USOIL Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 76.40 zone, USOIL was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently we are waiting for a correction in order to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
CAD
EURCAD Long A minor pause on the cardsEUR/CAD is approaching a major converged cushion on the 200-day moving average and a horizontal trendline from January at about 1.4235. Oversold conditions point to a minor bounce, but it may not sustain for long given the recent fall below the 89-day moving average and the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart. Any break below 1.4235 could expose downside risks toward 1.4000. On the top side, the late-May high of 1.4650 would be tough to crack.
The Canadian dollar may have just received the boost to extend gains against some of its peers, thanks to the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) hike on Wednesday.
BOC hiked its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75%, saying “concerns have increased that CPI inflation could get stuck materially above the 2% target.” The central bank, however, dropped the April language saying it “remains prepared to raise the policy rate further”, making it more data dependent. Markets are pricing in another rate hike in July, with the terminal rate seen at 5.15% by the end of the year.
USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.32800 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the major trend at 1.32800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD is approaching a confluence zone based on a horizontal support
and 382 retracement of the last bullish impulse.
The price also formed an ascending triangle formation on 1H time frame
and broke its neckline as a confirmation.
I expect a pullback to 1.4717 / 1.475
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USDCAD Potential Pullback to upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.31400 zone, USDCAD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out, currently we are waiting for a correction in order to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/CAD LONG/ BUY🔰 Pair Name : EUR/CAD
🔰 Time Frame : 4H
🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale
🔰 Direction : LONG/BUY
From a technical standpoint, the market currently exhibits an opportunity to rectify an existing imbalance. The prevailing price trend suggests a potential adjustment that would amplify selling pressure. From a fundamental perspective, it has been widely acknowledged that the Canadian dollar (CAD) has weakened subsequent to the release of disappointing Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Conversely, the Euro (EUR) continues to find support due to hawkish discussions emanating from the European Central Bank (ECB).
USDCAD critical 1M MA50 test. Sell higher or wait for break-out.The USDCAD pair hit again the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down that started on the March 10 High and on top of that almost touched the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 13 2022. Naturally, this is a major long-term Support, which if broken (full 1M candle closing below it), invalidates the Channel Down and could start an even more aggressive sell-off. In that case, we will target Support 1 (1.29625) and Support 2 (1.28980) and after each 1D closing below them we will go all the way until Support 3 (1.27290).
If however the 1M MA50 and bottom of the Channel Down hold, we will wait for a test (rejection) of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to open a sell. If it rises more to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), we will open a second sell and target Support 1 at 1.29625.
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GBPCAD Sell opportunity on this signalGBPCAD is trading inside a double Channel Up pattern, with a rejection yesterday on the shorter term pattern.
The 1day RSI is about to cross under its MA, which has always been a sell signal when on a bullish trend (above 55.00).
Wait for its completion and sell, targeting the 1day MA50 at 1.69400.
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USD/CAD: Potential swing trade shortWe outlined a bearish bias in a previous USD/CAD article which clearly did not play out, thanks to hawkish comments from Fed members, hawkish FOMC minutes and stronger economic data for the US. However, a strong Canadian employment report on Friday has now seen odds shift in favour of a 25bp BOC hike this week – and if that is to be coupled with a soft(er) than expected US inflation report, perhaps we’ll finally see that swing trade short play out after all.
A 3-wave rally has stalled at the 50% retracement level and 50-day EMA to suggest a swing high is in place. We’ve seen a minor attempt to retrace within Friday’s range during Asian trade (and a higher retracement would be welcomed to help improve the potential reward to risk ratio).
Assuming momentum has realigned with the bearish daily trend, a move towards (and break beneath) the June low on its way to 1.3000 is now in focus.
USD/CAD is heading to 1.34Hello Traders
USD/CAD has sharp moves in the last few days.
We assume its an upward correction, so we treat it carefully.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
CADJPY: Sell this consolidation.CADJPY is testing the 1D MA50 in the form of support on bearish 1D technicals (RSI = 42.279, MACD = -0.050, ADX = 56.167). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50 signifies a validation of selling extension as after the rejection on R1, the long term support of the HL trendline broke.
We will sell this week's consolidation, which isn't just taking on the 1D MA50 but the S1 (104.120) as well, targeting initially the S2 (TP1 = 102.245) and then the S3 (TP2 = 99.350) assuming the 1D MA200 breaks.
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AUDCAD is starting a long-term corrective legIt's been 2.5 months since we last traded AUDCAD, when it gave us a sell signal (see chart below) right at the top of its Channel Down for maximum gain:
Right now, the pattern is getting wider and its new bearish leg to a new Lower Low may be starting as last Friday's inability to close above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) may result in a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down.
The 1D RSI is trading within a Rectangle pattern, which just hit its top and that matches with the tops of the Channel Down. We are opening two sell positions now, one targeting Support 1 at 0.88350 and the other Support 2 at 0.877450. If broken and the short-term rebound gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will open a new sell to target the bottom of the Channel Down and Support 3 at 0.8600.
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