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Candlestick Analysis

Treasury yields at a crossroads? The implications for marketsThe long end of the US Treasury curve has been influential for FX markets recently. The rolling 10-day correlation between US 10-year yields with the DXY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY is either strongly positive or negative. Even gold shows a notable -0.73 correlation, highlighting the influence of long bonds on broader markets. Given the inverse relationship between bond yields and prices, it’s no surprise that the correlation between 10-year yields and 10-year Treasury futures (shown in orange, left-hand pane) has been nearly perfectly negative over the past two weeks. In terms of directional risks for yields moving forward, the right-hand pane showing US 10-year Treasury note futures is instructive. The price remains in a downtrend, repeatedly rejected since being established October. If this trend persists, it signals lower prices and higher yields. That said, with the bullish hammer candle from the lows last week, coupled with RSI (14) and MACD which are providing bullish signals on momentum, you get the sense we may be in the early stages of a turning point. If we were to see the price break the downtrend, resistance may be encountered at 113’00, a level that’s been tested from both sides in recent weeks. If that were to give way, it points to an environment of a softer US dollar and kinder conditions for longer duration assets and commodities. Good luck! DS
CBOT:TN1!Education
by FOREXcom
1
POV : VRAJ : VRAJ IRON AND STEEL LTDPOV : VRAJ : VRAJ IRON AND STEEL LTD Chart Analysis: The price level of **240** is acting as a critical **support and resistance** zone, as evident from past behavior. Similarly, in the 209–212 zone, every time the price reaches this area, it sees buying interest, establishing this level as a strong support. Last month, the price took support at the lower levels and formed a Higher Low (HL) pattern. However, it failed to sustain above the 240 level on two attempts, showing resistance at this level. Going forward, a bullish formation was observed, breaking out with a small gap. However, after retesting the support zone, the price attempted to cross the gap again yesterday but failed to close above it. --- ? What to do Reversal Trade Play: - Consider entry above 225 with a stop loss below 209 closing Basis - Set an initial target of 240, and for further targets, re-evaluate only if the price sustains above 240 on a closing basis. 👎 What NOT to do: - Do not hold positions if the price falls below 209 under any circumstances. - Do not enter a trade unless the price crosses 225. - If the price closes below the previous day’s close on the trading day, exit the trade immediately. For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional before making financial decisions. #Disclaimer #NiVYAMi
NSE:VRAJLong
by kzatakia
UK inflation report to provide fresh GBP/USD setupsGBP/USD would likely be a lot higher heading into today’s UK inflation report if not for the Ukraine headlines yesterday. The bullish pin coming a day after a bullish engulfing candle says as much, reflective of plenty of willing buyers below 1.2613. With RSI (14) breaking its downtrend and MACD looking like it may soon flick higher, momentum also looks to be in the early stages of turning, adding weight to the price signals over the past two sessions. While the near-term bias is bullish, entry for potential longs will be determined by the UK inflation report due out shortly. The annual headline rate is expected to accelerate to 2.2% from 1.7%, although traders may want to put more weight on the core and services figures given noise created by base effects. The former is seen easing a tenth to 3.1% while services is tipped to remain sticky at 4.9%, reflecting the impact of continued strength in wages growth. However, domestic factors have not been highly influential over GBP/USD moves recently, as demonstrated by the extremely tight inverse relationship with US benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields over the past fortnight. If the relationship persists, use the reaction to the report to evaluate the merit of setups. If we see a dip towards 1.2613, you could buy with a tight stop beneath for protection. 1.2720 would be the initial target with 1.2803 the next after that. Another option would be to wait to see whether the price can break above 1.2720, allowing for longs to be established with a stop below. 1.2083/200DMA would be the first target. Beyond, the uptrend dating back to May is also on the radar. It’s found around 1.2930 today. If the price were to break and hold below 1.2613, the bullish bias would be invalidated. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that. 1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump). 2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version. 3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days. These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action. Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory. Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment