BTC-D
Possibility of sideways until the next volatility period
(Title) The key is whether sideways can occur until the next volatility period
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(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point to watch for USDT and USDC is whether they can maintain their upward trend.
BTC dominance failed to fall below 55.01 and is showing signs of touching the MS-Signal indicator.
The key is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall.
The key is whether USDT dominance can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and fall.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to fall.
For the coin market itself to maintain an upward trend, I think that USDT dominance needs to remain below 4.97 or continue to fall.
Therefore, we need to check whether the content I mentioned above is maintained or whether it satisfies the content for BTC.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As I mentioned yesterday, there has been a movement in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
However, I think that for the trend to change, it depends on how BTC moves around 95904.28-98892.0.
That is, if the price is maintained around 95904.28-98892.0 until around December 27, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will be reset and the upward trend will continue.
Otherwise, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, below the MS-Signal indicator, and shows resistance, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
This movement can be seen as a pull back due to profit taking to relieve fatigue from the upward trend that has continued so far.
I think this can be seen as profit taking for the upward trend that started in 2023.
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Due to this decline, the BW(100) indicator is showing signs of being created at the 101109.59 point and the HA-High indicator at the 97821.58 point.
Accordingly, we can see that the high point section has risen.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is generated at the 97821.58 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
In any case, what we need to look at importantly is whether it can be supported and rise around the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be maintained until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
To do so, I think funds should flow out of altcoins and the price of BTC should be defended.
I think it is currently showing that pattern, but I will have to wait and see a little longer.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTC Short-term Pullback or 20% Market Correction?We see BTC buyers exhaust themselves, as RSI momentum lose traction. The question now is whether, this is a short term pullback before retracing to near 100k or is this a significant correction to 80k territory before lifting off again?
My view is short term bearish, longer term to be decided later.
BITCOIN UPDATE. the lower channel boundary and 100-MA support hold, Bitcoin could resume its uptrend towards the $104,000-$106,000 range. However, a breakdown below $96,500 on the broader chart could test support near $92650 or even the 200-MA.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC/USD LONG SET UP BITCOINTitle: BTC/USD BUY (BITCOIN)
Asset: Crypto
Symbol: BTC/USD
Order Type: Buy Limit
Time Frame: 1D
Platform: Coinbase or MT4
Entry Price 1: $95,500
Entry Price 2: $90,500
Stop Loss: $85,500
Take Profit 1: $100,500
Take Profit 2: $105,500
Take Profit 3: $115,500
Status: ACTIVE
$COIN Coinbase fakeout and pump?Can't even explain why but I feel like something similar might happen. Looks a bit dumpy tho.
I wouldn't enter short. Just wait for this fakeout, might be local bottom. and Pump that would take CRYPTOCAP:BTC back up and further push down CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
Might not even reach the entry price for long. ~295$
BTC correction possible to 85k?This might playout, I had this after those huge wicks but hardly doubted this could playout, but now it seems more possible than before.
The orange bars is projection from previous pump when we got new ATH at 70k. Will BTC gonna get few months of slow bleed again?
USDT.D been falling for 90days with no real retests, this might be it.
Also fully completed previous projection of a Dump.
USDT.D retest 5.5%?USDT.D been falling for 90days with no real retests, this might be it.
Also fully completed previous projection of a Dump.
Fibb Golden zone around 5.5%
Also BTC looks like it's in Diamond Top pattern. If that plays out we might see CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $85k.
But this is Bullrun so probably some Elon musk post will randomly revive market out of nowhere and the dump will stop mid way.
Keep eyes on twitter.
BTCUSD: Upper Bollinger broke. Insane rally starting.Bitcoin is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.590, MACD = 41.64.200, ADX = 13.674) due to today's correction but on the 1W timeframe, its RSI remains borderline overbought (RSI = 71.357). This heavily favors buying as Bull Cycles thrive on overbought valuations. On top of that the price crossed over the upper Fibonacci trendline and in all past Cycles once this happened, it became the support of the most aggressive rally of the Cycle. Stay bullish but be ready to start selling after September, at the top of the Time Cycle.
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Bitcoin in short - term Hello, dear friends! It’s Kateryna here with You again! I'm so happy to reconnect with You all! It’s amazing to see the market coming back to life after years of stagnation.🙌🏻 I hope You're doing well and riding the waves of price action like pros, haha!😁
I’m also trying to keep up, despite a tough autumn and winter in my country.😞 Honestly, trading without this platform and the incredible community here feels dull and uninspiring. I truly miss the energy of the last bull run when I found so many like-minded people and made friends I’m still in touch with today!🫶
Let’s keep sharing ideas and supporting each other—it’s such a fantastic feeling to be part of this community!🚀
Now, about Bitcoin’s short-term price action: I see a potential price drop to the support levels of 96,500–95,500. It’ll be crucial to closely watch how the price develops in the following days. At the same time, we shouldn’t rule out the scenario where Bitcoin breaks through the short-term descending resistance line, giving it a chance to climb higher within the channel.
On the chart, You’ll notice what I mean if You look at the comparison of previous price movements (marked with pink and blue dots).
What do You think, dear friends?🧐 What’s Your outlook for Bitcoin in the near future? I’d love to hear Your thoughts—share Your comments or post Your charts!🙏
Yours always,
Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why BTC Could Drop to $93K The long wick created on Thursday, December 5, stands out as a significant feature on the chart and is the primary target at the moment. This $6,000-long wick, visible on both the 1-hour and 4-hour time frames, represents a substantial market imbalance. Such wicks often act as a "magnet" for price action, drawing the price back to fill the imbalance over time.
On the 1-day time frame, the price formed a rare double wick within a single candle, with notable wicks extending in both directions. Historically, in similar cases, the price tends to fill one side of the wick first before shifting its focus to the other. Currently, the upper 50% of the wick has been filled, suggesting a potential downward move. The next target could see the price drop to fill 50% of the lower wick, potentially reaching $93,746.
"BTC Drawdowns: My Target Was Picture Perfect!"Hello, everyone! 👋
Today marks the second day of significant crypto price drawdowns. 📉 I hope you managed to secure some profits earlier 💰 and are now enjoying this pullback while patiently waiting for better prices to consider long entries. 🚀
On November 21, I published an idea about BTC potentially topping out before a retracement. On December 5, BTC touched my target 🎯, and it now seems to be starting to roll over. Of course, nothing is certain in trading, but for now, the market appears to be moving in that direction. ⚖️
So, what should you do now? 🤔
It depends on your market perspective:
If you're a long-term HODLer, things are straightforward—just sit back, wait, and enjoy the price action. 🪙📈
If you're a trader, especially a swing trader, you might want to consider locking in profits. 💵 Stick to your system and follow the rules—it can be that simple. ✔️
I hope you're reading this with some realized profits in your account! 💸 Stay tuned for my next idea about potential retracement levels. 📊
Wishing you all a fantastic week! 🌟
ETH $3500 or moon soon?Well she tried to break out yesterday but was rejected, and ultimately pulled back to support. that support is short-medium length running, as it has provided support here 4 times in the past month and now we are hoping for a 5th time.
But even if it breaks down here, we would be likely to see it go back down to the bottom of this ascending channel, at around $3500 depending on when we arrive there, its also the 200 (4hr candle) moving average. There is a strong likelihood that if we test this area we will hold support with double support, however in the unlikely event that support also broke down, we could be looking at heading back down to red line, which also is not unhealthy, when an asset breaks out, to come back and test its prior resistance as support, ETH never did do that.
Here is the 1 day candle charts, just to show ETH was in a year decline when it broke out into this structure we are examining closer in this write up.
Notice in the chart in this write up, the red line at the bottom, it is the dominate descending red line in that one day candle chart above.
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Something else though both ETH and BTC their order books sentiment is not so strong right now. I use CMF and i like to look at orderbooks from 10% depth of market to 100% depth of market and I watch the trendline of the asks, because, the more asks at 10-100% depth of market, thats positive sentiment, thats a lot of traders that have set limit orders expecting the price to go up. Where as when we see a rise in bids in the 10%-100% depth of market range, it means more traders are setting up to buy an anticipated coming dip, so they expect the price to drop. For ETH over the last month as the price has jumped, the asks above 10% have continued to decline and now recently the bids above 10% have started to run up. But also everything goes in waves, it would make sense that soon we could start another wave up and then its just a question of if it will be a bigger or smaller wave, indicating a growing or shrinking overarching "Greed".
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So the alternative to it breaking down here, which the recent market makes it seem more likely, is that we go back and try to break that resistance again and this time, succeed and make a nice strong run on ETH, but we have to be prepared for either.
My gut says based on the recent strength of the market, we will start to see order books push a new cycle of increased trader confidence and see a break out here instead of a break down but the data above suggests a very real potential for a a pullback here. Overall, this still appears really early in ETH's break out from its year decline, I think we can expect much higher highs in the future with the only question being, how far in the future.
As always be vigilant and adaptive, and DYOR!
Bitcoin's Range Between $91K and $102K Continues📊 After two days of consolidation, Bitcoin has started to gain momentum with the weekly candle closure and the reopening of financial markets.
👉🏼 The price is currently testing the lower channel support. If this level holds, Bitcoin could retest the $102,000 resistance.
🟢 As analyzed earlier, Bitcoin seems poised to range between $93,000 - $102,000 for a while. 🔴However, if the $96,000 - $97,000 hourly support zone breaks, a decline toward $93,000 could be expected.
Preparing for $100K Target📊 Bitcoin is likely to range within the $93,000 - $96,000 support zone, forming a base before potentially starting its next bullish leg toward the $100,000 - $102,000 targets.
✅ This consolidation phase could provide the momentum required for a stronger upward move.
👉🏼 This analysis will be updated as the price action develops.
Nearish divergence short term but needs seller supply If no one sells this might not go as bearish as it will be/is. This is a chance to re buy in remember there are many folk wanting it waiting for these dips… unlike last runs. People are accumulating like never before and crypto is the most volatile market we have.
Don’t assume anything expect anything and don’t be upset if the market drops by tomorrow morning and you didn’t sell.. I haven’t sold in years I have swapped but. So I’ve made gains there. Still follow your instinct. Do your own research always before executing buy or sell orders and of not swapping out but on market always make it a limit order where you place the price to buy being just below the current price or the price you see technicals showing it will or might dip to.. try not market buy unless you are a well versed trader it’s one of the BIGGEST MISTAKES new crypto traders do. Where FX traders often learn alot more same as stock traders before they start trading but crypto can be done ANYWHERE. Same with stocks and FX but crypto is different people can and do gift it every day.
It’s something you can earn and then own as an asset of some kind depending where you live.
Anyways what you think will happen come tomorrow morning or this time tomorrow? What about in 7 days? Let’s stay on topic and post positive comments that can help us all learn to destroy the stock market for our gains together!
BTC/USDT Weekly Chart Analysis!!Bitcoin is trading within a broad bullish structure on the weekly time-frame, following a breakout from a key long-term resistance level. The Ichimoku Cloud and moving averages provide insight into trend strength and key support areas.
BTC recently broke a long-term resistance (~$76,000). The chart suggests a possible retest of this level to confirm it as new support.
Bitcoin remains above the Cloud, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend
The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are moving upwards, supporting the momentum.
Increased volume around the breakout zone confirms the upside move. Keep an eye on any spikes during the retest.
Immediate Support: $95,000 (local structure).
Key Retest Area: $76,000 (former resistance).
Short-term Target: $105,000.
Key psychological barrier: $120,000.
A successful retest of the $76,000 area could lead to a move towards $105,000, with the next target being $120,000.
Failure to hold above $76,000 could lead to a return to lower support at $65,000-$60,000.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated on market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BITCOIN nothing to stop it now! Can top anywhere inside 250-400kMore than 1 year ago (September 05 2023, see chart below), we published the following Bitcoin (BTCUSD) idea, which very illustratively presented the potential course of the new Bull Cycle:
As you can see, BTC managed to trade an entire year rising within this green Arc pattern and always below the Cyclical Pivot trend-line that emerged from the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle.
We made the last update on this chart last August (20 2024), where we called the end of the 5-month correction since March and the start of the new Phase (final Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle.
** The key hold of the 1W MA50 **
The key for that call was the fact that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held twice during the August sell-off and supported. As you can see, on all of BTC Bull Cycles, the 1W MA50 has been supporting post Halving and never broke until after the Top and the start of the new Bear Cycle.
** Symmetry of pre and post-Having **
Given that historically the Bull Cycle lasts post-Halving almost the time it lasted from the bottom to the Halving, we should expect its top around December 2025 - January 2026 and if it is on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line, then it could be as high as 400k.
However, even on a less optimistic scenario where it lasts 1064 days (152 weeks) from the Bottom (not counting FTX crash), like the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can expect a peak a little over $200000 on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line.
** The 1W RSI series of Tops **
It is important to notice that the 1W RSI is recovering from the overbought volatility correction, having dropped from a massively overbought 88.50 High (March 04) to a practically bearish 45.00 Low (September 02). As this chart shows, BTC tends to top on levels similar to the first 1W RSI of the Cycle, so there is still a lot of way to go before it tops, especially if it follows the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, which had four almost symmetrical such Tops.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting Bitcoin to top anywhere within a $250 - $400k range? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Bitcoin: Is the Bullish Breakout Here to Stay?👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been gaining strong momentum, with a confirmed bullish breakout in market structure on the daily and 4-hour charts, reaching new all-time highs. My outlook remains bullish as I monitor a potential retracement into the Fibonacci 61.8% zone for an ideal entry point. In this video, we provide a detailed BTC analysis and explore how to trade Bitcoin effectively, breaking down strategies to capitalize on the current bullish trend. Whether you’re an experienced trader or new to the crypto markets, this guide will refine your trading approach and improve your confidence in navigating Bitcoin's price action. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin finally reached 6 digits!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. risk ON sntiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the failure of the resistance zone. After the authentic failure of this area, we will see Bitcoin reach the ceiling of the channel.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The target of this downward movement will be the level of 90 thousand dollars.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Last week, Donald Trump appointed Paul Atkins as the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a decision that sparked mixed reactions. Hester Peirce, popularly known as the “Crypto Mom,” expressed her strong support for Atkins to replace the current SEC chairman, Gary Gensler. She stated, “Based on my previous experience working with him in this organization, I can’t imagine a better candidate for this position.”
Meanwhile, Caroline Crenshaw, a current member of the SEC, has been nominated for another term and now awaits Senate confirmation. If approved, she will serve on the commission until 2029. During her tenure, Crenshaw has taken a notably strict stance on cryptocurrencies, earning a reputation for being even tougher than Gary Gensler. One key point of contention is her opposition to approving Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). In a letter dated January 2024, she cited concerns such as investor protection and market manipulation as reasons for her dissent. These views have led some to label her as the primary adversary of the crypto industry.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs now hold over one million bitcoins, surpassing the holdings of Bitcoin’s anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. Within less than a year, these funds have become the largest bitcoin holders in the world.
Lawrence Summers, a former U.S. Treasury Secretary, told Bloomberg that the idea of establishing strategic bitcoin reserves is “ridiculous.” However, he welcomed efforts to regulate the crypto space and foster financial innovation. Summers also expressed skepticism about reducing government spending through the Productivity Department, calling it a challenging path.
The performance and weekly and annual returns of major Layer 1 cryptocurrencies are shown in the accompanying chart. Meanwhile, Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, appeared in a Paris court to face charges of facilitating illegal activities through his messaging app. Durov, who was temporarily detained on August 24, was released after posting a $6 million bail but has been barred from leaving France until March 2025. French prosecutors have accused him of running a platform that aids illicit activities. If convicted, Durov could face up to 10 years in prison and a fine of €500,000. This case has raised concerns about privacy-focused technologies in the Web3 space.
At the same time, the number of cryptocurrency wallets with non-zero balances has reached 400 million. Michael Saylor, the CEO of Microstrategy, recently shared his proposed bitcoin purchasing strategy with crypto enthusiasts. He reiterated that bitcoin should be considered a long-term asset and advocated for using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for sustainable growth.
Saylor, one of bitcoin’s most prominent supporters, stated that for the past four years, he has consistently advised investors to “buy bitcoin and never sell.” He emphasized that bitcoin should be held as a long-term capital asset rather than a short-term profit tool. Saylor recommended that investors enter the market every three months using funds they do not need and hold the investment for at least ten years. He also stressed that investors should not worry about short-term volatility and should avoid stress by adhering to this strategy.
The trading volume of spot cryptocurrencies reached $2.7 trillion last month, marking the highest level since May 2021. A new survey revealed that over 80% of cryptocurrency holders admitted that their investment decisions were influenced by emotions like Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). The survey, which included 1,248 participants, showed that 84% invested due to FOMO and 81% due to FUD.
Kraken Exchange commented that the findings suggest many investors trade based on emotions and fears rather than logical strategies. These emotions often stem from misunderstandings or mistrust about the future of specific cryptocurrencies. The survey also revealed that FOMO drives investors to chase rising prices, while only 17% focus on buying opportunities during price drops. Interestingly, 63% of cryptocurrency holders acknowledged