BITCOIN / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA / 1HBITCOIN / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Prices are trading near the demand zone, which is an area where buying interest is high enough to prevent the price from falling further. It suggests that if prices stabilize and remain above this zone, buyers are likely maintaining control.
If prices remain above the demand zone, the analysis forecasts a potential increase toward the supply zone, which is the range between 69,058 and 69,513. A supply zone is an area where sellers are likely to step in and create downward pressure on the price.
On the other hand, if prices break below the demand zone, it would confirm a downtrend. This means the selling pressure has overwhelmed buying, pushing the price downward. The analysis predicts the price could then fall to the next demand zone between 65,420 and 64,867.
Supply Zone : 69,058 and 69,513.
Demand Zone : 65,420 and 64,867.
Btcusdsignals
BITCOIN When the 4 year Cycles do the talking..It's been some time since we last used the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but the timing is just right to bring you an update, only 2 weeks before the U.S. Presidential Elections with the market ahead on an imminent bullish break-out.
This time we look into how the price was trading on this date every 4 years. As you know BTC is trading roughly within 4 year Cycles that keep a high degree of symmetry and tend to repeat a lot of dynamics each time.
Right now, towards the end of October (2024), the price is trading within the Mean MM (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line). It has already started rising off the Mean MM. Based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, it is no surprise then that the price was within the exact same range in October 2020, October 2016 and October 2012. The degree of symmetry is remarkable and is yet again showcased by this indicator.
We can also see that by this time every 4 years, the price had already started rising off the Mean MM, just as it is doing now. With the green Rectangles we display the date range between these 4-year intervals and the peak of the Bull Cycle. For October 2012 it took 58 weeks (406 days) until it topped, October 2016 was 60 weeks (420 days) while October 2020 was 55 days (385 days). So time-wise the Cycle tends to peak roughly the same period.
As a result, if we take the minimum scenario of 55 weeks, we can expect the Cycle to top by mid November 2025. As far as targets are concerned, the first two Cycles hit (and broke) the 3 SD above (red trend-line), while the last one the 2 SD above (orange trend-line). Again assuming a 'worst case scenario' hitting 'just' the 2 SD trend-line, we can set a Target Range of 190k - 250k, depending on whether the price hits it halfway through the 55 week range or towards its end. Nevertheless, an exciting rally appears to be starting for Bitcoin.
So what do you think? Is this October MMB fractal about to break to a parabolic rally? And if so, will it hit the orange trend-line? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN 'Angle Theory' unlocking this Cycle. Is $140k the top?Exactly 1 year ago (October 02 2023, see chart below), we published a renewed approach on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) historic Cycles, using the 'Angles Theory' on the logarithmic curve to make a more accurate roadmap of the current Cycle:
Back then, the price was 'just' $28000 and a few months later it catapulted to almost $74000. Below we present again the basics of that analysis, in order to refresh your memory.
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
BTC's Cycle peaks in historical order have been $32, $1250, $19800, $69800. They all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
Every peak-to-peak measurement appears to be roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 42°, 22°, 11°. We estimate a 7° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 7° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 160000 (slightly updated from our study a year ago). It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 8° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
** Last year compared to now **
So how has this Theory worked out compared to last year? Well beyond doubt, the Cycle was much more aggressive that the previous two (blue and orange) due to mainly the Bitcoin ETF launch, and is certainly more similar to the first Cycle (black). That suggests that it will top by January 2025 but the Sine Waves Tops, which have caught Bitcoin's cyclical peaks with incredible accuracy, indicate it will be around November 2025. As you can see, this is exactly where the projection of the blue and orange fractals show.
But what do you think? Will the current Cycle peak at the end of 2025 and if show will it be at a minimum of $140000 and a maximum of $1600000, as the 7° angle on the Log Curve suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Gold and Bitcoin: Dual Insights for Investment OpportunitiesWith the instability in international affairs, gold has reacted first, successfully breaking through the $2700 mark. Meanwhile, BTCUSD remains stuck in a low-range consolidation, despite conditions that should have led to a breakout long ago.
From the weekly candlestick chart, it's evident that this week, the BTCUSD price has completely broken through the MA30 resistance. Historical data shows that after significant upward movements, prices often experience a pullback before rising again. So, will history repeat itself this time?
I believe the probability is very high. Therefore, if you have funds available but are unsure where to invest, consider converting your money into Bitcoin and waiting for its gradual appreciation, or directly invest in BTCUSD with a long-term strategy. I think this time, the price could reach 78K .
BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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btcusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line):
Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024.
The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it.
We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target.
So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN below the 60k again! Is this alarming??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today below the $60000 market again for the first time since September 18. The first headlines are already hitting the market calling for more downside. We highly doubt that as no only has the priced formed the first Higher High on September 27 in 6 months, but more importantly the uptrend since the August 05 bottom is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line.
Also, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) may have been broken, but as long as the price holds the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has held twice already on August 05 and September 06, the chances of a break-out above the 7-month Lower Highs trend-line are high.
In fact, the pattern since the August 05 bottom appears to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The standard technical target on such occasions is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a $80000 price tag. As long as the 1W MA50 holds, this is the most likely scenario in our opinion.
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BITCOIN fractal alert! Happening exactly like last October!We talked a while ago regarding the 'October effect' (August 28, see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). But today we need to make an urgent analysis as it appears that the market is repeating almost the exact sequence of a year ago (October 2023).
The similarities are more obvious on the 1D time-frame where the price is currently ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The most recent time it traded like this was exactly one year ago, back in the first two weeks of October 2023.
As you can see, during that time BTC also made a marginal break above the 1D MA200 before quickly pulling back below it. After it tested and held the 1D MA50 (as it did no on October 01 2024), is started the long-term aggressive rally of the Channel Up that peaked on March 14 2024.
As long as the 1W MA50 continues to hold as the long-term Support, there are high probabilities of seeing 100k, even before the end of 2024.
But what do you think? Do you see realistic the scenario of repeating the post October 2023 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD "Bitcoin" Bullish Side Robbery PlanHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist BTC/USD "Bitcoin" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 30m timeframe
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Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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BITCOIN Cup and Handle on full motion looking for the break-out.Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) full Cycle since the November 2021 High can be illustrated as nothing more than a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern with the Channel Down since March 2024 being the Handle of the formation.
Simple yet a technical reality, the Handle found support both in early August and September on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), keeping the bullish trend valid. In fact, the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1W MA50 have been the bottom formation zone during its previous 6-month consolidation in August - September 2023.
All Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom have been within +90% and +100%. Even if the minimum (+91.68%) of the last rally is followed, we can expect Bitcoin to reach at least $94000 during that run by the end of the year.
But what do you think? Will this Cycle-long Cup and Handle serve its purpose and break-out aggressively? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN The 'March-October' effect kickstarting an insane rally.Back in August we were first to discover and bring to you the 'March - October' effect (see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD), which is what every one is talking about now as we've started the month of October yesterday and the final quarter (Q4) of the year:
As you can see, this is nothing more than a consolidation that the market tends to make within this 6-month range that ends on October, which kick starts an aggressive rally. That was the case in 2020 (would be more flawless if the COVID crash hadn't distorted the chart) and more recently in 2023. Note that historically October shows gains of around +21.00%.
What we can additionally keep from this chart is that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held on three 1W candle tests since the August 05 Low and that provides the base for a potential October 2024 - March 2025 rally.
March 2025 has high chances of forming the peak of the rally as it historically tends to tops such Bullish Legs and then starts consolidation phases. That was the case on March 2024, March 2023, March 2021 and (as mentioned) if it weren't for the COVID flash crash, would have been most likely the case for March 2020.
All in all, even though the first two days haven't been ideal, we expect October to prepare the foundation for an incredible rally, especially on its last 2 weeks, a rally that might very well reach as high as $150000 before it enters a correction again.
But what do you think? Will October start such a rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN When Yuan gains Bitcoin shines. And it's already startedBitcoin (BTCUSD) has already started to break-out last week as it closed the first 1W candle with a Lower High in 6 months. Since the August 05 bottom, we've been seeing a strong bullish build up on BTC and the reason may be simpler than you thought.
As this 1W chart shows, historically when the USDCNY pair (red trend-line) tops by forming Lower Highs and starts declining (aggressively), Bitcoin always initiates its Parabolic Rally phase.
This basically means than when the Yuan gains strength, Bitcoin shines. The USDCNY's previous Cycle in particular, is virtually identical to the current one (2022 - 2024). All the above indicate that we may be on the verge and witnessing the start of BTC's most powerful part of the Bull Cycle.
But what do you think? Will a continuous fall on USDCNY fuel an aggressive rally on Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Road to 68000 ₿
Bitcoin finally leaves clear bullish clues after quite a long
accumulation within a narrow range on a key daily resistance.
The price went up rapidly yesterday and violated the underlined blue structure.
It opens a nice potential for more growth.
Next resistance - 68000.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN making a huge break-out as we speak.A little more than a week ago (September 17, see chart below), we made clear that if Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above July's Lower Highs trend-line (the Descending Triangle's Top), it would be a major bullish break-out for the long-term:
And so it did and today we witness another strong daily rise as the price broke above the August 25 65000 High, cementing and confirming all bullish break-out bias.
** Similar break-out happened 1 year ago **
What's even more interesting is that we saw almost the exact same break-out a year ago on October 01 2023, when BTC again broke above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) just after the Lower Highs break-out of an identical Descending Triangle.
It is remarkable that the market was also on a 6-month consolidation phase at the time, with a clear Resistance and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) supporting. The bottom was priced exactly when a 1D Death Cross was completed, just like the current phase did on August 05.
** 6-month Resistance break leading to +200% rise **
After a quick 10-day consolidation following the Lower Highs break-out, the 2023 fractal then 'attacked' the 6-month Resistance Zone and broke it aggressively, confirming the emergence of a violent Channel Up that, after almost a +200% rise, it would take Bitcoin to March's All Time High.
** Fed and U.S. elections immensely bullish **
With the Fed having started a new Rate Cut Cycle last week with an aggressive -0.50% cut and the U.S. Presidential Elections in November historically being a huge bullish event (as explained in one of our recent publications), there is no reason not to expect a similar rally.
We are expecting to see $95000 towards the end of the year.
So what do you think? Is this a huge bullish break-out for Bitcoin and if so, can we experience a an October 2023 - March 2024 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market Heist Plan on BearishHello My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Note: Attention for "Scalpers" trade only on short side and If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a "Swing trade Robbers" and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂b
Bitcoin - This Is The Bullish Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) still has a high chance of a breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Bitcoin is clearly following the behaviour of the previous cycles and there is actually no reason to be bearish at the moment. The current consolidation is rather a sign of strength and a bullish breakout is definitely more likely than a bearish rejection. Just closely monitor price action.
Levels to watch: $65.000, $32.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin's Healthy Uptrend Faces Critical Test—Is It Time to Sell
Bitcoin's recent rally has followed a well-defined and healthy uptrend, with the trendline offering strong support. This suggests a sustainable bullish momentum. However, for this healthy trend to continue, Bitcoin will soon need to retest its trendline support.
Should the test confirm strength in the trendline, the next significant resistance level is projected to be near 68K. On the other hand, if the trendline is breached, we can expect a short-term downside move towards the 60K-59K range, which marks the previous high during the first trendline test, and it should be treated as a potential support zone.
Given this outlook, the prudent trading approach for Bitcoin at this stage is to adopt a sell strategy, anticipating a short-term correction.
Trump or Harris?? For BITCOIN the elections only need to happen!Simplistic title over a matter as complicated and important as the upcoming U.S. Presidential Elections this November, but completely true in terms of pragmatism.
As this straightforward 1W chart shows, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) isn't just bulletproof when it comes to the elections but in fact it gains extreme buying momentum irrespectively of the winner (Democrat or Republican).
Obama in 2012, Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020 all those elections had in common the enormous Parabolic Rally that was initiated exactly after the result. That was on all Cycles the most aggressive phase, clearly showing that investors just need the elections to be over in order to buy risky assets confidently without this macro event in the way. Usually this comes with fresh presidential assurances that the 'market remains strong and we will do everything to keep it this way' etc, so it makes sense.
What is equally interesting is that Bitcoin tends to top roughly a year after the elections:
November 06 2021 = Bitcoin topped 385 days later
November 08 2016 = Bitcoin topped 399 days later
November 03 2020 = Bitcoin topped 371 days later
This model indicates that even if we can't estimate accurately BTC's top in terms of price, we can time it. And based on the November 05 2024 elections, historically the minimum time it could time for BTC to reach a new Cycle top, would be 371 days, giving us a rough date around the week of November 10 2025!
But what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to get the boost of its life after the U.S. elections? And if yes, is it realistic to expect a top around November 2025?? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Analysis elliot sell. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade