This approach relies on confirmation from price action signals. B) Place a limit order at the structural level, anticipating a reversal from that point. This strategy does not wait for confirmation and assumes the price will respect the historical structure. C) Combine both methods by allocating half of your capital to enter with a limit order at the structure level and the other half upon confirmation of a bearish candlestick pattern. This approach balances confirmation with the potential of an earlier entry.
Short
by kennkennntl
2
UsdChf weakest among allLooking at Uchf , if usd is to turn weak, will look more into shorting this pair **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
2
A Traders’ Weekly Playbook; Buying risk when its darkestA Traders’ Playbook; Buying risk when its darkest Equities continue to find few friends and reviewing so many of the daily and weekly set-ups in our core equity indices, standing in front of the move and countering seems a low probability outcome at this juncture. The China CN50 and AUS200 look particularly weak, while EU equity markets are in steep decline, with price breaking level after level. In the US, the NAS100 sits on a huge support zone seen between 14,560 and 14,430, with the US500 eyeing the 4 Oct swing low at 4200 – if these levels are broken this week and SPX 20-day realised volatility rises further, then market chatter will centre on the S&P500 pushing towards 4000. The contrarians have started to look at sentiment and throw out a range of charts, including deteriorating market breadth and the number of stocks (in an index) below the 20-, 50- or 200-day moving average, that have an RSI below 30, or resides at 4-week lows. On current standings we’re not yet near a point of maximum bearishness. The CNN Fear and Greed can do a good job capturing the mood across markets and this says a similar message. The time for contrarianism is approaching – and who doesn’t love a tradeable V-bottom – but it isn’t now. Maybe corporate earnings can have a more positive effect and stabilise sentiment. With 47% of the S&P 500 market cap reporting this week, this is the week it could happen, and guidance and outlooks from CEOs can play a more important role. The macro matters though, and we continue to focus on geopolitical headlines, moves in the US 10- and 30-year Treasury, volatility, and energy markets. With bonds offering no defence in the portfolio, traders continue to manage drawdown risk through volatility, gold, and the CHF as the preeminent hedges. The USD hasn’t performed as well as some had hoped through this period of equity drawdown and rise in long-end bond yields. One factor is that we’re seeing a rise in EU and Chinese growth momentum, so the rest of the world is looking less bad. We also regress and understand that the CHF acts more like gold in times of geopolitical tensions, and after a 7.8% rally between July and October (in the DXY), consolidation in the USD index was always a possibility. Keep an eye on USDCNH and USDJPY as a guide, and the fact we see both pairs in a sideways consolidation is keeping broad G10 FX volatility subdued and a factor keeping the USD from moving freely on a broad FX basis. As many try and pick a turn in equity markets, a bounce in risk this week can't be ruled out, and we need to be open-minded to all possibilities – its fighting an evolving momentum though and many will prefer to initiative (or add) shorts into any rallies, rather than fight it. Buying risk when it's darkest and sentiment is rock bottom is a well-adopted market philosophy but I’m not sure we’re there just yet. Marquee data points for next week: • EU manufacturing/services PMI (24 Oct 19:00) – the market consensus is we see the diffusion index print 43.6 (from 43.4 in September) and the services index at 48.6 (from 48.7) • UK manufacturing/services PMI (24 Oct 19:30) -– the market consensus is we see the diffusion index print 44.6 (from 44.3 in September) and services at 49.3 (unchanged 49.3). A better services print could see a big reaction in GBP given how short the market has got. • Australia Q3 CPI (25 Oct 11:30 AEDT) – the consensus sees headline CPI at 5.3% yoy (from 6%) / core CPI at 5.0% yoy (5.9%). The Aussie interest rates markets price a hike on 7 Nov at 34% - so, if we get a CPI print above 5.4%, we could see the market pricing a hike at the November RBA meeting at or above 50%. AUDNZD has been the best expression for AUD bulls but is coming into a supply zone around 1.0850. • US S&P manufacturing/services PMI (25 Oct 00:45 AEDT) – a data point the market could completely ignore or could be the trigger for a sizeable reaction – the consensus is we see manufacturing at 49.9 (from 49.8) and services at 49.9 (50.1). • BoC meeting Canada (26 Oct 01:00 AEDT) – the swaps market ascribes very little chance of a hike at this meeting, and only 6bp of hikes through to March 2024 – if the tone of the statement suggests a greater risk of hikes in the future, then the CAD should rally. • ECB meeting (26 Oct 23:15 AEDT) – the ECB won’t hike at this meeting, so the focus falls on their guidance on the economic outlook and hurdle for hikes in the future. There will also be a focus on the bank’s plans to increase QT, and even look at the timeline on sales from APP and PEPP bond purchase program – if this is brought forward from Jan 2025 the market would see this EUR positive. • US Core PCE inflation (27 Oct 23:30 AEDT) – US headline PCE inflation is eyed at 3.4% (from 3.5%) and core 3.7% (3.9%) – it would have to be a big number to put a hike at the Dec FOMC meeting on the table – a November hike is not up for debate and the market sees a hold as a full-gone conclusion. • Chile central bank meeting (27 Oct 08:00 AEDT) – The market looks for a 50bp rate cut, but there are risks for 75bp – can USDCLP print new cycle highs? Central bank speakers: Fed speakers – Powell (26 Oct 07:35 AEDT – unlikely to offer any new market intel). Waller (27 Oct 00:00 AEDT) and Barr BoE speakers – Cuncliffe (27 Oct 03:45) RBA speakers – Gov Bullock (24 Oct 19:00 AEDT) & Bullock and Kent both appearing at the Senate testimony (26 Oct 09:00 AEDT) Marquee US earnings and the implied move on the day of earnings (derived from options pricing) – on the week we see 43% of the S&P500 market cap reporting. Marquee names include - Alphabet (4.8%), Microsoft (4.1%), IBM (2.7%), Meta (8.6%), Amazon (6.4%), Intel (6.6%), Exxon (2.4%)
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Pepperstone