Buyback Patterns for Swing TradingNASDAQ:AMGN shows a buyback run followed by a sell day that was instigated by market makers as buyers quickly disappeared. Remember that corporate buybacks are done by bank floor traders to add stock to their inventory so they won't take profits at the peak of the run; those are other market participants, such as market makers.
NYSE:KO is another example of a buyback run and how price moves back down after the professionals conclude their buybacks. The buybacks were announced in May this year so this stock has just started its share repurchase program.
Candlestickpattern
NVDA: Pullback Ahead?Hourly Chart: Key Support and Previous Top
The hourly chart for NVDA emphasizes the significance of the support level at 125.59. This level was a previous top, and now it is acting as a support, following the Principle of Polarity in Technical Analysis. The chart shows that the previous top, which is now support, has been tested a few times, reinforcing its critical role.
Daily Chart: Bearish Engulfing Pattern
On the daily chart, a bearish engulfing pattern is evident, signaling a potential correction of the uptrend. This pattern forms when a smaller white candlestick is completely engulfed by a larger black candlestick, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This pattern is often a precursor to further downside movement. The red line marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 115.82, which was a previous resistance seen on the 1H chart as well, serves as an additional support level.
Conclusion
The NVDA charts provide a mixed outlook. The double support at 115.89 on the hourly/daily charts is critical, while the bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart suggests a potential pullback ahead. For now, we should keep a close eye on the 125.59 support level. A hold above this level could indicate a buying opportunity, while a break below could signal further downside to the 115 area.
Keep in mind that the trend is still bullish and pullbacks would be buying opportunities as the price approaches its support levels, when the R/R ratio is optimized.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Trading Idea: GBPJPY Buying Opportunity and Bullish OutlookIf you're looking for a buying opportunity on GBPJPY, focus on the double bottom retest zone between 199.62 and 199.37. Overall, I maintain a bullish outlook on GBPJPY.
Key Levels:
- Double Bottom Retest Zone : 199.62 to 199.37
Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity : Look for entry points within the double bottom retest zone between 199.62 and 199.37.
- Bullish Outlook : Given the overall bullish sentiment, consider holding long positions for potential gains.
Stay cautious and trade wisely. What’s your trade plan for GBPJPY? Share your thoughts in the comments!
GBPUSD Sideways Consolidation with Potential Upside BreakoutTimeframe : Weekly and 4-Hourly Charts
Predicted Move : Potential Upside Breakout
Analysis :
On the weekly chart, GBPUSD is currently in a sideways consolidation phase. Although the pair is near the top of this range, there seems to be a tendency for the market to break towards the upside. This observation is based on my 18 years of trading experience and intuition.
Key Points :
- Sideways Consolidation : GBPUSD is trading within a defined range on the weekly chart.
- Near Top of Range : Price is approaching the upper boundary of the consolidation.
- Potential Upside Breakout : Market tendencies suggest a possible break to the upside.
- Trading Experience : This analysis is supported by my 18 years of trading experience and gut feeling.
Strategy:
- Retest and Buying Opportunity : If you share my perspective, I'm looking for a retest within the buy zone on the 4-hourly chart at 1.2666 for a buying opportunity.
- Understanding the Buy Zone : It may seem like the buy zone has been broken, but with professional chart reading, it's evident it hasn't.
Note: This analysis is based on my personal trading experience and should not be followed blindly. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Stay cautious and trade wisely!
EURUSD Sideways Consolidation with Key Levels for TradingTimeframe : Weekly and 1-Hourly Charts
Predicted Move: Sideways Consolidation with Specific Levels for Trading Opportunities
Analysis :
On the weekly chart, EURUSD is in a sideways consolidation phase and is currently at the bottom of this range. For precise entry points, I'll be closely monitoring the 1-hourly chart.
Key Points:
- Sideways Consolidation : EURUSD is consolidating within a defined range on the weekly chart.
- Bottom of Range : Price is at the lower boundary of the consolidation, suggesting potential buying opportunities.
Key Levels on 1-Hourly Chart:
- Shorting Opportunity : 1.0739 is my preferred level for considering short positions.
- Buying Opportunity : 1.0668 is my preferred level for considering long positions.
Strategy:
- Monitor Key Levels : Watch the price action around 1.0739 for shorting and 1.0668 for buying opportunities.
- Confirmation : Look for confirmation signals on the 1-hourly chart before entering trades.
Discussion:
Potential for Parity: The question of whether EURUSD might hit parity again is intriguing. While the current consolidation phase doesn't indicate an immediate move to parity, significant macroeconomic events or shifts in market sentiment could drive the pair towards parity. It’s essential to stay updated on fundamental factors and market news that could impact EURUSD.
Note: This analysis is based on my trading experience. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
What’s your take on EURUSD? Do you see the potential for it to hit parity again? Share your thoughts!
EURUSD Bearish Trend and Bearish Bat Pattern CompletionEURUSD Bearish Trend and Bearish Bat Pattern Completion
Instrument: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 1-Hourly Chart
Current Direction: Bearish
Analysis:
EUR/USD is currently exhibiting a bearish trend. While the impulse to short immediately is strong, my preferred entry level is at 169.54. This price point aligns with the completion of a bearish bat pattern on the 1-hourly chart.
Key Points:
- Bearish Trend: The overall trend for EUR/USD is downwards.
- Bearish Bat Pattern: Completion level at 169.54, which offers a high-probability short setup.
- Entry Level: 169.54
- Chart Pattern: Bearish Bat Pattern
- Timeframe: 1-Hourly Chart
Strategy:
- Wait for Price to Reach 169.54: Monitor the price action and wait for it to approach the 169.54 level.
- Confirmation: Look for bearish confirmation signals around this level to enter a short position.
Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely!
Daily Timeframe suggests Bearish Price ActionWe are currently inside a 12$ Range on Crude Oil on the monthly timeframe. Support being 71.32 and resistance being 83.22. After two weeks of trading in June, Oil is up roughly 2/3 of 1 Percent. The First week being quite bearish but which was corrected, plus an additional some to the upside on the second week. Price came awfully close to the weekly resistance level ( about 25 cents) on Wednesday but coincided with US weekly Inventories and dropped on a higher than forecasted number. Weekly Bearish Target for Crude this week I have 75.36 Weekly support level. Weekly Long target for crude this week I have 79.58 Weekly resistance Level. What's interesting is that after the initial climb on last Monday, Crude simply consolidated for the rest of the week. It actually printed 3 Daily candles that had a larger top wick than the body of the candle. My Bias is bearish to kick off the new trading week and short term targets are 77.30 for the upcoming session.
Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
Monday/Tuesday Bullish.. Continuation on Wednesday? Hello Traders. The Monthly candle has flipped bullish and the weekly candle is pushing for new highs as the 3rd Asian session of the week kicks off here. Monday was super bullish and today's tuesday candle closed bullish after a late NY bullish push. We observed (4) 4hr candles print bearish consecutively only to be overshadowed by a large bullish candle that began it's ascent at around London close today. The Market is bullish and so continuing to look for longs up to the next 4hr level (79.00) is a scenario for the next session. Another scenario is we push to the 78.50 4hr level and then rollover towards (77.30) 4hr level. The market totally changed behavior after dipping into 73 Weekly Level. The last crude oil inventories, which was forecasted to see a decrease by 2.1m barrels, instead saw an increase and this lined up with a low in the market . The news was About 1.13$ off the low and has been a catalyst for this bullish momentum in the last few days. Interest rates, CPI and Inventories tomorrow will surely send the markets into an uproar so careful trading ahead.
MAX INDIA - Excellent Daily VCP Poised for a minimum 20% upmove.1) The stock is in uptrend in all major timeframes.
2) The stock is in weekly consolidation since JAN 2024 - 4 Months old weekly consolidation.
3) The stock shows strong volatility contraction in Daily, looks poised for breakout.
4) Weekly,Daily,4H & 75 min RSI Intact - Momentum in play.
Entry around 230, Best - Between 215-220.
SL - 214 Daily closing basis.
Target - 330.
Follow me on my channel for regular updates.
Bitcoin PATTERN - BTC Roadmap to NEW ATHBINANCE:BTCUSDT
👉 Trendline Analysis: BTC has been consolidating directly underneath the resistance zone - BULLISH
👉 Candlestick Analysis: Three white soldiers in the 2W timeframe - BULLISH
👉 Technical Indicator Analysis : Price has cooled down after being "Extremely Overbought", moving averages holds - BULLISH
Technical Indicator Monthly Timeframe:
Technical Indicator Weekly Timeframe:
There is really only one concerning matter, and that is from a potential near term scenario:
❗ Pattern Analysis: Potential for M-Pattern to form, medium risk: BEARISH
The candle closes of the next two weeks are crucial in determining how this pattern will play out.
For further reading, here's the initial Elliot Wave analysis on BTC:
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AUDCAD Analysis: Focus on Bullish Shark PatternIf you're looking at AUDCAD, the 4-hourly chart setup might seem tempting for a buying opportunity. However, I prefer the 1-hourly chart, specifically the Bullish Shark Pattern.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Key Level : Ensure an MCC appears at 0.9041 before entering a buying opportunity.
What's your trade plan for AUDCAD? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
AUDUSD Analysis: Shorting Opportunities Amid RetracementFor those eyeing AUDUSD, here's my take:
While some might be tempted to buy, anticipating a retracement (UP) due to the recent price action, I'm not focused on buying opportunities. Instead, I have more strategic shorting setups in mind.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : Waiting for a retest at 0.6638 or a retest of the channel for shorting opportunities.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : 0.6595, 0.6613, and 0.6636.
- Preferred Entry : 0.6636 is my ideal shorting price, as it aligns with the key resistance level .
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
GBPUSD Analysis: Support and Resistance SetupIf you’re into support and resistance trading, GBPUSD might be worth a closer look.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Support Level: 1.2704
- Resistance Level: 1.2743
Before engaging in the trade, wait for a MCC to ensure a reliable entry point.
What’s your trade plan for GBPUSD? Comment down below and share your strategy!
Happy trading!
EURUSD Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Shorting OpportunityHere’s a detailed look at the EURUSD across multiple timeframes:
Weekly Chart:
- The market is in a sideways consolidation phase.
- The upper trendline has been respected, indicating a potential downside movement.
Daily Chart:
- Watch for a retest of the Fib-3 Bat Pattern, which could offer a prime shorting opportunity.
1-Hourly Chart:
- I’m eyeing a retest of the resistance at 1.0863 for a shorting opportunity.
What’s your trade plan for EURUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
USDJPY - 2nd chance sharing opportunityI believe the BOJ conducted its second FX intervention yesterday. As the market retested the sell zone, I shorted this pair and placed Stops at 156.82, which is a good 58 pips of initial risk.
Once the market reaches 155.78, I'll shift my stops to the entry-level. This would prevent any losses incurred by hectic volatile movement.
If all goes well, my 1st target would be at 154.85 and I'll keep my second target open.
What are your thoughts on this?
A Practical Guide For Candlestick Patterns!Intraday trading is a method of investing in cryptocurrencies where the trader buys and sells cryptocurrencies on the same day without any open positions left by the end of the day. Intraday traders aim to either purchase a cryptocurrency at a low price and sell it at a higher price or short-sell a cryptocurrency at a high price and buy it at a lower price within the same day. This requires a good understanding of the market and relevant information to help them make the right decisions. In the cryptocurrency market, the price of a cryptocurrency is determined by its demand and supply, among other factors.
Tools such as candlestick chart patterns are very helpful to traders. We will discuss these candlestick charts and offer steps to help you read them.
GBPAUD Trade Setup: Bearish ChannelGBPAUD has piqued my interest from a mid to long-term perspective. I'm looking at two potential shorting opportunities:
Key Levels:
- Short Entry on Resistance Retest: 1.9212
- Bearish Channel Indication: As long as this channel isn't violated, it strengthens the bearish bias.
I'll be looking for shorting opportunities on both the 4-hourly and 1-hourly charts based on these indications.
What's your trade plan for GBPAUD? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
AUDUSD Trade Setup: Harmonic BandsA lot of traders aren't familiar with Harmonic Bands ; to be fair, they don't appear frequently.
Here's what I'm looking at:
AUDUSD H4 Chart:
- Short Entry: 0.6666
- Long Entry: 0.6600
Target on the opposite end.
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below!
Happy trading!
GBPUSD: A Cautionary Tale of Potential Bearish PatternsWhile the daily chart shows a potential Bearish Butterfly Pattern, my experience suggests this might not play out as expected - or it could be a significant warning sign for traders.
If you're considering shorting GBPUSD, I'd recommend a type 2 retest on the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern at 1.2756 as a more reliable entry point.
Share your thoughts and trade plans for GBPUSD in the comments below!
Historical Bitcoin Monthly candle Colours - MAY - JUNE and beyod
So, as we come tot he close of MAY 2024, short of a Catastrophe today, MAY will close Green for the 7th time in Bitcoin History, bringing the score to 7 Green - 6 Red for May
The Current score for June is 7 Green - 5 Red
On 4 occasions, we have had a Green June after a Green May, so odds are higher we will see a Green June, though is os NOT a guarantee..
However, Only on 3 occasions have we seen a Green July after a Green June.
PA has never had a Green Red Green before June. I.e. Green March, Red April, Green May
But in 2018 , we had a Red Green Red. i.e Red March, Green April, Red May and we followed with a Red June......This was After the 2017 ATH and the overall PA declined for a further 8 months, though there were small green candles in that time.
The candles are dependant on Bull / Bear Market and I encourage you to look into this.
IF we are in a BULL market now, we may continue the opposite of what happened in 2018 ?
Only time will tell
Buybacks vs. Rotation: JPM and AAPLMany companies are flush with cash right now, so buybacks are going to increase. Buybacks can create plenty of swing trading opportunities.
Buybacks are used by the Board of Directors to drive price upward, or at least maintain price at a certain level. They also remove outstanding shares from public exchanges. The Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions (PSHI) is based on outstanding shares. So with fewer shares outstanding, it can help PSHI hold at a certain level. The Buy Side has been lowering inventory this year. See red arrows on the JPM chart.
In 2018, Buybacks boosted the index components and kept the market from continuing a bear market, which was already underway--a minor bear not a major one. Then in 2019, buybacks surged as the government cut corporate taxes massively. The cash on hand was enormous for most companies so they did mega buybacks, leading the move upward for index components that year. Then, in 2020 the pandemic stock market collapse completed that very odd delayed bear market.
Buyback candles are frequently solid white without wicks or tails. Buybacks often initiate strong swing-style runs, such as they have in $NYSE:JPM. See the blue arrows.
NASDAQ:AAPL also announced a huge buyback program in early May. This gives the Buy Side Institutions the opportunity to lower inventories of AAPL too, without disturbing price much, if at all. AAPL is in a sideways trading range, which is a tough pattern to trade since there is no consensus about what the company is doing to fuel future growth.