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Where to from here on BTC part 3This is the third post in the series of posts where I am looking at possible direction of BTC and price targets. Links to previous posts are in description. In this post we will look at DXY and use its price action to guess where BTC is headed in future. The chart you see in the post shows a wave count based on Elliott Wave analysis. The most recent count that I am tracking and makes sense is a Zig Zag correction in DXY after it put in a massive rally to 114. The Zig Zag is a 5-3-5 sequence, downwards the most difficult part of this sequence is to identify the 3 (ABC) sequence. Right now, we have completed the first two parts of the zigzag. The first 5 waves down followed by 3 wave sequence as a Flat correction and about to begin the final 5 waves down to 94 region on Dxy as we have satisfied the minimum requirement for the 3-wave sequence completion, which the 0.5 retracement from top to bottom. We just tapped it and are rejecting from 0.5 retracement. Why does it matter for BTC price? It's because DXY is highly inversely correlated with BTC price, so if DXY is about to go down bitcoin is likely to go up. Another thing I noticed is the divergence in DXY/BTC correlation. DXY has put in an enormous 8% rally, from 13th July when it bottomed out and btc topped on the same date. But after 17th of august dump there has been a divergence, Dxy Put in an almost 5% rally and during the same time BTC put in 15% rally after hitting 25K support. This shows the increasing strength of Bitcoin overtime, possibly because of increasing adoption among institutions. I will be tying it all together in this series, in a final post which is coming soon. So please follow me for updated on this analysis and may others to come in future.
TVC:DXY
by zakoraio
Where to from here on BTC part 2This is continuation of the Series of posts on Bitcoin, where I will look at where BTC price is headed in coming weeks and months. Link to first part is in the description. What you are looking in the is a Diamond, it's an extremely common pattern that appear repeatedly, at key inflection point, on all time frames, and this is by far the most accurate pattern that I have encountered in terms of measured move it produces on breakout. I find the results to be most accurate when I follow the following two rules when looking at a breakout of price from the diamond. A breakout is considered valid when at least one candle closes outside of the bounds of the diamond, with respect to the timeframe its drawn on. A breakout is only valid if it happens from the 4th Quadrant of the diamond as highlighted in the chart. The targets of this diamond are highlighted in the chart, to the upside it will hit close to 34K, to the downside around 20K. These targets are not the ultimate highs/lows, but usually this is where the next accumulation/distribution ranges are formed before making another move. Now let's look at some other examples of the diamonds that appeared in the past and played out perfectly. These are all on Daily time frame, if you know how to find them and draw them, they appear on all timeframes. The only thing is that you need to know how to draw diamonds accurately and how to anticipate an incoming diamond formation before it even forms. Please let me know in comments if that's something you want me to cover in another post, I will be happy to share.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by zakoraio
BTC Implied Volatility Surpasses ETH, Urging Traders to ExerciseIntroduction: In recent times, the cryptocurrency market has witnessed a significant surge in volatility, causing traders to reassess their strategies and approach. Notably, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced an unprecedented level of implied volatility, surpassing that of Ethereum (ETH) over the last 10 days. As a trader, it is crucial to recognize this heightened uncertainty and take a conservative stance to protect your investments. This article aims to shed light on the current market conditions and provide a call-to-action for traders to exercise caution until a more predictable trend takes shape. Understanding Implied Volatility: Implied volatility refers to the market's expectations of future price fluctuations. It is an essential metric that traders utilize to assess the potential risks and rewards associated with a particular asset. When implied volatility is high, it indicates increased uncertainty and potential price swings, making trading decisions more challenging. BTC Implied Volatility Surpasses ETH: Over the past 10 days, Bitcoin has experienced a surge in implied volatility, surpassing that of Ethereum. This development suggests that the market perceives Bitcoin to be more unpredictable and prone to sudden price movements compared to its counterpart. While Bitcoin's volatility has always been a characteristic of the cryptocurrency, the current levels are noteworthy and demand careful consideration. The Importance of a Predictable Trend: In times of heightened volatility, it becomes increasingly difficult to make accurate predictions and execute profitable trades. As a conservative trader, it is crucial to prioritize risk management and protect your capital. By pausing BTC trading until a more predictable trend emerges, you can avoid unnecessary exposure to potential losses and navigate the market more effectively. Call-to-Action: Exercise Caution and Wait for a Predictable Trend: Considering the current market conditions, it is prudent for traders to exercise caution and refrain from trading Bitcoin until a more predictable trend takes shape. By adopting a conservative approach, you can minimize the risks associated with heightened volatility and protect your investments. Instead, focus on monitoring the market, analyzing price patterns, and identifying key indicators that may indicate a more stable trend. In the meantime, consider diversifying your portfolio by exploring other cryptocurrencies or traditional assets that may offer more stability. This approach allows you to mitigate potential losses and maintain a balanced investment strategy. Conclusion: As BTC implied volatility tops ETH for a record over the last 10 days, it is essential for traders to acknowledge the increased uncertainty in the market. By adopting a conservative tone and urging caution, this article emphasizes the significance of waiting for a predictable trend before resuming BTC trading. Remember, protecting your capital and prioritizing risk management are key to long-term success in the ever-evolving cryptocurrency market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we observe that Bitcoin has exhibited a bearish sentiment in recent times, as evidenced by the formation of lower lows and lower highs on the 4-hour chart. Presently, BTC is undergoing a retracement, approaching levels of previous resistance. Within the video, we delve into a prospective trading opportunity, taking into account essential factors such as prevailing market trends, price action and market structure. It's crucial to emphasize that the video provides an analysis of these elements. However, it is essential to note that the content should not be interpreted as financial advice. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, and it is imperative to exercise prudent risk management strategies
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
6
The Shanghai High Court recognizes Bitcoin.The Second People's Intermediate Court of Shanghai has officially recognized Bitcoin as a unique digital asset that cannot be replicated, characterized by its scarcity and intrinsic value. On September 25th, the court issued a discussion report on the development of internet technology. The report highlights that, with the advancement of internet technology, digital assets like Bitcoin have become unique and non-replicable. It emphasizes that among a multitude of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin stands out as distinctive and one-of-a-kind. The document also outlines several distinctive features of Bitcoin, including its scarcity and property as an asset. Furthermore, the court asserts that Bitcoin exhibits characteristics of a currency, such as its ability to scale, ease of transfer, storage capabilities, and use as a means of payment. Bitcoin continues to be utilized globally without central oversight. In 2021, Beijing imposed a comprehensive ban on cryptocurrencies, including mining activities. However, recent court rulings have recognized Bitcoin, along with numerous other digital assets, as legitimate assets protected by the law.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Human_Fenrir
9
BTC Consolidation Continues at $26,000 - A Moment to PauseAs you may have noticed, BTC has been demonstrating a remarkable consolidation pattern, maintaining a steady value of around $26,000. This prolonged consolidation phase suggests a potential stabilization in the market, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Such periods can often serve as an opportune time for traders to reassess their strategies and make informed decisions. Considering this situation, I would like to propose a momentary pause in active BTC trading. By stepping back and observing the market dynamics, you can gain valuable insights into the potential direction BTC may take in the near future. This pause will allow you to analyze the current market sentiment, evaluate any emerging trends, and make well-informed trading decisions based on a more comprehensive perspective. While the decision to pause your trading activities ultimately rests with you, I believe it is crucial to consider the benefits of taking a momentary break during this consolidation phase. By doing so, you can minimize the potential risks associated with volatile market conditions and ensure you are well-prepared for any future opportunities that may arise. I understand that trading is a dynamic and ever-evolving process, and it is essential to adapt to changing market conditions. Pausing your BTC trading now does not imply a long-term cessation but rather a strategic move to reevaluate your approach and align it with the evolving market landscape. In conclusion, I invite you to take this opportunity to pause your BTC trading activities temporarily. By doing so, you can gain a clearer understanding of the current market dynamics and potentially position yourself for more favorable trading opportunities in the future. Thank you for your attention, and please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or require further clarification. Wishing you successful trading endeavors.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSDTIn this part of the chart in the 4-hour time frame, we see one of the most powerful ICT concepts called PO3. POWER OF THREE consists of three parts: Consolidation In this section, we see the price range, which causes the formation of liquidity at the top and bottom of this range Manipulation In this section, we see a fake but strong move out of the range section, which grab liquidity at the top or bottom of the range, and then returns to the range with the same strength. Expansion In this section, we will see the main movement of the market in the opposite direction of the previous fake movement. But before the start of the main movement, we will often see the price return to the broken line of the range and points that are of interest to market makers, such as FVG or order blocks. In this section of BINANCE:BTCUSDT price action, we clearly see all these three upper sections. First, Consolidation Then Manipulation , which was accompanied by a news, and caused Sharpe move above the range line and immediately Sharpe move into the range. And now we have to wait for the expansion movement. A pullback to the range line and probably to the FVG indicated in the chart and then the start of the main trend towards the targets indicated in the chart. ⛔"Daily crypto market analyses I provide are personal opinions & not financial advice. Trading carries risks, so do your own research & seek advisor's help.#DYOR" Don't forget to like and comment
by Madoir
2
BTC SHORT, potential -5000 points, VWAP and MTF MACD Hello Traders :) BTC accepts the VWAP extension , closing below creating a Heikin Ashi signal starting potential shorts towards the upper VWAP band. Confirmation of decreases in the form of a multi time frame MACD indicator. The negation of the scenario will be after the candles close above the band to which BTC showed a reaction a moment ago. After creating a LONG signal by Heikin Ashi above the VWAP line and by generating a LONG signal by the multi timeframe MACD indicator, I consider the scenario closed and SHORTS should be closed. However, in the situation when the scenario will be implemented positively, you should observe the behavior of BTC at the key points marked on the chart. Value at high VWAP, point of control VWAP and Value at low, these are three points that are potential targets for BTC. After closing the candle below a given point and positively accepting a new point - you can continue short with an open plan for the next target. After the negation of a given point and information from the MACD indicator in the opposite direction, you can close the trade on a given target without expecting further targets. If you want to learn more about VWAP, check out my guide available on my profile. Happy trading :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Vezzeris
BTC Approaches Golden Cross Could Push Price Beyond 30K BTC, our beloved digital asset, is currently on the verge of a Golden Cross formation on the charts. For those unfamiliar, a Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. It is often regarded as a bullish signal, indicating a potential upward trend in the near future. Now, here's the truly exciting part: experts and analysts predict that this Golden Cross could be the catalyst that propels Bitcoin's price past the remarkable milestone of $30,000! The market sentiment is brimming with optimism, and it's time to consider how you can potentially benefit from this promising situation. So, what's the call-to-action here? Well, my friends, it's time to consider a potential long position on BTC. By going long, you can position yourself to profit from the anticipated price surge, should it materialize as predicted. Of course, as traders, we understand the importance of conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and managing risk effectively. But with the potential rewards that lie ahead, it's worth considering this opportunity. As always, I encourage you to stay informed and keep a close eye on the market. Monitor the BTC price movements, study the charts, and follow the insights of reputable analysts to make the most informed decisions. Remember, trading requires diligence, and it's essential to exercise caution and set appropriate stop-loss levels to protect your investments. If you have any questions or need assistance navigating this exciting opportunity, please comment below. Let's embrace this positive development with enthusiasm and optimism, and may the Bitcoin market bring us joy and prosperity in the days to come!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
6
Bollinger Bands Tightly Consolidated as BTC Remains Range Bound At present, Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range of around $27,000, and this prolonged consolidation phase is a cause for caution. The Bollinger Bands, a widely used technical analysis tool, suggest that volatility is diminishing, and a significant price movement could be imminent. In light of this information, we strongly urge you to pause your Bitcoin trading activities temporarily. It is crucial to exercise patience and avoid making hasty decisions during such periods of consolidation. While it may be tempting to seize potential opportunities, the current market conditions warrant a more cautious approach. Here are a few reasons why we believe it is prudent to exercise restraint and pause BTC trading for now: 1. Reduced Volatility: The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a decrease in price volatility. During such times, market movements tend to be limited, making it challenging to predict short-term price trends accurately. 2. Potential Breakout: The tightly consolidated Bollinger Bands often precede a significant price breakout. By pausing trading, you can avoid potential losses resulting from sudden and unpredictable price swings. 3. Risk Management: Taking a step back from trading allows you to reassess your risk management strategies and ensure you are well-prepared for any potential market shifts. It is crucial to protect your capital and make informed decisions when the market provides clearer signals. While the decision to pause trading ultimately rests with you, we strongly advise against making impulsive moves during this consolidation phase. Consider this as an opportunity to reevaluate your trading strategies, conduct thorough research, and seek expert advice if needed. We will continue to closely monitor the market and keep you updated on any significant developments. Remember, patience and discipline are key virtues in the world of trading, and it is during these uncertain times that they become even more crucial. If you have any questions or require further guidance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to assist you throughout this period of consolidation. Thank you for your attention, and we wish you all the best in your trading endeavors.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Cracking the Code of Trading Success: The Power of BacktestingHello, fellow traders! Today, let's dive into the world of backtesting. But first, what exactly is backtesting, and why should you care? Backtesting stands as one of the fundamental pillars of any trading system. This process involves testing your trading strategies against historical data to determine whether they stand the test of time. Additionally, backtesting serves as a potent tool for bolstering your self-assurance in your trading capabilities. When a trader comprehends every nuance of their system and its profitability, they become resilient in the face of losing streaks, handling them with poise. Now, let's break down these variables you should consider during backtesting: • Risk-to-Reward Ratio • Win Rate (the percentage of profitable trades) • Optimal Timeframes for Strategy Execution • Assets Where Your Strategy Excels During backtesting, you have the liberty to tweak and fine-tune these variables. For instance, if you wake up in the middle of the night with an urge to test imbalances after daily highs/lows on the EURUSD pair—go ahead, conduct the test! Here's a set of rules to guide you: • Note the Previous Day High/Low (PDH/PDL) at the start of the trading day. • Wait for liquidity to be drawn from these levels. • Anticipate an impulsive break of the structure accompanied by an imbalance on the H1-M15 timeframe. • Enter based on this imbalance with a take profit target set at the nearest liquidity pool, where the Risk-to-Reward Ratio exceeds 3. • Position your stop loss behind the swing that triggered the liquidity draw. • Remember, no drawdown and reversal mean no trade. After conducting your backtest, analyzing the results, your journey is far from over. This is where you transform into a scientist, forming hypotheses: • What if you wait for a structure break on the M5 instead of the H1-M15? • What if you enter from the imbalance and set a fixed Risk-to-Reward Ratio of 4 instead of targeting the liquidity pool? • What if you place your stop not behind the swing but behind the first candle of the imbalance? In the end, you'll amass a treasure trove of data that will illuminate your path, helping you discern the best course of action in various trading situations. PDH/PDL becomes EQL/EQH, opening the door to fresh scenarios for backtesting. Yes, it's a challenging and time-consuming process. Yes, it may leave you feeling exasperated at times. But always remember your ultimate goal: you're searching for what will generate profits, seeking that elusive edge. That's precisely why I recommend selecting a handful of assets and thoroughly understanding their unique characteristics. Learn how they behave in trending markets, during ranging periods, where they tend to offer favorable entry points, and which sessions they perform best in. Dive deep into Risk-to-Reward Ratios, win rates, position sizes—the whole gamut. What works impeccably for BTC might spell losses for EUR, and vice versa. In an ideal world, focus on one instrument and trade it until you know it better than your own hand. Trading is about automation, embracing the monotony, and banishing emotions from the equation. Now, what are your thoughts? Feel free to share them in the comments!
Education
by Ingwina
Bollinger Band Battle for BTC Confuses on Future Price DirectionI wanted to draw your attention to an intriguing phenomenon in the world of cryptocurrency trading that has been causing some confusion among investors. Specifically, the ongoing battle of Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin (BTC) has left many uncertain about the future price direction. For those unfamiliar with Bollinger Bands, they are a technical analysis tool that provides insights into market volatility and potential price breakouts. Typically, when the upper and lower bands tighten, it indicates a period of consolidation, suggesting that a significant price movement may be on the horizon. However, in the case of BTC, the Bollinger Bands have been sending mixed signals, making it challenging to predict the cryptocurrency's next move. While some analysts argue that the tightening Bollinger Bands suggest an imminent breakout, others believe that the current market conditions call for caution. This disparity in opinions has resulted in a state of uncertainty among traders, as they grapple with the decision of whether to buy, sell, or hold their BTC positions. In light of this confusion, we would like to encourage you to consider pausing your BTC trading activities temporarily. By taking a step back and observing the market dynamics from a neutral standpoint, you can avoid making hasty decisions based on conflicting signals. Instead, it may be prudent to closely monitor the situation and wait for a clearer indication of BTC's future price direction. As we navigate the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, it is essential to remember that patience and a well-informed approach are key. By staying informed about the latest market developments and seeking insights from reliable sources, you can make more informed decisions that align with your investment goals. In conclusion, the ongoing Bollinger Band battle for BTC has left investors perplexed about its future price direction. We recommend exercising caution and pausing BTC trading temporarily to gain a better understanding of the market's next move. As always, staying informed and seeking professional advice are crucial components of successful investing. Should you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment away. We are here to support you in navigating the cryptocurrency landscape. I wish you continued success in your investment endeavors.
by bryandowningqln
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaBitcoin BTC recently embarked on a robust bullish surge over the past week, although it subsequently exhibited a loss of momentum, leading to a period of sideways trading. This pattern was followed by an abrupt upward spike that breached the existing trading range, only to subsequently retrace back to previous levels. The pivotal question at hand revolves around whether this spike will maintain bullish momentum. In our video, we delve into various perspectives on this market development, engaging in a comprehensive analysis and discussing a potential trade opportunity. It is crucial to emphasize that the content presented is intended exclusively for educational purposes and should not be misconstrued as financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Celebrating BTC's Breakthrough and Fed's Rate Pause Extension! I bring you exhilarating news that will surely put a smile on your face - Bitcoin (BTC) has defied all odds and broken through the FWB:27K mark! What an incredible milestone for the world's leading cryptocurrency! But that's not all! In a further stroke of luck, the Federal Reserve has announced an extension of its rate pause. This exciting combination of events has created a perfect storm of opportunity for those who are ready to seize the moment and long BTC. The recent "death cross" formation has sparked some concerns among traders, but BTC has proven yet again that it is a force to be reckoned with. This remarkable breakthrough not only showcases the resilience of Bitcoin but also reinforces the growing confidence in its potential as a long-term investment. Now, let's talk about the call-to-action that I'm excited to share with you. With BTC's recent surge and the Fed's rate pause extension, it's an ideal time to consider long positions in Bitcoin. By taking advantage of this favorable market sentiment, you can potentially maximize your profits and ride the wave of BTC's upward trajectory. Here are a few reasons why you should seriously consider going long on BTC: 1. Strong Momentum: BTC's breakthrough demonstrates its ability to defy market expectations and maintain a strong upward momentum. This positive sentiment is likely to attract more investors, further fueling its growth. 2. Institutional Adoption: The increasing acceptance of Bitcoin by major institutions has been a game-changer. As more institutional players enter the market, it adds credibility and stability to BTC's value, making it an attractive long-term investment. 3. Market Volatility: While volatility can be unnerving, it also presents lucrative opportunities for traders. BTC's recent surge is a testament to its ability to weather market fluctuations and provide substantial returns for those who are willing to take calculated risks. So, my fellow traders, let's embrace this momentous occasion with enthusiasm and a positive outlook. Consider taking a long position in BTC to capitalize on its upward momentum and potentially reap substantial rewards. As always, please exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions. The cryptocurrency market can be volatile, but with careful analysis and a well-informed strategy, you can navigate these waters successfully. If you have any questions or need assistance with your trading endeavors, please don't hesitate to comment below. Wishing you continued success and profitable trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln