Btctrade
Bitcoin Bounces Back: Eyes on $74,000 After May 16 Surge
Bitcoin (BTC) surprised many on May 16th with a sudden surge that brought its price close to $66,000. This bullish move followed a period of consolidation and came amidst a broader risk-asset rally triggered by positive economic data from the United States. While some analysts remain cautious, others see this jump as a potential springboard for further gains, with some even predicting a push towards $74,000.
Positive Macro Data Fuels Risk-On Sentiment
The key factor behind Bitcoin's recent price increase seems to be a shift in investor sentiment. The release of positive economic data from the U.S., indicating continued economic growth, sparked a risk-on environment across the markets. This meant investors were more willing to invest in riskier assets like Bitcoin, leading to the sudden price jump.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: A Bullish Case
Technical analysts are now scrutinizing the recent Bitcoin price action. The successful break above the $62,000 resistance level is a bullish signal, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend. Additionally, some analysts point to the fact that Bitcoin is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, further bolstering the bullish case.
This positive sentiment is echoed by some prominent figures in the cryptocurrency space. Predictions are circulating that Bitcoin could reach $74,000 in the near future, with some even suggesting a potential price discovery phase beyond that.
Doubts and Uncertainties Remain
Despite the current optimism, some analysts remain cautious. The swiftness of the recent price increase has raised concerns about a potential correction. A pullback could occur if investors decide to take profits or if there's a sudden shift in market sentiment.
Furthermore, the broader economic climate remains uncertain. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could dampen investor enthusiasm for riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Focus on Key Resistance Levels
The coming days will be crucial for Bitcoin's price trajectory. If BTC can hold onto its gains above $62,000, it could pave the way for a test of the $68,000 resistance level. A decisive break above this level would significantly strengthen the bullish case and increase the possibility of reaching the much-anticipated $74,000 target.
Long-Term Outlook: Still Bullish?
While the short-term outlook for Bitcoin is uncertain, many analysts remain optimistic about the long-term prospects. The upcoming Bitcoin halving event in 2024, which will significantly reduce the number of new Bitcoins entering circulation, is expected to put upward pressure on the price in the long run.
Furthermore, the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin continues to be a positive sign for its future. As more major financial institutions embrace Bitcoin, it could lead to increased demand and price appreciation.
Conclusion: A Balancing Act for Bitcoin
Bitcoin's recent surge is a positive development, but it's important to acknowledge the remaining uncertainties. The price will likely continue to be influenced by a combination of factors, including macroeconomic data, investor sentiment, and technical indicators.
While some analysts predict a price discovery phase beyond $74,000, others remain cautious about the possibility of a correction. Close attention should be paid to how Bitcoin behaves in the coming days, particularly its ability to hold onto its gains and potentially overcome the key resistance levels.
Ultimately, whether Bitcoin can maintain its upward momentum and reach new highs will depend on how these various factors play out in the near future.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Chart Idea - Swing Short on BTCI was bullish on BTC until last Friday before the WAR news broke. It was beautifully making a bullish penant which 70% breaks towards the upside. However, it didn't happen this time and it broke towards downside and confirmed.
Since we now got the confirmation of breaking downwards, I am seeing further downside now. Currently trying to bounce from 0.382 fib level ($60K). There is no volume though and structure is really bearish. I believe it should bounce from 0.618 ( GETTEX:52K ) level. IMO, we will be seeing the following levels in next few days/week:
Support Levels:
1- Daily EMA 100 - $58673
2- 0.5 fib level - $56188
3- 0.618 fib level - $52000
4- Daily EMA 200 - $50182 (Worst case scenario IMO)
We should bounce really hard if we hit 3rd or 4th level of supports.
WHAT'S NEXT for BITCOIN? BTCPrevious analysis worked out perfectly. We are in deep profits and i placed the stops at break even. But now, what's next for BTC? Probably it will not stop now, i think it will keep pumping at least till the $71.000 area where we can maybe have a retrace till $63-65.000. But it's still too early for that. For now, let's enjoy the ride
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaBitcoin is currently in a downtrend, which we can observe on the daily time frame. It has been forming a pattern of lower lows and lower highs. However, there’s an interesting development when we zoom in to the 30-minute time frame.
On the daily chart, BTC retraced and moved away from an optimal entry point. But on the 30-minute chart, using the same strategy, we see a potential sell opportunity if price action aligns with what’s described in the video. In the video, we cover essential aspects of technical analysis, including trend analysis, price action, and market structure.
Remember that trading involves risks, so always manage your risk carefully. This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📈👍
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaRecently, BTC has experienced downward pressure. A bearish pattern is evident on the 4-hour chart. At present, it has traded into a key support zone and there’s a strong possibility we see it pullback into a resistance zone. The video discusses the prevailing trend, recent price movements, overall market structure, and presents several trading ideas for your consideration.
Please remember, the content provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, highlighting the importance of consistently applying strong risk management strategies.
Don't Expect a Get-Rich-Quick Scheme with Spot Bitcoin ETFsDon't Expect a Get-Rich-Quick Scheme: Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Long-Term Strategy
The recent approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC in January 2024 sent ripples of excitement through the cryptocurrency community. Many envisioned a meteoric rise in Bitcoin's price, fueled by a sudden influx of institutional capital. However, a month later, reality presents a more nuanced picture.
This lack of immediate price explosion shouldn't disappoint long-term investors. While the short-term impact may be muted, spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a significant step forward for cryptocurrency adoption. Here's why the initial price bump might not be the most important indicator:
Gradual Embrace by Institutions: Institutional investors are known for their cautious approach. While some might have dipped their toes into the market with the ETF launch, others will likely take a more measured approach. These investors will meticulously analyze the market and strategically allocate funds over time. This gradual adoption will likely lead to a steadier, more sustainable price increase in the long run.
Regulation Breeds Trust: The SEC's approval signifies a growing level of comfort with Bitcoin from a regulatory standpoint. This newfound legitimacy fosters trust among institutional investors who were previously hesitant due to the perceived risk associated with the unregulated nature of the crypto market. Increased trust paves the way for long-term, reliable investment.
Building the Infrastructure: Spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a critical step in building a robust infrastructure for Bitcoin trading. These investment vehicles offer a familiar and regulated framework for institutions accustomed to traditional markets. This improved infrastructure will attract a wider pool of investors over time, driving long-term price appreciation.
These factors highlight the importance of looking beyond the short-term price fluctuations. Spot Bitcoin ETFs offer a secure, regulated entry point for institutional investors, fostering trust and laying the groundwork for sustained growth.
Beyond the Hype: A Long-Term Play
The crypto market is known for its volatility, and short-term price movements can be unpredictable. Focusing solely on immediate gains can lead to impulsive decisions and missed opportunities. Investors should instead focus on the long-term implications of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These instruments represent a crucial piece of the puzzle for mainstream adoption. They provide a gateway for institutional capital, leading to a more mature and robust cryptocurrency market.
The true impact of these ETFs will likely unfold over a longer timeframe. As the infrastructure matures and institutional adoption broadens, we can expect to see a more stable and potentially significant price appreciation in the years to come. Spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a marathon, not a sprint, for investors seeking long-term value in the cryptocurrency market.
Remember: Don't chase quick gains based solely on the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs. This is a long-term play with the potential to reshape the future of the cryptocurrency landscape.
If we skip the summer then 135k soonI am tentatively looking at this summer that we will probably skip it and we will have the peak in place at the end of 2024 already at the beginning of 2024, so if I am 99% wrong again, we will soon be testing 44k and then 69k.
Fasten your seat belts, find the puke bags and enjoy trading safely =D
vVv
BITCOIN: Target 100k+, IF this happensBitcoin just broke under an important support area of 60k and hit 56k.
However, if you look at the chart you can see that we went straight back up to 64k, making a FULL retracement.
If you look closer you can notice the exact same pattern happened 25'th of January, followed by a week of sideways movement and then the breakout that sent price all the way to 72k.
Last move happened in two big moves: From the first breakout: 42k to 52k, followed by another week of sideways movement. Then the last push from 52k to 72k.
Respectively, this represented a 23% move from 42k to 52k. Then 10 days of consolidation in a flag pattern. Followed by a 38% move from 52k up to 72k.
If this repeats:
First target would be around 78k.
Second target around 108k.
However we could reach much higher than 108k since Bitcoin moves exponentially during bull runs.
My plan to know when to exit, is simply to look out for 3+ days of sideways movement and if price makes new flag patterns (tight ranges), then simply re-enter the position again.
For this idea to be valid, look out for:
1. Price to stay within this range of 62k - 66k in the coming 3 - 5 days, before entering *Better entry, but a slightly lower probability.
2. And/Or wait for price to break out from 66k after 3 - 5 days, before entering *Worse entry, but higher probability.
Good luck everyone!
Like, share and comment if you like this post and want to see more like this.
BTC moving in bullish flag Hey there traders!
Some thoughts about BTC.
We can see the movement in bullish flag, but with descending volumes! So I think that we will finish the last Elliot wave and will continue grow and maybe break resistance in May-June with hitting ATH.
Now we can try to trade the last Elliot wave with TP at support box. SL can be a bit upper the flag line.
What's your thoughts guys?
IMPORTANT! Always follow the RM strategy to prevent losses. Do not trade more than 3% of your deposit and stay in control of emotions!
BTCUSD: sell
After a sharp rebound, the rise has slowed down near the resistance level. The indicators need to be repaired. Pay attention to the support between 62000 and 61300. If the support is effective, go long. For the current transaction, shorting is safer and the probability of making money is higher.
Bullish only above $60k BTCBTC i stuck in the resistance zone at $59.000/$60.000. In my previous idea, i marked this area as a key resistance zone and in fact, BTC is having some difficulties to break this level. If Bitcoin will fail to go over there, we can expect a drop in the coming days, as i was previously thinking. Otherwise, if Bitcoin will break above $60.000 we can expect a rapid pump that could lead the price at $62.000/64.000
Analysis of BTC/USDT Weekly ChartThis analysis examines both the short-term and long-term trends for Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) using the weekly chart.
Short-Term Trend:
Based on the current bearish sentiment, I believe there's a high possibility of BTC experiencing a further drop in the short term.
A potential support level could be found around the intersection of the 21-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level (highlighted by the yellow circle on the chart).
Long-Term Trend:
Despite the short-term weakness, the overall trend remains bearish on the weekly timeframe. This is evidenced by the price being below major moving averages (10-week, 20-week, etc.) and the bearish Ichimoku Cloud... BUT
Potential Long-Term Opportunity:
If BTC finds support at the mentioned confluence zone (21-week EMA and 38.20% Fibonacci level), a potential long-term buying opportunity might emerge.
In this scenario, the price could target a range between $80,000 minimum and potentially reach $100,000 initially, marking the completion of the third bullish wave.
Additional Considerations:
This analysis is based on technical indicators and should be combined with other factors like fundamental news and on-chain metrics for a more comprehensive understanding.
Market conditions are dynamic, and these targets and support levels are estimates. Always practice proper risk management when trading.
This version clarifies my analysis and it's just a possibility and not financial advice.
BTC: bedt support📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 59570
🛑Stop Loss: 61192
🎯Take Profit: 58272 - 56468 - 54908 - 52987
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🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
Bitcoin BTC price follows a familiar routeCurrently, crypto market users are divided into two camps:
1️⃣ - to the mooon with the first stop at 100k and 2️⃣ - the beginning of a correction to at least 50k.
Two ultra-radical camps that will find 101 reasons why it should be exactly as they "want and expect" and not otherwise.
On the #BTCUSDT chart, we have copied and displayed the fractal of #Bitcoin price behavior for May-October 2020. That is, how the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price behaved before and after the previous halving.
And this scenario is not bad: the #BTCUSD price is entering a prolonged consolidation phase at range $65,000-73,000 during the summer of 2024.
At this time, the capital of large funds will be able to partially and smoothly flow into crypto projects with a smaller capitalization.
What can this process provoke? That's right - the alt-season
Are you intrigued?) We are waiting for 50 likes and at least 10 comments from you, and then we will supplement the idea with the BTC.Dominance, USDT.D charts and the total crypto market capitalization chart which clearly show how this process can look like.
#BTC/USDT Keep an eye on this level!#Bitcoin is eyeing the box, folks!
We've got MA support chilling around $59.8K—could be seeing a retest real soon.
Remember, if it dips below this MA on the daily, that's our cue to reconsider our plays. 👀
Remember, alts are just waiting on Bitcoin's next move. We might be in a snooze phase now, but that's exactly when the market likes to shake things up with some wild swings when you least expect it.
Stay alert! 🔥
#cryptocurrencies