btcusd longBitcoin Price (BTC) Real-Time Live Price
Bitcoin News: Read the Latest Analysis on BTC
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Bitcoin (BTC) is recognised as the world's first truly digitalised digital currency (also known as a cryptocurrency). The Bitcoin price is prone to volatile swings; making it historically popular for traders to speculate on. Follow the live Bitcoin price using the real-time chart, and read the latest Bitcoin news and forecasts to plan your trades using fundamental and technical analysis.confirm signal
Btcusdsignals
BTCUSD:Go short first, then go long
BTCUSD:
It is currently located near the resistance level, and the strong resistance is near 72400. According to the 30M chart, the transaction should be short first, pay attention to the support and strong support before conducting long transactions. In the 2H chart, the MACD indicator is biased towards the long side.
You can choose to go long near the support, and the chance of hitting strong resistance is relatively high.
BITCOIN The Mayer Multiple + Megaphone Roadmap.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Cyclical Megaphone pattern and the current consolidation comes as a natural consequence of the Resistance pressure in close proximity.
Technically, BTC has formed almost the exact same pattern during the previous 2 Cycles. The Megaphone starts when BTC breaks and re-tests the orange Mayer Multiple (2nd std from top) and extends towards the green MM (bottom std).
As the price hits the yellow MM (3rd std from top), it consolidates, even has a short-term technical pull-back, which respects the 1W MA50 (it never breaks until the Cycle Top). Once the top of the Megaphone breaks, Bitcoin starts the final and most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle towards at least the orange MM.
As a result, we expect a similar behavior once Bitcoin breaks above the Megaphone. A fair estimate for a Target Zone would be 150k - 200k.
Do you think that's realistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC uptrend.When this MA crosses that MA, it could be a signal indicating a potential change in trend, thereby providing you with a good entry opportunity.
The price quickly moves upwards after breaking above the upper edge of the rectangle. If we have a buy order placed at the upper edge of the rectangle, we have made a profit. Just as the rectangle declines, here, once the price breaks out, it will move a distance equal to the width of the rectangle.
BITCOIN consolidating around ATH = Mega BUY!Quick comparison of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle to the one in 2014 - 2017, which is the one that has been most tightly correlated to and as you can see by the charts below, we have spotted since January 2023, right at the market bottom:
The current consolidation around the previous All Time High (ATH) region is a clear buy signal, in fact based on the 2014/17 Cycle, it is the last we might get before the Parabolic Rally (green) phase starts.
As you can see both Cycle's started with a Falling Wedge leading to the bottom, then the Accumulation Phase as soon as the price broke above the 1W MA50, leading to the 1st take-off Phase to test the ATH.
The 1W RSI will mostly stay overbought from now on until the top of the Cycle, which is not the essence of the current idea, but we expect it to be at least at 200k. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) should continue to support until the Cycle Top.
But what do you think? Do you expect BTC to start the parabolic rally phase shortly after the Halving which is around a week's time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN About to break the 3-week Triangle! How to trade it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a (dashed) Triangle pattern since the March 14 High, supported twice by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The price is testing today the top of that pattern and going back to November 2022 at the bottom of the Bear Cycle when the Fibonacci Channel Up begun, we can see that a similar pattern emerged two more times.
The first (January - March 2023), the Triangle broke downwards, hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and then rose aggressively towards the 1.786 Fib extension. The second Triangle (December 2023 - January 2024) broke to the upside but then got rejected at the top of the (blue) Channel Up (Channel Fib 1.0) and pulled-back to the 1D MA100 before rising even more aggressively towards the 4.5 Fib ext. The common fact is that on both cases, the price touched the 1D MA100 eventually before rebounding.
At the moment though, BTC is above the former (blue) Channel Up and is transitioned into a Fibonacci dynamic pattern. As a result, there is no obvious Resistance right above besides the 2.0 Channel Fib extension. A bullish break-out this time may not necessarily require a 1D MA100 test before a more aggressive rise. Since however the new Halving event is expected in a week and a supply shock may initially cause a decline upon news that might already priced in, traders are advised to keep some 'dry powder' for a final test of the 1D MA100.
We have two targets for the medium-term: Target 1 at 85500 (marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext) and Target 2 at 120000 (marginally below the 4.5 Fib ext).
The signal to buy with more confidence on the 1D MA100 would be if you see the 1D RSI hitting the green cup pattern again as it happened on the previous price Triangle cases, which as you can see, have been fairly similar, getting overbought (above 70.00) prior to the Triangle and then deflating as the Triangle formed.
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Analysis. i will long.Hello everyone. i want share my idea about Bitcoin price action.
We all saw Bitcoin bull run after ETF approval that means institutional are still in this game. at the moment last all time high we have at 73800, after that we saw rejection from sellers which tested well the strongest daily support.
If we we look at the picture from far we will see some technical signal which is head and shoulders, this technical movement gives me short signal but ill tell you some reasons why i think at bitcoin long.
First - Bitcoin has pretty bullish movement and this fall after all time high was logic, all market need correction after strong movement.
Second - Bitcoin touch to daily support at 61000$ where buyers long and we saw 8000$ movement in only one day. Yeah that's right bitcoin price came back to that zone but buyers are still active
Third - USDT dominance (index of Tether dominance on market) is still pretty bearish, USDT dominance after strong fall, came into 1 week Fibonacci high volume buy zone, got rejection from buyers but that rejection was not enough and for me it was correction of that index after strong fall.
Fourth - Bitcoin has still bull run, the last movement, what was today, for me that is continuation of trend and daily candle which closed 8000$ upside movement, after touch Strong daily support.
Here is my reasons why i will try to find low for open my long position. i will update that post with trading signal.
Always make your research!!!!
Bitcoin Analysis: Facing Key Decision ZoneAs seen in previous analyses, we have reached and broken the target ($67,000). We are now operating in a pivotal zone that could either continue selling and break the rectangle from the bottom towards $63,000, or break it from the top and rise back to $67,000, which has now become a resistance zone after previously serving as support.
As indicated by technical analysis, clarity will emerge after this brief pause, especially as the new day's opening candle approaches, revealing who will dominate this challenging zone.
I wish you success in your decision-making and finding the right place at the right time, and I hope this analysis proves helpful to all.
BITCOIN The Golden 51%-49% Ratio! 600 days of Bull Market left!This is a really simple Bitcoin study on which I calculate the remaining days of the current Bull Cycle we are in based on the Top, Bottom and Halving of each Cycle. These parameters are effectively used to distinguish the Bull from the Bear Cycles. Tops are obviously where the Bull phase ends and Bear starts, while the Bottoms are where the Bear phase ends and the Bull starts.
** The 51%-49% Ratio and the important of the Halvings **
The focus of this study is the Bull Cycle. As you see on the chart there is a striking similarity on each Cycle. The phase from the Bottom to the Halving is 51% of the whole Bull Cycle while the rest (Halving to Top) consists the 49%. Practically we can claim that the Halving seems to be the middle of each Bull Cycle.
** So where are we now? **
Based on the above ratio and with the 3rd Halving scheduled on May 12th, 2020, we can calculate that the first phase (51%) of the current Bull Cycle will last around 520 days (Bottom made on December 15th 2018). The 49% which based on the previous two cycles has been the second phase should therefore last around 505 days, placing the Top of the current Bull Cycle in early October 2021! This means that there are around 600 days of Bull Cycle left!!
Of course there are and will be several other parameters that can influence the cycle (we saw that on the April-June 2019 parabolic explosion) but this is a good (and so far very accurate) pattern that long term Bitcoin investors can follow. It certainly answers the question "is it too late to buy?" though!
Do you agree with this estimate of have another pattern in mind? Let me know in the comments section!
Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community!
BONUS MATERIAL a shorter term perspective:
BITCOIN still has at least 500 days of Bull Cycle ahead !!!Back in February 2020 we published one of our most popular ideas, the 'Golden 51%-49% Ratio':
And in December 2022 exactly on the last Bear Cycle's bottom, we updated it issuing a mega buy signal for long-term traders and investors:
As you can see, this couldn't have been more accurate and today, as we are only 2 weeks before Bitcoin's 4th historic Halving, we are giving you an update with a few extra elements!
** Cycles and LGC **
The Bear Cycles are displayed by the red Rectangles and the Bull Cycle by the green. What's noticeable here is that BTC only recently got out of its Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC), which is unusual before a Halving event. Being that close to the range that is basically Bitcoin's historic Buy Zone, indicates its huge potential moving forward in this new Bull Cycle.
** The Golden Ratio **
However the highlight of this analysis remains the Halving's Golden Ratio, which implies that the time distance from the Bear Cycle's bottom to the Halving is almost equivalent to the distance from the Halving to the Bull Cycle's top. It has held beautifully on the 3 previous Cycles and there is no reason not to expect it to unfold this time also.
** 500 more days of Bull **
This indicates that we have at least another 500 days of Bull Cycle ahead of us and the best part is that those will be in the form of the most aggressive part of the Cycle, the Post-Halving Parabolic Rally (green Megaphone)!
But what do you think? Do you expect the 51%-49% Golden Ratio to hold again? If yes, at what price do you expect Bitcoin to peak? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Will we see 60k before 100k?Yesterday we discussed from a 4H perspective (see chart below) why it would be technically possible and above all healthy for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to pull-back to the 1D MA50 and then rebound:
Today we approach this from the 1W time-frame where the results are virtually the same. As you can see, Bitcoin has pulled-back towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level measured from the previous Low on both previous corrections. Even the April - June and July - September double corrections last year (2023), both didn't exceed the 0.382 Fib.
With the underlying long-term pattern for BTC being a Channel Up since the November 2022 (FTX crash) bottom, such a pull-back would be a new Higher Low. As you can see every Bullish Leg to a Higher High is slightly weaker progressively. The 1st was +104.28%, the 2nd +96.69% (-8% lower), the 3rd +92.48% (-4% lower), so we may have a pattern here where every Higher High's decreasing rate is -50% lower each time. This indicates that the next Higher High may be -2% less, i.e. +90.48%.
That gives us a $110000 Higher High target but it is always safer to start taking profits (medium-term at least) around $100k. So if this model continues to repeat those systemic sequences, we are looking at the possibility of a 60-58k pull-back towards and marginally after the Halving and then new rally to $100k.
It is worth mentioning that every time such Higher Low pull-back took place within the Channel Up, the 1W MACD either made a Bearish Cross or a very tight Squeeze. We can already see the MACD reversing downwards.
So what do you think? It is more probable to see a 60k pull-back before a new rally to 100k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN a 1D MA50 test is quite likely before 100k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke and closed below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since February 05). Last time such a pull-back off a Higher High took place was on January 12 (orange circle), which confirmed the extension of a short-term correction that found support on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded.
That was a -21.41% decline from the top. On today's sequence a -21.41% repeat would again make contact (or come very close) with the 1D MA50. That could coincide with the Halving event, two weeks from now and would make for a very healthy correction. In our opinion that is the most optimal and low risk level to add more buys for the long-term 100k Target.
But what do you think? Will BTC correct to the 1D MA50 or a rebound from the current levels is more probable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN hit a record 7 straight green months! NOT APRIL FOOL'S !Yes it is not April Fool's, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed a record 7 straight months of gains for the first time in history. Since it's inception, there hasn't been an exchange where BTC made more than 6 bullish monthly (1M) candles in a row.
What started in September 2023 as merely a hold and bottom formation on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), eventually evolved into a record breaking sequence. In fact, Bitcoin has only had 3 red months in the past 15, which makes the feat even more impressive!
Being the lengthiest such bullish sequence in history, doesn't mean that the rally is over. In fact, we can argue that it has only just begun as based on the 1M RSI, which is trading within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, we are on symmetrical terms relative to past Bull Cycles, where the price was on November 2020, February 2017 and February 2013.
We can see that this is an impressive symmetry, and shows that we are at a point far from the cyclical peak. The previous 3 Cycles topped 12, 10 and 10 months from that RSI position respectively. If this continues, we can expect Bitcoin to rally for at least another 10 months before the Cycle peaks and the RSI approaches the Channel Top where we can gradually start taking profit!
But what do you think? Does this impressive 7-month bullish streak still have at least 10-month fuel in it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC- I'm still bullish but with some cautionIn my analysis of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD yesterday, I mentioned my expectation for a new all-time high from Bitcoin in the near future.
However, during yesterday's trading session, the price once again failed to surpass the 72k mark, raising some doubts about my outlook.
Firstly, after breaking above the 68k zone and retesting it, I anticipated a new local high. However, this didn't materialize.
Secondly, the rise from 62k wasn't as impulsive as one had wanted.
Considering these factors, while I remain bullish in the short term, I am closely monitoring the 68-70k zone.
If we break below 68k, we can expect a continuation of the downward move, possibly even testing the support zone at 62k again.
DeGRAM | BITCOIN pullback and continuation opportunityBitcoin is consolidating following a break and closing above $70,000.
The market is possibly pulling back the channel border and going up in the first week of April.
We expect a pullback to the 38.2% retracement level, then a bullish move.
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BITCOIN Can it hit $200k on this Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to see enormous grow, despite the recent 2-week consolidation (blue circle) after breaking the previous All Time High (ATH). BTC is no stranger to such a consolidation as it also took it 3 weeks trading sideways when it hit the ATH during the previous Cycle in November 2020.
What followed after that was an aggressive rally marginally above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and after a pull-back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it rebounded for a "Double Top" Cycle peak marginally above the 1.618 Fib one.
The two sequences are identical, and the similarities on the 1W CCI even are striking. Symmetry is at its best and it may be attributed to the fact that the dominant pattern for Bitcoin in the past 7 years (since July 2017), has been a Channel Up. The Fibonacci retracement levels offer an excellent display of the price movements and symmetry of the trends.
As a result, we are expecting a parabolic rally to break-out soon, with a first Target on the 1.618 Fib at $180000. If the same "Double Top" formation is followed, we can even see a Blow-off Top as high as $200000. Both of those targets are restrained below the 0.786 Fib level of the Channel Up. It BTC follows the standard Higher High pattern on Channel Ups, we may even see prices as high as $300k but best to take the more conservative route.
But what do you think? Can we reach $200k during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Retest of ATH Soon! ₿
Bitcoin successfully broke and closed above a key horizontal resistance yesterday.
Look like bullish rally continues and the price will most likely retest ATH soon.
After a test of ATH, wait for its breakout. It will push the prices to new highs.
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BITCOIN Brace for the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. That is the final bullish sequence at the end of which leads to the All Time High (ATH) and new peak of the Cycle. What makes it the most aggressive part is its Higher Highs angle, which historically has been the greater on each and every Cycle.
More specifically, the Parabolic Rally tends to start after BTC breaks above its previous ATH (blue circle). Until then, the angle degree (°) of the Higher Highs is low, with the current Cycle being 31°, the previous one of 2019/20 at 18° and the one before of 2015/16 at 26° (2019/20 Cycle was taken as such in order to filter out both the Libra euphoria and the COVID crash). This trend-line starts at the same time the 'Accumulation Triangle' starts, which leads to the ATH rally test.
The Parabolic Rally in the last 2 Cycles has been 71° and 66° respectively. Each Cycle's ° degrees of the 2 Higher Highs trend-lines give a sum of 89° - 92°. Since the current Cycle has the first Higher Highs trend-line on a 31° angle, the Parabolic Higher Highs should be a minimum of 58°. This suggests that by June we may have hit the 100k psychological benchmark and by September even extend to $150000.
But what do you think? Have we entered the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle and if yes, are such targets realistic that soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC SELL MORE ON DIPS !!!HELLO TRADERS
As I can see #BTC is now trading 64k$ as we are sending our analysis our previous targets hit on BTC CHARTS ARE ATTACHED IN COMMENTS HAVE A LOOK WE ARE EXPECTING MORE DROP IN BTC TILL DESIGN LEVEL
it has broken the trend line which is a good sign for us to test the FIBO 0.618 easily friends chart is crystal clear need patience and proper MM ITS JUST A TRADE IDEA share Ur thoughts with us we appreciate Ur likes and comments.
BTCUSDT:Mainly short-selling at high positions, long with cautio
The large-level trend has turned bearish. Try to focus on high-altitude trading, and be cautious when going long.
Judging from the current trend, the resistance is mainly concentrated around 68000 and the support is around 64000. Trade around this range first. If it falls below 64000, you can make a small rebound. Don’t be too greedy when trading. Close the order in time when there is a profit.
The rebound resistance will be concentrated in the 64000-65000 range.
BTCUSD:Head and shoulders, short
The head is composed of a double top. The current form is closer to the head and shoulders . Once confirmed, the market will inevitably fall sharply, so my trading view is to go short as much as possible. The important resistance is 66,000, the support is around 58,000, and the target is 53,000-52,000.
This is a large trading space that requires sufficient trading funds and patience. If you have such conditions, you can follow my strategy and the probability of profit is about 90%.
BITCOIN Is $175000 so easy to achieve?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke its All Time High (ATH) this month, making history once again. The quest for the rest of the month is to close the March 1M candle above the previous ATH (69000). Why is this important? Because every time it did so in the past on each and every Cycle, the price never looked back and it entered the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle: the Parabolic Break-out Phase.
This has coincided with the 1M RSI breaking above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the Fibonacci Channel Down. As you can see on the chart every time it did so, it reached (or almost) the top of the Channel Down (blue circle) while the price hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. During the first 2 Cycles the price went on even considerably higher than that (red rectangle) before the Cycle peaked, while the 1M RSI again hit the top of the Channel Down.
During the previous (most recent) Cycle though, there was no 2nd RSI top, as the price only marginally exceeded the 1.618 Fib with its 2nd top, in fact it didn't even close a 1M candle above it.
As a result, we may have a similar 'Double Top' Cycle this time also, but that's just the modest scenario. In any case the 1.618 Fib extension is now priced at $175000, which technically is a 'certainty' (if you can ever say that in investing) based on this historic chart and the Target of this Cycle.
But what do you think? Is $175k a given and if yes, will BTC surpass the 1.618 Fib for an even higher Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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