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BTC will fill CME GAP at around 77KWe're seeing some wild swings in Bitcoin's price, and I'm calling it: this isn't just the market doing its thing. I mean, where's all the BTC on exchanges? It's like there's none left, and the prices are shooting up to levels that Wall Street boys would think twice about jumping into. This smells like big-time manipulation by the heavy hitters, like those hedge fund giants and the exchanges themselves. They've got the power to make the market dance, and with so little Bitcoin floating around, every move they make has an outsized impact. It's like they're playing with a loaded deck. I'm not saying I've got the smoking gun, but the signs are there. When you see prices that don't match the supply, you gotta wonder, right? Are we just pawns in their game, or is there something else at play? Let's keep our eyes peeled, because if this is manipulation, it's on a whole new level. What do you guys think? Am I onto something, or am I just seeing shadows? Remember, this is speculative based on what we're observing in the market, and while manipulation is a concern, it's one among many factors influencing crypto prices. Whats your thouhts?
CME:BTC1!Short
by r0b1n4t0r
1
PNUTUSDT → Double bottom. One step away from a rally BINANCE:PNUTUSDT.P accumulates good potential for possible growth by 30-50%. After a strong fall (Dump), a reversal pattern appears on the chart. Against the background of bitcoin standing still, pnut forms a double bottom and enters the rally phase. There is resistance at 0.75 ahead. If the coin can break this zone and keep the defense above the level, the coin can fly to 1.0 in the short to medium term. Resistance levels: 0.75, 1.0 Support levels: 0.6 If the bulls can overcome the strong resistance of 0.75 and can consolidate above this area, we have a great coin with good upside potential. Primary target is 1.0, next targets are 1.15, 1.35. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
(Update) !!! Bitcoin Analysis : Bull or Bear ? (READ)BINANCE:BTCUSDT Currently, it can be said that Bitcoin has completed its fourth corrective wave and from now on, the price can be expected to rise to the top of the triangle. ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
7
BTC - This Christmas is NOT different!Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas. I hope you enjoy this Christmas-themed idea.🎄 💡Can you spot a pattern here? As shown in my last two Christmas posts (attached to the chart), BTC broke out of consolidation and surged by around 70%.📈 I believe this Christmas will be no different. For the next bullish wave to begin, a break above the orange zone is needed, which aligns perfectly with the $100,000 round number. What do you think? Will this Christmas follow the structure of the past two years, or will it be different and lead to a deeper correction⁉️ 📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. And Remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! Merry Christmas Everyone 🎄 ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
49
DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing: STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce. 0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal. Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight: Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin. BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term. Supply and Demand in Bitcoin Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements: Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading. Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall. Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand. Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
by LisaNEdwards
NEAR - Primed for Action: Long Setup to $6 NEAR experienced a strong bounce after a significant sell off. The price has now retraced into the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.666 Fibonacci retracement) and appears to be accumulating within this range atm. Key Observations and Trade Setups: Accumulation at Golden Pocket: The formation of a trading range in this area indicates that buyers are stepping in. Once volume begins to pick up, it could signal the start of an upward move. Upside Target: Using the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension, we project a 1:1 target around $6, which coincides with a key resistance level and another golden pocket zone. This provides a potential gain of +22% for the long trade over the coming days. Short Opportunity at Resistance: The $6 level represents a strong confluence of Fibonacci and resistance, offering an excellent shorting opportunity if the price gets rejected there. Trade Plan: Long Setup: Entry: Current accumulation zone around $5, also a key level to watch Target: $6 for a possible +22% gain Stop Loss: Below $4.50 Short Setup: Entry: Around $6, once rejection is confirmed Target: Depending on confirmation, potentially back to the golden pocket zone
Long
by SiDec
8
$BTC - Crucial Level We got a nice absorption into 92k, price rebounded with bullish flows in equities this brought back the passive buyer behind price. So far, we're holding 96k during the weekend, however, weekly close will be a tell-tell as we need to get above m_rvwap We're now rejecting at 98.5k and if we can't get above our m_rvwap , higher chance we'll slow bleed until 88k to 86k. 98.5k is a crucial level to reclaim in the short term, else, will consider this as bearish retest.
by Tealstreet
Ethereum: A buying opportunity or a trap?Charturday #3: CRYPTOCAP:ETH 🪻 Weekly Analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -Broke out of bull flag with successful retest -Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run! -Williams CB still forming lower/ better support, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a better formed Williams CB 🔜🎯$4094🎯$5043 Bull Flag Breakout🎯$5772⏲️Before DEC2025 CupnHandle B/O🎯$6839⏲️Before 2028 Not financial advice.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RonnieV29
4
BTC/USDT Analysis:Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis: The green box marks a crucial support level between $90,000 and $92,500. Historically, this area has acted as a strong demand zone where buyers have stepped in to increase prices. The price has broken below the mid-boundary of the ascending channel and is currently trading near the lower boundary. A retest of the green box is possible if the bearish momentum persists. The green moving average (possibly 200 EMA or similar) is slightly above the current price. This suggests that the price is losing upward momentum and the moving average could act as resistance on any bounce. The red arrow on the chart indicates a possible move downwards towards the green support zone. DYOR, NFA @Peter_CSAdmin
by CryptoSanders9563
Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms. Data observations: 337,000% increase -> 93% decrease Massive increase, followed by a steep correction. 61,000% increase -> 86% decrease Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms. 11,000% increase -> 84% decrease Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder. 2,000% increase -> 77% decrease Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate. Observing a descending pattern: The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility. Estimate for the next increase: Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around: ~300%-500%. This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market? To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time: Historical data: 240 days 730 days 850 days 1050 days Notes: The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration. The duration increase intervals were: From 240 -> 730: +490 days From 730 -> 850: +120 days From 850 -> 1050: +200 days Analysis: The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend. If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days). Estimate: The duration of the next cycle could be: ~1250-1350 days. This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Smaryo3001
4
Bitcoin's Bullish Cycle📊 Bitcoin is currently in a bullish cycle on the 4H timeframe. 🔑 The key resistance area is around $99K-$100K, with a potential next target at $107K, while strong supports are identified at $94K and $92K. ✅ A pullback to the Point of Interest (POI) is expected, after which, if buyers demonstrate sufficient volume, Bitcoin could initiate another upward leg toward $102K-$107K. ⚠️ Trading carries risk; ensure proper research and risk management.
by MonoCoinSignal
3
"Bitcoin to $13M per coin" - Michael SaylorBitcoin annualized performance is 60% on average Let that sink in Most traders trading Bitcoin aren't nowhere near that. 1. Introduction to MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy Michael Saylor began by outlining MicroStrategy’s decision to make CRYPTOCAP:BTC its primary treasury reserve asset. He explained that the company sees Bitcoin as a superior store of value and an effective hedge against inflation. Traditional fiat currencies, according to Saylor, are increasingly unreliable due to monetary policies that devalue them over time. By embracing Bitcoin, MicroStrategy positions itself as a pioneer in the corporate adoption of digital assets. 2. Leveraging Zero-Interest Convertible Bonds Saylor delved into MicroStrategy’s innovative financing strategies, particularly the issuance of zero-interest convertible bonds. These bonds, amounting to approximately $3 billion, were issued with a 0% interest rate. This seemingly advantageous rate is a result of high investor demand, driven by the value of the embedded call options within the bonds. The volatility of MicroStrategy’s stock, tied closely to Bitcoin’s price movements, makes these options particularly appealing. NASDAQ:MSTR volatility is about 2X the CRYPTOCAP:BTC volatility. Additionally, the bonds were issued at a 55% conversion premium, the highest for such instruments at the time, reflecting strong market confidence in the company’s strategy. Saylor explained that these zero-interest loans allow MicroStrategy to acquire CRYPTOCAP:BTC without the financial burden of servicing interest payments. This approach enables the company to maximize its exposure to Bitcoin while maintaining financial flexibility. 3. Current Bitcoin Holdings and Financial Impact Saylor provided an update on MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings. As of November 2024, the company owns 279,420 bitcoins, purchased for a total cost of $11.9 billion, with an average acquisition price of $42,692 per Bitcoin. With Bitcoin’s price surpassing $90,000, the company’s holdings are now worth over $25 billion, representing more than a 100% return on investment. He highlighted how this significant appreciation in Bitcoin’s value has bolstered MicroStrategy’s market capitalization and increased shareholder value. The company’s bold approach has attracted considerable attention from institutional investors and positioned it as a leader in the corporate adoption of Bitcoin. 4. Future Outlook for Bitcoin Saylor expressed an extremely bullish outlook for Bitcoin, suggesting that its price could rise to $13 million per coin in the long term. He emphasized that Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing adoption make it an inevitable cornerstone of the global financial system. Saylor believes that Bitcoin’s value will continue to increase as more institutions and individuals recognize its potential as a store of value and an inflation hedge. He also addressed the regulatory landscape, noting the challenges posed by governments and central banks. However, Saylor remains optimistic, arguing that the decentralized nature of Bitcoin makes it resilient against such challenges. 5. Critique of Traditional Financial Systems Saylor criticized the inefficiencies and risks of traditional banking systems and fiat currencies. He explained that central banks’ monetary policies, such as excessive money printing, erode the value of fiat currencies, making them unreliable for long-term wealth preservation. Bitcoin, on the other hand, offers a decentralized and deflationary alternative that protects against these risks. He also argued that Bitcoin’s adoption is inevitable as it offers a superior solution for wealth storage in a digital, globalized world. Saylor positioned Bitcoin as a foundational technology for financial innovation. 6. Strategic Vision and Long-Term Commitment In closing, Saylor reaffirmed MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to Bitcoin. He emphasized the importance of maintaining a forward-looking vision, especially during periods of market volatility. For MicroStrategy, Bitcoin is not merely an investment but a strategic asset that aligns with the company’s core mission of creating and preserving shareholder value. Saylor ended by encouraging other companies and investors to consider adopting Bitcoin as part of their long-term strategies, arguing that early adoption offers the most significant rewards. He underscored the transformative potential of Bitcoin, not just for corporations, but for the global financial system as a whole. 7. LONG AND STRONG Critics of MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin strategy raise valid concerns, particularly regarding market volatility, regulatory risks, and the company’s reliance on debt to fund its investments. However, it’s important to understand the rationale behind Michael Saylor’s approach and the broader context of Bitcoin as a financial asset. Saylor’s strategy reflects an unwavering belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value as a hedge against inflation and a superior store of wealth compared to fiat currencies. His boldness in using innovative financial instruments, such as zero-interest convertible bonds, demonstrates his deep understanding of both financial markets and the transformative nature of Bitcoin. Saylor’s intelligence and foresight cannot be underestimated. He is betting on a paradigm shift in global finance, and institutions like pension funds, BlackRock, and other financial powerhouses are beginning to adopt similar strategies, reinforcing his vision. CRYPTOCAP:BTC is not a speculative, short-term investment; it is a long-term play. The minimum recommended investment period for Bitcoin should be 10 years, while the optimal strategy is to hold it indefinitely. Selling Bitcoin prematurely undermines its potential as an asset designed to preserve and grow wealth in an environment where politicians and central banks continue to print money, devaluing traditional currencies. Betting against Saylor and Bitcoin is betting against a future where decentralized, deflationary assets redefine the financial system. As Saylor often emphasizes, Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing global adoption make it an asset poised to appreciate forever, rewarding those with the patience and foresight to hold for the long term. Thank you for reading Daveatt
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Daveatt
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Short term!Bitcoin reached a new high yesterday but then dropped to $92,000 to liquidate positions. This price decline created a bearish scenario. As you can see, Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge. If this pattern breaks, the price could drop to $92,000. However, we cannot say Bitcoin is bearish right now because as long as the wedge does not break, Bitcoin can still be bullish. So, we wait to be sure. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
by CobraVanguard
13
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected yesterday. Bitcoin is moving near the Ascending Channel's lower line , Support lines , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 5 . I expect Bitcoin to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support zone($95,000-$93,500) . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
22
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price fell to the support level and some time traded near it and later broke this level and continued to decline to the trend line. After this movement, the price turned around and made impulse up, thereby reaching the 99500 level one more time and soon broke it again. Later, the price some time traded near this level and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it first made the correction and then made an impulse up, breaking the resistance level. After this, the price reached a new ATH (108K points) and then dropped to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again. Soon, BTC broke the trend line and fell to the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded and started to move up. For this case, I expect that BTCUSDT will make small corrections and then continue to move up to the resistance level. That's why I set my goal at 105000 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
8
KAIAUSDT - Technical Analysis and Trading Plan Market Overview KAIAUSDT has shown a strong bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, with signs of a potential trend reversal. The price is attempting to break the structure, and the target is set at 0.3997. Key Observations 1. Descending Channel: - KAIAUSDT has been trading within a descending channel for a significant period. - A breakout above the channel will confirm bullish momentum. 2. Entry and Stop-Loss: - Entry is identified around 0.2282, aligning with a rebound point. - Stop-loss is placed at -5%, below the recent low, to minimize risks. 3. Take-Profit Level: - The first target is highlighted at 0.3997, which aligns with prior resistance levels. 4. Bullish Momentum Signs: - Price has been forming higher lows near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating potential accumulation. Momentum and Indicators 1. Volume: - Increased buying volume near the lower channel boundary indicates strong bullish interest. 2. Projection: - If the price sustains above the entry level and breaks the channel, further upward momentum is expected. --- Trading Plan 1. Entry Points: - Enter around 0.2282, as the price is showing signs of reversal. 2. Stop-Loss: - Set a stop-loss at 5% below the entry level to manage risks effectively. 3. Profit Targets: - Primary Target: 0.3997, as highlighted on the chart. 4. Risk Management: - Avoid over-leveraging and risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade. Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario: - Price breaks out of the descending channel and continues toward the target of 0.3997. 2. Bearish Scenario: - Failure to sustain above 0.2282 may lead to a retest of lower levels within the channel. Pro Summary KAIAUSDT is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal, supported by the channel pattern and volume analysis. Traders should monitor the breakout confirmation while aligning their trades with the defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels. //// DYOR (Do Your Own Research) This analysis serves as an overview of potential trading strategies and market behavior but is not exhaustive. Traders are encouraged to perform additional analysis to make informed decisions. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and other financial instruments involves risks, including capital loss. Always consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit