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ETH over the last year and now todayI wanted to zoom out of the chart that I provided yesterday identifying this potential for buying the dip. We did break down through bottom of ascending channel for just a fast wick but it likely indicates we are breaking out of this ascension. As you see there is a lot of potential for a sideways channel here at the top of the larger (slightly descending) sideways channel, here we could consolidate in the top third of the channel and then build up the courage to try to break out of top of this year long channel again, or break down and potentially trace all the way back to bottom of channel which as you see is as low as $2200. If we break that $3500 support, I will become short term bearish. Market has been strong though so good chance we maintain top of channel and try to break out again in the near future. IMO daily candle charts are the most important and reliable charts. I do like 4 hour candles as they are more granular for seeing trends and are pretty close to as reliable and I often look at 1 hour candles for a pulse on the now but generally speaking, the shorter candle you use, the less you can rely on it. Lets take a look at the break down of the daily candle. --------------------------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – Daily Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Ascending Channel with Breakdown Risks** ETH/USD is currently trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between its upper and lower bounds (green lines). Recently, the price sharply rejected at **$4,100** and is now testing the **lower trendline support** near **$3,500**. **Bearish Rejection Near Key Resistance** Sellers emerged strongly at the **$4,100 Bearish Order Block (OB)**, leading to a steep reversal. This highlights a significant supply zone at this level. **Approaching Key Demand Zone** The price is nearing **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), where buyers have defended historically. This is a critical support area within the larger channel. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,600–$3,700**: Overhead resistance zone, aligned with EMA 20 and mid-channel range. - **$4,100**: Major supply zone, previously rejected at this level. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500**: Current demand area reinforced by a key trend line - **$2,800–$3,000**: Next structural support if breakdown occurs. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - The price has dropped below **EMA 20 ($3,800)** and **EMA 50 ($3,750)**, indicating short-term bearish momentum. - **EMA 100 ($3,610)** is providing immediate dynamic support. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)** remains a critical long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are below the candles indicating an up wave in progress but it seems muted. **Volume** - Recent sell-off saw a **volume surge**, confirming active participation in the pullback. **Stochastic RSI** - Currently **oversold** (9.30/26.79), favoring a short-term bounce from this zone. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI is sitting at **51.26**, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but showing signs of selling pressure easing. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is testing the **lower channel boundary ($3,500)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the top of channel, leading to bearish momentum targeting lower support levels. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Scenario (Primary Case):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone with rising volume: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and mid-channel resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,100 (upper channel resistance). **Bearish Scenario (Alternate Case):** If the price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,200 (next structural support). - **Second Target**: $3,000–$2,800 (psychological level and major demand zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **$3,500 Support**: Holding or breaking this level will decide the next move. 2. **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume on bounce or breakdown strengthens directional bias. 3. **Stochastic RSI Oversold Levels**: Signals a possible bounce unless selling pressure increases. --- ## Order Book Update: Order books continue to look dirty but with potential for recovery. Both asks and bids tracking a downward trend, asks is staging a potential ascending channel though many times asks have lost a bit more than bids on pullback, indicating negative trader sentiment or fear in the market, it is in a position to change course over the next days but until it does, books are under pressure. --- ## Conclusion: ETH/USD is at a **critical inflection point**, testing the lower trendline of the ascending channel converting to a sideways channel to consolidate before breaking out or breaking down. Bulls need to defend **$3,500** to sustain the medium term bullish structure. A successful defense targets **$3,800–$4,100**, with anything higher than $4100 starting a new breakout and while failure to maintain $3500 opens the path toward **$2,800** or lower. 🔍 **Monitor volume, key support levels, and stochastic momentum for confirmation.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
Bitcoin 1D Chat Analysis Historically after making local top, CRYPTOCAP:BTC starting to slow down and there is a significant retracement, we could see 15 ~ 30% correction during that time, also at that point, altcoins started accumulating When #Bitcoin found its bottom and starting to recovery, this is the begin of altseason where altcoins outperform #BTC and giving bullish confirmations Our plans so far (not confirmed yet) -- Add strong utility altcoins at current support (with low exposure and lower than 5% of total balance) -- Increasing our positions to entire the market at critical support, we will probably chase trending narrative, and started accumulating more altcoins with strong FA & TA (higher than 30% of total balance) -- If we get "worse case" when bitcoin dipped at $80,000, we will probably increasing portfolio to 50% - 60% exposure to the market (dollar-cost-average all the tokens we bought) Current support at $98,000 Critical support at $90,500 & $85,000 Worse; $80,000
Long
by Whalesdesk
NFLX pullback to $803MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level VBSM is positive Price at 4.618 Fibonacci level Down from $876.75 Target is $803 or channel bottom will manually stop loss
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by chancethepug
9
Z tags $85, pulls back to $75MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price at or near top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level VBSM is spiked positive Price at or near Fibonacci level Buying a put if price reaches $85 Target is $75 or channel bottom Stop loss is TBD
NASDAQ:ZShort
by chancethepug
2
$USUAL Token Surge 267% After Listing: What’s Driving the Rally?The cryptocurrency market witnessed a standout performer in $USUAL, which surged 267% after its listing on major exchanges, including Binance. This Ethereum-based altcoin soared from $0.35 to a peak of $1.28 within hours, showcasing significant investor interest. Let’s delve into the fundamental and technical factors fueling this impressive performance. About $USUAL $USUAL powers the Usual Protocol, a decentralized fiat stablecoin issuer with a unique governance structure. It integrates three tokens into its ecosystem: 1. USD0: A stablecoin fully backed by short-term, liquid, and risk-free assets, ensuring composability and transparency in DeFi. 2. USD0++: A liquid staking token that distributes rewards in $USUAL. 3. $USUAL: A governance token directly tied to protocol revenue, granting ownership and decision-making rights to its holders. This innovative structure aligns user incentives and drives adoption of USD0, making $USUAL pivotal to the ecosystem’s growth. Its intrinsic value, derived from real cash flows, positions it as a game-changer in the DeFi landscape. Fundamental Highlights Listing Impact: The token’s debut on Binance, Bitget, and other prominent exchanges significantly boosted liquidity and visibility, propelling its price to an all-time high of $1.29. Market Activity: With a 195.60% increase in trading volume, totaling $1.64 billion in the last 24 hours, $USUAL has captured the market’s attention. Market Cap & FDV: At $552 million, $USUAL ranks #183 on CoinGecko, with a fully diluted valuation of $571 million. Technical Analysis The daily chart of $USUAL depicts the formation of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern often associated with potential breakout scenarios. A breakout above the triangle’s resistance could initiate another rally, targeting higher highs and reaffirming bullish sentiment. Immediate support lies near $0.80, reflecting investor confidence in this price zone. While the RSI IS not overbought, $USUAL’s momentum indicates strong buying interest, bolstered by its fundamentals and ecosystem utility. Future Potential $USUAL’s unique proposition as a governance token tied to real cash flows, combined with its stablecoin backing and staking mechanisms, positions it for sustained growth. However, traders should remain cautious, as breakout patterns may also lead to short-term corrections. Conclusion The $USUAL token is making waves with its robust performance, driven by a strong listing impact and innovative ecosystem fundamentals. As the DeFi space evolves, $USUAL’s decentralized approach to stablecoin governance and intrinsic value alignment could redefine the sector. Investors and traders should watch for a breakout from the symmetrical triangle for further bullish momentum.
UNISWAP3ETH:USUALWETH_14154C.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
USD/JPY Approaching Key Fibonacci ResistanceChart Analysis: The USD/JPY pair has extended its rally and is now approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 157.19, a critical resistance zone for the current uptrend. 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement: The 78.6% retracement of the downtrend from 161.80 to 138.00 aligns near 157.19, making it a key area for traders to watch for potential reversals or a breakout continuation. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): The pair is comfortably above this level at 152.50, highlighting strong short-term bullish momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 152.21, confirming the broader upward trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 68.44, nearing overbought territory, suggesting a potential slowdown or consolidation in the short term. MACD: Bullish momentum remains strong as the MACD line trends higher, signaling continued buying pressure. What to Watch: A breakout above 157.19 could open the path for a retest of the 161.80 highs. If the pair stalls at Fibonacci resistance, traders may look for support around the 50-day SMA near 152.50. USD/JPY is at a pivotal resistance zone. While the trend remains bullish, momentum indicators suggest caution as price approaches critical levels. -MW
by FOREXcom
XRP Long OpportunityMarket Context: XRP has shown strong performance and is revisiting the 2021 resistance highs, which have now flipped into support. This creates an ideal zone for a long entry with solid risk-to-reward potential. Trade Details: Entry Zone: Around $1.80 Take Profit Targets: $2.42 $2.90 Stop Loss: Close below $1.60 This setup aligns with XRP’s bullish structure, providing an opportunity to capitalize on its momentum while managing downside risk effectively. 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
XRP / USDT : rebounding from key support XRP/USDT: Rebounding Strongly from Key Support XRP/USDT is showcasing resilience 💪 as it bounces back from a critical support level, indicating the potential for bullish momentum to build 📈. This key level has previously acted as a strong demand zone, and the current price action suggests a similar upward move may be on the horizon 🚀. Key insights: 1. Strong support zone: XRP has rebounded from a well-established support area, reinforcing its significance in holding buyer interest. 2. Momentum indicators: RSI and MACD are shifting positively ⚡, signaling that bullish momentum may be returning. 3. Volume surge: Early signs of increasing volume suggest renewed buying interest 🔥. Steps to confirm the uptrend: Look for a clear 4H or daily candle close above immediate resistance levels 📍. Monitor trading volume; a significant increase during upward moves supports the bullish narrative 📊. Confirm higher highs and higher lows on the charts to validate a trend reversal 📈. Risk management strategies: Place a stop-loss below the support level to minimize potential risks 🔒. Gradually scale into positions as bullish confirmation unfolds 🎯. Maintain disciplined position sizing to align with your overall trading strategy ✅. Important note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 and trade responsibly.
Long
by Crypto-By-Ghazi
Navigating the Current Market Turbulence: A Crypto and Stock MarBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $102,200, reflecting a decrease of 2.36% over the last week. Despite a brief rally reaching highs of $108,367.38, the digital currency has faced selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 65, indicating that BTC might still be overbought, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggests bearish momentum could persist. Investors should be cautious as the market shows signs of volatility. For cryptocurrencies, monitoring RSI and MACD indicators can provide insights into potential buying opportunities.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pBouDib
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-19 : Top PatternToday, we should expect the SPY/QQQ to move a bit higher - trying to form a short-term top before price rolls downward again. I urge traders to stay very cautious of early trending and look for a bigger opportunity later in the day as price rolls downward. Gold and Silver are struggling. I still believe Gold and Silver will rally higher as fear elevates. But right now - that is not happening. I need to see Gold and Silver move away from this panic selling before I can become move convinced of a trend. Stay cautious if you are trying to trade Gold and Silver right now. Bitcoin is moving through an EPP pattern very cleanly - actually a DUAL EPP pattern. $95-$99k should be the downside price target throughout this move. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
BTC / USDT: Bouncing back strong from key support BTC/USDT: Bouncing Back Strong from Key Support Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing resilience 💪 as it rebounds from a critical support level, signaling potential bullish momentum ahead 📈. This key level has previously acted as a launchpad for strong upward moves, and the current price action hints at a similar scenario unfolding 🚀. Key insights: 1. Strong support zone: BTC has bounced off a well-established support area, reinforcing its importance as a demand zone. 2. Momentum shift: Indicators like RSI and MACD are turning upward ⚡, hinting at renewed buyer interest. 3. Volume increase: Early signs of increasing volume suggest that bulls are stepping back into the market 🔥. Steps to confirm the uptrend: Watch for a clear 4H or daily candle close above immediate resistance levels 📍. Monitor trading volume; a surge in volume during upward moves strengthens the bullish case 📊. Look for higher highs and higher lows on the charts to confirm a trend reversal 📈. Risk management strategies: Set a stop-loss below the support level to limit potential losses 🔒. Scale into positions gradually as bullish confirmation develops 🎯. Avoid overleveraging; position size should align with your overall trading plan ✅. Important note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 and trade responsibly.
Long
by Crypto-By-Ghazi