Buy GBPJPY Channel BreakoutGBP/JPY M30 Channel Breakout Hints at Potential Upside: Buy Opportunity Emerges
The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a channel pattern. This pattern suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside, potentially offering entry points for short-term long positions.
Key Points:
Upward Channel Breakout: The price has been trading within a channel defined by two rising lines, one for support and one for resistance. This indicates ongoing buying pressure and potential for further advance. However, a recent break above the upper resistance line signifies a potential shift in momentum towards the upside.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 186.60, which is close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 187.48 and 188.17, marking previous resistance zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken channel, around 185.85. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Fundamental Updates :
BoE Meeting Minutes: Bank of England (BoE) meeting minutes reveal a hawkish tilt towards raising interest rates sooner than expected, it could strengthen the Pound against the Yen.
Weaker Japanese Yen: The Yen has been weakening recently due to the Bank of Japan's continued loose monetary policy, potentially supporting a rise in GBP/JPY.
Channelbreak
Sell USDCHF Channel BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the H1 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggesting a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downside breakout from a descending channel pattern could offer a shorting opportunity.
Key Points:
Descending Channel Breakout: The price has been trending downwards within a channel defined by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 0.8620, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 0.8540 and 0.8470, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken channel at 0.8700
Fundamental Updates :
Stronger Swiss Franc: The Swiss Franc has been gaining strength recently due to its safe-haven appeal amidst global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. This could put downward pressure on USD/CHF.
Thank you
Breakout for Canalaska?Is this a breakout for Canalaska? No retest of the channel yet and over head resistance at 0.67 and 0.84. In support: over 4x average volume on week commencing 25th September and a higher pivot high compared to Jul 22.
WARNING: This is not a recommendation to trade. Do your own research and decide your own trades.
Nifty on 2024 Jan 20
1) On 2023 Dec 4, Nifty had a gap up opening.
2) This gap is 216 points between low and previous day’s high (20507.75-20291.55).
3) And it is 334 points between open and previous day’s close levels. (20601.95-20808.90).
4) Thereafter till 2024 January 16th, Nifty was travelling in an upward channel.
5) On 17th January this channel has been broken, and index closed below the channel.
6) On that day Nifty had a huge gap down opening. Even it tried to recover more than 50% of the gap, but failed to gain, and eventually closed 75 points below the opening level. And it is 460 points below the closing level of previous day.
7) On that day Nifty opened near the lower line of the channel, and closed below the line.
8) On the next day, Jan 18th, Nifty had another gap down opening. After a volatile intraday movement it had a positive closing, recovering 48 points from the opening level.
9) On 19th Jan, Nifty had a gap up opening and a less volatile intra-day movement, and closed with a 7 points gain from the opening level, creating a small a doji candle, showing indecisiveness among market participants.
10) On 19th Jan, index gained 50.45 pints above the closing level of 17th January.
11) Being at 21622.40, it is taking support at 147 square level. (ie. 147*147 = 21609)
# If nifty can gain about 100 points more, it can close in the upward channel again, If so, we can expect the continuation of the rally.
# If Nifty closes below 21460 level it may touch the 21325 level. If it goes further low it may fall to 21000 level.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purpose, not a trade recommendation, I am not SEBI registered adviser.
Sell GBPUSD Bearish Channel GBP/USD has formed a bearish channel pattern on the H1 timeframe, indicating a potential for further downside.
Pattern: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within the channel, creating a downward sloping trend.
Sell Entry: A break below the channel support at 1.2665 could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
Targets: Potential bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2558 and 1.2498.
Stop Loss: A stop loss could be placed above the channel resistance at 1.2703.
Factors Underpinning the Downward Pressure:
Risk-Off Sentiment: Global markets are facing uncertainties, driving investors to seek refuge in safe-haven currencies like the US dollar. This has put downward pressure on the relatively riskier pound sterling.
BoE Policy Divergence: The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates at a slower pace than the US Federal Reserve, potentially widening the interest rate differential between the two economies. This could further weaken the pound against the dollar.
Trading Considerations:
Confirm Breakdown: Wait for a clear break below the lower boundary of the channel to validate the bearish momentum and potentially trigger sell trades.
Manage Risk: Implement stop-loss orders above the resistance level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses course.
Monitor Fundamentals: Stay informed about economic data releases and central bank communications from both the UK and the US, as they can significantly influence the GBP/USD pair's trajectory.
Amazon - Massive Resistance AheadHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Amazon.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
With the quite obvious and expected channel breakout in 2016, we saw a rally of more than 500% towards the upside on Amazon. This pump was followed by a retracement back to a previous support level before we saw another bullish reversal. If Amazon breaks back above the structure mentioned in the analysis, market behaviour is bullish and I will be looking for longs.
--------
I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Sell GBPUSD Channel BreakoutWeaker inflation, higher unemployment and gloom from policymakers.
The fall in inflation is not the only issue holding the BoE back from hikes.
BoE’s decision to pause and the probable end to policy tightening represents a loss of interest rate support
Price breaks the channel now, its Good chance to sell now.
Thank you
Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game:
Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates.
Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now.
Thank you
Nvidia - Higher, Higher And HigherHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in 2014 Nvidia broke out of the long term symmetrical triangle formation and entered a crazy bullrun. With the current channel formation on Nvidia, there is a high chance this stock will push higher even more to retest the upper resistance mentioned in my analysis.
From there I do expect a correction which could be similar to the one of 2022.
--------
I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Navigating a Downward Channel: A Journey to Potential UpsideWelcome to a comprehensive breakdown of the IGR setup – a compelling narrative rooted in technical analysis that may uncover a path to potential gains. Check out the video, as I delve into the reasons underpinning my decision to hold a current position in IGR, while keeping risk management in this turbulent market in mind.
Firstly, we explore the mechanics of a downward channel, often considered a bullish indicator, which is poised for an upside breakout after several touches against resistance. I'll guide you through my anticipation of the stock's trajectory towards a target, accompanied by a strategic management of entry and exit points. My approach combines a tight stop loss coupled with a keen eye on partial profit targets, ensuring a balanced risk management.
However, the analysis doesn't stop with patterns. The setup also encompasses fundamental factors that add another layer of interest – notably the stock's consistent history of dividend payments through market upheavals, even during the 2008 crisis and the tumult of 2020. We ponder the implications of a sizeable estimated dividend yield that provides not only trade value but also potential for long-term holding as a dividend stock.
Additionally, insider buying acts as a crucial signal in our evaluation, hinting at the confidence held by those with intimate knowledge of the stock’s inner workings.
The final piece of our analytical puzzle extends to examining the weekly chart, revealing a pattern that suggests bullish sentiment, supported by a strong trend line dating back 16 years – an invaluable insight for those studying long-term support levels.
Remember, the choices traders make must be informed by rigorous research and consultation with financial advisors where necessary.
This exploration is intended for educational purposes, offering a peek into the strategic thinking that informs intelligent trading decisions.
EURUSD|The probability of breaking the support zoneHello friends, I hope you are doing well, let's go to the popular currency pair EURUSD.
In EURUSD, the selling pressure seems to be more, we can understand this from the powerful candles, broken trends.
For this reason, short positions have a higher winning percentage.
By reaching the supply area (1.1015), we can enter a sell position with confirmation until the price (1.90).
In the future, if it can break the demand area, we expect the price of 1.080 to continue falling
Sell EURJPY Channel Breakout1. European underperformance relative to the US should weigh on the shared currency.
2. The Japanese currency was a significant underperformer during the global tightening phase, and so we believe the currency can become a significant outperformer during the global easing phase.
3. A likely hawkish monetary policy shift from the Bank of Japan later this year, combined with a weak US economy and lower US interest rates next year, should see the Yen strengthen
Thank you
S&P Situation: A Deep Dive into the Head and Shoulder Pattern! Johnny Seville here with your daily dose of Smart Money Trading insights. Today, we're dissecting the S&P situation – specifically, the potential short-term head and shoulder pattern that's been developing. Intriguing, right? Let's get into it!
The S&P has been giving off some fascinating signals lately. **We've fallen off the 2022 high and are now potentially developing a head and shoulder pattern**. It's not a guarantee, but it's a likely shape we're keeping a close eye on.
So what would happen if this pattern played out? Let's draw it out. If we measure from the top of the head down to the neckline and then duplicate that below the breakdown line, we land exactly where the 50-day simple moving average is. This adds some probability to the pattern.
**However, caution is key here.** We don't want to get drawn into any rally until this pattern is either over or disproven. So for now, we're keeping a close eye on the situation, ready to adjust our strategy based on the evolving data.
GOLD|They are still the winners of the seller's marketAs we expected from gold, when we said that the selling pressure is more, it crossed the 2048 support area with great strength, in this area we did not have a suitable candle confirmation to enter the transaction. Arriving at the next support area that we mentioned before, by observing the pin bar candle Ascending in the price area of 2033, we could enter into buy transactions, which has already given us 160 pips of profit.
Continuing the movement with the growth experienced from the support area, I am still waiting for the price to reach the resistance areas to enter sell trades, the most important area ahead is the midline of the descending channel that has already been broken and the supply area price 2055. In case of reactions Returning from this area, as I said, we can place up to the price of 2035 equivalent to 200 pips for the profit limit.
As Expected, We Have Our Pullback! Now We Watch This Closely.Traders,
As predicted a few weeks ago, altcoins have finally met their downside target of 10-15% (see links to related ideas). But this move down will not confirm further downside unless/until we have confirmation to the underside of our current channel. We have to watch that bottom support closely along with the support on our RSI chart. Should one of them break and the price remain on the underside tomorrow through Friday, this can be further indication that more pullback may occur.
This is the healthy correction that I have been waiting patiently for and I am glad to see it.
Stay tuned.
Stewdamus
Potential Short on USDJPY
With the first trade working out on the USDJPY with the move from resistance of the top of the channel to the bottom with bearish RSI divergence its now setting up for another move to the downside with a break of the upward channel. For the second trade I am now looking for a retest of the break, there is some very good support with two trendlines converging @146.30 I will be looking for a rejection at this level and taking a entry with a stoploss at last swing high. Will be looking for a take profit at next resistance zone at around 138.00, it could be a bigger measured move with the channel pattern @131.00 so will use a trailing stop or move stoploss to last swing high if it gets to fist target area and update this idea if needed. Move SL to BE when safe to do so and good luck.
NATGASNATGAS was trading in descending parallel channel. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of descending channel.
Currently the price has given the breakout of channel and now retesting the broken level where it is also forming a local support zone and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 2.8.
What you guys think of this idea?
KAS Trading the Ascending Channel: A Liquidity Game !🚀🚀 In the bustling world of crypto trading, KAS has caught the attention of many as it gracefully maneuvers within the confines of an ascending channel. While the upper boundary may seem like a resistant force, a closer look reveals a nuanced interplay of liquidity dynamics that could potentially propel KAS into a parabolic ascent.
Chart Analysis: The Ascending Channel Dance
Ascending Channel Dynamics:
KAS has been gracefully traversing within the confines of an ascending channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Traders are observing closely, especially as price action reaches the upper boundary of the channel.
Liquidity Pools and Trading Sentiment:
The upper boundary of the channel serves as a zone of interest for both bulls and bears.
Many traders attempt to short as the price hits the upper limit, expecting a pullback. However, the real game might be played around the liquidity pool created by stop-loss orders just above the upper border.
Anticipated Scenarios: Charting the Course Ahead
Parabolic Surge Scenario:
If KAS defies the expectations of short-sellers and surges beyond the upper boundary, triggering stop-loss orders, a parabolic rally might ensue.
This could be fueled by a cascade of liquidations and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) buying.
Retest and Rally Scenario:
Alternatively, KAS might undergo a retest of the lower boundary before launching a robust upward move.
A successful retest could provide a strong foundation for a sustained bullish trend.
Strategic Approaches: Navigating the Channel
Short-Term Caution:
Short-term traders should exercise caution when attempting to short at the upper boundary, considering the potential for unexpected upward movements.
Long-Term Optimism:
Long-term investors might find value in assessing the overall trend and considering potential accumulation opportunities during retests.
Conclusion: Navigating the Liquidity Game
As KAS dances within the ascending channel, traders find themselves at the intersection of technical analysis and liquidity dynamics. The upper boundary serves not only as a technical resistance but also as a stage for a liquidity game that could dictate the trajectory of KAS in the coming weeks.
🔄 Riding the Channel Waves | 🚀 Unlocking Liquidity Dynamics | 🔄 Navigating the Ascendancy
❗See related ideas below❗
Share your insights on KAS's ascending channel and contribute to the collaborative analysis, enhancing our collective understanding of this intriguing digital asset. 💚📈💚
Very critical area for Silver
Silver is currently at a critical juncture, and a breakout above this resistance could lead to a rapid shift in the overall market sentiment.
It's essential to note that we are analyzing a daily chart featuring a bearish channel. In the event of a bullish breakout, the price target would be the width of this daily channel. Given the high correlation between silver and gold, we may anticipate a similar behavior in gold.
Considering that both gold and silver are often considered risky assets, particularly gold, if they are poised for such a movement, it suggests there might be a significant news release providing the necessary momentum for a breakout above this crucial resistance.
However, it's crucial to remain cautious, as any breakout without substantial news support could be deemed a false breakout, potentially leading to a reversal.