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BTC-D

Here's what I see playing out for BTC!The holiday season is near, and it’s going to be tough for Bitcoin to break past the massive 100K resistance wall. Here's what I see playing out on the 8H Chart! 🔹 We’ve retraced to 91K and are now trading around 94K USD, bouncing off the preliminary fib line on the 𝘋𝘍𝘙 indicator (see pic 1). This suggests that the strong downtrend may be over, but we need the candle to close first to confirm. There’s still a chance we remain in a downtrend, just at a slower pace. 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵: 𝘚𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘰 𝘈 (𝘉𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘩): BTC moves up towards 96.5K-97K USD and faces heavy resistance. If we manage to break above that level, there’s a solid case to revisit the ATH levels. 𝘚𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘰 𝘉 (𝘉𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘩): If price closes or drops back below the blue preliminary fib line, the strong downtrend isn’t over yet, and we could head lower towards the anchored VWAP (pic 1). I’ve mapped out some LONG setups for you in case this happens: For the bears, the lowest levels I see for now are around 𝟳𝟲,𝟱𝟬𝟬-𝟳𝟳,𝟱𝟬𝟬 𝗨𝗦𝗗, and here’s why: This is the Fib Golden Pocket of the move, measured from the pivot low to the pivot high of the recent uptrend. The 200 Day EMA on the 8H Chart is sitting in this zone around 77100. It aligns with the Volume Profile anchored to the ⚡Power Candle visible on the bottom left of the chart, which kickstarted the entire move upwards. It’s also the 1.618 downward extension of the previous leg down, as shown on the Daily chart analysis (see Twitter for pic 2). Additionally, this zone is reinforced by key manual fib lines and the blue Bullish Fib Pockets dynamically plotted by the 𝘋𝘍𝘙. The Volume Profile is also fat around this area, I don’t expect Bitcoin to drop much lower than this zone unless something major shifts. x.com
by poolsideliquidity
BTC Retrace Possibly Complete H4From BTC low to swing high (88,700 to 99,800) we have had a perfect breakdown through the fibs all the way down to a perfect body close on the .786. The price action dipped below the 100 sma for a short period and quickly recovered this level. Price is currently trading above the .5 fib retracement level. RSI is 49 at time of publishing and trending upward after an MA cross. Price is targeting the .382 and 50 sma next as levels to watch as btc recovers further. This is just my opinion, there is also clearly a scenario with more downside. This idea is strictly my opinion. Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Thanks for viewing the idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
AR Long Spot Trade (Support Retest)Market Context: AR has retraced to a significant support zone between $18 and $20, following a rejection around $24. This retracement offers a favorable entry point for a long position, with potential for a rebound toward higher resistance levels. Trade Details: Entry: Between $18.00 and $20.00 Take Profit Targets: First target: $24.00 – $26.50 Second target: $32.00 – $35.00 Stop Loss: Just below $16.00 Rationale: The current support zone aligns with previous price action, suggesting a potential for upward movement. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with a clear stop loss below the recent support level. Note: Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade.
Long
by Richtv_official
BTC still in downtrend We are seeing a bit of a Wycoff "Spring" but we are still in the downtrend. Here on the 1 hour chart, my previous prediciton is playing out (thought I was second guessing it six days ago) BTC Should fall to the 90K demand soon in the coming 2 or 3 days. Probably some stupid press release from the US Gov, will trigger it. If you liked this post, please hit the rocket button and follow me. Happy Thanksgiving... and don't forget to renew your Tradeview subscription during their Blackfriday sale... they only do it once a year for just a few days!
Short
by TheCoinCowboy
BTC Dominance Topping Out, Going to All Time LowsBTC Dominance appears to be in a potential 7 year flat pattern. This coincides with the end of 7 year bear supercycle on alt/USD and alt/BTC pairs. The end of the flat pattern is evidenced by wave-c relating to wave-a by 61.8% in price and relating to waves (a+b)/2 in time (yellow boxes). The false break out from the orange trendline, as well as the wisemen on monthly, weekly, daily, etc charts, and the bearish momentum divergences, are all further evidence that dominance has topped. From here, it looks like BTC dominance is going to retest the lows, and considering the likelihood of the end of a 7 year bear supercycle on alts, and the beginning of a new alt season, BTC's dominance could fall to as low as 12%. Fundamentally, little has changed about BTC over the years. While some activity can be moved to layer 2s, the main BTC blockchain is still slow and inefficient, with only 7 TPS most people will not be able to afford to transact on Bitcoin. This will make retail traders and economic activity move to layer 2s and other chains. One chain which will capture a large share of economic activity from Bitcoin is TRON. It has already captured the largest share of USDT, leading to high TRX burn rates. As Bitcoin's fees begin to skyrocket again following skyrocketing Bitcoin network activity, more of Bitcoin's activity will move to wrapped BTC on chains like TRON which are fast, extremely liquid, low fees, and accepted in most places. While this will allow everybody to afford to transact with Bitcoin, it will also cannibalize Bitcoin's dominance. Chains that are similar to TRON which can capture a large share of Bitcoin's economic activity by acting as Bitcoin's layer 2, and in doing so are burning their native token for fees, are going to see their circulating supplies drop very quickly because of money earned and burned from fees, and their prices increase much faster than BTC. It would not surprise me to one day see BTC completely lose it's dominance as the largest crypto to coins which have better fundamentals, especially where they have very high fee revenue and burn rates like TRX, and are significantly faster, more scalable, and turing complete. Either way, I don't think we will ever see BTC's dominance this high again, especially as regulations in the US and around the world begin to favor BTC less and create a fair playing field with other cryptocurrencies.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Intuit
Bitcoin - 100K Pump & Dump?Wow! This orange trace illustrates a likely bearish pattern that should take place as we set and ATH of $99,661. There are some bigs gaps that have never been filled as well. Looks or the little white oval on the chart. And… there is a MAjOR resistance level that has never been checked in on for support done there by the little green heart. It’s my favorite target for BTC, as it also represents a huge migration to DOGE coin. BTC and all of the other crypto’s are just graphs of the emotions of fear & greed battling like monsters flying and propagating through space. Doge is a little bit different… it invokes the emotion of LOVE. Unconditional love, like mans best friend. Check my other posts for more insights on the epic battle of David vs Goliath (DOGE vs BTC). Love, Doge
INDEX:BTCUSD
by DHLawrence
DOGE - Pullback complete?We saw a MACD divergence lead to a nice corrective wave over the past few days. This is important to stabilize the RSI before the next run. Like how a dog takes little rests between playful runs. Speaking of Dogs… did you pick up Ont he link between mans best friend and DOGE coin? It is something unique to all of the other crypto currencies. DOGE invokes the emotion of LOVE! What do you feel for BTC or XRP? Fear? Greed? FOMO? ( also a fear)… The blue trace is a high probability fit. It comes from the similar corrective wave just 2 back in our history… in the midst of the big run. I like that, because i see a foreground and back ground projection of these flying monsters propagating through space when i look at these charts… in 3D of course. Like those pictures you had to stare at in the 90’s.. and then the dolphins would appear in 3D. Anyhow, my long running observations on the various time frames all suggest that there is a more significant influence coming from that 2 back pattern. It also nicely matches the RSI and MACD patterns. Finally, we should be able to apply Elliot wave mentality to this… we left the bottom level, made it through the blips, and have just completed the background and foreground of the mid level…. so we should see another move up through the blips, to the top level. BTC… on the other hand… tops already in! 100K pump and dump. Boom! Pretty clear decision to sell that and buy DOGE. Oh… the other traces… they are fit to other harmonic patterns or series on different time frames. They represent some of the other patterns of influence, and are very useful as DOGE likes to mutate a bit with each projection. I’d follow my dogs on hikes… same trail, but a bit of sniffing and chasing, and a different route or combination of routes each day. These projections are a bit like that also. We do know that the resistance vectors (dotted) will turn to support and need to be checked in on. And the same goes for those support vectors (solid). Understanding the anticipated level behavior's helps us fit the projection to the forecasted levels… and it looks like laser beams at a festival when you zoom. :) Thanks for being here as the crypto revolution unfolds! Love, Doge.
GEMINI:DOGEUSDLong
by DHLawrence
3
Could the Bitcoin drop from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 95,881.12 1st Support: 91.430.48 1st Resistance: 99.592.22 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Need to check support near 92600.19 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) Since the next volatility period is around December 3, the point to watch is whether the price can be maintained near the box range of the HA-High indicator (92600.19-98871.80) until then. - The HA-High indicator was created at the 96372.40 point, forming a box range (92600.19-98871.80). This box section is not currently formed by a wave but by a single candle, so there is a possibility that it will expand the box section while moving sideways around this section. Therefore, we need to check whether there is support near the bottom of the box, 92600.19. If we see resistance, the key is whether we can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and rise. If not, and it falls below the MS-Signal indicator, that is, if it falls below 87.8K, there is a possibility that it will fall to around 79.9K-80.9K, so we need to think about a response plan for this. - Since the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold section, we need to check the position when it rises in the oversold section and switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
MSTR is Back To Dotcom Boom Levels...Finally. But At What Cost?Self-explanatory chart. I called a major top for Bitcoin and Microstrategy back in 2022, detailing the possibility of much lower prices for both. This ended up being correct, but only in the short term. Since then, both BTC and Microstrategy have surprised me to the upside. It's incredible that only now has MSTR reached a valuation it has not seen since the year 2000. Look at that volume! Mania levels. Microstrategy now owns 386,700 Bitcoin, almost 2% of the entire 21 Million maximum supply. This is triple the supply ownership from 2022, when it was just over 100,000. That's triple the risk. What could go wrong? It's impossible to know when this could all go up in flames, but I'm certainly ready to watch when it happens. These kinds of price moves and buying behavior are not sustainable. It is also starting to rub more and more Bitcoiners the wrong way - "this is not how it was meant to be!" Meanwhile, Saylor continues to enrichen himself and shareholders. Not to mention, there is now at least one leveraged MSTR ETF. Again, what could go wrong? Some people have made a killing on this though. Congrats to them. Now it's time to take at least some profit. On the above chart, a breakdown from that orange trendline should indicate a top. Let's see how it all unfolds. If price manages to hold up here, perhaps there will be at least one more leg up. As always, this is meant for speculative purposes only. As shown throughout my work on this site, it's really easy to be wrong. I just find the guesswork part of the fun. Thanks for reading! -Victor Cobra
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by VictorCobra
BTCUSD is heading to Critical OB at 87,800$MMSM identified and we're almost certain BTCUSD [ BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ] will hit 87,800$ this week. If we respect the first OB we should pass 100K. If we fail to displace (fast move) after reaching the OB, we could see it go lower to the next OB. Respecting the OB: Means we displace after reaching the OB. If we are bullish We don't want, No Chart Timeframe (in this case 90m) candles closing below the OB's lower level (yellow thin line). If we are bearish We don't want, No Chart Timeframe (in this case 90m) candles closing above the swing high that formed after reaching the OB. Here is more info about CISD: When an order block is invalidated, it signals a Change in the State of Delivery. For example: -In an uptrend, a bullish order block acts as support. If price breaks below it, the uptrend may be over, signaling a potential downtrend. -In a downtrend, a bearish order block acts as resistance. If price breaks above it, the downtrend may be ending, signaling a potential uptrend. Smart money tip: Liquidity Hunt, CISD often occur after liquidity sweeps . Watch for stop hunts (price wicks above/below recent highs or lows) before the shift. _____ tags: COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD CME:BTC1!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TradeConfirmed
1
BTC did not break the $100,000 barrier!Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of BTC in pair to USDT taking into account the terval of one day. As we can see, the price was moving in the downward trend channel marked in blue, from which we got a dynamic upward exit, and the increase itself was similar to the height of the channel from which it emerged. However, here we can see that the historical moment of breaking through $100,000 turned out to be too great a psychological barrier at which we could observe the beginning of the recovery movement. using the Fin Retracement tool, we can determine the levels to which the price can probably return and here, first of all, the support level at the price of $89,500 is visible, then the level of $83,800 is visible, but if the price goes lower, we can see a drop to a strong support zone from the level $74,400 to $68,000, which would result in a decline of approximately 27%. It is worth emphasizing that such corrections of 20-30% happen during a bull market.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC did not break the $100,000 barrier!Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of BTC in pair to USDT taking into account the terval of one day. As we can see, the price was moving in the downward trend channel marked in blue, from which we got a dynamic upward exit, and the increase itself was similar to the height of the channel from which it emerged. However, here we can see that the historical moment of breaking through $100,000 turned out to be too great a psychological barrier at which we could observe the beginning of the recovery movement. using the Fin Retracement tool, we can determine the levels to which the price can probably return and here, first of all, the support level at the price of $89,500 is visible, then the level of $83,800 is visible, but if the price goes lower, we can see a drop to a strong support zone from the level $74,400 to $68,000, which would result in a decline of approximately 27%. It is worth emphasizing that such corrections of 20-30% happen during a bull market.
by cryptodailyuk
ALT SEASON #3After years of waiting, countless false starts, and more hopium than a bull market BBQ, we’re finally here: Alt Season 3 is upon us—or so my trusty weekly Bitcoin dominance chart is screaming. For the uninitiated, this chart is basically the ancient oracle of crypto, and it’s saying, ‘Hey, Bitcoin, take five. It’s time for the alts to shine.’ Zoom in close and you’ll see the subtle shift—the kind of shift that makes your favorite meme coin go from $0.00001 to ‘retire on a yacht’ territory (not financial advice, obviously). TL;DR: Pack your bags, but don’t forget to double-check the fundamentals of the random farm token you’re YOLO-ing into. Alt Season 3 is here to remind us all that dreams are made… and sometimes rugged. Stay sharp, my friends. 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by SkinnyMike3
1