USDCAD Puzzle: NFP Triumphs, CPI Looms - Where to Navigate?Dear Traders,
As we delve into today's trading session, our attention is squarely fixed on USDCAD, where a compelling buying opportunity may emerge around the 1.35750 zone. Within the realm of USDCAD's current uptrend, we're witnessing a notable correction phase, drawing the pair closer to the critical support and resistance juncture at 1.35750. This juncture warrants careful observation and strategic planning as we navigate market dynamics.
Moreover, it's crucial to contextualize our trading stance within the broader economic landscape. Last Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data revealed a robust performance, with an impressive 303,000 jobs added, surpassing expectations which were at 212,000. This upbeat employment report underscores the resilience and strength of the US labor market, potentially instilling confidence in the US Dollar.
However, amidst this positive sentiment lies a note of caution. We must be vigilant as we approach Wednesday's impending release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Anticipations are running high, with projections suggesting a potential uptick in inflationary pressures. Should the CPI data indeed exceed expectations, it could spark concerns about inflationary trends, possibly influencing market sentiment and subsequent trading patterns.
Therefore, as we weigh the promising outlook stemming from last week's NFP figures against the looming uncertainty surrounding CPI data, it's imperative to adopt a balanced approach. Stay attuned to market developments, exercise prudent risk management practices, and remain adaptable in response to evolving conditions.
In conclusion, while the prospect of a buying opportunity in USDCAD beckons, let's proceed with a measured approach, mindful of both the bullish signals from the NFP report and the potential impact of Wednesday's CPI data release. Wishing you all a safe and successful trading day.
Best regards,
Joe
CAD
CADCHF - Keep It Simple🍰Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 From a long-term perspective , CADCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
📈 From a medium-term perspective, CADCHF is in a correction phase trading within the rising wedge pattern in blue.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red and blue trendlines.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CADCHF is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDCAD under the pressure of bearish stocksIn anticipation of tomorrow's trading session, our attention is fixed on AUDCAD, with a potential selling opportunity materializing around the 0.90300 zone. Currently entrenched in a downtrend, AUDCAD finds itself amidst a corrective phase, edging closer to the pivotal 0.90300 support and resistance area.
It's essential to trade prudently, particularly as broader market indices indicate a bearish sentiment. Notably, AUDCAD often exhibits a correlation with these indices, suggesting a potential downside for the currency pair.
Trade with care,
Joe
USDCAD: NFP Surge Sets Stage for CPI ShowdownAttention Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on USDCAD, with a strategic eye on a potential buying opportunity around the 1.35700 zone. Currently, USDCAD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out, currently is approaching the retrace area at 1.35700.
Augmenting our analysis with a fundamental layer, recent Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data emerged robust, surpassing expectations with 303k jobs added compared to the forecasted 212k. This positive economic indicator underscores the strength of the US labor market, potentially influencing future monetary policy decisions.
Looking ahead, the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data slated for Wednesday assumes pivotal importance. If CPI figures reveal a significant uptick, signaling heightened inflationary pressures, it could serve as a catalyst for further Federal Reserve hawkishness.
Such a scenario, where CPI data exceeds expectations, may reinforce expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. This could include measures like interest rate hikes or tapering of asset purchases, bolstering the US Dollar and potentially driving upside momentum in USDCAD.
As savvy traders, it's crucial to remain attuned to both technical and fundamental factors shaping market dynamics. By incorporating these insights, we aim to navigate tomorrow's trading session with prudence and insight.
Best wishes for successful trading endeavors!
Potential bullish breakoutPrice has broken out of an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.46630
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.46258
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Take profit: 1.47338
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY is approaching a significant zoneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring CADJPY for a buying opportunity around 112.300 zone, CADJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 112.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Sell USDCAD Channel BreakoutThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 1.3580. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones:
1.3530: This represents the first level of support within the channel.
1.3511: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 1.3590. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
Potential bullish reversalUSDCAD is falling towards a support level and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.35149
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Stop loss: 1.34960
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension
Take profit: 1.35592
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46900 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/CAD back and forth noisy move target 1.362(4/3/2024)USD/CAD is moving inside of a channel. USD/CAD has a nerve-wracking move these days, a noisy and back-and-forth move, if you are a scalper, it is a paradise for you but if you are not it's an eye sore. FX:USDCAD
Anyway, in the chart we can see a big Liquidity zone in 1.36200-1.36400 and still untouched.
We believe the price will eventually magnet to this zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
GBPCAD has strong downside momentum, could it drop further?Price is rising towards an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the 1st support level
Entry: 1.70744
Why we like it:
There is an overlapping resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.71268
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Take profit: 1.70247
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD - Long Trade IdeaThis is a long trade idea I have, based on the abundance of buyside liquidity in the form of relative equal highs that extend beyond the left of the chart, as well as the trendline resistance building up below it. Whilst it is possible for price to make new lows, my focus is on HOW and WHEN price reacts when it gets to this POI.
Although the DXY seems overextended, many of the XXXUSD pairs have yet to reach their draw on liquidity, furthermore, they have created even more relative equal lows. This further adds to my USDCAD bias. My only concern is that the DXY generally sees more seasonally bearish sentiment during the month of April.
Let's see what pans out.
- R2F
📈 CAD/JPY Review 📉📈 CAD/JPY Review 📉
CAD/JPY saw a notable rise last week, reaching the previous week's high before encountering resistance, forming a compelling setup in lower time frames. 🚀📉 Target levels are clearly outlined on the chart, with focus shifting towards last week's low. 🎯 Overall, a promising opportunity seems to be brewing in the CAD/JPY pair. Keep a close eye for potential entry points! 💼💰 #TradingView #ForexTrading 🌐
CADJPY Triangle break-out buyThe CADJPY pair delivered us a very strong buy opportunity last time we made a buy call on it (December 22 2023, see chart below) :
Moving back to the 1D time-frame, the pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 07 2023 Low. Currently on its 2nd Bullish Leg, the price has entered a Triangle consolidation, similar to the pattern of January - February.
So far the fractals appear to be quite identical as following a +3.34%, the price pulled-back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is at the moment holding. As long as it continues to do so, we expect a bullish break-out similar to February's towards the -0.382 Fib extension, hence our Target is 113.500.
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AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.88300 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46050 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46050 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could price reverse on the pullback resistance level?Price is rising towards a pullback resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.35842
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance
Stop loss: 1.36139
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Take profit: 1.35558
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.71200 zone, GBPCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.71200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD Sell opportunity with Death Cross emergingThe AUDCAD pair is on a Lower Highs rejected and ahead of a Death Cross formation on the 1D time-frame. Since 2022, we have seen two Falling Wedge patterns, which accelerated selling after the completion of a 1D Death Cross. The first target on both occasions was the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we are bearish on this pair, targeting 0.86500 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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EURCAD Medium-term Sell SignalThe EURCAD pair has been trading within a 12-month Channel Down and is currently reversing after a Double Top rejection on Resistance 1 (1.47825). Following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross, this has the potential to initiate Phase 2 of the Bearish Leg that started on the November 21 2023 Lower High.
Technically this should be at least a -4.47% Bearish Wave, similar to the rejection that started on August 30 2023. As a result our Target is 1.41600 (Support 2).
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