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Candlestick Analysis

BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Very Bullish Setup, Next Target: $95kToday we will be discussing a setup involving Bitcoin. The coin recently broke and closed above the neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on a 4-hour chart. After retesting the broken neckline, the price formed another triangle on an hourly timeframe, with a breakout above the neckline indicating a strong intraday bullish signal. I predict that the bullish trend on the coin will continue, with price targets set at $92,910 and $95,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by linofx1
Reliance near major support zone. Reliance is a large cap company with a market cap of Rs.17,15,224 Crores. CMP of the stock is Rs.1268 with and EPS of Rs.50.2. PE of the company is 25.2. Ten year PE is 21.2. PE in July was 30.9 which has corrected to 25.2 now. Reliance Industries is a fundamentally strong stock. The company covers following sectors. 1) Energy a) Oil and Gas Exploration & Production b) Refining & Marketing c) New Energy & New Materials (Production of Green energy 2) Petrochemicals a) Textiles b) Polymers c) Polyesters d) Fibre Intermediates e) Aromatics f) Elastomers g) Reliance Composites Solutions 3) Retail a) JioMart b) Smart Bazaar, c) Reliance Digital d) Just Dial 4) Jio a) Digital Services b) Telecom 5) Media and Entertainment a) Jio Cinema b) via com18 c) Network 18 d) Jio Studios Thus Reliance is a company with vivid portals of revenue generation and investing in one company called Reliance empowers you into investment in spectrum of companies with multiple revenue sources. Investing in Reliance is like investing in Mutual fund. The Weekly Chart (which we use for gaining long term perspective of a company) of Reliance indicates it is near a support zone. Immediate support being at 1254. 200 Weeks EMA of the stock or the Father line support is at 1176. This indicates that the stock might be near the bottom if it has not formed the bottom already. On the upper side when Reliance starts to move upwards the resistances will be at 1331 and 1396. 1396 being major Mother line resistance of 50 Weeks EMA. Above 1396 weekly closing Reliance will be very bullish again and can regain the levels of 1532 and 1600+ levels in 6 to 12 month. Channel top seems to be in the range of 1753 to 1980 range depending on the future results and future performances of various revenue streams. Bollinger band suggests a bounce in short to medium term in the stock. Looking at the index and weightage of Reliance in the index it will be imperative for Reliance to bounce for index to bounce in a most probable scenario. The waiting period can be 6 to 12 months as the stock is not very strong on technicals. however it is not below 200 Weeks EMA either. Overall Reliance is a large cap stock that has created immense wealth over the years and I do not see any reason currently why it can continue to perform and create wealth for years to come. Outlook for the company in the year 2025 specially 3rd Quarter onwards looks very upbeat once the Green Energy production and revenue strats to trickle in. There is also a possibility of listing of JIO Digital and Telecom as a separate company in they year 2025. Listing of Reliance Retail as a company will be next. (Post Jio telecom listing). The potential of value unlocking in the stock remains immense in our opinion. To know more about Techno-Funda investing, Mother Father and small child theory, Parallel channel you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. My book is now also available on Google Play books. Do read it. Have a look at the reviews which say that the book is a masterpiece and can be considered as a hand book for investing in equities. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:RELIANCE
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Trading Reflection: Embracing Low-Risk, Low-Stress TradingWould you risk $266.38 for a potential return of $757.23? That's the kind of trade setup I'm focusing on these days. My Trading Philosophy Over my 19 years of trading experience, I've encountered many "trading gurus" who claim that achieving a profit factor of 2 is impossible—that it's merely a textbook scenario and unrealistic. I chose to keep my thoughts to myself, but their perspective revealed a lot about their trading approach: 1. Constant Break-Evens and Overtrading: Chasing big wins often leads to overtrading and settling for break-even results, reminiscing about those rare "good feelings" when trades went their way. 2. High-Stress Environment: They operate under constant stress, obsessing over being "right," frequently intervening in trades, and deviating from their trade plans—all justified by their years in the industry. Finding What Works for You There are countless ways to trade, and results will vary depending on your strategy. Personally, I prefer a method that allows me to: - Spend Just 15 Minutes a Day: I review my trading pairs, set alerts, and let the market notify me when it's time to act. - Use Candlestick Confirmations: I decide whether to engage in a trade based on candlestick patterns at my predetermined entry points. This approach ensures my profit factor for the final target is always at least 2—often even higher. Mathematically, I can be profitable with only a 40% accuracy rate. This allows me to seek trades with high returns and live my life freely for the rest of the day. Current Trade Idea: Bearish Crab Pattern I'm eyeing a Bearish Crab Pattern on the 15-minute chart. It might not be picture-perfect, but it offers a profit factor of 2, and I have RSI divergence supporting my idea. Trade Management - Once the market touches 164.02 or breaks and closes below 164.21 , I'll shift my stop to the entry price to attain a risk-free trade. - Remember to include our stop-loss buffer when setting your stops. Final Thoughts Trading doesn't have to be high-risk or high-stress. It's about choosing a strategy that aligns with your goals and lifestyle. Whether you prefer a fast-paced environment or a more relaxed approach, the choice is yours. What's your trading style? Do you prioritise low-risk, low-stress strategies, or do you thrive in the thrill of the fast-paced markets? Share your thoughts and experiences below! Stay patient, trade wisely, and happy trading! 🚀
Short
by RaynLim
Gold Futures exactly at mid channel support. Gold futures are exactly at Mid-Channel Support for Gold Enthusiasts. Mother line support is already broken after head and shoulders formation in Gold. Gold Futures CMP is 75200. If Mid-Channel support 74436 (Major Support) is broken we can see gold fall to 73175 or even 71192 levels where Gold will come down to meet the Father line support of 200 days EMA. Resistances for gold on the upper side seem to be at 75836 (Major Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA). 76498, 77683 and 79K. Gold is looking little weak on charts and if Mid-Channel support is broken 74436 it will become vulnerable. To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
MCX:GOLD1!
by Happy_Candles_Investment
30 Months Channel of Nifty suggesting Father line supportThe 30 month channel in which Nifty is travelling seems to suggest that we are near 3 critical support zones. We might see a bottom formation within this week or the next week beginning. Perhaps the pain of retail investors might end soon with chances of sectoral rotation. Let us have a look at medium to long term outlook. As we have indicated time and again Nifty comes to meet the father line and take ashirwaad of father once in a while this is that phase. Last time Nifty came to take father line support was in October 2023. It has been more than one year now and it was imperative for Nifty to meet the Father line. FIIs helped in the process by selling enmass. Three Major Supports for Nifty are: 1) 200 day EMA or Father line at 23542. 2) High before Lok Sabha Election Results 23352. 3) Parallel Channel Bottom near 22845. Either of these 3 levels can be the come back zones. Three Major Resistances for Nifty going forward will be: 1) 24040 Critical short term trend line resistance. 2) Major Mother line (50 days EMA) Resistance at 24608. 3) Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Breakdown from where the free fall started 25436. 4) Other important resistances will be at 26277 (Previous All Time High) 5) Channel Top resistance will be in the zone of 27037 to 27705. To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
SILVER (XAGUSD): Important Resistance Ahead! Your PlanSILVER is currently testing a significant area where a daily horizontal resistance meets a descending trend line. Depending on how the price reacts to this zone, there are two possible scenarios. In a bearish scenario, traders should look for a 4-hour candle to close below the resistance level on a 4-hour timeframe before selling the market. If an engulfing candle forms and closes below 30.65, a bearish trend towards the 30.00 psychological level is anticipated. On the other hand, in a bullish scenario, watch an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 1H time frame. 30.92 is its neckline.a breakout above the highlighted blue area and an hourly candle closing above it would signal a strong bullish move with potential for further upward movement. Important fundamental news expected today could act as a catalyst for a breakout in either direction.
TVC:SILVER
by linofx1
3
Is the bear market bounce in the AUDJPY over? 16 Risk Reward!Hello! Here is my fundamental case to be short AUDJPY 1) Strengthening economy in Japan - Is Japan finally out of its 30 year lul? 2) Weakening Economy in Australia - Are interest rates finally starting to effect the economy? 3) Extreme household debt in Australia due to the extreme property hype cycle (People say its because of immigration, I think this is just a narrative... I remember when Hong Kong 'didn't have enough space') Australia hast had its 2008 moment yet, 4) Debt is on govt balance sheet in Japan already... Australia will probably join the govt debt club once they have their property cycle FINITO. Here is my technical case to be short AUDJPY 1) We have rallied to the 61% Fibonacci of the first impulse down. 2) The 'False breakout' at 102ish gives us a good level to know we are wrong. This helps to provide a RIDICULOUS risk reward of 16:1. Thanks Kavi
Short
by kavijh
1
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October. Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner. Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep. Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while. However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark. On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout. Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target. On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible). In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
9