BTCUSDT: $70k or a Crash?Crucial Support Zone:
The chart highlights a significant support area ranging between $57.8K to $60k. This level has historically provided strong support, as indicated by multiple bounces within this zone.
Potential Upside:
A potential upside target is marked at $72k, representing a 23.26% gain from the current levels. This target aligns with the upper boundary of the channel.
Technical Indicators:
The price is currently testing the support zone, suggesting a possible rebound if the support holds.
If BTC fails to maintain this support, a further decline could ensue, targeting lower levels.
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BITCOIN CRASH TO 54.7K MINIMUM MT. GOX DUMP!!!Hello as you can see we have 5 waves up and an abc correction. we are working on the C wave and i expect it to hit 54.7k because that is the 1.1 extension fib of wave a measured from wave b (be careful tho as wave C can go to 1.618 which would be 44k i dont see that happening this time tho as we still need to make a wave 5 on the super large time frame), as well as having a FVG that needs filled there, as well as being the base of the channel we are in. It is a triple confluence.
If you look at RSI we have a bearish divergence as well.
The two bottom indicators i am using are also showing to be in the middle of a wave right now. that would be the C wave on the large time frame. we will be making the 5th wave down on the lower time frame which on the lower time frame of that will be a 5 wave impulse move because we are in a downtrend.
Also, Mt. Gox, an old exchange that went down like 12 years ago is starting to repay their creditors in July, which is now, so those people are sitting on like 14000% profit and are going to cash out and dump hard. it is a total of like 18 billion.
This is a negative outlook but its just what the data show. when the data show bullish then i will be bullish but there is just so many things right at this moment ab to crash btc so just hold on tight and open a short.
i have one open from 63.2k and a target of 54.7k. Lets see if it hits.
A logarithmic look at the #Bitcoin monthly chart according to thAll the points drawn in the chart, all these numbers are based on the numbers of previous halvings and time analysis
This is a long-term analysis in the last months of 2026, i.e. November and December
Any upswing requires a price correction to continue the trend, which is well seen in Bitcoin, and my correction opinion is after hitting the new historical ceiling of the blue line.
This correction, which is after hitting the ceiling, will happen after the months of November 2025
If the numbers are done with a little up and down, I hope you will be satisfied with the analysis
I hope you can use this analysis in the long term and send it to your friends
Bitcoin Struggles with ResistanceBitcoin failed to continue rising above the resistance area of $63,650. The price is now correcting its gains and might revisit the support at $60,850.
Bitcoin faced difficulty extending gains above the resistance levels of $63,650 and $63,800. A peak was formed at $63,798, and the price started a downward correction.
The price dropped below the $63,000 level. The bears managed to push it below the $62,500 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. There was also a move below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 low to the $63,798 high.
Bitcoin is now trading below $62,500 and the 100-hour simple moving average. A bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $61,850. The bulls are now trying to protect the $61,400 zone and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 low to the $63,798 high. If there is another increase, the price might face resistance near the $61,850 level and the trend line.
The first major resistance is near the $62,250 level. The next major resistance could be at $62,500. A clear move above the $62,500 resistance might start a steady increase and push the price higher.
In this case, the price could rise and test the $63,250 resistance. Any further gains might drive BTC towards the $63,650 resistance in the near term.
If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,250 resistance area, it could continue to decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $61,400 level. The first major support is at $60,850. The next support is forming near $60,500. Any further losses might push the price towards the $60,000 support area in the near term.
If you are a long-term investor, it might be better to hold onto Bitcoin if you believe in its long-term potential. Short-term fluctuations can be part of the journey towards larger gains in the future.
If you are a short-term investor, you might consider partial or full selling if Bitcoin breaks below major support levels (such as $60,850) and a continued decline is confirmed. You can invest or increase your holdings if Bitcoin surpasses strong resistance levels (such as $62,500) and continues to rise with positive signals.
For day traders, you can take advantage of the quick market movements by entering and exiting positions based on short-term technical trading signals.
Always avoid investing money you cannot afford to lose and seek specialized financial advice if you are unsure about your decisions.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉🔍 In this analysis of BTC Bitcoin, we examine higher time frame charts that show a bearish trend with a retracement into resistance. I anticipate a possible sell opportunity given that the market is overextended and trading into resistance. It’s crucial to understand that this is speculative and not a guaranteed forecast. Watching for specific price movements to confirm a buy or sell is essential, as explained in the video. This video offers a detailed look at the trend, market structure, and price action. Keep in mind, this content is for educational purposes only, and trading carries significant risk. Always use robust risk management strategies in your trading practices. 📈🔔
Bitcoin Dominance at key levelBitcoing dominance at a critical level now. If BTC.D break upper line with weekly candle, BTC will pump more and BTC will make a new ATH in 2024.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Halving: A Historical Look at Price and ScarcityThe Bitcoin halving cycle, a programmed event that roughly cuts the block reward for miners in half every four years, has become a focal point for investors and enthusiasts alike. Historically, these halvings have been followed by significant price increases for Bitcoin, leading many to believe they are a reliable indicator of future bull runs. However, the relationship between halvings and price is more nuanced than a simple cause-and-effect scenario.
The core principle behind the price impact lies in scarcity. By reducing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created, halvings limit the overall supply. In a market driven by supply and demand, a decrease in supply can theoretically lead to an increase in price, as long as demand remains steady or increases. This anticipation of scarcity often fuels a price rise in the months leading up to the halving event. Investors see the limited supply as a bullish signal, prompting them to buy Bitcoin in hopes of future appreciation.
However, the price doesn't always experience an immediate surge after the halving. The newly minted Bitcoins are a significant reward for miners, who contribute computing power to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network. The halving essentially cuts their income in half, which can lead to a temporary decline in mining activity, impacting the network's hashrate (total computing power). This initial drop in hashrate can cause a period of price consolidation, where the price trades sideways as the market adjusts to the new supply dynamics.
The recovery from this consolidation phase is often described as "weak miners dying and hashrate recovering." Less efficient miners, who can no longer operate profitably with the reduced rewards, are forced to shut down their operations. This reduces the overall hashrate and makes the network more efficient as only the most powerful miners remain. As the hashrate recovers, typically within a few weeks or months, the price can experience a significant breakout, fueled by both the scarcity effect and renewed investor confidence.
Looking at historical data, this pattern seems to hold true. Following the 2012 halving, the price of Bitcoin rose from around $11 to a peak of $1,100 in November 2013. Similarly, the 2016 halving was followed by a rise from $650 to nearly $20,000 by December 2017. The 2020 halving coincided with a bull run that saw Bitcoin reach an all-time high of over $69,000 in 2021. However, it's important to remember that these are just a few data points, and the cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile. External factors such as economic conditions, regulatory changes, and broader market sentiment can also significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
The most recent halving, which occurred in April 2024, presents an interesting case study. While the price did experience some pre-halving anticipation, it hasn't yet reached a new all-time high. Additionally, the hashrate recovery has been slower than in previous cycles, taking over 60 days compared to the 24 days observed in 2017. This could be due to a number of factors, including the ongoing global economic uncertainty and the increasing energy costs associated with Bitcoin mining.
Only time will tell how the 2024 halving will ultimately impact the price of Bitcoin. However, by understanding the historical trends and the underlying economic principles at play, investors can make more informed decisions about their Bitcoin holdings. The halving cycle serves as a reminder that scarcity can be a powerful driver of price, but it's just one piece of the complex puzzle that shapes Bitcoin's value.
$BTC symmetrical tringle bullish pattern?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is in a rising symmetrical triangle pattern. This is a bullish pattern that usually breaks in an uptrend. We might touch the resistance at the EMA 100 before reversing to the upside, so be patient.
The MACD is not reset yet, and the RSI is showing many divergences created by the unexpected selling pressure that could not be forecasted by the chart.
However, the signs of a reversal are present, assuming that the selling pressure will stop.
The CMF is at the bottom, showing fear, and since it cannot go lower, it should recover. The RSI on the daily is close to the bottom, indicating a soon reversal to the upside.
In case of continued selling pressure, an invalidation of the chart would bring the support to the EMA 200 at 58k. Let's hope that does not happen.
$BTCUSDT trajectory Recent price pattern of BINANCE:BTCUSDT suggest a possible retracement to 54,520 area before a full swing to New highs. Anything below this zone could spell danger. This week's drop further proves my earlier projection. Sellers would be wise to wait till a minor retracement to 61,554 and use 54,600 as target.
Bitcoin Price Fails to Recover Above $62,500 Resistance ZoneBitcoin price failed to recover above the $62,500 resistance zone. BTC is showing bearish signs and might decline again below the $60,000 support. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $61,200 zone. BTC even attempted a move above the $62,000 resistance zone. However, the bears were active near the $62,500 zone.
A high was formed at $62,454, and the price is now moving lower. There was a move below the $61,500 level. The price declined below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from the $58,448 swing low to the $62,454 high.
Bitcoin price is trading below $62,000 and the 100-hour simple moving average. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The price is now stable above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from the $58,448 swing low to the $62,454 high. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $61,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $61,850 level and the trend line.
The next key resistance could be $62,000. A clear move above the $62,000 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $62,500 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $63,500 resistance in the near term.
If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $60,450 level.
The first major support is $60,000. The next support is now forming near $59,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $58,500 support zone in the near term.
Short-Term Buying Recommendation
If there is a clear move above the $62,000 resistance level, with a strong breakthrough of this resistance, Bitcoin price could begin a steady increase towards the $63,500 level. In this case, consider buying at the breakthrough of $62,000 and targeting $63,500 for short-term profits. Place stop-loss orders at the $60,450 level to minimize risk.
Selling Recommendation or Avoid Buying
If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,000 resistance zone, it is likely to start declining towards lower support levels. The first major support could be at $60,000 and the next support at $59,500. In this case, it is recommended to sell Bitcoin if there is a move below $60,450 or avoid buying until clear positive signals appear.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea🔍 In this BTC Bitcoin analysis, we explore the higher time frame charts which currently indicate a bearish trend for Bitcoin. However, the price action on a 15m timeframe suggests a possible short term reversal. It's important to note that this is speculative and not a guaranteed forecast. It's prudent to watch for certain price movements to verify a genuine reversal. This video provides a close look at the trend, market structure, and price action. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and trading carries significant risk. Always ensure you implement strong risk management strategies in your trading practices. 📈🔔
25/6 update to yesterday update: BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short Hello everyone,
looks like yesterday's call: "In my opinion, there is still potential to move to Lower prices, but we need to take a close look at how the price will behave around 1M ATH Close price @ 61.375$. If we are able to blast through it, my next expected target would be 58.500$."
- comes to fruition once again. Extra 5% in the bag for those who stuck with trade at least partially.
So what's Next?
As we can see, after we arrive at our target 58.500$ we got immediate bounce back to the price I told you to keep an eye on. Reason Why I already mentioned several times in my previous posts.
As for my next trade, I can still see odds in favor of continuation to Lower price targets - 58.500$ again and depending on How it will act around that price on a 1-5-15min chart determine if we can see further bleeding or we bounce and revisit Higher price.
So for now, I'm of the opinion that if we reach around 61.375$ to 61.500$ again it would be still a great Short entry area. Having in mind that I will be using STOP LOSS around 61.850$ as protection in a case I'm WRONG and we go to the "bounce target" I mentioned yesterday which is around 63.8k$-64.2k$. If that happens, that would be my New Short Entry area.
Good luck in your trading
Joe
10k? No - BTCIs Bitcoin going to 10k? No. I tried to clean the chart and look in a different way. I marked out a possible bull flag, and I think will be awesome if we will see the price to range in the 57.000-62.000 area for some days. This could give us a good chance to accumulate longs, because I think we will have a hot summer. Especially we could see some moves in July
#Bitcoin Urgent Update!#Bitcoin just hit the yellow box, validating this chart with 100% accuracy.
Lesson: Charts don't lie!
$60k is a crucial support level, but there's significant liquidity around the $57k mark.
I've been cautioning against leveraged trading for weeks. If you've dabbled in it, you know the struggle—pain and depression are part of every cycle.
The market often reverses right after you give up on your altcoin bags and close leverage positions at a loss. It's a recurring pattern.
So, I've been advising to stay away from leverage. Even my altcoin holdings are down, and I'm not buying yet. When I do, you'll be the first to know.
Follow for more updates and don't forget to hit the like button if you find my insights valuable.
Thank you.
Stay strong.
WAGMI
#Crypto