EURUSD, Potential 50+ pips short moveFX:EURUSD
Market structure broke quite a while back, which is now forming LLs and LHs.
On the H4 I have drawn a small little Fib which captures what looks like a retracement...
hoping to ride this all the way down and later on to look for more opportunities.
However, if this does break the above the drawn Fib, we can expect a retest on that D level (1.21610) and ride it up to the next H4 level (1.22180).
Cableshort
GBPUSD short ideaPrice just reached 1.3600 level. On 15 Minutes there are rejection candles with very long wicks.
Rsi is overbougth in 1H and 2H timeframes.
I don't think price will broke 1.36 due to pound problems.
This level was already touched by the price but it always rejected it.
Let's see if price can make a new lower high.
GBPUSD short ideaPrice is making a double top pattern on 2H/4H timeframes (also on daily but less clear).
So we have 2 bounces on 1.36 major level (good resistance area).
Price also made a lower high indicating change in market structure.
I placed a trade on the top of the lowerhigh.
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south movement Cablemaybe the Brexit negotiations are tough, and should try support 1.287
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Looking Into GBPUSD Ahead of 2021 !Looking into GBPUSD, Fading hopes for a post brexit deal caused some fresh selling for the cable currency on Thursday.
We clearly see that GBPUSD rejected 1.35400 level, this is actually bad for the cable because historically we find out that the pair slowly slides and dives down from this area.
While long term, I see GBPUSD coming to the lows of 1.27 in the nearest future, short term we may see some short term buys from the 1.32700 level however the moment we break under this level the path for out very first Target of 1.309 is clear.
Risk Warning : The risk of loss in trading Foreign Exchange (FOREX) can be substantial.
You should therefore carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in the light of your financial condition.
Goodluck !
GBPUSD - SELL OPPERTUNITYLooking at GBPUSD (Cable) - I think we will be in a Bearish market for the first part of the week, commencing 30th December 2020.
Using Fibb Retracement from last weeks high/low points, we're currently sat in the 'Golden Zone'. A second confirmation candle has confirmed price has broken the Ascending Trend.
We are targeting the 23.60% Fibb level which sits just above our previous Support Zone (1.32426).
So why are we taking this trade?
- Broken trend with a third confirmation candle on the 4 hour chart
- Price currently in the Golden Zone
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sat at 60 on the 1 Day chart. (Indicating the market is overbought)
Target Pips: 62
Risk to Reward: 1.30
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$GBPUSD - False Breakout - Going ShortAs it was nearing the highs, I put a small lot size on at 1.33104 for 10 pips to 1.33204 and got a short 10 pip scalp on the way up. Just because I knew it would break the highs to trigger the smart money stop runs and clear out tight stop losses people already had on sells. Now that it's above the Highs, I believe this is a false breakout as it's holding steady, letting people believe it will breakout, putting in their buy bids or waiting for it to retest the last high, or putting their stop losses just below the last high and already buying. I think Smart Money knows this and will go short to take out that liquidity that is building up at the current moment.
Secondly, On a 4-hour chart, this is historically a great support/resistance level between 1.332 and 1.336. It's also at about the 80% retracement level on a Daily Chart (which is where you see most reversals occur). Now, It could turn to support and buy, but that's where I turned to the COT (Commitment of Traders) indicator. The Commercial Banks, you know like JP Morgan, IMF, Deutsch Bank, etc. decided to add more shorts last week. Not a lot more, but enough to be noticeable, that the shorts would've only netted about 116 pips. I believe if they were going to be adding shorts they're looking for more than 116 pips that only took about a day to achieve. (See Chart)
On Barchart.com the COT report has commercial banks adding about 2,000 short positions as of 11/17. I believe they're looking for a much shorter move in the short term. But long term I do expect this resistance area to be broken within the next few months.
Additionally, I always like to compare GU to EU as they move similarly. And EU is definitely looking like a swing sell. The Pound is definitely much stronger than the Euro, which is why I think the Euro will sell off much more, but in the short term, I think we'll see the Pound sell with it. I'm not 100% it will reach 1.32000. So I'm looking for take profit zones to shave off some earnings on the way down. The first about 25 pips, the second about 65 pips, the third about 115 pips, and I always leave a trailer at the end to see if I have a miracle drop below that.
But then again, I could be completely wrong. This is just my analysis and I'm just some guy that likes to post his ideas.
Good Luck and Good Trading.
GBPUSD 17 November The cable GU is a very violate market and is difficult for even institute traders.
UK are releasing there data tomorrow and indicators are showing low figures already so fundamentals are there.
I am bearish and it has a descending triangle on the 4hr chart
high on many oscillators if it hit tp1 then we could go to tp2 this week
this is just my speculation.
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glad to those who kept with my last few trades great wins,
$GBPUSD - Sell Bias Setup - Sell at Breaker Clear the LowThe picture is pretty self descriptive. The next daily bias seems to be heading toward the direction of selling. There are many daily lows stacked up ready to be broken as well as an equal low setup just prior to the previous daily lows. I think during the Asian session we'll see Cable range but create equal highs and lows that it will want to break to creating a breaker that will propel it to the current breaker. I'm seeing the same Bias in EURUSD as it seems to be struggling to create a higher high.
The current swing high in GU was formed from a previous breaker but the low has yet to be cleared. To be honest it could just keep going lower without pulling back for the set-up. But if it does pull back to around 1.30995 I will be looking to sell with about a 40-50 pip stop loss, but it should gain over 100 pips to break the low so well worth the risk to reward. But I like to peel off profits in case it does not get to my target so I have planned 3 TP zones and depending on price action will depend on how much I move my stop loss and where. Will be giving updates as I continue to watch this setup unfold.
Edit: The S/L Depicted in the graph may be too tight. I may loosen it back to 1.31500 depending how the market is reacting. I don't want to go above the prior swing high of 1.31757 because if it breaks that, it's more than likely going higher.
There could also be a lower sell at 1.30787 in which it may not get higher as that is another bearish breaker. Just another thing to watch for in this setup.
GBPUSD - Bullish Prices for the Rest of the Week. Hello and welcome back. If you found this idea helpful, please leave a like. GBPUSD saw some selling in the beginning of the week this was what I was calling for. It did trade to 1.2900, but did not get a daily close below it and instead reacted sharply higher. 1.3100 is a reasonable objective and then perhaps 1.3150.
GBPUSD - Could See Some Selling, but Overall Bullish.Hello and welcome back. If you found this idea helpful, please leave a like. I was calling for higher prices and got just that this week with my objective. GBPUSD could see some selling going into next week. GBPUSD is in a HTF area which can cause some down movement, so at this time, I need to wait for more information and see how we react at the red line and above that area. Overall, I am bullish on this asset unless we trade and below 1.2900.
GBPUSD - In Search of Higher Prices Near-Term Hello and welcome back. If you found this idea helpful, please leave a like. GBPUSD seems to be still looking for higher prices. I am looking for the highs above us to be taken out and trade into the red line. I will have to monitor how GBPUSD reacts at the red line to determine what happens next.