Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas.
Horban Brothers.
BTC-D
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to support zone and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few moments ago, the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke it. Then price made a retest and some time traded inside the resistance zone, after which it rebounded and started to grow to the trend line. When BTC grew to the trend line, it turned around and made impulse down to the 101000 resistance level, broke it, but later it tried to grow and failed. After this, the price continued to decline and fell until below the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later BTC rebounded up to 99250 points and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to 92700 points, breaking the support level and soon turned around and made impulse up to the trend line, breaking the support level one more time. After this, BTC some time traded near the trend line and later broke this line too, and rose a little higher. But a not long time ago, the price dropped to the support level, breaking the trend line one more time, and now trades close to this level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will fall to the support zone, after which it can start to grow to the trend line. When it reaches this line, the price can break it and continue to move up next. That's why I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can make move up and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price entered to wedge and bounced from the support line to the support level, which coincided with the support area.
Price broke $92600 level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge, but then it made a correction to the support level.
After this, price in a short time rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then made small correction and continued to grow.
Later BTC rose to the resistance line one more time and then made a downward impulse to support level, exiting from wedge,
Next, price some time traded near this level and then started to grow, so, I think that it can make move up to $99500
Then BTC can turn around and decline to $90200 support area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin is worthless. Read why.This idea goes against what BTC whales want you to believe, but it’s my educated conclusion. Let me explain why, and it might change your perspective.
The Origins of Bitcoin
Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, created by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 as the pioneer of blockchain technology.
Big BTC holders claim it’s “digital gold” with a limited supply. Influential figures and institutions like Michael Saylor, BlackRock, and Fidelity promote this narrative, urging you to adopt their logic and buy in.
It’s true that with such big players and media support, Bitcoin’s value has grown tremendously. But does that mean their claims are valid? Let’s dive deeper.
The Problem with FOMO
Today, a coin like “Fartcoin” can pump 50% and make it into the top 100 cryptos. Why? Because convincing people to buy something often works, even if the product lacks long-term value or sustainability. This phenomenon, driven by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), does not guarantee intrinsic worth.
Let’s Get Logical
Crypto is inherently complex and difficult for the average person to understand. Many simply follow what “smarter” people or influencers say on social media. Even major institutions like BlackRock and traditional finance (TradFi) players have only been in the Bitcoin game for a few years—they’re newcomers to the space.
Now, ask yourself: If Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency, does that automatically make it the best?
Do we still drive the first cars ever created?
The Flawed First-Mover Advantage
BTC whales want you to believe that the first is the best and will always remain so. They ignore the concepts of improvement, innovation, and technological advancement. Essentially, they’re asking you to buy the “first car” because they own a lot of them.
In reality, Bitcoin was an experimental product that proved finance could exist without traditional banks. It was revolutionary at the time, but technology has since advanced far beyond Bitcoin. Modern blockchain projects, Layer 1 solutions, NFTs, and smart contracts are faster, more sophisticated, and more innovative.
Bitcoin is the “first car,” but it belongs in a museum. The financial system, however, is still riding it to extract as much money as possible before its limitations become widely apparent.
Bitcoin’s Lack of Utility
The internet became mainstream within five years, revolutionizing communication, entertainment, and commerce. Yet after 18 years, Bitcoin remains largely useless—propped up by those who own it and fueled by speculation rather than utility.
This focus on Bitcoin has stifled innovation, as other promising crypto projects struggle to gain attention due to the media’s obsession with BTC.
Why Bitcoin Is NOT Digital Gold
The comparison between Bitcoin and gold is misleading and fundamentally flawed:
Gold is a physical, tangible asset. It cannot be duplicated, and there are costs associated with mining, refining, and maintaining it. It has intrinsic value due to its beauty, utility, and millennia-long cultural significance.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a digital object. By nature, digital assets are infinitely reproducible at no cost (copy function in the computer). While Bitcoin’s cryptographic system creates artificial scarcity, its utility can be replicated and improved by countless other projects.
The Fragility of Bitcoin’s Protection
Bitcoin’s value relies on its blockchain’s cryptographic protections, which prevent duplication and ensure secure transactions. However, no digital protection has ever been immune to hacking. Over time, as technology advances, it’s possible someone could crack Bitcoin’s security, change the blockchain, or access wallets by breaking passphrases.
Do you know any protection that lasted forever? Ask Apple and their DRM, ask Microsoft with their software projections.
If that happens, Bitcoin’s value could plummet to zero. Wall Street knows this, and they are profiting while they can. When a hack or major failure occurs, they’ll exit the market, leaving retail investors to bear the losses.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not “digital gold,” nor is it a reliable store of value. It was an incredible invention that paved the way for blockchain technology, but its time as a leader is nearing its end. Innovation and technological progress have outpaced Bitcoin, and the idea that it will remain dominant forever is a narrative pushed by those who stand to gain the most from it.
Thanks for reading.
Analysis of the BTC Chart (Dec 27, 2024)Key Observations:
Support Holding Firm:
Price bounced off the Bear Day level (~$94,700) with a strong reaction, showing that buyers are defending this zone. This could indicate that the downside momentum is fading.
Resistance Tests:
BTC tested the Bull Day zone (~$96,800) but faced rejection, indicating resistance. However, price is consolidating just below this level, signaling a possible breakout attempt.
Volume and Activity:
The recent consolidation shows reduced volatility, which often precedes a significant breakout. Volume patterns could provide additional confirmation.
Bullish Indications:
The Bullish Week support (~$97,200) remains intact and could act as the next target if BTC breaks through $96,800 convincingly.
Higher lows are forming near $95,600-$96,000, indicating a bullish structure if maintained.
Bearish Risks:
Failure to reclaim and hold above the Bull Day zone ($96,800-$97,200) could result in a retracement to test the Close Week support ($95,200) again.
A loss of this support level would negate the bullish setup and signal more downside.
Is a Large Move to the Upside Likely?
BTC is setting up for a potential upside move, but confirmation is needed:
Bullish confirmation: A breakout above $96,800-$97,200 with strong volume would likely trigger a move towards $98,400 and possibly higher.
Bearish invalidation: A breakdown below $95,200 could trigger further downside to the Bear Day zone (~$94,800).
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside targets: $96,800, $97,200, and $98,400 (Bullish Swing level).
Downside risk levels: $95,600, $95,200, and $94,800.
Conclusion: The market structure is leaning towards a bullish breakout if BTC can clear the nearby resistance zones. However, keep an eye on volume and lower supports for invalidation of the setup.
Etherium might surprise everyone. BINANCE:ETHUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the BINANCE:BTCUSD breakout above 69K. However, the price of ETH is still in a trading range. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: All-time high around 5000.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Bitcoin/USDT AnalysisCurrent Price: The chart shows Bitcoin trading at approximately $95,660, with recent downward momentum (-2.11%).
Support Zone: Around $91,800 - $93,500 (gray highlighted region), providing a strong base where price could potentially reverse or consolidate.
Resistance Levels:
$98,200 - $99,000: The first resistance level to watch if the price bounces upward.
$101,000 - $102,000: A secondary resistance zone.
$104,000 - $105,000: A higher resistance zone that aligns with previous peaks.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above the support zone ($91,800 - $93,500), a rebound toward $98,200 and potentially $101,000 is likely. A breakout above $101,000 could pave the way to test the $104,000 - $105,000 range.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $91,800 might signal further declines toward $90,000 or lower levels.
Trend Analysis: The short-term trend appears bearish; however, the support zone may serve as a strong reversal point for a potential upward move.
ADAUSD - From this simple chart, whole crypto market bullish?While its not necessary obvious to guess next move on BTC, some alts like ADA can help a lot
ADA made a rebound on the weekly 200MA on the 20th of December, that mark was also a support from the previous high made in feb 2024 and another support on feb 2022
as we are talking with big timeframes, chances for the asset to go under 20th December lows are very unlikely (but still possible), making the WHOLE crypto market still very bullish
what now ?
We can easily revisit ATH at 3, the faster we reach it, the higher we can go next
3 possibilities : February, April or September
not financial advice
Cheers
BITCOIN What lies ahead after this correction? The DXY x-factor.Bitcoin (BTCUS) is having in the past 2 weeks the technical correction is should based on the previous Bull Cycle. As you can see, since the U.S. elections it has rallied aggressively past its previous All Time High (ATH), same way it did in December 2020.
** Bitcoin and Doge during 2020 **
At the same time, the alt coin market was mostly consolidating in preparation of a bullish break-out. A representative example of such behavior would be Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) as seen in orange on this chart, which during BTC's December 2020 rally, it was consolidating/ pulling-back (green circle) from an initial rally. However it remained significantly below its previous ATH, the same way it is now.
** The DXY decline sparking crypto rallies **
Notice the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), displayed by the green trend-line on this chart. Right now it is has been rallying in the past three months, at the same time as Bitcoin has. In the previous Cycle in 2020, it hit a top during the COVID March 2020 market crash and with the smashing of the Interest Rates, it started a Channel Down decline that backed perfectly Bitcoin's rally. We has the exact same DXY-backed rally during Bitcoin's 2017 Bull Cycle.
As a result, we are seeing a paradox on the current Cycle: BTC entering its most aggressive phase (Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle and rallying despite DXY rising. That is attributed of course to a large extent to the huge ETF inflows (something that wasn't present in 2020).
** Overdue DXY decline? **
This leads us to believe that an overdue decline on the DXY, just as the Fed has initiated a new cut Cycle (as they did during the COVID crash), will push Bitcoin and especially the alts market, including Doge, to a new rally. Of course DXY's decline may not be as aggressive this time, as the stimulus shouldn't be that high (especially with Powell's recent remarks on a 2 rate cut expectation in 2025 instead of the previous projection of 4), but it could be enough to spark the final BTC rally of the Bull Cycle and the much anticipated Altseason.
So do you think the market will rally once more on a potential 'delayed' DXY drop? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AIXBT/USDT: 30% Breakout Potential From Range Consolidation Here's a simple trading idea for AIXBTUSDT 🎯
AIXBT Breakout Play Setup 📈
AIXBTUSDT 1H Chart
Strategy: Bullish Breakout from Consolidation
Entry Zone: 0.28-0.29
Target: 0.38 (30.75% potential)
Stop Loss: Below 0.27 - 4H CLOSE
Key Points:
- Price consolidating in range
- Strong uptrend support
- Clear breakout structure forming
Wait for convincing break above 0.31000 with volume before entry.
Risk responsibly! Not financial advice." DYOR ---
This is a straightforward breakout trade setup with clear entry, target, and stop levels. The idea is easy to follow and execute for traders of any experience level. Would you like me to explain any part in more detail?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis. BTC appears to be trading within an ascending channel. The chart shows a bullish medium-term structure.
The price is currently testing the lower trendline support within the channel.
A crucial support area is marked between $94,000 – $92,000 (green area). This is a crucial level for a bounce.
Any break below this support could invalidate the channel and lead to further upward pressure.
Resistance lies around $100,000 – $102,000 (orange area), which has been tested multiple times.
A breakout above this level could spark a bullish push towards the upper trendline of the channel or new highs.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Doge Showing BUY signal While Using Easy Machine Learning Method
TL:DR
Currently Analyzing DOGE because one of my clients asked me to create a customized indicator and parameter set for him, and these are the results. Long story short, a backtest shows that the custom indicator and parameter set will yield 7000%+ profit compared to buying and holding DOGE which only resulted in 400%+ profits. According to that indicator, DOGE is currently in another buy state. Let me walk you through how I did it, the details and nuances, and next steps. Please let me know if you agree or disagree with me. I have a breakdown of the script and here is the link for it:
www.tradingview.com
Here is my general process for validating whether a script will be successful:
1) Determine performance vs buy and hold
In the world of technical analysis, you must have a benchmark to compare your results to. Depending on your goals, that benchmark can vary. For my goals, I believe it makes sense to compare indicators directly to the buy and hold scenario, but in some scenarios, it makes sense to use other metrics to compare your indicator against (I'll discuss this in a future post.)
When comparing your indicator to a buy and hold, I PREFER to use a 100% order size and this is obviously UNREALISTIC because there aren't many traders who dump 100% of their equity into a single investment. However, because I am doing a comparison test, it is important to max out the indicator since we are comparing it directly to the buy and hold. Similarly, we don't add in any trade costs, which mean I am neglecting the commission, fees, and slippage, which again show this is unrealistic. Again, the reason I do this method is so that I can verify if the indicator is any good or not. A "good" indicator will have consistent results and beat the buy and hold over the course of a long duration with a large number of trades. a "bad" indicator will be inconsistent, which may refer to huge drawdown, or periods of time where it is unsuccessful/unprofitable. The difference between a 'good' indicator and a 'bad' indicator in this context is that a 'good' indicator will be able to absorb some of the trade costs (mentioned earlier) whereas the 'bad' indicator can't be fixed. Trade costs, especially commission and fees, are highly dependent on number of trades. So if a 'good' indicator performs well on a 1 minute chart against the buy and hold, but it starts to fail when trade costs are accounted for, then you can still adjust the indicator or timeframe so that you perform less trades, which will reduce the trade costs, but still maintain the profits. Again, a 'bad' indicator is dead in the water if it can't outperform buy and hold in the first place.
In this example, we have DOGE performing at +400% profits. In the same time period, this strategy would have yielded 7000%+ profits in the same time period. Therefore, these results show that the customized parameter set and indicator work well, and should be considered as a 'good' indicator to use for DOGE. The next step is to add in trade costs, and modify the timeframe IF NECESSARY. Most likely, from my experience, a strategy that yields 7000%+ profits won't suffer significantly from trade costs, and will still be SIGNIFICANTLY better than the 400% DOGE buy and hold scenario, which ultimately leaves my client and I with what he requested: a solid and profitable strategy that he can use to alert him when to buy and when to sell DOGE.
🔔If you'd like me to come up with a custom indicator and parameter set for whatever you trade, please send me a message and I'll work on it ASAP and make a post about it!
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DAY 7 - Daily BTC UpdateThe Holidays have slowed the markets - for now.
I've introduced a third potential scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), which is bearish and might see the price retesting the DAILY 100 Moving Average near $80K. Although this scenario seems less probable given the current market sentiment, where large corporations and businesses are actively accumulating, it's crucial to consider all possible outcomes to avoid the pitfalls of an "up-only" mindset prevalent in bullish markets.
Remember, corrections are healthy and contribute to the robustness of the overall market pattern.
After yesterday's positive momentum shift, we've again seen a lull in the market and increased sell pressure as the US gears up for tax season. The recent price movements in Bitcoin indicate an adjustment to overbought conditions following the election, with technical indicators suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend in the short term unless there's a significant influx of buying support.
Keep an eye on these developments, as they could dictate the next moves in Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Trading Tip:
As we have no confirmed direction currently - One effective strategy during volatile periods like this can be the "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" approach. Instead of trying to time the market, you regularly invest a fixed dollar amount, regardless of the asset's price. This method reduces the impact of volatility by spreading out the purchase price over time. For Bitcoin's current scenario:
Set a regular schedule: Decide to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin weekly or monthly.
Stay disciplined: Avoid investing more when prices seem low or less when they're high. Consistency is key.
Long-term perspective: DCA works best if you hold for the long term. It allows you to benefit from the average price over time rather than trying to predict short-term movements.
This approach can mitigate the risk of entering the market at peak prices and can lead to purchasing more units when prices are low, potentially lowering your average cost per Bitcoin over time. Remember, while DCA can smooth out the volatility, it does not guarantee profits and should be part of a broader investment strategy considering your risk tolerance and financial situation!
Thanks for following the 7 Days of BTC updates, and if you want these Daily - links are in my Bio :)
MUBI Looking for Reversal Here!MUBI is approaching the falling wedge, and with the RSI showing potential to sustain its momentum, I anticipate the chart to follow this trajectory. If it doesn't play out as expected, I'll reassess and update accordingly. Wishing everyone the best of luck this altseason!
GRTUSDT : Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis BINANCE:GRTUSDT : 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Market Overview (Last 24 Hours):
- BINANCE:GRTUSDT has activated the entry price at $0.2392, showing bullish potential as trading volumes and on-chain metrics increase.
- Recent momentum in altcoins suggests growing retail interest, which could drive price action further toward the take-profit levels.
Technical Overview:
- Support Levels: $0.2000, $0.0740 (Stop-Loss)
- Resistance Levels: $0.8527 (TP1), $1.8007 (Long-Term TP2)
- Indicators: RSI is climbing steadily but remains below overbought territory, while MACD shows sustained bullish momentum.
Fundamental Catalysts:
- On-Chain Metrics: Increased transaction volume and wallet activity signal growing adoption and investor interest in BINANCE:GRTUSDT .
- Tokenomics Overview: GRT’s staking rewards and decreasing circulating supply continue to support scarcity-driven value.
- Community Sentiment: Social media platforms reflect positive sentiment for GRT, especially as part of broader AI and blockchain narratives.
- Liquidity: Current trading volumes provide favourable conditions for significant price movements.
Scenario Planning:
- Bullish Scenario: Sustained momentum could see BINANCE:GRTUSDT reaching TP1 ($0.8527) and possibly the long-term target TP2 ($1.8007).
- Risk Scenario: Broader crypto market corrections or declining trading volume could test the SL at $0.0740.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.2392 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.0740
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.8527
- TP2 (Long-Term): $1.8007
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Bitcoin price is going to wrong way?#bitcoin #btc price has declined twice from the bearish retest zone (as i described in my previous ideas) and it seems CRYPTOCAP:BTC bearish retest is getting succeed. This success means blood for #cryptocurrencies #altcoins .Best to be avoid risks until #btcusd reclaims (if possible) the broken trendline, the parallel channel. Not financial advice.
The Impact of KULR's Investment & Israel's Bitcoin Mutual FundsThe cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), has seen significant movements recently, influenced by both institutional buying and regulatory developments. Two key events stand out: KULR Technology Group's substantial investment in Bitcoin and the upcoming launch of Bitcoin mutual funds in Israel.
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin experienced a notable "spiral movement," reaching a peak of $99,000 before a sharp 4% dip, settling at around $95,481.85. This volatility can be attributed to immediate market reactions to news like KULR's purchase of 217.18 BTC for about $21 million. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44 indicates a potentially weak growth pattern, suggesting that Bitcoin might be overbought in the short term, prompting traders to be cautious.
The 24-hour trading volume of over $46 billion points to significant interest, yet the downward trend in price despite high volume might signal profit-taking or a shift in market sentiment. This could be interpreted as a consolidation period following a rapid ascent, with investors possibly waiting for more clarity or another catalyst.
The current trend for Bitcoin appears weak, as observed from the RSI and the market's reaction to new institutional investments. This might suggest a period of stabilization or correction is on the horizon before the next potential bull run.
Institutional Adoption
KULR Technology's decision to allocate up to 90% of its surplus cash into Bitcoin, following in the footsteps of giants like MicroStrategy, underscores a growing trend of corporate treasuries diversifying into cryptocurrencies. This move not only legitimizes Bitcoin as an asset class but also potentially influences its price through increased demand.
Regulatory Developments in Israel
The introduction of six Bitcoin mutual funds in Israel, set to launch on December 31, 2024, is a pivotal moment for crypto investments in the region. This development aligns with global trends where regulatory clarity often leads to increased institutional investment. The funds, managed by well-known firms, will offer investors a regulated, less volatile way to gain exposure to Bitcoin, potentially driving further adoption and demand.
The U.S. SEC's approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in the year has set a precedent, showing that with regulatory support, Bitcoin can attract significant institutional capital. Israel's move might follow this path, enhancing the perception of Bitcoin as a legitimate investment asset, not just a speculative one.
Economic Implications
By allowing transactions in shekels, these funds bridge the gap between traditional and digital finance, making Bitcoin more accessible to the average investor. This could lead to broader economic implications, including increased liquidity for Bitcoin and possibly influencing the digital shekel's development.
Conclusion:
The combination of KULR's bold investment strategy and Israel's innovative approach to Bitcoin through mutual funds paints a picture of a maturing market. Technically, Bitcoin might be facing short-term headwinds, but fundamentally, these developments suggest a robust future. Investors should watch for how these factors play out in terms of price stability, regulatory responses, and further institutional involvement. The narrative around Bitcoin continues to evolve from a digital currency to a recognized financial instrument in both corporate and national strategies.
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase.
Key Levels and Patterns:
1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline.
Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward.
The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K.
2.) Resistance at 100K:
The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim.
A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K):
Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K.
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone.
4.) Liquidity Below 90K:
The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K.
A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K.
Current Market Dynamics:
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume.
Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025.
Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside.
Next Steps and Outlook:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone.
Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through:
Increased buying volume.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators.
Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include:
Reclaiming 100K as support.
Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bears' Turn for Selling Pressure!!!As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) rose to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) , the lower line of the ascending channel and 100_EMA(4H TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing wave 4 . The structure of wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Volume of candles that brought Bitcoin up to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is not significant for me.
I expect Bitcoin to at least fall to the Support zone($95,890-$95,540) . And if the support zone breaks, we can expect another attack on the Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) and fill the CME Gap($94,435-$93,935) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $100,000, we should expect more PUMPS.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Bitcoin retreats lower
After completing five waves of accelerated rise, Bitcoin is currently entering a correction downward trend. The current price has broken through the rising channel and rebounded at 92,000, which forms a relatively important support level. If the price falls below this support, the next support range may be close to the starting position of the previous rising wave, around 86,000.
After the price rebounded to 100,000 points, it was under pressure and formed a double top structure. This position is also the previous long-short dividing line. Therefore, overall, Bitcoin is still in the five-wave correction stage in the short term. If 100,000 points cannot be broken, the upward pressure still exists. If the price is suppressed at this position, buying operations will not be considered in the short term.
In the short term, the decline of Bitcoin after the surge is in line with the overall bearish trend. Pay attention to the narrow adjustment of the 97,600-99,500 range above. If it rebounds to this area, you can continue to consider shorting. Downward support can focus on the two key points of 94,800 and 92,600.
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