$TIA Breakout: Ready for a Bullish Rally!LSE:TIA USDT: Long Position 🚀
TIA is breaking out from a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. The price has recently breached the upper trendline resistance, signalling a potential strong upward move. If the breakout holds, there is significant upside potential as marked in the chart.
Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP) around $5.20
Additional Positions: Consider adding more if the price retests the trendline support near $4.80–$5.00.
🎯 Targets:
$6.20
$7.80
$8.50
$9.80
$12.5(Final Target)
⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): $4.60 to manage downside risk.
⚖️ Leverage: Use leverage cautiously, between 3x and 5x depending on your risk tolerance.
#Crypto
Bullmarkets
Bitcoin Cycles: Predicted Highs and Lows for 2025-2026
In this post, we will explore the Bitcoin market cycle in an effort to predict when the next cycle's top and bottom might occur, along with their potential price levels.
Our analysis will cover several key concepts, including the Four-Year Cycle Theory, peak-to-peak and bottom-to-bottom analysis, cycle timing (peak-to-bottom), and the idea of diminishing returns, to support our forecast. Lets go!
The Four-Year Cycle Theory:
The Four-Year Cycle Theory in Bitcoin refers to a recurring market cycle that aligns with the Bitcoin halving event, which occurs approximately every four years. It suggests that Bitcoin's price moves in predictable cycles, driven largely by the dynamics of supply and demand, with the halving event acting as a significant catalyst.
The theory suggests that each four-year cycle consists of four distinct phases:
a. Accumulation (Bear Market Bottom)
b. Uptrend (Bull Market Start)
c. Parabolic Rise (Bull Market Peak)
d. Correction (Bear Market Crash)
The halving significantly reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin is mined, which leads to a supply reduction. As supply decreases while demand stays the same or increases (due to growing adoption, media attention, etc.), the price often rises after the halving leading to phase c. the Parabolic Rise.
With the basics of the Four-Year Cycle Theory covered, we can now analyze the intervals between cycle peaks and bottoms.
Cycle interval analysis:
A cycle analysis aims to identify recurring patterns by analyzing the time and price movements between key events, such as market tops (peaks) and bottoms, in the case of Bitcoin the halving event may also be considered. By examining these cyclical behaviors it is attempted to predict future tops and bottoms.
The simplest and easiest-to-understand patterns are:
1. Top-to-Top
The time difference between consecutive market tops
2. Top-to-Bottom
The time difference between a market top to the next market bottom.
3. Bottom-to-Top
The time difference between a market bottom to the next market top.
4. Bottom-to-Bottom
The time difference between consecutive market bottoms.
There are however also more advanced patterns such as:
5. All-Time-High Break to Top
The time difference between a break of the last cycle top to the next market top.
6. Halving event to top
The time difference between the halving event to the next market top.
It can be observed that market cycle patterns in the 2nd cycle are shorter compared to those in the 3rd and 4th cycles. This is likely due to a lack of market maturation or the fact that it occurs before the first halving.
What stands out is the similarity between the 3rd and 4th cycle patterns. By averaging these cycles, we can predict the 5th cycle. Even more striking is that several of these predictions closely match the subsequent cycle top AND bottom.
The predicted upcoming market cycle top is predicted as follows:
Based on the Top-to-Top pattern, the market top is forecasted for November 3, 2025.
According to the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the top is expected on October 13, 2025.
The Halving Event-to-Top pattern suggests a market peak on October 6, 2025.
Additionally, the ATH-Break-to-Top pattern indicates that the Parabolic Rise of the current cycle will begin on December 9, 2024.
The predicted upcoming market cycle bottom is predicted as follows:
Based on the Bottom-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 19th 2026.
According to the Top-to-Bottom pattern, the market bottom is forecasted for October 26th 2026.
Here is a graphical overview of our prediction timelines:
Price prediction using diminishing Returns:
In the context of Bitcoin and market cycles, diminishing returns refers to the phenomenon where, as Bitcoin’s market matures and more capital or resources are invested, the incremental gains or price increases from additional investments become smaller over time.
In essence this means the following:
Bull Market Peaks: As a market cycle reaches its peak, diminishing returns become evident. The price increases become smaller and less dramatic each cycle compared to earlier in the cycle.
Bear Market Corrections: Following the peak, the market often enters a correction phase where prices decline significantly. The decline also becomes smaller and less dramatic compared to earlier cycles.
In essence, this results in less dramatic bull cycles but also less severe declines during bear markets:
Here is a table overview with the values:
The effects of diminishing returns are clearly observable, with one exception: the Cycle Top to the next Cycle Bottom in Cycle 3, which saw a 6x loss. However, if we take the effects of diminishing returns into consideration, we can make the following conclusions:
The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Top-to-Top multiplier of 3.4x, meaning it is unlikely to exceed a price of 224K.
The next Cycle Top will likely not exceed the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Top multiplier of 20.5x, meaning it is even more unlikely to exceed a price of 333K.
After considering the effects of diminishing returns, we believe a Top-to-Top multiplier in the range of 2 to 2.6 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle top price of $131,000 to $170,000.
Regarding the next bear market Bottom:
The next Cycle Bottom will likely be below the Cycle 4 Bot-to-Bot multiplier of 5.1x, meaning it will likely be below 83K.
We believe a Bot-to-Bot multiplier in the range of 3 to 4 is realistic. Therefore, we predict a cycle bottom price of $49,000 to $65,000.
Final Conclusion:
Predicted Cycle Top: The upcoming market cycle top is forecasted to occur in October or November 2025. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $131,000 to $170,000.
Predicted Cycle Bottom:
The upcoming market cycle bottom is forecasted to occur in October or November 2026. Based on our analysis, we predict a price range of $49,000 to $65,000.
These predictions incorporate the effects of diminishing returns and historical cycle patterns.
BTC - Explanation of Potential 35,000 / 10,000 Drop & SummaryIn this video I detail out why I believe we will see a significant crash on Bitcoin, dig into the mechanics of how a drop to $10,000 is possible, talk about the US Dollar and macro ideas for Bitcoin, and summarize my trading ideas and why I am anticipating its a good trading opportunity.
Any questions or comments, please feel free to ask or leave your own input.
This is never about ego or being right over anyone else - we are in this together and all have the same goals.
It looks like we are ready to go long! 🚀 #Bitcoin Monthly Chart Update 🚀
After breaking out from its previous all-time high, #BTC is now retesting that key level.
The current monthly candle looks solid, showing signs of strength! 📊
This could be the beginning of a major move upward, in my opinion. 💡
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your views below! 👇
#Crypto
Long term bullmarket scenarioThis idea is a long-term bull market scenario. This idea could start on the day of the FED interest rate decision. The rate decision could lead price action into a bear trap by making traders think we are making a lower low. Well, we do, but this should be considered a bear trap as we have been moving sideways since March and a big event like the FED rate decision could lead to a trend change. Considering the fact that we are making lower lows, it seems like we are constantly liquidating the long positions and the market makers are keeping the short positions alive to sell on a late uptrend.
BTC will probably try to pick up liquidity from both sidesThe chart may be a bit unclear, but I will try to explain what it means: when we first determine the fibonacci after the impulse with $74k, we can see the support exactly at fibonacci 1.21. That gives us the right to look at this as an ABC correction.
Below are the FVG of the bit zones :
The monthly that has been tested several times plus the monthly candle did not close inside it which is very positive
In the last correction towards 53k weekly fvg showed strong support
Gap: Which is formed after this impulse shows that fibonacci 0.61 coincides together with that..
For now, everything is fine.. we are in the middle of the range, 60k and lower to watch for a potential long.
Below 58k and the closing of larger time frames, the saint structure changes
Aptos 2$ soonOn my chart you can see the price of venture capital investors - 0.7$, which is located in optimal trade entry (OTE), behind that I see the liquidities, and after that two targets will be grabbed, I would buy more Aptos. If we reach that target, I will stick to my analysis, however, this is not the main criterion I will be focusing on.
A cyclical historyWe have all heard that the economy works in cycles, and so does the market. But what does this truly mean? Has anyone actually been able to show you where you can see these cycles occur? Well, here is a great graph that will show you how. By looking at the 6-month time frame, the percentages of stocks above the 20 daily MA, you are achieving 2 things.
Seeing price action at the timeframe used to declare technical recessions
Seeing the percentage of stocks in a short term uptrend or downtrend as the complement is also true
Here it's quite easy to see how an important world event unfolded with a clear, repeatable pattern. When the percentage oscillates heavily, it allows for many technical resets, causing a healthy uptrend when the percentage returns to above 50% by the end of the semester. Another patter is that after a period of over-performance, a period of under-performance is followed and vice versa.
When looking at world events, just remember at the end of the day we are all a number in a larger scheme. And the laws of statistics will end up controlling our outcomes, as there must be balance in all binomial systems. Even when biases can be present in distributions, the more we generalize and zoom out, the more we can see the statistical convergences in human behavior. At the end of the day, our lives are influenced by fractals, some of which we are not even aware exist.
$ETH TO 15K BY DEC?The 3.618 on the fib from the 2018 ATH put's us on 2021 cycle ATH of ~$4.9k. The 3.618 on the fib from the cycle ATH of 2021 put's us on this cycle ATH of ~$15k possibly by December this year. This 3.618 on the fib also intersects with the cycle tops trendline from 2018. I don't think it's a coincidence. This would also mark a completion of our major 5th wave that is about to begin. Let me know what you think in the comments. Thank you.
Chegg Chegg, Inc. (ticker symbol: **CHGG**), is an education technology company that provides digital and physical textbook rentals, online tutoring, and other student services. In the context of the list provided, Chegg is not explicitly included, but it could be categorized under the broader "Technology and Innovation" or "Consumer Discretionary" sectors due to its focus on educational services.
### Role Chegg Can Play in the Future
1. **Educational Accessibility**:
- **Affordable Learning Resources**: Chegg's services can help make education more affordable and accessible by offering lower-cost textbook rentals and online learning resources.
- **Digital Transformation in Education**: As education continues to shift online, Chegg can play a crucial role in providing digital study tools and resources that enhance remote learning experiences.
2. **Personalized Learning**:
- **Data-Driven Insights**: Chegg can leverage data analytics to provide personalized learning experiences, tailoring study materials and tutoring to individual student needs.
- **Adaptive Learning Platforms**: Developing adaptive learning technologies that adjust to a student's pace and learning style can improve educational outcomes.
3. **Expanding Global Reach**:
- **International Expansion**: By expanding its services to international markets, Chegg can support students worldwide, contributing to global educational equity.
- **Multilingual Support**: Offering resources in multiple languages can help non-English speaking students access high-quality educational content.
4. **Integration with Traditional Education**:
- **Partnerships with Educational Institutions**: Chegg can collaborate with schools and universities to integrate its services into traditional curricula, providing supplemental learning tools.
- **Credentialing and Certification**: Offering online courses and certification programs can help students gain new skills and credentials outside of traditional degree programs.
### Benefits of Data Centers
Data centers are critical infrastructure for modern digital services, including those provided by companies like Chegg. Here are some key benefits:
1. **Reliability and Uptime**:
- **High Availability**: Data centers are designed to provide high levels of reliability, ensuring that services are available 24/7 with minimal downtime.
- **Redundancy**: They include redundant systems for power, cooling, and networking to prevent service disruptions.
2. **Scalability**:
- **Resource Management**: Data centers can scale resources up or down based on demand, allowing companies to efficiently manage their computing needs.
- **Growth Support**: As a business grows, data centers can provide the necessary infrastructure to support increased traffic and data storage requirements.
3. **Security**:
- **Physical Security**: Data centers have robust physical security measures, including controlled access, surveillance, and security personnel.
- **Cybersecurity**: They employ advanced cybersecurity protocols to protect data from cyber threats, including firewalls, encryption, and intrusion detection systems.
4. **Cost Efficiency**:
- **Economies of Scale**: By centralizing IT resources, data centers can achieve cost savings through economies of scale.
- **Reduced Capital Expenditure**: Businesses can avoid the high costs of building and maintaining their own data centers by using third-party data center services.
5. **Energy Efficiency**:
- **Green Initiatives**: Many modern data centers are designed with energy efficiency in mind, utilizing renewable energy sources and advanced cooling technologies to reduce their carbon footprint.
- **Resource Optimization**: Efficient resource management practices help minimize energy consumption and operational costs.
6. **Disaster Recovery and Backup**:
- **Data Redundancy**: Data centers often provide backup and disaster recovery services, ensuring that data is not lost in the event of a hardware failure or natural disaster.
- **Business Continuity**: These services are essential for maintaining business continuity, allowing companies to recover quickly from disruptions.
In summary, Chegg has the potential to significantly impact the future of education through its innovative services and global reach. Data centers, on the other hand, provide the backbone for these and other digital services, offering reliability, scalability, security, and efficiency.
Bitcoin (734,000$)Baby shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
Baby shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
Baby shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
Baby shark!
Mommy shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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Mommy shark!
Daddy shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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Daddy shark!
Grandma shark, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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Grandma shark!
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Grandpa shark!
Let's go hunt, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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Run away, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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Safe at last, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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It's the end, doo doo doo doo doo doo
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It's the end!
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules.
:)
We are just surfing the waves of emotions,
of the crowds.
Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI
It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around.
It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran.
(in my opinion)
We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc)
and second lower peak around November (or DEC )
As always good luck in your speculations
#Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know
During these tops you will be told many stories
you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
APTOS 60-80$ on bullmarket Just see on that big accumulation phase or just that pattern , price dumped from 10$ to 3$ , made ATH 20$ next dumped again to support level 5$, next pumped againg to 20$ and dumped to s2b level to 8$. I see equal highs and higher lows , big consolidation. My targets 50$+ and under 100$, or just maybe 120$+- , situationable
$PIXEL broke out this falling wedge pattern!NGM:PIXEL broke out this falling wedge pattern and currently retesting it.
Entry: accumulate above $0.39
Target: Midterm target 50%
long term target 200%
This coin is available in both spot and futures.
You can buy it on the spot, or if you want to long it on futures, you can do so with a stop-loss at $0.35.
ABOUT NGM:PIXEL
Pixels is a social casual web3 game on the Ronin Network, featuring an engaging open-world experience centered on farming, exploration, and creation.
DYOR, NAF
#Crypto #ALTCOIN
Are #Stocks expensive? No measured against M2 money supplyThe 2000 Top was still the "real" peak of the US stock market
Built obviously on the expectation that the internet would change the world and teh global economy.
This highlights how the market foresees the future and how market participants are forward looking.
The #DownJones index is still 50% down form that peak
on this chart you can multiple chart patterns tat have played out previously
HVF's, double top, head & shoulder tops, and inv H&S bottoms
currently in a 22 year continuation inv head and shoulders which is still in progress
my stance is Top in April/May 24 .... downdraft into the election and a run up for 2/3 years into the Giga Uber TOP
Compound loves to play games!!Lets play a game... how many daily candles will close below this daily level?
Leave a comment below!
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Bitcoin halving: Why it’s important for BTC scarcityGood day, traders
The Bitcoin Halving has happened again.
~1st Halving (Nov 2012): BTC price was $12.0. It reached its highest price ever at $1163.
~2nd Halving (July 2016): BTC price was $638.51. Then, it skyrocketed to a new all-time high of $19333.
~3rd Halving (May 2020): BTC price was $8475. It later surged to a new record of $68982.
~4th Halving (April 2024): BTC price is now $63839. What will the new all-time high be?
What's different this time around?
1. A Bitcoin Spot ETF is in play.
2. Big institutions and investors are jumping in.
3. More people are aware of cryptocurrencies.
4. Governments are making new rules for cryptocurrencies.
5. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are being accepted globally.
Let's get to the topic
Bitcoin's halving is a critical event that helps establish Bitcoin's value as a digital asset. It reduces the rate at which new Bitcoins are created, enhancing its scarcity and potentially positioning it as a reliable store of value for the digital era, more fluid than real estate or gold.
In the most recent halving, which occurred at the 840,000th block, the reward for mining a new block dropped from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This reduction in mining rewards means that fewer new Bitcoins are entering circulation, making existing Bitcoins more scarce.
Karim Chaib, CEO of crypto platform Dopamine App, explains why this matters:
"Scarcity is a basic economic concept that impacts asset value. By design, Bitcoin becomes scarcer over time due to the halving events, which decrease its supply at a predictable rate."
Bitcoin's halving is built into its code and occurs approximately every four years, or every 210,000 blocks. The first halving was in 2012, when the reward went from 50 BTC to 25 BTC per block. Since then, the reward has halved again in 2016 and 2020, and now stands at 3.125 BTC per block.
This predictable scarcity sets Bitcoin apart from assets like gold, which can become less scarce over time as technology improves mining efficiency. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply limit of 21 million coins, is designed to be immune to inflationary pressures.
In summary, Bitcoin's halving events ensure its scarcity over time, boosting its potential as a valuable digital asset compared to traditional stores of value like gold.
This is just for informational purposes.
Thank you for reading.
Dynamics of Bull Market CyclesBull markets are the epitome of investor optimism and economic growth, characterized by rising asset prices and increasing investor confidence. However, within every bull market, there lies a cyclical pattern composed of distinct phases: Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off. Understanding these phases is crucial for investors to navigate the market efficiently and capitalize on opportunities while mitigating risks.
🟣 Discovery Phase:
👉 Accumulation: During the accumulation phase, institutional investors and smart money recognize undervalued assets and begin quietly accumulating positions. This often occurs when the broader market sentiment is still pessimistic or uncertain, presenting attractive buying opportunities.
👉 Trend Emergence: As accumulation continues, subtle shifts in market dynamics become apparent. Prices begin to exhibit higher highs and higher lows, indicating the emergence of an uptrend. Technical indicators such as moving averages may start to show bullish crossovers, further confirming the trend.
🟣 Momentum Phase:
👉 Shake-out: The shake-out phase is characterized by short-term price declines or corrections that test investor resolve. Weak-handed investors, who bought near the end of the accumulation phase or are driven by fear, panic sell their positions. This phase often creates volatility and uncertainty but also offers opportunities for long-term investors to accumulate quality assets at discounted prices.
👉 Momentum Building: Following the shake-out, momentum begins to build as the broader market recognizes the strength of the uptrend. More investors start participating in the rally, driving prices higher. Positive news catalysts and strong earnings reports further fuel the momentum, attracting even more investors.
👉 First Sentiment: As the bull market gains momentum, investor sentiment shifts from cautious optimism to moderate confidence. Market participants start to believe in the sustainability of the uptrend, leading to increased buying activity. However, skepticism may still linger, especially among contrarian investors who remain wary of potential overvaluation.
🟣 Blow-off Phase:
👉 Renewed Optimism: In the blow-off phase, optimism reignites as investors regain confidence in the market's upward trajectory. Corrections or pullbacks are viewed as buying opportunities rather than signals of impending reversal. Institutional investors and retail traders alike re-enter the market, driving prices to new highs.
👉 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Fear of Missing Out becomes prevalent as investors fear being left behind in the rally. Social media, financial news outlets, and word-of-mouth recommendations amplify the sense of urgency to buy, further fueling price appreciation. This FOMO-driven buying frenzy can lead to exaggerated price moves and irrational exuberance.
👉 Euphoria: Euphoria marks the peak of the bull market cycle. Investors become irrationally exuberant, believing that the current uptrend will continue indefinitely. Risk management takes a backseat as greed overrides caution. Valuation metrics may reach extreme levels, signaling frothiness in the market.
Understanding the cyclical nature of bull market cycles is essential for investors to navigate the market successfully. By recognizing the distinct phases of Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off, investors can make informed decisions, capitalize on opportunities, and protect their portfolios from potential downturns. While bull markets are synonymous with optimism and prosperity, prudent risk management and a keen awareness of market dynamics are critical for long-term investment success.