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BTC TO $86,850Based on my TA, BTC has now confirmed a short term trend change on the smaller time frames which will result in relief / pull back on the higher time frames (W,M). BTC recently just crossed over the SMA's, pulled back and rejected them as well as a major key level. There is also the case of the SMA's (21/9) crossing over on the 4hr indicating a trend change confirmation. On the higher time frames we also has deceleration and exhaustion from the candles showing a relief period and pull back is in coming which of course will result in a trend change again on the smaller time frames. We also have the issue of the FED stating they are not looking to hold a BTC reserve and won't be changing their opinions anytime soon regardless of Trumps open supportiveness of Crypto. The fib is also confirming a bear market as it is aligning very nicely with key levels and targets to the downside. I have entered at the LH which is the same area the market rejected the crossover of the SMA's. We'll likely see some consolidation / resistance around the $94,500 price mark as it is a major key level imo but if we break that level then BTC will likely fall to the golden ratio market out by the fib which also happens to align with another major key level of $86,850 which is my overall target. Of course i will lock in profits along the way, i have a small stop on this trade of just 2.5% located just above the cross over of the SMA's for some protection from TA.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL? Hello, colleagues! So, what we have in the middle of the trading week: Since the last review Bitcoin managed to rewrite its high once again and reached above 108K on the Bitstamp exchange. Also yesterday was the Fed meeting, the decision of which was to lower the rate by another 25 basis points and followed by the traditional J. Powell conference, during and after which the shedding started in many markets. #BTC As for bitcoin specifically, the correction was asked for a long time ago and the asset corrected only by 9% from its high and this decline cannot be called unexpected. At the moment, BTC continues to stay in the trend and there is still room for the correction to continue at least to the upward support at $97-98K and we can't exclude the stabbing even lower, to the trading boundary at 94K. But, in general, from these values I expect a buyback and continuation of growth. I expect such another near-term decline, mentioned above, within the framework of working out of the candlestick formation Absorption on 1D. For the first time in a long time the asset showed a strong bearish candle and just covered the gap for the last weekend on the CME exchange. In any case, a correction is necessary for any healthy market, whether bullish or bearish. If we compare each post-halving cycle on the logarithmic chart of the 1Mes TF, we can see that the asset has continued to rise for at least another year. Therefore, there is every chance to continue rising until at least Spring 2025, or even Q4.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️ Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️ Bitcoin and many altcoins are significantly overbought in their respective cycles. 🚨 Caution is strongly advised. Avoid jumping into investments late in the 1-week cycle. Instead, wait for the cycle to dip below 20 before considering an entry. 📉 🧠 Quick Recap: How to Use the Cycle Signals - ✅ Green Zone = Potential Buy Signal - 🚫 Red Zone = Potential Sell Signal We’ve been in the red zone for a considerable amount of time now, signaling heightened risk. A retracement appears likely, so patience is key! ⏳ The Danger of FOMO It’s tempting to trade when: - The market moves 24/7 🌐 - Influencers flaunt their PnL cards 📊 - News and activity are constant. 📢 But jumping into an overheated market can lead to losses, not gains. ✅ What to Do Instead: - Don’t chase the hype. - Missed a 10-15% gain? No problem! Compare that to the profits from buying in the green zone and selling in the red—you’ll make far more with less risk. 🔑 Stay Smart, Stay Patient Remember: **There’s nothing worse than watching your portfolio bleed daily.** Avoid the stress by simply waiting for better cycle opportunities. 💡 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...Bitcoin, we're testing a correction... Not to scare anyone, testing 3 situations..... on the last developed tool. 1. growth on the last 2 fractal structures is over, so a fall follows and the trend will change, but the older structure allows maximum growth around 118000. 2. a global decline follows around 46/43000 and then 37/36000/ on the current chart. 3. very, very soon we are in for a correction in the 66666 area..... many altcoins will probably make a new low and then a rapid rise - here I am testing a correction following a growth pattern. .... I wrote for the future. ...This is not investment advice. ...If anyone finds my postings useful and wants to thank me, they can always find me in the comments. Disclaimer, the author of this article has not and will not open positions in bitcoins, this article is a way to analyze the price, do not open positions based on the above.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
$BTC analysisSupply Zones (OB -): Two major resistance zones are identified at 104,555.1 and 100,581.2, where price reactions are expected. Demand Zone (OB+): A support zone is located at 94,366.3, which might act as a target if intermediate supports are broken. Market Structure: After testing the upper resistance, the price might retrace and continue downward toward lower support levels. Scenario: The price is expected to react at the resistance of 100,581.2. If selling pressure dominates, it may head lower toward 98,939.2 and eventually to 94,366.3. and if btc break that order blocks - price will go to next new high , but technical shows us bear trend now
by ScorpionX_Co
BTC/USD: Are We Heading for $115K, or Could a Big Correction?Good afternoon, trading family, Bitcoin is at a critical point right now, and the next few moves could define its direction for weeks to come. Let’s break down what we’re seeing: Upside Potential: $107,818: This is the key level to watch. If Bitcoin breaks above it, we could see momentum push us towards $115K. $115K-$117K: This is the big target for bulls—reaching this zone would confirm a strong breakout. Downside Risks: $102,794: A drop below this level could signal the start of a deeper pullback. $80K: This would be the first major support if we lose $102,794. $50K: While less likely, it’s still possible if selling pressure accelerates. Like, Comment, Follow for more Kris / Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record HighBitcoin's meteoric rise has captivated the world, with its price surging to record highs and traders setting their sights on even more ambitious targets. As the cryptocurrency market experiences a bullish "Santa Claus Rally," Bitcoin traders are now targeting a staggering $120,000 price level. Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record High Bitcoin's recent rally has been fueled by a confluence of factors, including increased institutional adoption, growing global interest, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. The cryptocurrency has consistently broken new price records, surpassing the $100,000 mark and even reaching heights above $106,000. However, the market's optimism has been tempered by concerns about the potential impact of a "hawkish rate cut" by the Federal Reserve. While a rate cut is generally considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin, a hawkish tone from the Fed could dampen sentiment and lead to a price correction. The Fed's Impact on Bitcoin The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a significant influence on the cryptocurrency market. A rate cut can stimulate economic growth and increase liquidity, which can benefit Bitcoin and other digital assets. However, if the Fed signals a less accommodative stance or hints at future rate hikes, it could lead to a sell-off in the market. Bitcoin's price has historically been correlated with traditional financial markets, and the Fed's actions can have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency's value. Therefore, traders are closely monitoring the Fed's announcements and any potential shifts in its monetary policy. Bitcoin's Potential as a Reserve Asset Another factor that could increase Bitcoin's price is its increasing adoption as a reserve asset by institutions and governments. Several countries have expressed interest in incorporating Bitcoin into their national reserves, recognizing its potential as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. If major economies start accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could significantly increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive its price to new highs. This development could further solidify Bitcoin's position as a digital gold and a valuable asset for investors. The Road to $120,000 While the $120,000 price target may seem ambitious, it is not entirely out of reach. If the bullish momentum continues, supported by strong institutional adoption, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and potential positive developments in the regulatory landscape, Bitcoin could very well surpass this milestone. However, it is important to approach the cryptocurrency market with caution and to be aware of the inherent risks involved. Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly in a short period. Traders should conduct thorough research, diversify their portfolios, and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent rally has been impressive, and the cryptocurrency's potential for further growth remains significant. While the Fed's monetary policy decisions and broader macroeconomic conditions will continue to influence the market, the increasing adoption of Bitcoin as a reserve asset and the growing interest from institutional investors could drive its price to new heights. As Bitcoin traders set their sights on the $120,000 target, it is crucial to maintain a balanced perspective and to be prepared for both upside and downside risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K ! Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin. You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem. Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.) The real question is: what makes a trendline valid? A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid. Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top. The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it. But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully. P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know. Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can. "That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
INDEX:BTCUSD
by hhMaxima38
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup Trade Idea: - Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB). Confluence: - Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion. - Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum. - Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment. Risk-Reward: - Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone. - 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000. Quick Take: Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
Short
by Fondera
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis (BTC/USDT) – Updated TradingOverview of the Current Bitcoin Market Trend In December 2024, the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) market continues to show a strong bullish trend, with the price moving within an ascending channel. However, Bitcoin is currently facing key resistance levels, which could lead to one of two scenarios: a continued breakout or a correction to test support levels. In this article, we will analyze the Bitcoin market trend in detail and provide effective trading strategies. Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD Market Overview for December 2024 The Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart shows the price moving within an ascending channel, with a trendline support below and resistance above. Currently, the price is approaching the significant resistance zone around 104,000 USD to 106,000 USD. These levels have acted as strong resistance in the past. Will Bitcoin break through these levels and continue its upward trend, or will it face a pullback? Let’s find out. Analysis of Resistance and Support Levels Strong Resistance at the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD Zone Main Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD range, which is a key resistance area. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this zone and stays above the resistance, the price could continue to rise. However, if the price fails to break above and shows rejection, it may consolidate or retrace. Strong Support at the 100,000 USD Level Main Support: The 100,000 USD level is not only an important support but also a psychological round number for investors. This is a level where Bitcoin could recover if the market experiences a pullback. If the price dips to this level and begins to bounce back, it may create a buy opportunity aligned with the uptrend. Bitcoin Trading Strategies Breakout Strategy Entry Condition: If Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD breaks above the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD resistance zone with high trading volume, consider entering a long position. Pay attention to the strong upward momentum in volume to confirm the breakout. Profit Target: The profit target could be 110,000 USD or higher if the trend continues. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the nearest support level, such as 100,000 USD or 99,000 USD, to protect the position if the price fails to maintain the uptrend. Buy on Dip Strategy Entry Condition: If the price pulls back to the 100,000 USD level or the support of the channel, you can enter a buy position. Confirm the bounce with increasing volume and a recovery candlestick pattern. Profit Target: Take profit at 104,000 USD or higher if the uptrend continues. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below 100,000 USD or below the channel’s support to safeguard the position. Short Strategy Entry Condition: If Bitcoin fails to break through 106,000 USD and shows signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns, decreasing volume), you may consider opening a short position. This is especially true if volume does not increase when the price approaches resistance. Profit Target: Take profit at the 100,000 USD level or below the channel’s support. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above 106,500 USD to protect the position if the price continues higher. Volume Analysis Volume is an important factor for confirming technical signals. A strong increase in volume as the price approaches resistance levels could signal a breakout. However, if volume decreases when the price reaches these levels, it may indicate a lack of buying interest, and the market could experience a pullback.
by Henrybillion
Performance of my sentiment cycle indicator (PAID)“Discover the power of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator! With its ability to pinpoint bullish and bearish trends, avoid sideways markets, and capture major market moves like 4,400 and 2,400+ points, this tool is a game-changer for traders. Don’t just take our word for it—test it yourself and see how it can enhance your trading decisions. Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, this indicator is designed to give you the edge. Start your journey to smarter trading today!” Signal Accuracy: The green (buy) and red (sell) markers show precise entry and exit points in alignment with the sentiment cycles. Sideways Market Filtering: The “no trading zone” effectively filters out signals during non-trending phases, preventing unnecessary trades.
Long
by TradeTechanalysis
5
Bitcoin BTC price movement forecast by the end of 2024 !📉 On December 5, 2024, set an absolute record for liquidations on the crypto market - $1.1 billion ($820 million longs + $280 million shorts), breaking the record of August 05, 2024, when it was $950 million. CRYPTOCAP:BTC price dropped to $89-90 thousand, depending on the exchange. Such a “helicopter” as on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart is launched when all indicators are “overheated” and the market needs to rest, but maintain the trend, i.e. the crypto market's up-trend. Fear and Greed Index - 71 (greed remains on the market) Given the fact that altcoins have barely reacted to the fall, we can assume that there will be another wave down. How do you feel about the option of #Bitcoin price movement $100k 👉 $84-85k 👉 $110k and this is all by the end of 2024 ?) P.S: also remember that on 18/12/24 the FOMC meeting is to be held, where the FED rate is expected to be cut by at least -0.25%. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
7