Chart Patterns
BTC Idea Bitcoin has formed a valid ascending channel and broke the last touch of it with an H4 candle and retested the downside of the channel which let us predict that it will be going down to retest the 70k support
So we will enter a short (sell) position on this pair
Be careful fam and followers this is a long trade with a big stop loss so small trade carefully with a right risk management
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Pre Christmas SCALPS!If we get a flip in MS 10 m + on any of the internal demand zones I will be testing a long.
I am also watching the range deviation zones as well as the 4h lower high.
Watch yesterday's video for breakdown.
Check out on the video yesterday where we talk trading psychology - must watch !
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$NIO Trading AnalysisThe chart showcases NIO Inc. in a prolonged downtrend, characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows over the past year. Recently, the price appears to be forming a base near key support levels, suggesting potential consolidation or a reversal. The chart integrates multiple technical indicators, including pivot points, dark pool activity, volume, trendlines, and moving averages.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
Prolonged Downtrend:
The red descending trendline highlights a series of lower highs (LH) since the beginning of the year.
The price has struggled to break above key resistance levels, maintaining a bearish bias.
Short-Term Consolidation:
The price is currently consolidating near 4.50, supported by the green ascending trendline. This suggests a potential shift in momentum if buyers step in.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
4.77-5.00: Immediate resistance zone aligned with multiple dark pool prints and a prior pivot level.
5.79: Key swing high resistance level.
6.15-6.68: Long-term resistance near pivot R3 and R4.
7.11 (R5): A significant level marking a potential breakout zone if bullish momentum accelerates.
Support Levels:
4.50-4.52: Current consolidation zone and a cluster of dark pool prints, providing immediate support.
4.28 (S1): Recent swing low, offering additional support.
4.02-3.69: Deeper support levels, with 3.69 marking a historical low.
3. Volume Analysis:
Increased volume near 4.50-4.77 suggests institutional interest or accumulation in this area.
Declining volume on recent pullbacks indicates weakening bearish momentum, a bullish signal for potential reversal.
4. Moving Averages:
The price is hovering below the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
A decisive break above these moving averages would signal a potential trend reversal.
5. Dark Pool Activity:
Significant dark pool levels are clustered between 4.52 and 4.77, which could act as strong support or resistance depending on price action.
Above this, dark pool levels near 6.15 and 6.68 highlight potential targets in a bullish breakout scenario.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Current Levels
Trigger: A breakout above 4.77 with strong volume would confirm bullish momentum.
Profit Targets:
5.00: Psychological level and minor resistance.
5.79: Key swing resistance and a long-term target.
6.15-6.68: Cluster of dark pool levels and pivot resistance zones.
Stop-Loss: Below 4.28, as a break under this level invalidates the bullish setup.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below 4.50
Trigger: A daily close below 4.50, confirmed by increased volume, signals further downside.
Profit Targets:
4.28 (S1): Immediate support level.
4.02-3.69: Long-term support zones and historical lows.
3.50 or lower: In case of capitulation, watch for deeper bearish targets.
Stop-Loss: Above 4.77, as a reversal above this level would indicate bullish recovery.
Scenario 3: Range-Bound Consolidation
If the price remains range-bound between 4.50-4.77, traders can:
Look for breakouts above 4.77 for bullish entries.
Look for breakdowns below 4.50 for bearish entries.
Target mid-range levels for quick scalping opportunities.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: The 4.50-4.77 zone is critical. A breakout above 4.77 favors bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 4.50 opens the door for further downside.
Long-Term Outlook: The green ascending trendline and accumulation near dark pool levels suggest that institutional buyers may be stepping in. If the price holds above 4.50, this could mark the beginning of a new uptrend.
EUR/CAD Daily AnalysisPrice has broken above and retested 1.49 which was support numerous times from August onwards this year.
The final 3 days of trading last week saw a Morning Star pattern being printed which can be a reversal at support.
If you agree, look for opportunities to buy which meet your strategy rules. A final target of 1.5160 could be something to consider.
Ethereum - Rising Star Candle Shines Bright! Ethereum has printed a Rising Star candle on the daily chart, signaling a potential recharge for the next bull run! 📈
✅ Healthy Correction: ETH retraced to $3,000 over the past 2 days, cooling off the rally and resetting momentum.
✅ Bullish Signal: The Rising Star candle confirms renewed buying interest and bullish sentiment.
🔑 Key Level to Watch: If ETH breaks $4,200, the Cup & Handle pattern remains intact on both the daily and weekly timeframes.
🌟 Targets:
146% Gain: Potential move to $7,300 🔥
300% Gain: Long-term goal around $12,600 in early 2025 🚀
ETH is positioning itself as a market leader. Will this candle mark the start of the next big move? 💡
⚠️ Trade wisely and always consider the risks! Let me know your thoughts below! 👇💬
Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%.
The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons.
The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart.
I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD TO $3000/OZ (after correction ofc)After my previous optimistic idea, here’s a scenario that seems much more likely! Now I can also see that gold needs a little break before it can head towards the $3000+ target price! I think the $2500 avg. price level is a very good entry point before the first wave of the fifth wave begins.
$BAC Trade AnalysisThe daily chart for BAC shows a downtrend within a broader bullish channel. The recent price action has broken below critical short-term moving averages (8 EMA and 21 EMA) and is currently testing a key support level at S1 (43.05). The chart includes pivot points, trendlines, and dark pool activity, which provide additional context for potential price movements.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
Uptrend Channel: The long-term green trendline remains intact, suggesting the broader uptrend is still valid.
Short-Term Downtrend: A lower high (LH) and a series of bearish candles indicate short-term downward momentum. The price is below the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, confirming bearish bias in the short term.
2. Support and Resistance:
Resistance Levels:
Pivot (45.87): The first resistance level, aligning with the 8 EMA.
46.24: A significant resistance level near the 21 EMA.
47.00: A dark pool level that may act as a ceiling if price rebounds strongly.
Support Levels:
S1 (43.05): Immediate support and current price zone.
40.95: Historical support level, providing further downside protection.
S2 (38.60): A critical support zone aligning with dark pool levels and prior lows.
3. Volume Analysis:
Recent volume spikes on red candles suggest distribution, but the bounce on the most recent green candle (December 20) indicates potential accumulation near support at 43.05.
4. Dark Pool Levels:
47.00: A dark pool print from December 5, marking potential institutional resistance.
39.70–39.49: Significant dark pool activity from earlier in the year, which may act as a magnet if price continues lower.
5. Moving Averages:
The price is below both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, indicating bearish momentum.
A recovery above these moving averages would signal a potential trend reversal.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (43.05)
Trigger: A strong bounce off S1 with price reclaiming the 8 EMA (~45.36) would confirm bullish momentum.
Profit Targets:
45.87 (Pivot): First resistance level and a key target for a short-term trade.
47.00: Dark pool resistance level.
48.08: The upper range of the recent downtrend and potential long-term target.
Stop-Loss: Below 42.50, as a break below S1 invalidates the bullish setup.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (43.05)
Trigger: A daily close below 43.05 with increased volume would signal bearish continuation.
Profit Targets:
40.95: Previous low and historical support.
39.70–39.49: Dark pool levels and a strong institutional support zone.
38.60 (S2): Key pivot support for a deeper downside move.
Stop-Loss: Above 44.50, as a move back above this level would signal recovery.
Scenario 3: Consolidation Before Directional Move
If the price remains range-bound between 43.05 and 45.87, traders can look for breakout trades in either direction. Volume and candlestick patterns will be key indicators.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: Watch for price action at 43.05. A bounce with strong volume would favor a bullish trade, while a breakdown opens the door for further downside.
Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline suggests that the broader uptrend remains valid. A deeper pullback into dark pool levels (~39.50) could offer long-term buying opportunities.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024
Overview:
Let’s focus on Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been pumping steadily, but it now appears to be losing momentum. The market structure has created an imbalance, suggesting a potential decline in the coming weeks.
Trade Idea:
Potential Buy Zone: The price could fall to the marked zone around $73,000.
Entry Timing: Avoid entering immediately when the price reaches this level. Instead, wait for a clear reaction—such as bullish confirmation or upward momentum—before considering a buying opportunity.
Key Considerations:
This setup is similar to the structure seen in the German Index (DE40), which showed comparable behavior before a significant drop. The resemblance in patterns could signal a similar outcome for Bitcoin.
Monitor price action closely in the coming weeks for signs of reversal once the price reaches the anticipated zone.
Risk Management:
Do Not Rush: This is not financial advice. Always wait for clear entry signals before making any decisions.
Stay Disciplined: Protecting your capital is more important than making profits. Use proper stop-loss levels to safeguard your trades.
Trading Requires Patience: A reactive approach is key. Trading is about responding to what the market shows you, not forcing predictions.
Final Note:
Making no money is always better than losing money. Watch Bitcoin closely in the coming weeks, and stay disciplined in your analysis. Let’s see how the market unfolds. See you in the next update!
TAOUSDT, The only setup you need. TAOUSDT / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The utility coins market shows strong bullish momentum in the current Crypto cycle, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for confirmation into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
1- Mid of the range
2- Higher quarter
3- New all-time high
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
BTCUSDT Long - Short SqueezeFunding rate at its lows. I am expecting a short squeeze from the marked area. I'm bearish overall and will short around the marked levels (from 103k) based on the ETF inflows / outflows. Time / speed above 100k will tell which level will have the biggest chance of being the top.