BTC Update 2024-12-6The Most Predictable Targets maybe faced as picture
Note : Personal ideas are NOT enough to trade
BTC-D
BTC ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀In 8hr chart we can see a formation of "Rising Channel Pattern in #BTC. As we said BTC will dump first then a bullish move will come. Chart is following the same. Now we could see a breakout of 100k level again
🔖 Current Price: $98100
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. 🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
DON'T SLEEP ON TESLA ON A... WELL, NEVER SLEEP AGAIN. TSLA 420.
ALRIGHT, LET'S TRY THIS AGAIN.
Tesla has a cool trend setup, retracement setup and indicator alignment into earnings.
A REALLY STEEP DROP from earnings, past 134 and all the way down to around 96, could trigger a nice move to the upside that you won't want to miss.
I know, TSLA to 74 or 30 or 10 (it's garbage).
Well, no, I disagree. At least in the short term. After it runs up again, I could easily see it back down to some low numbers.
But right now, heading into earnings, a big move is showing that looks very similar to what I've shown.
My line, expect it to be inaccurate, instead focus on the price targets.
At 175.01 = full bull to the moon 238k miles, maybe overshoots that.
There will be retracements, but if this move is based around btc, it could be FAST.
So, probably best to never sleep again, and watch the tsla chart 24/7.
RSI technically bearish, but they all look like they are about to flip, BUT they haven't yet, so we can't assume. We have to keep the projection based on charts, which says, if 134 holds and we get over 175 with stability, then green light, probably.
If earnings crashes price to under $100 for a brief amount of time, you probably want to yolo the dip. Calls would be very cheap at that point, and if you're bullish in any way, even if it's not to my numbers bullish, then it's still probably free money.
I won't be upset should you disagree, feel free.
And I look forward to your rubbing of profits in my face, should you be correct.
Truthfully, I'd like to see everyone make a ton, no matter what your opinion is (bear/bull).
LOTS OF MOVEMENT to trade in two directions.
Things don't go up forever, things don't go down forever, and if they do, it would be an outlier to most market movements.
Good luck!!
SOME FUNDAMENTAL RESEARCH:
1. **Tesla Fundamentals**:
- Tesla, the electric vehicle (EV) company founded by Elon Musk, has seen remarkable growth in recent years. Their fundamentals include strong demand for EVs, innovative technology, and a charismatic CEO who captures public attention.
- However, Tesla's financials have been volatile due to high R&D costs, production challenges, and regulatory hurdles. Despite this, their stock price has surged, making them one of the most valuable automakers globally.
2. **Bitcoin and Dogecoin Investments**:
- Tesla made headlines when it disclosed a $1.5 billion investment in Bitcoin. This move signaled institutional interest in cryptocurrencies.
- Elon Musk's tweets and actions have influenced crypto markets. Tesla's investment in Bitcoin adds legitimacy to the asset class.
- As for Dogecoin, Tesla has not officially invested in it. However, Musk's tweets and memes have boosted Dogecoin's popularity. It's important to note that Dogecoin is highly speculative and lacks fundamental value¹.
3. **Software Subscription vs. Hardware Sales**:
- Morgan Stanley believes Tesla could make more money from software subscriptions than hardware sales. Tesla's vehicles are equipped with advanced software features (Autopilot, Full Self-Driving) that can be unlocked via subscription.
- By offering software upgrades, Tesla can generate recurring revenue. This model aligns with the trend toward software-defined vehicles².
4. **Data Collection and Auto Driving**:
- Tesla collects vast amounts of data from its vehicles, especially those equipped with Autopilot. This data helps improve autonomous driving algorithms.
- Tesla's fleet provides real-world data for training AI models, giving them a competitive edge in self-driving technology.
- Monetizing this data could be lucrative. Tesla could license it to other companies or use it for targeted advertising.
5. **Leasing Software vs. Selling Cars**:
- Leasing software (e.g., Full Self-Driving subscription) allows Tesla to generate ongoing revenue without selling additional hardware.
- Traditional automakers rely on upfront car sales, which can lead to debt if demand fluctuates.
- Tesla's approach disrupts the industry by emphasizing software and services over traditional car sales.
In summary, Tesla's fundamentals, crypto investments, software subscriptions, data collection, and unique business model contribute to its success and potential for future growth. However, risks remain, and the EV landscape is evolving rapidly. Other automakers are also adapting to these changes, but Tesla's early lead gives it a competitive advantage¹². 🚗💡📈
Source: Conversation with Bing, 4/22/2024
(1) Tesla, Dogecoin & Institutional Interest: A Data Perspective by .... coinmarketcap.com
(2) Tesla (TSLA) could make more money from software subscription than .... electrek.co
(3) Dogecoin | Tesla Support. www.tesla.com
Distribution phase in the next 10 monthsSo we broke 100k. I'm sure we'll see higher in the next 10 months.
What's next? When is the correction?
I see such messages every day. That's why I want to give a full commentary and my vision.
As Waykoff told us, there are accumulation and distribution zones.
On top is the distribution zone If we stick to the theory of cycles, which I often write about
www.tradingview.com
We are entering the zone of local distribution I mentioned and marked with red zones If we are interested in the question how we will form the top and where we will distribute?
I would take into account the fact that we are already in the bitcoin distribution zone in this cycle and it will continue for another 10 months.
So, sideways in the 50k range, I agree, but I don't think it will go below the previous high of 73k.
Three distribution options:
1. ATH and then a gradual slide - the most standard top formation, with a run above 100k to induce euphoria
2. Two rising tops look better with liquidity removal of the first top, etc.
3. The killer of all the shorts, those waiting for the crisis, and so on.
They're going to kill all the non-believers on the moon.
And force everyone who believes in a million dollars for bitcoin to buy it.
Conclusion -
I expect a local distribution above 100k over the next 10 months, the possible top formation I have shown.
I do not expect a sharp drop to 50k - bitcoin has become a different asset class.
Everything can change a lot in 10 months, and based on my cycle theory,
I am waiting for the bull cycle to end. In this range of 10 months, altcoins will once again fall and rise at the very end. They will fall 51 more weeks down after September 2025.
I'm talking about local forecast in 1-2 years, further it will be even more interesting because globally after this cycle, all retail will say goodbye to their bitcoin and will not buy it back cheaper in 95% of cases. and Next we will count how much 1 sashoshi is worth.
in 1 Bitcoin is 120,000 satoshis.
When 1BTC reaches $120k.
1 sat = 1USD
And due to the fact that the printing press is working 1 satoshi will grow in the long run.
I hope for the best in our world. Stay close.
You can find out about other communication opportunities down below the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO
Aiming #BTC for $107,000!As mentioned on my previous btc charts, it did fell to my level said, Seeing the pattern, Buying at CMP's SL Trajectory line on the steep trendline, Very prominent pattern now as per my ideology gonna hit new highs. Ideal Stops at 95100
BTCUSDTBTC is still in an uptrend at the price zone of 103046-104814. If the price cannot break through the 104814 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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BTC SELL OFF INBOUND - $74,000BTC broke the $100k barrier in true let me suck in the noobs fashion. The reversal off the ATH was fast , hard, and full of HFT. Dont be fooled. This is not a safe entry. I forecast in 1-2 hours BTC will hit $98,100 and then wont see prices too much higher until a trip to the $74,000 - $75,000 Area Using Murrey Math , Elliott Wave and my own brand of bad ass. Good luck.
BITCOIN $BTCUSD | BITCOIN OVER $100,000 ! Dec05'24BITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD | BITCOIN OVER $100,000 Dec05'24
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Trends:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Weekly: Bullish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Daily: Bullish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4H: Bullish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1H: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rallied over $100,000 for the first time ever, and just recently price fell all the way to around $92,250. Unsure where BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is headed next but thought I'd throw my indicators and a few quick drawings on the charts. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD also has an ascending triangle pattern that could be a good opportunity for trade entries.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD pullback prices:
Is a pullback to $69,000 heating up, here are my potential pullback areas:
91,500
90,500
85,500
77,000
72,000
69,000
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Important Support and Resistance Zones: 95904.28-98892.0
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It has risen by about 500% so far.
I think profit taking is naturally taking place as it rises to a new price range.
-
(1D chart)
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around 95904.28-98892.0 or higher until the next volatility period.
If BTC maintains its price around this range, it is expected that the upward trend will continue to create an altcoin bull market.
-
The 95904.28-98892.0 range is a range composed of the HA-High indicator and the BW(100) indicator, and can be considered a high point range.
Therefore, if it falls below this range, it is likely to fall further because it has fallen from the high point range.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained when the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart rises within this range.
As mentioned earlier, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and encounters resistance, it is likely to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
If it falls below the 95904.28-98892.0 range, it is expected that altcoins will show a sharp decline.
-
(1W chart)
What we should be interested in in this movement is how the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart resets.
We need to see if the StochRSI indicator resets with a large decline or if it resets sideways.
-
If the price stays around 95904.28-98892.0 or higher until the next volatility period, it is expected to move upwards towards the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTC - 4H Support zoneBINANCE:BTCUSDT saw a strong pullback after reaching the $104K zone, hitting the support at $98K. I expect a bounce from here to target liquidity above the last ATH. Let’s see if it plays out!
BTC/USD 4hr Awaiting ConfirmationQuick Take!
BTC/USD 4hr
The sentiment still appears to be bullish and uptrend still holding so if the current and next candle close green, there's a strong probability to the upside but as price is still testing support I would still like to see more optimal RSI conditions before making the long call.
If the next candle closes bearish, looking to short at levels as per the chart.
As always, looking for minimum 3:1, trail, and keep stops tight!📈📉
#Bitcoin #bitcoin100k #XRP #BTC #Ripple
Bitcoin Support TrendlineBitcoin has officially achieved a $100k price point. 6 digits never looked so good.
At the time of posting this, it has shot back down below $100k and I'm posting this trendline again to help predict some potential support for Bitcoin in the short term.
BTCUSD continues to put in higher lows on the 4H. The last bounce off this trendline pushed us above $100k so lets see if BTCUSD uses it as support again.
3400 points in BTC Sentiment Indicator Rocks finally a breakout and 3400 points. this is the power of sentiment so does the indicator (which is paid by the way). good things shouldn't be free. awesome move and still signal on.
BTCUSD: Target range updated to 200,000 - 300,000.Bitcoin is overbought on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 77.125, MACD = 9127.400, ADX = 41.734) but during Bull Cycles, this is by no means a factor to consider turning bearish. Quite the contrary when the 1W RSI in particular crosses above the 70.000 level, Bitcoin turns parabolic. The Top is priced only long after the 1W RSI starts to pull back inside a Channel Down. Bitcoin is now inside a 7 year Channel Up and the current 3-week consolidation phase is the same pattern we saw in Nov-Dec 2020, which broke into a more aggressive rally to the Channel's top. A valid TP range now is 200,000 - 300,000.
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Origintrail TRAC Long: EWT Analysis & Cycle Peak Targets
+ Impulsive Parallel Channel
+ Possible overextended Wave 5 count now?
The target is the peaks of the parallel channel, confluence with the fib extensions targets.
Last Rally for Cycle Wave 5 topping around Nov/Dec 2025 being a blow off top.
BTC a comprehensive analysishello guys...
let's investigate about BTC through Elliot!
Wave 1 to Wave 4:
Wave 1 initiates the bullish trend.
Wave 2 consolidates into a flat or corrective pattern.
Wave 3 is extended, showing a strong upward trend (impulse).
Wave 4 forms a triangle or corrective structure, preparing for Wave 5.
as you know there are 3 common alternative waves 5 right now!
the first scenario is wave 5 be the %61 of wave 3! It means the current situation!
Conservative Target (96,598.96 - 0.618 Fibonacci Extension):
Analysis: Wave 5 terminates slightly above the end of Wave 3. This scenario suggests that Wave 5 could face resistance near the 0.618 Fibonacci extension and align with market exhaustion after an extended rally.
Outcome: A shorter rally indicates that market momentum may slow down significantly.
Likelihood: Low to Moderate
Why?
Wave 3 extension is significant in your chart, often a sign of a strong uptrend. Wave 5 typically equals or exceeds Wave 3, so a short Wave 5 is less common unless momentum is weak.
When is it likely?
If resistance is around $96,600, it is due to overbought conditions or lack of demand.
If Wave 5 follows a truncated structure (which happens in rare cases).
The second scenario is that wave 5 be as high as wave 3
Moderate Target (146,754.93 - Fibonacci 1.0 Extension):
Analysis: This scenario assumes Wave 5 reaches parity with Wave 1 and Wave 3 in terms of magnitude. It aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension, a key projection level in Elliott Wave analysis.
Outcome: Suggests sustained bullish momentum, supported by volume and macroeconomic conditions.
Likelihood: High
Why?
Wave 5 extension parity with Wave 1 or Wave 3 is typical in Elliott Wave theory.
A target at the 1.0 Fibonacci level reflects a balance between bullish momentum and market saturation.
Cryptocurrency markets often respect Fibonacci levels, especially during trends.
External factors like increasing institutional adoption (e.g., Bitcoin ETFs) and positive sentiment around Bitcoin could support this scenario.
When is it likely?
If the broader macro trend supports continued momentum (e.g., dollar weakness, institutional inflows).
If the market exhibits sustained volume without becoming overheated.
and the final scenario
Aggressive Target (288,680.96 - 1.618 Fibonacci Extension):
Analysis: Wave 5 enters a parabolic phase, often seen in cryptocurrency markets during speculative mania. The target aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, indicating a highly extended rally fueled by exponential growth or hype.
Outcome: This could lead to market overvaluation, followed by a sharp corrective phase.
Likelihood: Moderate
Why?
While Bitcoin is known for its parabolic rallies, such an aggressive extension would require exceptional circumstances.
Potential drivers could include:
Rapid institutional adoption.
Major geopolitical instability driving demand for hard assets.
Speculative mania (e.g., retail FOMO, media hype).
However, achieving this target would likely trigger a significant correction afterward.
When is it likely?
If Bitcoin enters a speculative "blow-off top" phase like in late 2017 or 2021.
If external catalysts (e.g., Bitcoin halving effects, spot ETF approvals, mass adoption) align simultaneously.
Prepare for the moderate scenario ($146,754) but remain flexible. If the market displays speculative characteristics, the aggressive scenario ($288,680) becomes more probable. Conversely, signs of exhaustion at lower levels could limit the rally to $96,600.
UPDATE ETH ***ATH FOR ETHEREUMHello friends
As Bitcoin managed to register a new ceiling, so Ethereum can...
I told you before that the movement of Ethereum is going up and the probability of hitting the ceiling is very high.
Now I have marked the specified targets with a green line that can be reached.
The purchase range is 3900, which is not a problem with a 2% difference.
Note that with the upward trend of Ethereum altcoins.
They are placed in great opportunities, so follow us.
gold currently at 2646 and the 1-hour trend showing bearishWith gold currently at **2646** and the **1-hour trend showing bearish momentum**, this aligns well with your sell entry at **2647** targeting **2622**. Here's OANDA:XAUUSD how the setup looks:
Current Position Analysis:
*Price**: 2646
-Trend**: 1-hour timeframe bearish (indicates downward pressure).
Strategy Insights:
1. **Entry Timing**:
- Since the price is hovering around your intended entry (2647), you could open the position soon, provided the bearish trend is confirmed by indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD.
2. **Target**:
- Aim for 2622, which is 24 points below the current price, offering a potential profit depending on your lot size.
3. **Risk Management**:
- Set a **stop-loss** to guard against reversal. A level around **2655-2660** could be reasonable, depending on volatility and resistance zones.
4. **Confirming the Bearish Trend**:
- Look for additional confirmation like:
- **Candlestick patterns**: E.g., a bearish engulfing pattern.
- **Volume**: Decreasing on pullbacks and increasing on sell-offs.
- **Support levels**: Ensure 2622 aligns with a key support zone.
Would you like help analyzing charts or identifying technical levels?
BTC BriefingHi Traders,
Look at 1H
Possible area to mitigate the residue orders as indicated.
Also, it shows 0.618 retracement at the same time.
Order block area indicated was resistance break out zone.
It shows many beneficial matters for placing an position later.
Waiting is key for long run trader.
Good luck.
Where is my bitcoin shorters at? Haha , best TA back at youLet me explain, do you want to make money? do you want to become rich? think like the rich and act like the rich. patience is the key to success
all the people who get sad and mad and liquidated because they want easy fast wealth. for u shorters out there keep shorting bcs we need u all in order to moon harder. microstrategy , blackrock is buying and you think 'let me short' some people make me laugh.
retail interest is JUST getting started and we are set for a liftoff with both ETHEREUM , followed by mid and small caps.
MY PERSONAL OPINION ON THE MARKET : BITCOIN MAY NEVER GO UNDER 100K ANYMORE , this level is a psychological number that will be the strongest support that bitcoin has ever seen. Michael saylor and blackrock and papa Trump and our boy Elon will soon make us lift off the ground even more.
EY what do you wait for? give a like and lets make these shorters a bit mad XD
BTC | BITCOIN ATH | ALTSEASON A comprehensive analysis today on my take regarding Bitcoin , BTC All time High, and for how long we can still expect to see altseason.
When I say altseason, what I am referring to is hard pumps and large increases, scattered across the altcoin market.
In the previous BTC update, I considered an ATH between 99k and 105k. More on that here :
Today's main "concern" is really whether or not the alt-rallies are finished - and I say, not yet .
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
BTC broke $100,000!!!!Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation of BTC in pair to USDT on a 4-hour interval. As we can see, the price with a strong upward movement left the triangle in which we were moving.
The upward exit from the triangle provided the energy to break through $100,000 and currently we are approaching the resistance at $106,257, only when the price goes further will we be able to see a move towards $114,000.
However, if the current upward movement reverses, the support zone from $101,000 to $98,700 should be observed. However, when the support zone is broken, we can see the price quickly return to the level of $95,400 and then drop to around $90,000.
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago entered a wedge, where it at once rebounded from the support line and started to grow. In a short time, the price grew to the 91500 support level and even a little higher, reached the resistance line of the wedge, and then made the correction, after which some time traded inside the buyer zone. Later BTC broke the 91500 level one more time and rose until to the 98000 level, which coincided with the seller zone and even entered to this area, after which it turned around and started to decline. Price exited from wedge and started to trades inside range. In range, the price declined below the 98000 resistance level, to the support level, after which BTC turned around and quickly rose back. Price some time traded near the resistance level and recently it little declined, but then started to grow. So, in my mind, BTC can enter to seller zone and then start to fall to the support level. For this case, I set my TP at the 91500 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
