CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target:
The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections.
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CAD
USDCAD - CPI news today : Potential drop coming!US Dollar (USD) strengthens against Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 1.35, mainly due to:
Surprise inflation jump in US: January's Producer Price Index (PPI) rose more than expected, suggesting higher inflation. This makes investors think the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might not cut interest rates as soon as they thought.
Canadian inflation data coming up: Tuesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is expected to show slightly lower inflation, but it's still a key event.
Oil price could help Canada: Rising oil prices could support the CAD, limiting how much the USD can gain. Canada is a big oil exporter, so its currency is sensitive to oil prices.
Things to watch this week:
Tuesday (today): Canada's CPI report. If inflation is lower than expected, the CAD could weaken.
Wednesday: Release of the Fed's meeting minutes and speeches from Fed officials. These could provide clues about future interest rate decisions.
Key points:
The USD/CAD pair is trading above 1.35 due to a stronger USD and upcoming inflation data in both countries.
The Fed might delay interest rate cuts due to higher US inflation.
Canadian inflation is expected to be slightly lower, but oil prices could impact the CAD.
USD/CAD could be nearing the end of its retracementA double top formed this month around a 50% retracement level on the daily charts ahead of its latest pullback. And it is interesting to note that the market tends to react around the 50% level.
The double top could actually be part of a 3-wave retracement, and that retracement could be nearing completion.
We saw a strong rally into the January high, hence the bias for an eventual continuation of that move. Bulls could look for a swing low to form around 1.3350 - which is near a high-volume node and another 50% level, and initially target the January highs - a break of which brings 1.36 into focus.
USD/CAD: Interpreting CPI Numbers Through Technical LensHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.34630 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34630 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer, The recent CPI data in the US has shown signs of inflationary pressure, with the core CPI coming in stronger than expected at 0.4%, surpassing the market consensus of 0.3%. This unexpected uptick in inflation has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more hawkish stance, as Chair Powell's recent comments hinted at a reluctance to implement rate cuts in the near term. As a result, the US dollar has strengthened, leading to potential buying opportunities in USD pairs like USDCAD. The robust CPI figures suggest a possible continuation of USD strength, which could support bullish momentum in USDCAD. Trade safe, Joe.
CADJPY: Bullish Trend Continues 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY is trading in a long term bullish trend.
After an extended correction, the market resumed growth
and set a new higher high higher close on a daily, violating a key horizontal resistance.
We can expect a bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 112.5
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Buy CADJPY Bullish channelThe CAD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 111.19, positioned close to the channel support. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 111.60 and 111.84, marking previous resistance zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the channel at 110.90. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Thank you
GBPCAD - Long IdeaThe price action has recently tapped into the liquidity resting below the previous swing low, coupled with a break of structure on the 1-hour chart, signaling the beginning of a bullish trend.
My strategy now involves waiting for an OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) retracement, coinciding with +OB on the 30-minute chart at the same level, aligning with our bullish bias.
Exploring the Link Between USD Strength and Bearish NZDCADHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83050 zone. NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83050 support and resistance area.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's crucial to consider the impact of USD strength on global markets. A stronger USD often leads to bearish sentiment in global stocks due to its negative correlation with risk assets. As investors flock to the safety of the US dollar during times of uncertainty, riskier currencies like the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tend to weaken. Consequently, bearish sentiment in stocks can translate into downward pressure on NZDCAD as traders seek safer havens.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Sell USDCAD Bearish ChannelThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe exhibits a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: As visualized on the M30 chart, the price has been confined within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines: a resistance line and a support line. This ongoing downtrend signals continued selling pressure.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3460, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.3414 and 1.3396, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 1.3485. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly breaks upwards.
Thank you
Sell EURCAD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe exhibits a bearish signal due to a well-defined downward channel pattern, suggesting a potential selling opportunity in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: The price has been confined within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This pattern indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.4503, situated close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.4465 and 1.4452, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 1.4523. This helps limit potential losses if the trend breaks unexpectedly.
Thank you
CADJPY - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Daily To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #CADJPY.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDCAD Buy the bounce short-termOn our last USDCAD analysis (December 01 2023, see chart below), the price action gave us an excellent sell entry that easily hit our 1.3400 target:
The pair has since rebounded above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). We expect the 1D MA50 to hold and deliver a new short-term rebound towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (Target at 1.36200), comfortably below the 1-year Symmetrical Resistance Zone. A closing above the that Zone would present a new buy opportunity after a pull-back near the 1D MA50 again with a target on the Resistance 1 level.
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EURCAD - Wait For The Bulls 🏹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
EURCAD has been bearish but it is currently approaching a robust support zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
On H4: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the last major swing high marked in red.
📉 Meanwhile , EURCAD would be bearish short-term and can still trade lower inside the daily support.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Buy GBPCAD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bullish Channel: The price has been trading within an upward-sloping channel defined by two converging lines: a rising support line and a rising resistance line. This ongoing uptrend signals continued buying pressure.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 1.6995, which sits close to the channel breakout level. This could offer an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 1.7071 and 1.7106, marking previous resistance zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the broken channel, around 1.6960. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
USDCAD: Navigating Powell's hawks and Strong PayrollsGreeting Traders!
In today's trading session, we're eyeing a potential buying opportunity for USDCAD around the 1.34000 zone. Currently, USDCAD is in an uptrend but undergoing a correction phase as it nears the 1.34000 support and resistance area.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, Chair Powell's recent shift in stance regarding a March rate cut is noteworthy. His clear statement that a rate cut is not the base case, combined with the robust payrolls report, reinforces the message of a resilient US economy. It's important to note that Powell has access to more information than the markets, yet he chose to signal against rate cuts rather than keeping options open.
In an environment where US economic growth leads the way, it tends to bolster the US Dollar. This dynamic suggests potential strength in the USD, which could influence the USDCAD pair accordingly.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD:Bearish stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.88200 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88200 support and resistance area.
The prevailing bearish sentiment in the stock market is poised to exert downward pressure on AUDCAD, primarily due to the pair's correlation with equities. As AUD is considered a commodity-linked currency and often moves in tandem with global stock markets, the recent downturn in stocks has contributed to a positive correlation between AUD and AUDCAD. Consequently, the ongoing bearish momentum in equities is expected to translate into downward movements in AUDCAD, reflecting the interconnectedness between currency pairs and broader market dynamics.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Bearish stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82150 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82150 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.