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BTC 2week trading strategy May 27- June 10No-need to hurry to enter the market until current futures contract expiration date on the 30th of May (vertical orange line). Also summer is usually not the best period for breakouts due to holiday season. Best-case: BTC price breaks through 69650 intraday resistance level confirming continuation of a short-term trend which started on the 1st of may (short violet dotted line). This trend will continue going upwards to break ATH or at least it will be transformed into a range between 66450 and 70500 before breaking ATH. Base-case: There will be a deeper pull-back to 64500, as a consolidation before ATH break. Overall the decline will be temporary and not too deep to break the medium-term trend which started on the 11th of Sep 2023 (long violet dotted line). Worst-case: Deeper pull-back to the current key supoprt zone (green rectangle) which will confirm that short-term and medium-term trends are over and the longer consolidation will be needed to break ATH (similiar to summer 2023). Trading strategy: Stop-limit at 69650 for the best-case scenario. however entering the market with 1/3 of max risk per trade limiting exposure to the worst-case of price locking in medium-term range (56500-72500) preserving flexibility to make another entry for base-case in case of a deeper pull-back to 64800, or after ATH break-out at a higher price. in case of the worst-case confirmed, reconsider whether it's still reasonable to hold the trade stop-loss below 50000 for a black-swan event to protect deposit from margin call. It is highly unlikely that this stop-loss will be trigerred accidently for the coming two weeks.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Cassandra299
2
BTC update to: BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short TradeHello everyone, Looks like our trade was delivered even though it took longer than was expected. So everyone who took the same trade, congrats on your profits! Aswell, I would point out How after I called for a lower price we went lower by around 1.85%, and How after that we visited the price I expected that is possible to reach for a great Short entry around 66.478$ (not so far from 66.500$) before our move unwind. With that said, I hope everyone who took the same trade already took some profits off to pay the trader. Now, to the harder part. And that's How to manage correctly trade if you still left some portion of your Short entry open. In my opinion, there is still potential to move to Lower prices, but we need to take a close look at how the price will behave around 1M ATH Close price @ 61.375$. If we are able to blast through it, my next expected target would be 58.500$. On the other hand, if in the upcoming hours price struggles to go lower than 61.3-61.5k$, I would expect it to bounce back a few % and that would be an opportunity to Open New Short trade. -> (around 63.500$ to 64.200$) I will update further once I get more confirmation about What is more probable to happen next. Joe
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by cryptocapitaltrading
BITCOINCurrent Price Action: The current price of BTC is around $62,533.06, indicating a recent drop of about 1.07%. The chart shows a clear falling trend (highlighted in red) from March to June. Key Levels and Zones: - Demand Zone: This zone is highlighted in blue around the current price level, indicating a strong buying interest area where the price is likely to find support. - Fair Value Gap (FVG): This zone within the demand zone represents a price range where there was an imbalance in buying and selling pressure. It often acts as a strong support or resistance area. Price Predictions and Entry Point: The chart suggests an entry point at around $64,485.85. There is a potential further drop to the $62,140.00 level, marked in yellow as a support level. Projected Upward Movement: Once the price stabilizes within the demand zone, a significant upward movement is projected, potentially breaking the falling trend. The green arrow indicates a potential price target of around $88,000 to $112,000 in the coming months. Technical Patterns: The chart indicates a potential trend reversal after touching the demand zone and fair value gap. The projected price movement shows a retest of the falling trendline before breaking upwards. Summary: The chart analysis suggests that Bitcoin is currently in a falling trend, finding support in the demand zone around $62,533.06. A potential entry point is around $64,485.85, with the possibility of further drops to $62,140.00. However, a significant upward trend is projected, potentially pushing the price towards $88,000 to $112,000 by August. This analysis assumes that the price will stabilize and reverse from the demand zone.
Long
by Tdawly_Official
Bitcoin Under Pressure: Analysis and Investment GuidelinesBitcoin price (BTC) faced difficulty rising above the $65,000 level, leading to its decline below the support level at $63,500. There was a continuous decline until the price reached a bottom at $62,700. This decline can be attributed to several factors, including profit-taking by investors and some negative news in the market. Technical indicators point to a clear downward trend as Bitcoin is currently trading below the $63,500 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. The bearish trend line connected with resistance at $63,600 indicates that recovery may be limited in the near term. If the price attempts to recover, it may face strong resistance at the levels of $63,550, $64,000, and $64,500. Surpassing these levels may pave the way for a stable increase that could reach $65,500 and even $66,200. On the downside, immediate support is near the $62,700 level, followed by $62,200, and then $62,000. Any break below these levels could lead to a further decline to $61,200. Investment Recommendation In the short term, Bitcoin is facing strong downward pressure. Investors should closely monitor support levels. If the support level at $62,700 is broken, there may be further decline, providing a buying opportunity at lower levels. Despite the current decline, Bitcoin still holds strong potential in the medium and long term. Current price levels may be a good entry point for investors looking for long-term investment, especially if they are willing to endure some market volatility. Investment Strategy 1. Short-term investors: They can wait for the break of key support levels like $62,700 and $62,000 to enter buy positions at lower levels, or wait for the break of resistance levels at $64,500 to confirm the upward trend before buying. 2. Long-term investors: They may consider the current declines as a good opportunity to buy gradually over different time periods (dollar-cost averaging) to take advantage of lower prices. I repeat an important point from a previous article: I expect Bitcoin's price to rise by 30% in July, surpassing $85,000, despite the current technical indicators leaning towards a downward trend. Therefore, if you are considering investing in Bitcoin, now may be a good time to consider buying, especially if you can withstand the volatility and have a long-term outlook. It is advisable to regularly reassess positions and take advantage of any significant price movements to take profits or adjust strategies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by bbitar
BTC/USDT Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on BTC/USDT, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📉 Price Breakthrough and Reaction The provided chart shows the price breaking through the Sell Side Liquidity (SSL) and the previous week's low (PWL), both key liquidity levels. Currently, the price is reacting to the 50% (CE) level of the Fair Value Gap (FVG). 📊 Significant Reaction and Divergence The price has retraced to the defined FVG, showing a significant reaction at the 50% (CE) level. This movement also created a Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence with ETH/USD. Our analysis identified Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) levels, which the price action has respected, showcasing an optimal scenario. 🧠 Understanding Smart Money Technique (SMT) You might wonder about SMT: in this context, SMT occurs when BTC makes a low followed by a lower low, while ETH makes a low followed by a higher low. This divergence indicates a Bullish SMT, especially when it coincides with existing inefficiencies (FVG). 📈 Bullish Movement Expectations We can anticipate a bullish movement from this point, targeting the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) levels such as the previous week's high (PWH) and the Equal Highs (EQH). 🐻 Considering a Bearish Scenario To consider a bearish scenario, the price must invalidate the SMT. If the SMT remains intact, our outlook stays bullish until key levels, such as the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), are reached. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring EUR/USD today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by RealArmin
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📊 When we examine the daily and 4-hour charts for BTC Bitcoin, it’s evident that BTC is currently in a strong bearish trend. The price has been consistently moving downward. I’m keeping an eye out for potential trade opportunities that align with a trend continuation strategy. In our video, we delve into essential aspects such as market structure, price action, and a specific strategy based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Here’s a brief overview of what we cover: 📈 1: Market Structure: We analyze how Bitcoin’s price is behaving within the broader market context. Understanding market structure helps us identify key levels and potential turning points. 📈 2: Trend Analysis: By examining price movements, we determine whether the prevailing trend is likely to continue or reverse. In this case, we’re focusing on continuation. 📈 3:Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci levels provide valuable support and resistance zones. We look for potential entry points based on these levels. Remember that the content in our video is purely educational. It’s essential to approach trading with caution and not consider it as financial advice. Always conduct your research and make informed decisions.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
7
Whale Moves and Market Optimism: Potential Surge to $100,000Bitcoin continues to capture investors' attention with its price changes and large movements. Every rise and fall sparks more questions about its future and how it might affect the global economy. Recently, Bitcoin was traded at a price of $65,715, experiencing a small increase of about 1% in the last 24 hours, which sparked some cautious optimism among cryptocurrency enthusiasts around the world. This new confidence has been bolstered by the activity of major whales and long-term positive predictions. Some see this as an irreplaceable opportunity, while others warn against the danger of drifting behind illusions. Bitcoin seems to be at a key point that could be a good chance to buy, based on current conditions and optimistic market predictions. The rise in activity from big investors and their large purchases of Bitcoin show they believe in the currency's future, which could signal positive market trends. Also, over 70% of all open Bitcoin positions on Binance are bullish. A well-known crypto whale recently made headlines by buying 6,070 Bitcoin, worth about $395 million. This marks the whale's first major purchase in over 18 months. Renowned for strategic trading, this investor had previously acquired 41,000 Bitcoin during the 2022 market dip at an average price of $19,000 each. In a smart move, the whale sold 37,000 Bitcoin during the market upturn in 2023 and 2024 for an average price of $46,800 each, earning a total of $1.74 billion and over $1 billion in profit. This recent purchase reflects the whale's renewed optimism in Bitcoin’s future, suggesting potential significant price increases ahead. Due to recent activity and positive market predictions, Bitcoin seems to stand at an attractive buying point. The current support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average and the lower edge of an ascending triangle pattern signals potential rises. It is expected that a bounce from these levels could soon push the Bitcoin price to $72,000, paving the way for a potential rise to $100,000 in the long term. I expect the Bitcoin price to rise by 30% in July, potentially exceeding $85,000, although current technical indicators lean towards a bearish trend. Therefore, if you are considering investing in Bitcoin, now might be a good time to consider buying, especially if you can handle volatility and have a long-term perspective. It is advisable to regularly reevaluate positions and take advantage of any significant price movements to reap profits or adjust strategies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by bbitar
BITCOIN is on the verge of a deep fall. What can save the growthBitcoin was unable to continue its growth trend, which began in May through the range of $72000-74000. Buyers were not even able to update the previous local high and were immediately hit back: Buyers were unable to hold the local range of $68000 to continue the upward wave from May. And the worst part is that bitcoin's decline is happening on small volumes: The last chance to save the growth trend is the range of 64500-65500 . Right now, the BTC price is approaching a large number of buyer stop orders. If the BTC price aggressively rebounds from this range and the daily candle closes above $68100, we expect BTC to continue to grow to $72000 and update local highs. For now, we don't believe in this scenario, as the USDT dominance chart indicates that things may be just beginning: The chart shows that a market drop of another 20-30% is highly likely. Therefore, in this case, we will consider short positions on bitcoin from the 68100 range. Why there? Here is an hourly timeframe that shows that from this range, buyers began to slow down the price drop with limit orders: If we assume that small traders opened short positions in this range, it is quite easy to pick them out. The target for such a trade is $60,000. This target stems from our previous forecast and will be confirmed when the 64500-65500 range is broken down: But what about other cryptocurrencies? Write your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by P_S_trade
17
BTC (DO OR DIE SUPPORT)BTC / USDT After many liquidation cascades in last few days BTC has reached one of most important support in this boring range (109 days !) The level between 66k-64k is considered to be the mid line support of the big channel 1- If it hold above …A new bullish wave will form and may be even a new ATH 2- If it failed to hold … the price will drop to test the bottom of the channel again In times like this i call this support is the do or die support What do u think about BTC next ? Share with us in comments below ⬇️
by Babenski
6