Get started

Btcupdate

BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!! The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements. The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout. The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay? Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices. Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum. Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again. My Position and Outlook I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase. In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis. Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs. Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
by Data_Driven_Trading
Where are we in the Bitcoin Cycle?Let’s break it down: 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle Count 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 🧵👇 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle 📆We’re on Day 20 of the cycle. 💡 Around this time, a small retracement to the mid-cycle low is normal. But here’s the bullish twist: ⚡ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is HIGHER than: The previous cycle low Even the next cycle low ✅ Translation? We’re STILL climbing this cycle! 🚀 Expect upside in the next 1–2 weeks. 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 📊The 2W, 1W, 3D, and 1D indicators just hit 80—a level that usually triggers a price drop. ⬇️ This marks the top of the 1W cycle and could signal some short-term cooling off. Summary 🧠 🌱 Day 20 of a bullish cycle = Growth ahead. 🔔 Short-term pullbacks = Buying opportunities. 👀 Watch for continued upside over the next 1–2 weeks. Stay on the line. #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TradingView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello, BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy. Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue. I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce: Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support: This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support. Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level: The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices. Key Considerations: Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand. Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas. Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial. These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.
Long
by XU99
1
Bitcoin's $92K Correction: A Deep Dive into the Real CulpritBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently undergone a significant price correction, dipping below the crucial $92,000 level. While many analysts initially pointed fingers at the influx of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) as the primary catalyst for this downturn, on-chain data paints a different picture. The Myth of ETF-Induced Selling Pressure The narrative that ETF inflows have been the primary driver of Bitcoin's recent price decline has gained traction in certain circles. However, a closer examination of on-chain data reveals a different story. • Long-Term Hodlers Remain Resilient: Despite the market downturn, long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," have shown remarkable resilience. These individuals, who have held their Bitcoin for extended periods, have not been significant sellers during the recent correction. • Short-Term Holders Under Pressure: In contrast to long-term holders, short-term holders have been more inclined to sell their Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market volatility. This suggests that the recent price decline may be more attributable to profit-taking by short-term investors rather than a broader market sell-off. A Normal Correction, Not a Bear Market It's important to recognize that the current price correction is a natural part of the cryptocurrency market cycle. Bitcoin has experienced similar corrections in the past, often followed by periods of consolidation and subsequent upward momentum. • Technical Analysis Suggests a Healthy Correction: A closer look at Bitcoin's technical indicators reveals a healthy correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped below the overbought level, indicating that the recent price surge may have been overextended. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has crossed below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend in the short term. • Support Levels to Watch: Traders and investors should keep an eye on key support levels, such as the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could signal a potential reversal of the current downtrend. The Future of Bitcoin: A Long-Term Bullish Outlook Despite the recent price correction, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several factors continue to drive the adoption and value of Bitcoin: • Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of Bitcoin as a valuable asset class. This institutional adoption is likely to fuel further price appreciation in the long run. • Deflationary Supply: Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million coins ensures that its value will appreciate over time as demand increases. • Global Economic Uncertainty: As global economies grapple with inflation and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against inflation and a store of value is likely to grow. In conclusion, while the recent price correction may have caused some short-term volatility, it is important to maintain a long-term perspective. Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong, and the cryptocurrency is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory in the years to come. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. It is important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.2
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Understanding the Benefits of Long-Term Bitcoin HoldingThe Bitcoin market has been on a tear, recently surging towards the coveted $100,000 mark. Amidst this bullish momentum, a fascinating trend has emerged: long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "hodlers," are showing no signs of capitulation.1 In fact, they seem more determined than ever to hold onto their coins, even as the price continues to rise. The Psychology of Hodling The concept of hodling, a deliberate misspelling of "holding," has become synonymous with the Bitcoin community. It encapsulates the idea of buying and holding Bitcoin for the long term, regardless of short-term price fluctuations. Hodlers are often driven by a deep belief in Bitcoin's potential as a revolutionary technology and a store of value.2 As Bitcoin's price has soared, some investors might be tempted to take profits and cash out. However, long-term holders are resisting this urge, choosing instead to remain patient and steadfast in their conviction. This behavior can be attributed to several factors: • Belief in Bitcoin's Long-Term Potential: Many hodlers view Bitcoin as a digital gold, a scarce asset with immense value potential. They believe that the current price surge is just the beginning of a much larger upward trend. • Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): As Bitcoin's price continues to climb, there's a fear of missing out on significant gains. Hodlers may worry that if they sell now, they might regret it later when the price reaches even higher levels. • The Halving Effect: Bitcoin's supply is halved every four years, reducing the number of new coins entering circulation.4 This event, known as the halving, is expected to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. Hodlers may be anticipating a substantial price increase after the next halving, scheduled for 2024. • The Network Effect: As more people and institutions adopt Bitcoin, its network effect strengthens. This increased adoption can lead to higher demand, driving the price up further. Why Hodling is Good for Bitcoin The fact that long-term holders are resisting the temptation to sell is a positive sign for Bitcoin's future. Here's why: • Reduced Selling Pressure: When fewer coins are being sold, it reduces selling pressure on the market. This can help to stabilize the price and prevent sharp declines. • Increased Price Stability: A lower supply of Bitcoin available for sale can lead to increased price stability. This can attract more institutional investors who prefer assets with lower volatility. • Stronger Market Fundamentals: The behavior of long-term holders demonstrates strong market fundamentals. It suggests that Bitcoin is perceived as a valuable asset with long-term potential. • Positive Market Sentiment: The resilience of long-term holders can boost market sentiment, attracting new investors and driving further price appreciation. In conclusion, the greed of long-term Bitcoin holders is a bullish indicator for the cryptocurrency market. Their unwavering belief in Bitcoin's potential, coupled with their willingness to hold onto their coins, is a testament to the strength of the Bitcoin community and the underlying technology. As Bitcoin continues its journey towards mass adoption, the hodlers will likely play a crucial role in shaping its future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC Huge Gap!!! We going back to 75k?Hey guys! Congrats all with BTC ATH and recent profits, I was not commenting the situation, because it was pretty clear, and we all know what was happening. But also, as we know, even in the bull cycle have to be corrections and consolidations. So here at the futures chart, we can see a huge gap around the healthy correction possible zone (max to 30%). Also, we have RSI oversold for sure and descending volumes. Plus, in December there were no promises about decreasing US Interest rate, so possibly December can end up in this correction phase. What's your thoughts about when and how much we could go? Let's chat in the comments =)
CME:BTC1!Short
by SheTradesHub
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension. 📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down: 
 - How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks. - Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing. - The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities. 🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios: 1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction. 2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning. 📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance! 👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
by fxtraderanthony
45
Bitcoin Set for Explosive Move After 220-Day Consolidation!BTCUSD has been in a 220-day range, similar to a previous consolidation period seen in early 2023. Historically, after such long-range trading, Bitcoin has experienced strong bullish breakouts, as shown by the green arrows. With the current range nearing its end, we could be on the verge of another significant upward move. Keep an eye on a potential breakout, which may signal the start of a new bullish trend. Regards Hexa
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
2
The Importance of BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D Currently my indicator is suggesting BITCOIN IS WEAKENING whilst ALTS ARE STRENGTHENING and USDT is at the lower spectrum of its range suggesting crypto investment is the best option. Let's dive into understanding market dominance and liquidity metrics and why it's crucial for navigating the cryptocurrency space effectively. Three key metrics—BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance), TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding Bitcoin), and USDT.D (Tether Dominance)—offer valuable insights into investor sentiment, market trends, and potential shifts in liquidity. Let's explore these metrics, their typical ranges, patterns to watch for, and how they interact with a MACD-style crossover indicator which I designed to identify opportunities in Bitcoin, altcoins, and stablecoins. BTC.D: Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market cap as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap. It reflects investor preference for Bitcoin compared to other cryptocurrencies. Typical Range Normal Range: 40%-60% BTC.D tends to rise during bearish markets as investors flock to Bitcoin's perceived safety. Conversely, it often declines during bullish markets when altcoins outperform. Key Patterns Double Top: Indicates potential weakening in Bitcoin dominance, suggesting a shift in capital to altcoins. Double Bottom: Signals strengthening Bitcoin dominance, often as investors move back into Bitcoin for stability. TOTAL2: Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding Bitcoin) TOTAL2 represents the market capitalization of all altcoins combined, excluding Bitcoin. It is a direct measure of the strength of the altcoin market. Typical Range Normal Range: Highly variable, as altcoin performance can spike dramatically during "alt seasons." TOTAL2 increases during periods of high altcoin interest and speculative growth and declines during risk-off periods when investors sell altcoins for Bitcoin or stablecoins. Key Patterns Rising TOTAL2 + Falling BTC.D: Indicates an alt season where altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. Falling TOTAL2 + Rising BTC.D: Suggests a return to Bitcoin dominance, typically during periods of market uncertainty. USDT.D: Tether Dominance USDT.D measures Tether’s market cap as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap, reflecting how much liquidity is parked in stablecoins. Typical Range Normal Range: 3%-7% A high USDT.D suggests investors are moving into stablecoins, indicating risk-off sentiment. Conversely, a low USDT.D implies funds are flowing into riskier assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. Key Patterns USDT.D at Top of Range (~7%): Sign of high risk aversion. Typically, Bitcoin and altcoins are weakening, and liquidity is concentrated in stablecoins. USDT.D at Bottom of Range (~3%): Suggests a bullish environment where funds are flowing into Bitcoin and altcoins. The MACD-Style Crossover Indicator The MACD-style crossover indicator I built is for BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D simplifies these complex relationships into actionable signals. It plots all three metrics on a normalized scale and identifies key moments of transition: Bullish Alt Season Signal: When TOTAL2 crosses above BTC.D, it signals a potential alt season, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin. Bitcoin Dominance Signal: When BTC.D crosses above TOTAL2, it suggests Bitcoin is regaining dominance, often during market corrections or risk-off periods. Stablecoin Signal: When USDT.D crosses above BTC.D and TOTAL2, it indicates heightened risk aversion, suggesting a move into stablecoins as the market cools. What These Metrics Mean for Market Liquidity Liquidity flows are the lifeblood of the cryptocurrency market. These three metrics reveal where capital is moving: BTC.D High + USDT.D High: Indicates a risk-off environment. Investors are prioritizing safety, suggesting Bitcoin and stablecoins are preferred over altcoins. BTC.D Low + TOTAL2 Rising + USDT.D Low: Signals a risk-on environment, often the hallmark of an alt season. Investors are willing to speculate on higher-risk assets, driving up altcoin valuations. TOTAL2 Falling + USDT.D Rising: A clear sign of capital exiting the market. Altcoins are losing value, and funds are moving to stablecoins, often leading to market corrections. Conclusion By tracking BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D together, investors gain a comprehensive view of the cryptocurrency market's dynamics. The interplay between Bitcoin dominance, altcoin market performance, and stablecoin liquidity provides a roadmap for understanding capital flows and market sentiment. The MACD-style crossover indicator I built adds another layer of insight by simplifying the relationships into actionable signals. Whether it’s identifying the start of an alt season, a return to Bitcoin dominance, or heightened risk aversion favoring stablecoins, this tool empowers traders with timely and relevant information. The next time you analyze BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D, remember these ranges and patterns. They’re not just numbers on a chart—they’re the key to understanding the market's pulse and positioning yourself strategically for the next big move.
by Data_Driven_Trading
Bitcoin Nears $100,000 as China Clarifies Personal Crypto RightsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear, recently surpassing the $99,000 mark. This surge has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty. China's Crypto Clarity One of the most significant developments for the cryptocurrency market has been China's clarification of its stance on personal crypto ownership. While the country has imposed strict regulations on cryptocurrency trading and mining, it has clarified that individuals are allowed to hold cryptocurrencies for personal use. This regulatory clarity has boosted investor confidence and could potentially lead to increased adoption of cryptocurrencies in China, the world's second-largest economy. Institutional Adoption Continues to Grow Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, have been increasingly investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This growing institutional interest has provided significant support to the market and has helped to drive the price of Bitcoin higher. Global Economic Uncertainty The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including rising inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the potential for a recession, has led investors to seek alternative assets. Bitcoin, as a decentralized and inflation-resistant asset, has become an attractive investment option for many. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart suggests that the cryptocurrency is in a strong uptrend. The recent breakout above the $99,000 level has further strengthened the bullish sentiment. Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are signaling1 bullish momentum. On-Chain Data Points to Further Upside On-chain data, which analyzes the behavior of Bitcoin on the blockchain, provides further insights into the potential for future price appreciation. Metrics like the MVRV Z-Score, NUPL, and Puell Multiple suggest that Bitcoin is not overbought and has significant room to grow. Challenges and Risks While the outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, it is important to acknowledge the risks and challenges associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. These include: • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and Bitcoin's price can fluctuate significantly in a short period. • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulations can impact the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. • Security Risks: Cryptocurrencies are vulnerable to hacking attacks and other security threats. • Technical Issues: Technical issues with the Bitcoin network could negatively impact its performance and price. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent surge to near $100,000 has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty. While the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain, the current bullish sentiment and strong technical indicators suggest that the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trajectory. However, investors should approach Bitcoin with caution and be aware of the risks involved.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
How Do They Contribute to the Surge Above $100K on Deribit?A New Era of Crypto Adoption Dawns The cryptocurrency market has been ablaze with bullish sentiment, and Bitcoin (BTC) has taken center stage. A particularly striking development has emerged from the derivatives market, with Bitcoin futures on Deribit trading above the $100,000 mark for contracts expiring in March, June, and September 2025. This unprecedented surge in futures prices signals a profound shift in market sentiment and underscores the growing anticipation for Bitcoin's long-term potential. The Deribit Phenomenon Deribit, a prominent cryptocurrency derivatives exchange, has become a focal point for institutional investors and traders seeking exposure to Bitcoin's volatility. The exchange's robust trading platform and deep liquidity pools have attracted diverse market participants, from hedge funds to retail traders. The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit can be attributed to several factors: 1. Institutional Adoption: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies. These institutions often prefer derivatives markets for their flexibility and risk management capabilities. 2. Regulatory Clarity: Increasing regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions, including the United States, has boosted investor confidence. As governments worldwide grapple with the implications of cryptocurrencies, a more favorable regulatory environment could further accelerate adoption. 3. Network Upgrades: Bitcoin's ongoing network upgrades, such as the Lightning Network and Taproot, are enhancing the efficiency and scalability of the blockchain. These improvements could lead to increased adoption and transaction volume. 4. Deflationary Nature: Bitcoin's limited supply and deflationary nature make it an attractive asset for long-term investors. As the demand for Bitcoin grows, its price is expected to appreciate over time. A Glimpse into the Future The $100,000 price level for Bitcoin futures represents a significant psychological barrier. Breaking through this level could further ignite bullish sentiment and attract new investors to the market. However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, short-term price fluctuations are inevitable. Investors should approach the market with a long-term perspective and be prepared for potential volatility. The Road Ahead As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its role in the global financial system is likely to expand. The recent surge in futures prices on Deribit is a testament to the growing recognition of Bitcoin's value proposition. However, it is crucial to remain cautious and conduct thorough research before investing in cryptocurrencies. Potential Challenges and Risks Despite the bullish sentiment, several challenges and risks could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory: 1. Regulatory Uncertainty: While regulatory clarity is increasing, inconsistent regulations across different jurisdictions could create uncertainty for investors. 2. Market Manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is susceptible to market manipulation, especially by large players with significant financial resources. 3. Security Risks: Hackers and cybercriminals pose a constant threat to cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets. 4. Economic Downturns: Economic downturns and geopolitical tensions could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. Conclusion The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit marks a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency market. However, investors should approach the market with caution and be aware of the inherent risks. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, it is essential to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.1 Please conduct your own research2 or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
1
How Do They Contribute to the Surge Above $100K on Deribit?A New Era of Crypto Adoption Dawns The cryptocurrency market has been ablaze with bullish sentiment, and Bitcoin (BTC) has taken center stage. A particularly striking development has emerged from the derivatives market, with Bitcoin futures on Deribit trading above the $100,000 mark for contracts expiring in March, June, and September 2025. This unprecedented surge in futures prices signals a profound shift in market sentiment and underscores the growing anticipation for Bitcoin's long-term potential. The Deribit Phenomenon Deribit, a prominent cryptocurrency derivatives exchange, has become a focal point for institutional investors and traders seeking exposure to Bitcoin's volatility. The exchange's robust trading platform and deep liquidity pools have attracted diverse market participants, from hedge funds to retail traders. The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit can be attributed to several factors: 1. Institutional Adoption: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies. These institutions often prefer derivatives markets for their flexibility and risk management capabilities. 2. Regulatory Clarity: Increasing regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions, including the United States, has boosted investor confidence. As governments worldwide grapple with the implications of cryptocurrencies, a more favorable regulatory environment could further accelerate adoption. 3. Network Upgrades: Bitcoin's ongoing network upgrades, such as the Lightning Network and Taproot, are enhancing the efficiency and scalability of the blockchain. These improvements could lead to increased adoption and transaction volume. 4. Deflationary Nature: Bitcoin's limited supply and deflationary nature make it an attractive asset for long-term investors. As the demand for Bitcoin grows, its price is expected to appreciate over time. A Glimpse into the Future The $100,000 price level for Bitcoin futures represents a significant psychological barrier. Breaking through this level could further ignite bullish sentiment and attract new investors to the market. However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, short-term price fluctuations are inevitable. Investors should approach the market with a long-term perspective and be prepared for potential volatility. The Road Ahead As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its role in the global financial system is likely to expand. The recent surge in futures prices on Deribit is a testament to the growing recognition of Bitcoin's value proposition. However, it is crucial to remain cautious and conduct thorough research before investing in cryptocurrencies. Potential Challenges and Risks Despite the bullish sentiment, several challenges and risks could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory: 1. Regulatory Uncertainty: While regulatory clarity is increasing, inconsistent regulations across different jurisdictions could create uncertainty for investors. 2. Market Manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is susceptible to market manipulation, especially by large players with significant financial resources. 3. Security Risks: Hackers and cybercriminals pose a constant threat to cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets. 4. Economic Downturns: Economic downturns and geopolitical tensions could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. Conclusion The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit marks a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency market. However, investors should approach the market with caution and be aware of the inherent risks. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, it is essential to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.1 Please conduct your own research2 or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
How Bitcoin BTC Will Break $100k And What Is Going Next?Hello, Skyrexians! BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching the $100k, which is the key psychological level for many traders. Some traders are wondering how Bitcoin can pump so high, other became believe in $200k, $500k of even one million dollars per coin! For those who follow us it's not surprise that BTC has almost reached $100k from our previous analysis . There we mentioned that crypto asset is finishing the bull run with the wave 5. This wave had the target at $107k and we can define with higher accuracy the wave's end using subways count inside it. On the daily time frame we can see the potential Elliott Waves counting. Looking at the maximum Awesome Oscillator value we can see that currently price is printing wave 3. This wave has the target with the 1.61, 2.61 or 3.61 Fibonacci extension levels. The first one has been broken, now price is at 2.61 level. Therefore, it can start local correction anytime now. The maximum target is $113k, which has the low probability of reaching in this wave 3. We want you also to pay attention that Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator flashed the green dot just before the growth and at the bottom on August 5 as well. As always, alerts from this indicator can be automatically replicated on exchange account orders. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . We can expect the red dot as a potential reversal sign. The next dump in our opinion is not going to be the end of this game, Bitcoin shall print wave 4. It has targets between 0.38 and 0.5 level. BTC usually tends to show the short correction, so $79k can be the correction target. After that we expect the final subway of the final wave, which will likely reach our target from previous article at $107k, but the decisive factors are going to be the bearish divergence of the AO and the red dot on our indicator. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Skyrexio
16
My Sentiment indicator gave a wrong signal? (PAID Indicator)market was sideways and i think it sensed it correctly.. but it add the charm when you add 9EMA or 20 EMA... question : did it give a wrong signal? Let’s break it down. The exit happened when the price moved out of the green background zone, transitioning into the neutral charting color, typically indicating a lack of momentum. However, we then saw a big green candle, which brought some momentum back. The indicator, thinking the trend could continue, generated a buy signal. But in the very next candle, the price started falling. so basically when there is no red/green background it means sideways, where momentum, volume is lacking in the trend. This is the first time I’ve noticed such behavior—a buy signal followed immediately by a downturn. Interestingly, this happened right at the top, where the market essentially trapped traders. What do you think went wrong? This is why I sometimes incorporate the 9 EMA for exit or 20 EMA for additional confirmation like if price can be bullish again or change momentum. For example, if the market is above the 20 EMA, it generally signals bullishness. However, I use the 9 EMA in my indicator as an exit signal to maximize profits and ensure timely exits.
Long
by TradeTechanalysis
2
Btcusdt to where?We can notice first of all head and shoulders and that was the reason for the last uptrend If we count the distance from the head till the nick and we count it after passing the nick we can see that our first Goal on btc is at 105k so there will be the best Goal if it didn’t reflect from 99k which is a cluster of 270 and 540 angle of gann star counting from 3782.13 and 49k Second thing is the volume, we can see that for the current uptrend the volume is going down so there is weakness with this trend so we are expecting a correction and the next correction will tell us if it will go on or it will be it’s last station The last thing is that there is a trend line from last two tops till the current high and we can see that it closes as a daily candle three days above it but if we check on the weekly candle we can see that by the ending of this week it needs to close below it if it’s gonna be the last station but if it closes above this trend line I think that we will see continuing for the uptrend
by MohammadAlajami