Ethereum (ETH) – Bearish Divergence Signals CautionTechnical Outlook:
Bearish Divergence: Ethereum's daily oscillator continues to show reversal signals, suggesting weakening bullish momentum after recent highs.
Trend Status: Until ETH breaks decisively above recent highs, the current downtrend remains intact, signaling the need for caution among bulls.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Resistance: A breakout and close above $4,000 would signal renewed bullish strength and open new trade opportunities, particularly on any successful retests of this level.
Support: Failure to hold current levels could see ETH revisit $3,400-$3,600, a critical support zone.
Current Strategy for Bulls:
Exercise caution until a decisive break above recent highs confirms momentum reversal.
Watch for a potential buying opportunity on retests of $4,000 if breakout strength materializes.
Conclusion: The market remains at a critical juncture. Bulls need to stay patient and vigilant, awaiting confirmation of renewed upward strength before positioning aggressively.
BTC-D
Zeta ($ZETAusdt): Daily Chart Analysis for Strategic EntryI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Zeta ( KUCOIN:ZETAUSDT ): Daily Chart Analysis for Strategic Entry
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.7003
- Stop-Loss: $0.5102
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $1.0624
- TP2: $1.7275
Fundamental Analysis:
Zeta ( KUCOIN:ZETAUSDT ) is an emerging cryptocurrency focusing on decentralized interoperability across blockchain networks. Its ability to facilitate seamless asset transfers and support cross-chain smart contracts makes it a unique player in the market. Recent upgrades to its protocol, including enhanced transaction speeds and reduced fees, have increased its adoption in DeFi ecosystems.
Technical Analysis (Daily Chart):
- Current Price: $0.7150
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $0.6500
- 200-Day SMA: $0.5800
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 58, showing bullish momentum but still within a neutral zone.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $0.6000
- Resistance: $0.8500
The daily chart shows a clear ascending trendline, with KUCOIN:ZETAUSDT recently breaking above a key resistance level at $0.6900. A sustained hold above $0.7000 could confirm a breakout toward TP1 at $1.0624, with TP2 at $1.7275 as a long-term target.
Market Sentiment:
ZETA has seen growing interest following announcements of strategic partnerships with major DeFi platforms. Increased trading volume indicates strong investor confidence, particularly among institutional players exploring cross-chain solutions.
Risk Management:
Setting a stop-loss at $0.5102 limits potential downside risk, ensuring a manageable loss if the trade moves against expectations. The take-profit targets offer an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on ZETA's upward momentum.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will break support level and fall to 98$Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to support 2, which coincided with support zone, and some time traded between this level. After this, BTC later made a strong impulse up, breaking support 2, which coincided with the resistance zone and even rose a little higher. But soon, it turned around and made a strong impulse down to the trend line, breaking two support levels. Later, the price backed up, breaking support 2, and even rose to the resistance zone, after which some time traded below this area. Next, it declined to the support zone, which coincided with the trend line, and then rebounded and in a short time rose to the resistance zone, breaking support 1. At the moment, price trades inside the resistance zone in a triangle pattern, so, I expect that BTCUSDT will make movement up to the resistance line of this pattern. Next, it turned around and started to decline, breaking the support level, therefore I set my goal at 98000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USD : First Short, Then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price is currently trading around $100K. If the price stabilizes below $100,380, we could expect further declines, with $97,800 as the first key level, followed by the potential start of the next bullish wave for Bitcoin. The second scenario involves a price surge above $101,500, which could increase demand and push the price to levels above $102,000. This analysis will be updated further.
Weekly Time Frame Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BITCOIN - Price can reach resistance line and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside wedge, where it some time traded between $69000 level and then started to grow.
Later price broke $69000 level and rose in wedge to $84000 points, after which BTC exited from this pattern.
Next, price continued to move up inside rising channel, where it broke $91500 level and rose to resistance line.
Then Bitcoin corrected this level, after which some time traded near and rose to resistance line of channel again.
But a not long time ago it corrected, after which in a short time rose a little and now continues to move up.
I think that price can reach resistance line and then start to decline to $95100 support line of channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
ADA/USDT : More Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Cardano chart in the daily (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the $0.35 range. If it can stabilize above this key level, we can expect further upward movement. The next targets for ADA are $0.3780, $0.415, and $0.4570.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Future Outlook with StochRSI and OBV
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I used TradingView's index chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
--------------------------------------
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
OBV is showing an upward breakout of the High Line.
Accordingly, we should look at how the High Line is expressed when the candle of the next month is created.
The StochRSI indicator has risen above 50 points, and has changed to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we should look at whether it will maintain the current state and show an upward trend.
Looking at the movement of the indicators on the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
-
(1W chart)
There is some ambiguity in analyzing BTC due to the movement of the 1W chart.
The StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point, and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
As of now, the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, I think the pressure for a decline is increasing as time goes by.
The OBV indicator has risen above the high line.
Accordingly, if a high line is created next week, we should see if it enters the high line.
If so, BTC is expected to show a downward trend.
However, the StochRSI and OBV indicators cannot tell the extent of the decline.
Therefore, if the decline begins, there is a possibility that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator will be touched.
-
(1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 101197.25.
Accordingly, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must rise above 101197.25 to maintain it.
The OBV indicator is near the high line.
Accordingly, when it rises above 101197.25, we need to see if the OBV indicator breaks through the high line upward.
The StochRSI indicator is below 50, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we need to see if it rises above 50 points and switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and is maintained.
If not, and BTC falls below 95961.82, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, then the important issue is whether there is support near that indicator.
------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period around December 3, it is important to see whether the price can be maintained near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0 until the next volatility period.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while moving sideways unless it falls below 95904.28.
The key point is what I said on the BTCUSDT 1D chart.
If it rises above the BW(100) indicator point of 101109.59 and maintains the price, and if the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, there is a possibility that it will rise further.
However, as I mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the StochRSI EMA indicator on the 1W chart is approaching the 100 point, so it will eventually show a downward trend.
As explained in the big picture below, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend until the end of 2025.
Therefore, I think that even if there is a short-term decline or a downward trend this time, it will eventually rise above the current price.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
XAUUSD - gold will be welcomed by the Federal Reserve!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If it returns to the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zone.
1. UBS Gold Forecast:
UBS has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900. This prediction is based on factors such as the rising U.S. debt, strong demand from central banks, and declining interest rates. The institution also anticipates that U.S. inflation will decrease to 3% by the end of 2024, 2.6% by the end of 2025, and 2.5% throughout 2027. These figures are significantly higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, suggesting that persistent inflation may pose a significant obstacle to the Fed’s efforts to control it.
2. U.S. CPI Report:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November highlighted the persistence of inflationary pressures. However, the details of the report appeared somewhat reassuring. CIBC Bank predicts that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 0.25% in its December meeting, though subsequent rate cuts may be delayed due to the economy’s continued growth.
3. Ray Dalio on Gold:
Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, referred to Bitcoin as a hard asset and stated that he prefers Bitcoin and gold over debt-based assets. He expressed concerns about a potential global debt crisis and emphasized the importance of shifting investments toward hard assets.
Dalio pointed to unprecedented levels of debt in major countries such as the U.S. and China, deeming these debt levels unsustainable.Speaking at a financial conference in Abu Dhabi, he remarked, “It is impossible for these countries to avoid a debt crisis in the coming years, which will likely lead to a significant depreciation of their currencies.”
4. Dalio’s Evolving Stance on Bitcoin:
Previously, Dalio believed that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin would not achieve the success many had hoped for. However, in recent years, he has become a prominent advocate of Bitcoin. In 2022, Dalio suggested allocating up to 2% of an investment portfolio to Bitcoin and gold as a reasonable strategy to combat inflation. He also reiterated his preference for gold over Bitcoin while emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification.
5. Peter Schiff’s Warning on Bitcoin:
Peter Schiff, a prominent gold advocate, has warned that creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. could have negative consequences. On December 9, Schiff posted on the social media platform X, suggesting that the Biden administration should sell all Bitcoin currently held by the U.S. government before leaving office. He stated, “This move would not only help reduce the 2024 budget deficit but also put an end to all the nonsense about establishing a ‘strategic reserve’ of Bitcoin, which is detrimental.”
BTC Cycle Idea: Peak to Peak 2018-2021 OverlayAnother Path to a 2025 Q4 Cycle Peak for BTC.
Overall market sentiment unanimously agrees that we're going higher next year. The question is how high and for how long? What happens after?
IMO its impossible to predict so instead, let's account for the most likely scenarios and react quickly as they develop.
BTC Double Top Idea (2025 Q4)Not my base case but a possible scenario for a wildcard cycle with diminishing returns. While ETFs flows are adding noise, on chain metrics are still a great sanity/narrative checks. Will be looking to layer exits based on key price targets as well as time based profit taking (Q2 2025).
Key On Chain Metrics are MVRV, Puell, Value Days Destroyed (VDD), Realized Cap HODL Waves and some others.
Let me know what you think.
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
$BOBUSDT: Strategic Entry into a Multi-Chain Stable TokenI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
BOB Token ( KUCOIN:BOBUSDT ): Strategic Entry into a Multi-Chain Stable Token
BOB Token (BOB) is a cryptocurrency in the digital asset market. As of December 12, 2024, it is trading at $0.00003422, with an intraday high of $0.00003432 and a low of $0.00003344.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.000035524
- Stop-Loss: $0.000025460
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.000065603
- TP2: $0.000075555
Fundamental Analysis:
BOB is a multi-chain, multi-collateral stable token enhanced with optional privacy features. Developed by Alexei Zamyatin and Dominik Harz, BOB operates across platforms like Polygon, Optimism, and Ethereum, offering users flexible and private transactions.
Technical Analysis:
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $0.00003350
- 200-Day SMA: $0.00003200
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $0.00003300
- Resistance: $0.00003550
Market Sentiment:
The recent launch of BOB's public testnet has showcased its potential to combine Bitcoin's security with Ethereum's flexibility, attracting attention from the crypto community.
Risk Management:
Implementing a stop-loss at $0.000025460 helps mitigate potential losses, while the take-profit targets at $0.000065603 and $0.000075555 offer favourable risk-reward ratios. Given the token's volatility, strict adherence to these levels is crucial.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Let's go for ATH...hello guys
This coin was in a correction phase for a long time after an incredible jump, and with the growth of the market, the correction ended and started to climb with a ceiling and successive claps...
Now we expect ATH from it because its trend is well rounded and the currency itself has a high growth potential, so you can buy one step according to the start of growth and buy again if it corrects.
Give us energy with likes and comments.
good luck
BTC.D Analysis - Dominance Faces 200-Day MA ResistanceTrend Indicator:
- **PSAR**: Turned green, indicating a potential recovery attempt, but the rejection at the **200-day MA** dampens the bullish outlook.
Key Observations:
1. **200-Day MA (~57.1%)**: Rejection here underscores strong resistance, halting the recent upward momentum.
2. **Fibonacci Levels**:
- **0.382 Fib (~60%)** remains the primary upper resistance.
- **0.236 Fib (~50.5%)** acts as the key lower support, aligning with a potential consolidation zone.
Oscillators:
- **OBV**: Declining, reflecting weaker buying pressure and increasing distribution.
- **RSI**: At 38.8, moving downward toward oversold conditions, suggesting bearish momentum persists.
- **MACD**: Bearish crossover confirmed, with the histogram in negative territory, indicating increased selling pressure.
Volume:
Selling volume has increased, reinforcing the rejection narrative at the **200-day MA**.
Outlook:
The rejection at the **200-day MA** signals potential continued downside, with the **0.236 Fib level (~50.5%)** emerging as a critical support. If this level holds, dominance could attempt another recovery. However, failure to maintain this support may lead to further downside momentum. Keep an eye on the oscillators for oversold signals as they may indicate a reversal opportunity.
Optimistic Altseason Outlook
The rejection at the **200-day MA** and declining BTC.D suggest a possible shift in market sentiment. Historically, such dominance pullbacks often signal the onset of **altseason**, where capital rotates into high-performing altcoins. With BTC dominance stalling below 57%, altcoins may find a chance to outperform.
As dominance approaches the **0.236 Fib level (~50.5%)**, altcoins may experience renewed interest, particularly if BTC consolidates or retraces further. Combined with oversold oscillator signals and declining BTC-centric volume, this creates an environment ripe for altcoin rallies.
Keep an eye on BTC.D's movement near key support levels and watch for strong volume shifts into altcoins. A breakout in key altcoin leaders could confirm the start of altseason. Stay diversified and ready to capitalize on the opportunities ahead! 🚀
BITCOIN Keep it simple. It won't top anytime soon.This is indeed a 'keep it simple' analysis consisting of 4 charts, each displaying a Bitcoin Cycle since 2012.
There is no need to overcomplicate things, the charts are pretty much self explanatory.
According to all 3 prior Cycles, BTC is on a rally supported by the 1week MA50, that is just over halfway completed.
It will not peak anytime soon and may very well be above $200k, even as high as $300k if the extremely optimistic scenario prevails.
Previous chart:
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Bitcoin will make the New ATH!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) and has managed to break the Resistance lines .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin completed a corrective wave as I expected .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least Resistance zone($102,280-$101,000) and if the Resistance zone breaks , we can hope for a new All-Time High(ATH) soon .
⚠️Note: if BTC goes below the Support zone($99,600-$98,000), we can expect more dumps. ⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Need to check support near the new high point
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Please click "Boost" as well.
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-------------------------------------
It seems that funds have flowed into the coin market through USDT and USDC.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall below 55.01.
If BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated on BTC, so altcoins are likely to show a downward trend.
However, you cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC prices based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The movement of USDT dominance can be used to roughly estimate the overall trend of the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend, and if it rises, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, the movement of prices can be identified by the movement of USDT dominance.
Therefore, you can roughly estimate the movement of funds with BTC dominance and the trend with USDT dominance.
------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Although the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 50, the price of BTC is actually showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and whether it turns into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
It is currently showing an upward trend near 101109.59, which is the BW(100) indicator point.
Accordingly, whether there is support near 101109.59 is the key.
If the StochRSI indicator fails to turn into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and shows a downward trend, it is expected to fall again to the 95904.28-98892.0 range.
-
Therefore, what we should consider important in the current movement is whether we can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while maintaining the price around the newly formed high point range of 97821.58-101109.58 until around December 27th.
Based on the high point range of 97821.58-101109.58, this means that 101109.58 or higher is the high point.
Therefore, it is better to interpret the high point range as a high point boundary range.
Therefore, if it rises above the high point range and then falls below the high point range, it is highly likely that it will lead to an additional decline, and we should consider countermeasures for this.
When the decline begins, the downtrend will stop as it finally creates a low point range (low point boundary range).
That is, when it meets the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, it will create a low point section.
If it creates a low point section and then creates a bottom section, an upward trend will begin.
If we organize this movement,
1. It rises in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and most of the movement appears within the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicator.
That is, the HA-Low, BW(0) section ~ HA-High, BW(100) section forms a sideways, box section.
2. If it falls in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator, it is highly likely to create a downward wave and show a stepwise downward trend.
However, since this step-down trend will eventually play a role in creating a bottom section, if the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators show a rise higher than the previous HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed at that time.
3. If it rises in the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators, it is highly likely that it will create an upward wave and show a step-up trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to set a stop loss point when trading because there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend when it falls above the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators.
However, it is necessary to check the correlation with the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
BTC Long: 200D SMA Bull Regime & RSI SignalsWe are now trending in overbought territory across both Monthly, Weekly timeframes. However, there is still room to go... To measure RSI strength we are leveraging our powerful Adapted RSI indicator.
Whilst, the 200D SMA indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
BTC swing thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis='**News Analysis:** Currently, there is no significant news impacting the BTCUSDT pair. This lack of news suggests that the market may be driven more by technical factors and existing sentiment rather than new developments. Traders should remain vigilant for any emerging news that could influence market dynamics. **Market Sentiment Analysis:** The market sentiment for BTCUSDT is mixed, with a slight bullish inclination. The increase in long positions, particularly in the 4-hour and daily timeframes, indicates a growing confidence among traders. However, the high price level and significant trading volume suggest that the market is actively engaged, which could lead to increased volatility. Traders should be prepared for potential rapid price movements and adjust their strategies accordingly. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators present a mixed picture. The RSI is approaching overbought levels, and the Stochastic Oscillator indicates overbought conditions, especially in shorter timeframes. The MACD shows bearish momentum in the 1d and 1h timeframes but bullish momentum in the 4h timeframe, suggesting potential short-term volatility. The ADX indicates a strong trend in the 1d timeframe, but weaker in the 4h timeframe. The price is near the upper Bollinger Band in the 1h timeframe, indicating potential resistance. Overall, while the long-term trend is bullish, caution is advised due to short-term overbought conditions and potential resistance levels. **Fundamental Analysis:** The fundamental outlook remains positive, with a strong upward trend observed over the past few months. However, the recent consolidation around the $101,000 level suggests potential resistance. Without new fundamental developments, the market may continue to rely on technical indicators and existing sentiment to guide price movements. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the mixed technical signals and potential for short-term volatility, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss slightly below the recent support level to protect against downside risks. Consider taking profits if the price approaches the resistance levels, especially if overbought conditions persist. For new entries, wait for a confirmed breakout above resistance or a pullback to support for a better risk-reward ratio. **CONFIDENCE_LEVEL:** 72% The confidence level reflects the mixed technical signals and the absence of significant news, indicating a moderate-risk trade. ##**TRADE RECOMMENDATION** ```json { "OUTCOME": "HOLD_BUY", "STOP_LOSS": "$99,500.00", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$105,000.00", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "72%", "EXIT_POINT": "$104,000.00", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "4h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 4h", "ATR": "0.005, 4h" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 1, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0, "OPEN_POSITION": "$101,836.11" } ```' )
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis (BTC/USDT) – Updated TradingOverview of the Current Bitcoin Market Trend
In December 2024, the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) market continues to show a strong bullish trend, with the price moving within an ascending channel. However, Bitcoin is currently facing key resistance levels, which could lead to one of two scenarios: a continued breakout or a correction to test support levels. In this article, we will analyze the Bitcoin market trend in detail and provide effective trading strategies.
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD Market Overview for December 2024
The Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart shows the price moving within an ascending channel, with a trendline support below and resistance above. Currently, the price is approaching the significant resistance zone around 104,000 USD to 106,000 USD. These levels have acted as strong resistance in the past. Will Bitcoin break through these levels and continue its upward trend, or will it face a pullback? Let’s find out.
Analysis of Resistance and Support Levels
Strong Resistance at the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD Zone
Main Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD range, which is a key resistance area. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this zone and stays above the resistance, the price could continue to rise. However, if the price fails to break above and shows rejection, it may consolidate or retrace.
Strong Support at the 100,000 USD Level
Main Support: The 100,000 USD level is not only an important support but also a psychological round number for investors. This is a level where Bitcoin could recover if the market experiences a pullback. If the price dips to this level and begins to bounce back, it may create a buy opportunity aligned with the uptrend.
Bitcoin Trading Strategies
Breakout Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD breaks above the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD resistance zone with high trading volume, consider entering a long position. Pay attention to the strong upward momentum in volume to confirm the breakout.
Profit Target: The profit target could be 110,000 USD or higher if the trend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the nearest support level, such as 100,000 USD or 99,000 USD, to protect the position if the price fails to maintain the uptrend.
Buy on Dip Strategy
Entry Condition: If the price pulls back to the 100,000 USD level or the support of the channel, you can enter a buy position. Confirm the bounce with increasing volume and a recovery candlestick pattern.
Profit Target: Take profit at 104,000 USD or higher if the uptrend continues.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below 100,000 USD or below the channel’s support to safeguard the position.
Short Strategy
Entry Condition: If Bitcoin fails to break through 106,000 USD and shows signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns, decreasing volume), you may consider opening a short position. This is especially true if volume does not increase when the price approaches resistance.
Profit Target: Take profit at the 100,000 USD level or below the channel’s support.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above 106,500 USD to protect the position if the price continues higher.
Volume Analysis
Volume is an important factor for confirming technical signals. A strong increase in volume as the price approaches resistance levels could signal a breakout. However, if volume decreases when the price reaches these levels, it may indicate a lack of buying interest, and the market could experience a pullback.