#BTC/USDT Weekly Update! $58k first!#BTC Weekly:
Closed red at $54,881. Holding the GETTEX:54K support is a positive sign in the short term. However, the price action seems incomplete, with substantial liquidity sitting around the GETTEX:48K and $43K levels (as mentioned in my previous article on BTC).
The key focus right now is maintaining the GETTEX:54K level.
If we lose this level on the daily chart with a confirmation candle, expect lower levels to be swept soon.
That said, as long as we hold the current level, we could see a retest of $58K to capture liquidity.
BTC Daily:-
The daily chart looks promising, as the price has bounced off the support, with a confirmation candle printing today.
Stay tuned, and I’ll keep this chart updated.
Hit that like button and share if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Btcusdbuy
#BTC/USDT#BITCOIN
Bitcoin is moving in a descending channel on the 4-hour frame and the price has reached a strong support area in green at $57,200
There are rising loads from the current support level but it needs upward momentum to be able to reach the targets
Entry price $58,000
First target $60,257
Second target $62,236
Third target $64,000
The pattern is canceled if the support level in green at $57,200 is broken
In that case, the price will be heading to $54,100, which is a strong support level
BTC: Can $50K Hold Strong This Time Around?Bitcoin Update:
BTC closed below GETTEX:54K on the daily chart, bringing the price close to the support trendline. As expected, BTC has made a bearish move.
What’s next?
The $50.6K support, or around $50K, must hold to help BTC rebound and rally. The RSI is attempting to form a bullish divergence; if successful, it could be positive for BTC.
For now, all eyes are on the support range between $50K and $52.5K.
Hope this helps. Trade safely.
Best regards,
Team Dexter
#BTCUSDT #Crypto
BTC Swing Long to 65k & 70kTrade Idea: Bottom for Bitcoin Might Be In
This chart suggests that Bitcoin may have found its bottom, with the potential for a bullish reversal. The following elements highlight this outlook:
1. Liquidity Zones:
- Liquidity/TP1: The chart highlights a take-profit zone (TP1) near the $64,000 level, where liquidity is expected to reside. This is the target area for the long trade.
- Prev. Monthly High: This is noted above the $70,000 level, potentially acting as a higher resistance level and extended target if momentum continues after TP1.
2. Entry Zone:
- The gray shaded area near the $55,000 level represents the entry zone, with liquidity around this price. This suggests that the price may have tapped into an important liquidity pool before starting its upward movement.
- External Liquidity: This region below the current price might have acted as a liquidity sweep, further confirming the bottoming pattern.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
- The chart identifies a FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $56,000 level, which could act as an area of interest. Price has filled this gap, possibly signaling the completion of its downward move.
4. Market Structure:
- The market appears to have tested lower liquidity levels and rejected them, potentially signaling that a local bottom has been established. The price action shows consolidation in the entry area, indicating accumulation before a potential upward move.
This trade idea would be well-suited for traders anticipating a medium-term bounce after Bitcoin’s recent downward movement.
140 Days into the 2024 Post-Halving for $BTCWe have 47 days until the new CRYPTOCAP:BTC ATH.
Watch for pressure driving the price down as there is a high potential to retest the $50-52k range within the next 9-10 days. Avoid capitulation if possible. Historically, the parabolic phase of this cycle will start within the next 4-5 weeks.
----------
Key Notes:
- Holiday Prediction Levels -
Halloween | 2024 | GETTEX:82K
Thanksgiving | 2024 | $105k
Christmas | 2024 | $142k
New Years Day | 2025 | $185k
- 500 D ATH Prediction Levels -
Bear | $110k
Base | $200k
Bull | $314k
- 280 D ATH Prediction Level -
Realist | $148k
----------
Prediction indicators based on historical data from the 3rd Post-Halving cycle.
Institutional, Micro, Macro and Seasonal economic pressures from either direction could blow this off course. I am hopeful the pending September 2024 Fed Rate cut will move the new ATH up by 10-15 days and result in a higher retest low before going parabolic.
----------
Indicator used is LuxAlgo's historical price prediction indicator, Date is 9/5/20 used on a daily chart with a growth factor of (1). The BLUE trend line is traced over the 2020/2021 parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle.
Bitcoin Funds Sees Outflows as Investors Bet on Price DeclineBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is facing a challenging period as investors increasingly position themselves for a potential downturn. The recent outflows of $319 million from Bitcoin funds, including those managed by prominent players like Fidelity and ARK Invest, reflect a growing sentiment among market participants who expect the digital asset’s price to decline in September. This shift comes amid broader concerns over economic conditions, Federal Reserve policy, and heightened market volatility.
Market Sentiment and Price Movements
The Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) market has experienced notable turbulence, with its price currently trading at $58,466 per coin, down more than 7% over the past week. This decline is part of a broader trend, with the asset now 20% below its all-time high of $73,737 reached earlier this year. Market participants are closely monitoring Bitcoin's exchange reserves, which have hit a multi-year low of 2.39 million BTC, representing a 25% drop from their 2020 peak. This significant decrease suggests a growing shift towards self-custody, which could potentially reduce selling pressure in the long term.
Key Technical Indicators:
- Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price recently dipped to a low of $57,257.71 before bouncing back above $58,000, indicating a recovery amid continued market volatility. However, the market's mixed signals are contributing to uncertainty, with liquidation data revealing $169.2 million in liquidations across the crypto market in just the past 24 hours, with long positions accounting for $125.59 million of that total.
- On-Chain Activity: Analysts are closely watching on-chain whale activity, ETF inflows and outflows, and other key metrics to gauge market sentiment. Notably, there has been an uptick in short Bitcoin investment products, which saw $4.4 million in inflows last week, the highest since March. This highlights a growing number of traders betting against Bitcoin, anticipating further price declines.
Economic Data and Federal Reserve Policy
The fundamental backdrop for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is being shaped by macroeconomic factors, particularly those related to U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve policy decisions. Stronger-than-expected economic data has led investors to believe that the likelihood of a significant interest rate cut by the Fed has diminished, reducing risk appetite for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and other cryptocurrencies.
Key Fundamentals:
- Interest Rates and Market Sentiment: With the Federal Reserve expected to cut rates less aggressively than previously anticipated, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which are considered "risk-on" assets, are seeing reduced investor interest. High-interest rates typically make safer, yield-bearing investments more attractive compared to volatile assets like Bitcoin.
- Regulatory Environment: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. was initially seen as a positive catalyst for the market. However, recent outflows from these funds suggest that institutional investors are growing cautious, potentially due to regulatory uncertainties and shifting economic conditions.
BlackRock and the Divergence in Institutional Behavior
While most Bitcoin funds experienced outflows, BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, saw inflows of over $219 million into its iShares Bitcoin ETF. This divergence indicates a split in institutional sentiment, with some investors still seeing long-term value in Bitcoin despite near-term market headwinds.
What This Means for Investors:
- Hedging Strategies: Investors who remain committed to the crypto space are increasingly looking at hedging strategies, such as short Bitcoin products, to mitigate downside risks. This aligns with broader market sentiment, where caution and risk management are taking precedence.
- Focus on Long-Term Trends: Despite short-term challenges, the decrease in Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) held on exchanges and the continued adoption of self-custody solutions suggest underlying confidence in the asset’s long-term value proposition. If demand continues to grow, reduced selling pressure could pave the way for a future bullish trend.
Conclusion
The current market dynamics present a complex landscape for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) investors. As macroeconomic factors weigh on sentiment, traders are adjusting their strategies, focusing on risk management, and exploring derivative products to navigate the volatility. While the short-term outlook appears cautious, the evolving market structure, characterized by declining exchange reserves and divergent institutional behavior, could set the stage for significant opportunities once economic conditions stabilize.
Investors are advised to keep a close eye on key economic data releases, Federal Reserve actions, and on-chain metrics as these factors will play a critical role in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming months.
BTC updateThe current monthly candle appears neutral. It is likely to test the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels of that candle, which are around the 55k mark.
Following this, we could see a range forming, with the range high around 60k.
Despite the monthly close, there is still no clear trend on the higher time frame. We can expect more choppiness and sideways movement. I am working on identifying dates when the market sentiment might turn positive and will share them once I have more clarity.
Looking at Line chart we should bottom between 0.236-0.382. Max drawdown is 54k
Bitcion FIB Retracement LevelsMy dear friend and fellow trader, I am writing to you today with great joy and pleasure.
We are currently looking at what can only be described as the most interesting, intriguing, and surprising technology of our time. This is the chart for Bitcoin.
1) Since March, BTC has been experience lower highs, as well as lower lows.
2) Since March, the highest volume in a single session has resulted in major selling.
3) Since March, there has been strong selling pressure each time Bitcoin tried to move up, and 70K became a major barrier in late July while 65K ended as the latest lower high.
BTC, Let's keep it simple shall weAh, the crypto jungle, where even the bears like to dance! 🕺 So, here we are, staring at a mature bear flag on the daily chart like it's that ex you thought you were over, but they just keep showing up. And if this bad boy breaks down decisively, we're careening straight into the “Oh No Zone” with a potential target between 45k and 48.8k.
And what's this? A Death Cross? Sounds like a rejected name for a 90s metal band, but here it is, grimly reminding us that sentiment is shifting faster than a squirrel on a sugar rush. 🐿️
Now, while retail investors are nowhere to be seen (probably hiding under their beds), the whales are out there doing what they do best—hoarding like it’s Black Friday at a crypto sale. 🐳 And of course, rate cuts are looming like your landlord when rent's due, which in crypto-speak means bearish first, bullish later. It's like being told your rollercoaster ride is delayed but, hey, there's a free ice cream at the end! 🎢🍦
Meanwhile, Gold is out there flexing at an all-time high, giving Bitcoin the cold shoulder like it's a high school crush that just found a new date to the prom. And Bitcoin dominance? Still strutting its stuff, leaving altcoins to suffer in silence.
Over in the ETH/BTC corner, things are looking as bearish as my last attempt at a diet—good intentions, but no follow-through.
Good News? Who Cares!: Good news hits the market and... nothing happens. At this point, it’s like shouting into the void: “BTC ETF occurred! ETH ETF occurred! Halving occurred!” And the market’s like, “Meh.”
🇺🇸 All eyes are on the US Presidency coming up in 2 months. Until then, it's like waiting for your blind date to arrive—highly uncertain and probably not going to end well.
Yet, here I am, my degenerate self, telling you this might just be the perfect recipe for a great bull market! 🍲
But let's be real—experience tell me that caution is advised.
That's it, that's the idea - Good night
Is my analysis correct about bitcoin- Fx Dollars - {31/08/2024}Educational Analysis says Btcusd Bitcoin may move in this range for some time according to my technical.
Broker - Bitstamp
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why this range?
Because the 1-week time frame is bullish and breaks the previous higher time frame highs.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this trade turned out.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BTC to hit 56k soonIn this video, I dive deep into liquidity zones and explain why they are crucial for our trading strategy.
I'll also review what has happened in the markets since my last video and analyze the key developments.
We’ll explore what to expect next, looking at potential scenarios that could unfold.
Finally, I’ll highlight some potential targets to keep an eye on in the coming days or weeks.
Make sure you don’t miss out on any important insights—subscribe to the channel for more analyses!
Bitcoin CME Futures Long Position on 1H Timeframe This trade is based on the 1-hour chart of Bitcoin CME Futures, where the price has retraced to the 0.7 Fibonacci level, signaling a potential upward move. We are looking for a bullish continuation to push the trend through the Sunday open, aiming for a higher target as the market gains momentum.
Key Levels:
• Entry: The trade is initiated near the 0.7 Fibonacci retracement level, where a strong support zone is identified.
• Target: The target is set at the upper green zone, which aligns with the expected upward movement through the Sunday open.
• Stop-Loss: A stop-loss is placed below the recent low (indicated by the lower red zone) to limit potential downside risk if the market moves against the position.
Rationale:
The 0.7 Fib level often serves as a critical support point, and the current market conditions suggest a possible upward movement. With the price consolidating at this level, we are positioned to capitalize on a bullish breakout toward the Sunday open.
Risk Management:
By setting a stop-loss below the recent low and adjusting the position size accordingly, we maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should consider adjusting this setup based on their individual conditions, such as position size, broker, and other external factors.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTCUSDT🔍 BTC/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉
The BTC/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe reveals significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it’s crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 31, 2024, 16:00 - Red Line: This time marks a potential local peak. Traders might consider this as a moment to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 27, 2024, 22:00, and September 2, 2024, 07:00 - Green Lines: These times suggest potential local lows. Traders may find favorable conditions to accumulate BTC or consider entering long positions.
When working within this 1-hour timeframe, remember that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, incorporating insights from higher timeframes to better understand the overall market trend.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 I'm keeping a close eye on BTC right now. We’re seeing a market structure break with a higher high on the chart, along with the potential formation of a base that could lead to further upward movement. If market conditions align as discussed in the video, I'll be considering a buying opportunity.
This analysis focuses on key aspects of technical analysis, such as trend identification, price action, and market structure. We’ll also discuss a potential trade setup and examine strategies that could increase the chances of success.
Please keep in mind that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The observations are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. It’s important to verify current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation provides a comprehensive review of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it's important to recognize that while the information is educational, it does not guarantee trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly advise using sound risk management techniques in all your trades.
We encourage you to do thorough research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, exercise caution, and approach the markets with a well-thought-out strategy. 📊✅
BTCUSDT4-hour time frame bitcoin analysis
Bitcoin has risen in the 4-hour time frame and can move up to the specified Swap zone. In price reversals, we can enter buying positions after seeing the confirmation. Also, when the price reaches the swap zone, we can look for sales positions by seeing the confirmation.
$BTC Macro ChartThis is my BTC idea for the long term as I did my chart based on the chart and the historical data as well.
As you can see in the picture attached to the chart, second time in the cycle when #BTC NUPL goes green (blue arrow) it indicates the start of the Bull Run (Parabolic Phase) 🐂 🚀
shout out to @CryptoBullet