Bitcoin BTCUSDT - Elliott Wave + 0.786 FIB + Falling wedge!- Bitcoin on the weekly/3D chart is currently sitting on the main support: Previous 2017 Swing high + 0.786 FIB + ABC correction completed!
- We are also forming a falling wedge pattern, which is definitely a good sign and can lead to a new bullish trend.
- As per my Elliott Wave analysis - ABC correction should be completed successfully!
- If you check the RSI indicator, you can spot another falling wedge + oversold condition.
- Volume analysis - huge capitulation spikes, which usually indicates trend reversal.
- We have a bullish hammer candle on the D/3D chart - indicating a rejection to go lower.
- I do not see any reason why bitcoin should not respect the previous all time high support from 2017 (around 20 000 USD).
Bitcoin Futures
BTC why we are targeting 9, 735People are asking why we are targeting 9735. Let me explain to get you a better view.
1. The red lines which behave as resistance, resistance and then converted to support and that's where BTC always find its bottom which also accommodated by weekly moving average 200-300
2. The same thing is in progress here resistance, resistance and now BTC converting the same line into support.
3. Now lets plot 9735 and voilla what we see is classical market pattern.
3.a. Thats 2017 ATH and after correction in 2019 BTC try to flip but failed
3.b. In Sep 202 it successfully converted to support and 2021 rally begins.
3.c. So market need to come to test it again as support
Now the confluence there is so much
1. The flipped support
2. weekly moving average 500
3. 2021 ATH line which will be support for BTC
I hope you will now understand it why we are targeting 9735.
And lets not forget this is the first time BTC going to test its flipped support it can also fail and push the price below 9735 too who knows.
Bitcoin below the 20,000 mark, and to test faith? Weekend, was originally a boring chicken rib moment, but bitcoin did not follow the normal this time, since Saturday, from the Binance perpetual contract added position, has felt that there is a big thing to happen.Over the past few trading days, although the market has been bullish, many people think this is the bottom.But technically, we don't see the long signals. After the bottom of the deviation appeared, can not receive the Yang line, I feel uneasy, repeatedly remind friends, do not left trading, must wait for macd gold fork, break through the average to enter the market.And this Yang line did not wait, but is constantly rush high fall. On Friday, I was still reminding you not to ignore the risks, because in 2018, like now, after falling below $6,000, it was a serious loss. In a highly leveraged market, extreme trends are frequent, so don't look at the market with a conventional mindset. So now that $20,000 has broken, many people are getting confused again.But if you look at the cme gap, you know that the $18,000 covers the gap in December 2020 (the purple line is the last rise), I've written many times before about the cme gap theory, which still works. According to the theory, the gap back, should form support, and the current line macd although bottom deviation disappeared, but if the cme opened on Monday, form a jump gap, that is the short-term third gap (yellow line for the gap), has the possibility of exhaustion, so even if the bottom deviation disappeared, does not mean that there will be no rebound. As for the gap below $10,000 in July 2020, I don't think it should be covered in this round of adjustment.It may even fail to compensate. This is a short-term view, for your reference, from the medium and long term, we look at the chart below, this is the bitcoin spot monthly line trend, if the wave theory is effective, then the market should have completed a standard big bull market, and then enter the abc adjustment cycle.Now, it's most likely to be wave A, and then there may be a big b-wave rebound, so much so that we think the bull market resumes.But the bull market, or b wave rebound, only come out to know. Or is the phrase, the prediction, a speculation based on history, not the condition of the transaction.Trading, there need to be standards, and this standard, you can set by yourself, you can also refer to my: macd + ma, a seemingly ordinary, but a very practical tool.
BTCUSD Oversold For Now?There's been some significant price action since my last BTC update. As I expected, the market appears to be finding near term support near the December 1st 2020 high, just above 20k.
I would expect a near term bounce to find selling pressure above 24k.
If the 20300 support level breaks, There is little market structure to lean on to the downside until 12600.
FOMC release is in 2 hours at time of writing. I will update this later today, depending on how the market reacts to the interest rate announcement.
Bitcoin 4 hour : as i predict 3 month ago , it reach 20.000 areain 20.000 we have powerful support comes from weekly chart
near 20.000 when PINBAR comes in 1hour,4hour,daily chart , dont fear pick buy and hold it 20-30 day to new high with SL in last low
personal i belive after bitcoin touch 20.000-18000 will start +up trend to 40.000
if you have sell , close it near 20.009 then wait pinbar for buy
if you have old buy , dont fear , dont pick new buy , bitcoin will back to EMA200 daily 40.000
good luck , 20.000 is best place for investor for buy and hold it 6-8 month , bitcoin can back to high 60.000 again in long term
Bitcoin going to Zero?!?Hello cryptofolks
Market sentiment is the worst one ever in all time bitcoin history
Elon Musk, Michael Saylor, El Salvador dictator, Gray scale and so,,, are they gonna hold their bag in loss or they will dump more this market?
All exchanges will be illiquid, usdt peg will depeg and bitcoin can flash crash even more
So let's hope the CME gap $10k helds, if not next support will be the Covid 20 support
-Goodluck
Bitcoin - BTCUSD eyes 25 000 USD againWith the recent developments in BTCUSD, we do not need to change our bearish bias. Therefore, our price target stays at 25 000 USD.
Negative fundamental factors
Among the fundamental negative factors weighing on the higher price of Bitcoin is the prospect of the FED pursuing more rate hikes in the U.S. and its reduction of the balance sheet. We expect these factors to strengthen USD and, as a result, weaken BTCUSD. Additionally, we still foresee the weakness in the stock market to which the price of Bitcoin is highly correlated; with more declines, we expect risk appetite to drop even further.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
MACD is flattening. Stochastic and RSI are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish too. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the bull trap we hinted at two days ago. Since then, the price of BTCUSD fell over 9%. Currently, BTCUSD trades around 29 400 USD; favorably, we would like to see a plunge below 28 600 USD. That would further bolster the bearish case for Bitcoin.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture shows how Bitcoin failed to penetrate the sloping resistance; instead, it reversed to the downside.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin | Be Ready Bulls..!!
#BTC/USD (Update)
Bitcoin is Forming Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern..
Bitcoin has been Consolidation Between 28-32k Range from last 30 Days.
For Bullish Momentum, Bitcoin Bulls need to Reclaim the 32k Resistance.
If Bulls lost the 28k Support, Bitcoin Might Revisit the 24k Support Area. (Another Lower Low)
In BITCOIN CME Chart, There is a Unfilled CME gap at 36K as well..
According to Classical Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) Formation, If Trendline Got Cleared, We Can see a +30-40% pump in Coming Days.
Potential Wyckoff ACCUMULATION..
Please like the idea for Support & Subscribe for More ideas like this and share your ideas and charts in Comments Section..!!
Thanks for Your Love & Support..!!
BTC Weekend CME Gap - Past 2 Filled on MondayCME Gaps occur when the Chicago Merchantile Exchange closes but the BTC price continues to move (Crypto Never Sleeps).
These gaps which you can see on the ticker BTC1! have a well over 90% Fill rate.
The past 2 Weekend gaps were filled on that Monday after each weekend.
It also coincides with the bottom of the current range...
Invalidation of this would be above 30.6k while BTC still needs to
regain the 31.7k level
BTC1! gap at 35kThe recent strong downtrend as produces a small gap on the CME at 35.3k. Price has reached range support and the technicals are pulling out of oversold. The possibility of a relief rally to close the gap is there.
39.6k is a point of confluent resistances and can be a final target. The price might falter at any time and head to close the big gap at 23.8k.
BTCUSD: What Does Sideways Consolidation Inside a Trend Mean?Bitcoin has been forming a nice balance area for the past several days. Sideways consolidation after a trend is a stronger indication for that trend to continue than a pullback is. Sideways trading after a strong down trend should be viewed as a pullback that's unable to actually pull back. This is happening because new sellers are entering the market as fast as old sellers are buying back their BTC for profit. Buyers are unable to auction price higher during this phase as they are consistently met with sellers at the top of the range. If the buying support at the bottom of the range is mostly provided by old sellers buying back their positions, then this actually takes buying power away from the market over time.
For short term time being, rangebound rules apply as long as we range. Sell the top of the range and buy the bottom. Expect price to eventually break out to the downside and continue the trend. Wait for confirmation of a breakout before transitioning from rangebound trading rules back to trend trading rules.
The quicker that you can recognize whether the market state has transitioned from trending to rangebound or vice versa, the more success you will find in trading the market. Trend traders in a rangebound market end up buying tops and selling bottoms and get cut to pieces in the middle. Rangebound traders in a trending market tend to get run over picking tops and bottoms. If you can't identify the current market state, then you don't have a trade. Wait for structure to develop to provide you the context you need to make an informed decision.
Trade well everyone.
📊weekly overview of crypto market(May 9,2022)📊 🤗😉 What sup GUYS!? 🤘✌️
- in this overview I analyzed both 'Bitcoin' and 'Ethereuem' situation and 'TOTAL market cap' and 'TETHER Dominance' and the possible scenarios
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👉This analysis is my personal opinion ,not a financial advice ,so do your own research.
💜 if you're a fan of my analyses PLZ follow me ,give a big thumbs 👍 and drop comment 🗯💭
🆘Is BITCOIN really aim to fill the GAP !? 🤔🤗😉 What sup GUYS!? 🤘✌️
today I'm gonna look at Bitcoin from a different perspective in the CME Futures market, and we can see that bitcoin has recently lost a significant level of pivot Zone and is also trading under the Ichimuko cloud, both of them have made a more difficult situation for Bitcoin and at least should be able to. Return on the top of the pivot zone again to prevent it from falling more. Otherwise, the price may be traded for a short time around current mini gap , and it is likely to move to bigger gap , the lower target and between the range of $24k-$26k . Of course, it is not necessary to fill the price gaps, but history has shown that the price is loyal to these gaps and there is a possibility that it will be filled again.
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👉This analysis is my personal opinion ,not a financial advice ,so do your own research.
💜 if you're a fan of my analyses PLZ follow me ,give a big thumbs 👍 and drop comment 🗯💭
Bitcoin - No All-Time-High in sightYesterday, Bitcoin plunged below 39 000 USD. However, the drop was quickly retraced and BTC bounced as high as 41 754.05 USD today. We continue to maintain a relatively neutral stance in the short term as we expect choppy price action to persist for a little longer. However, we are turning increasingly bearish in the medium term. Because of that, we would like to set a medium-term price target for BTCUSD to 37 500 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The illustration above shows the upward sloping channel indicated by two white dashed lines. Price can be seen rising throughout this channel, however, the decline in volume accompanies this price action. That signals caution to us.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI started to turn bullish. MACD and Stochastic are striving to turn bullish as well. Indeed, MACD may perform a bullish crossover soon, which would bolster a bullish case for BTC in the short term. DM+ and DM- remain bearish, with ADX indicating the presence of a neutral trend. Overall, the daily time frame looks less bearish than in recent days. However, we will pay close attention to BTC's ability to move above 50-day and 100-day SMA. Failure to move and hold above these levels would suggest more selling pressure ahead.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is neutral, and the same applies to MACD. Although, MACD remains in the bearish area. Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish too. Meanwhile, ADX indicates no significant trend is present. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows simple support and resistance levels.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - BTC's volatility continuesBitcoin continues to exhibit choppy price action around the 40 000 USD price tag. However, that does not change our stance on it. We remain bearish with the short-term price target of 37 500 USD and medium-term price target of 35 000 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD and Stochastic are bearish; however, MACD is trying to reverse to the upside. DM+ and DM- are bearish. ADX continues to increase, which signals that the bearish trend is gaining strength. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX contains relatively low value, which suggests the presence of a neutral trend. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bitcoin - Bearish outlookBitcoin fell below 40 000 USD, and we continue to maintain the bearish stance. Although, we would like to change our medium-term price target of 37 500 USD to a short-term price target. Additionally, we would like to set a new medium-term price target of 35 000 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX suggests that the momentum of the bearish trend started to increase again. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish and suggests further weakness in the short term for BTC.
Illustration 1.01
The fifty-day exponential moving average (blue line) indicates a bearish condition for BTCUSD.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and MACD turned bearish from the prior neutrality. Stochastic continues to be bearish. DM+ and DM- show the prevalence of the bearish trend. Meanwhile, ADX started to increase, indicating that the bearish trend is regaining strength. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.