BTC-D
Bitcoin Roadmap=>Short-term!!!As I expected, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) once again attacked the 50_SMA(Daily) but failed to defeat it .
Bitcoin is currently moving near Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) , Support zone($96,620-$95,520) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we need to confirm the break of the 50_SMA(Daily) .
It also seems that Bitcoin in microwaves should experience an upward movement in the coming hours.
I expect Bitcoin to at least rise to the Targets I have specified in the chart.
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870).⚠️
⚠️Note: In general, the analysis is short-term, and holding a long position for targets above the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is a little risky.⚠️
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin is worthless. Read why.This idea goes against what BTC whales want you to believe, but it’s my educated conclusion. Let me explain why, and it might change your perspective.
The Origins of Bitcoin
Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, created by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 as the pioneer of blockchain technology.
Big BTC holders claim it’s “digital gold” with a limited supply. Influential figures and institutions like Michael Saylor, BlackRock, and Fidelity promote this narrative, urging you to adopt their logic and buy in.
It’s true that with such big players and media support, Bitcoin’s value has grown tremendously. But does that mean their claims are valid? Let’s dive deeper.
The Problem with FOMO
Today, a coin like “Fartcoin” can pump 50% and make it into the top 100 cryptos. Why? Because convincing people to buy something often works, even if the product lacks long-term value or sustainability. This phenomenon, driven by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), does not guarantee intrinsic worth.
Let’s Get Logical
Crypto is inherently complex and difficult for the average person to understand. Many simply follow what “smarter” people or influencers say on social media. Even major institutions like BlackRock and traditional finance (TradFi) players have only been in the Bitcoin game for a few years—they’re newcomers to the space.
Now, ask yourself: If Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency, does that automatically make it the best?
Do we still drive the first cars ever created?
The Flawed First-Mover Advantage
BTC whales want you to believe that the first is the best and will always remain so. They ignore the concepts of improvement, innovation, and technological advancement. Essentially, they’re asking you to buy the “first car” because they own a lot of them.
In reality, Bitcoin was an experimental product that proved finance could exist without traditional banks. It was revolutionary at the time, but technology has since advanced far beyond Bitcoin. Modern blockchain projects, Layer 1 solutions, NFTs, and smart contracts are faster, more sophisticated, and more innovative.
Bitcoin is the “first car,” but it belongs in a museum. The financial system, however, is still riding it to extract as much money as possible before its limitations become widely apparent.
Bitcoin’s Lack of Utility
The internet became mainstream within five years, revolutionizing communication, entertainment, and commerce. Yet after 18 years, Bitcoin remains largely useless—propped up by those who own it and fueled by speculation rather than utility.
This focus on Bitcoin has stifled innovation, as other promising crypto projects struggle to gain attention due to the media’s obsession with BTC.
Why Bitcoin Is NOT Digital Gold
The comparison between Bitcoin and gold is misleading and fundamentally flawed:
Gold is a physical, tangible asset. It cannot be duplicated, and there are costs associated with mining, refining, and maintaining it. It has intrinsic value due to its beauty, utility, and millennia-long cultural significance.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a digital object. By nature, digital assets are infinitely reproducible at no cost (copy function in the computer). While Bitcoin’s cryptographic system creates artificial scarcity, its utility can be replicated and improved by countless other projects.
The Fragility of Bitcoin’s Protection
Bitcoin’s value relies on its blockchain’s cryptographic protections, which prevent duplication and ensure secure transactions. However, no digital protection has ever been immune to hacking. Over time, as technology advances, it’s possible someone could crack Bitcoin’s security, change the blockchain, or access wallets by breaking passphrases.
Do you know any protection that lasted forever? Ask Apple and their DRM, ask Microsoft with their software projections.
If that happens, Bitcoin’s value could plummet to zero. Wall Street knows this, and they are profiting while they can. When a hack or major failure occurs, they’ll exit the market, leaving retail investors to bear the losses.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not “digital gold,” nor is it a reliable store of value. It was an incredible invention that paved the way for blockchain technology, but its time as a leader is nearing its end. Innovation and technological progress have outpaced Bitcoin, and the idea that it will remain dominant forever is a narrative pushed by those who stand to gain the most from it.
Thanks for reading.
BITCOIN What lies ahead after this correction? The DXY x-factor.Bitcoin (BTCUS) is having in the past 2 weeks the technical correction is should based on the previous Bull Cycle. As you can see, since the U.S. elections it has rallied aggressively past its previous All Time High (ATH), same way it did in December 2020.
** Bitcoin and Doge during 2020 **
At the same time, the alt coin market was mostly consolidating in preparation of a bullish break-out. A representative example of such behavior would be Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) as seen in orange on this chart, which during BTC's December 2020 rally, it was consolidating/ pulling-back (green circle) from an initial rally. However it remained significantly below its previous ATH, the same way it is now.
** The DXY decline sparking crypto rallies **
Notice the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), displayed by the green trend-line on this chart. Right now it is has been rallying in the past three months, at the same time as Bitcoin has. In the previous Cycle in 2020, it hit a top during the COVID March 2020 market crash and with the smashing of the Interest Rates, it started a Channel Down decline that backed perfectly Bitcoin's rally. We has the exact same DXY-backed rally during Bitcoin's 2017 Bull Cycle.
As a result, we are seeing a paradox on the current Cycle: BTC entering its most aggressive phase (Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle and rallying despite DXY rising. That is attributed of course to a large extent to the huge ETF inflows (something that wasn't present in 2020).
** Overdue DXY decline? **
This leads us to believe that an overdue decline on the DXY, just as the Fed has initiated a new cut Cycle (as they did during the COVID crash), will push Bitcoin and especially the alts market, including Doge, to a new rally. Of course DXY's decline may not be as aggressive this time, as the stimulus shouldn't be that high (especially with Powell's recent remarks on a 2 rate cut expectation in 2025 instead of the previous projection of 4), but it could be enough to spark the final BTC rally of the Bull Cycle and the much anticipated Altseason.
So do you think the market will rally once more on a potential 'delayed' DXY drop? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Correction 77/79KBitcoin is expected to undergo a downward correction in the coming period, targeting the zone between $77,000 and $79,000. However, it is possible for the price to continue declining to lower levels.
with signs of selling momentum at higher levels. Nonetheless, the mentioned zone might still offer a chance for consolidation and a potential upward move if supportive factors align.
bitcoin dips below 60kbitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed.
i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,,
this crypto winter ❄️
why would this happen, you ask?
the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid.
a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands.
distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold.
think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe.
---
take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart.
what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states:
if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa.
all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats,
so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps.
this fits neatly into the larger cycle:
sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions,
yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand.
with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller,
as momentum gradually fades.
---
w4 target: below 60k
w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
---
ps. i have recently shared a much more bullish idea via:
BTC Gaining StrengthOn the 4hr timeframe BTC shows increasing momentum with price making higher lows, and RSI making higher lows - both an indication of gaining momentum.
On the daily timeframe BTC shows hidden bullish divergence as price is making higher lows, while RSI shows lower lows.
Both timeframes point towards an indication that we could be at bottom already.
Get ready for a new year rally!
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!)
We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that)
Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.”
So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea!
A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k.
And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet)
⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇
then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
Bitcoin/USDT AnalysisCurrent Price: The chart shows Bitcoin trading at approximately $95,660, with recent downward momentum (-2.11%).
Support Zone: Around $91,800 - $93,500 (gray highlighted region), providing a strong base where price could potentially reverse or consolidate.
Resistance Levels:
$98,200 - $99,000: The first resistance level to watch if the price bounces upward.
$101,000 - $102,000: A secondary resistance zone.
$104,000 - $105,000: A higher resistance zone that aligns with previous peaks.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above the support zone ($91,800 - $93,500), a rebound toward $98,200 and potentially $101,000 is likely. A breakout above $101,000 could pave the way to test the $104,000 - $105,000 range.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $91,800 might signal further declines toward $90,000 or lower levels.
Trend Analysis: The short-term trend appears bearish; however, the support zone may serve as a strong reversal point for a potential upward move.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) AnalysisBitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend in the medium term. The price is near the lower trendline support, suggesting a potential bounce. Support Zone: $92,000 – $94,000 (green area) This zone has provided strong support during successive pullbacks. Resistance Zone: $100,000 – $102,000 Bitcoin has struggled to break this level, which is a major resistance. If BTC maintains the current support and breaks the $100,000 resistance, the next target could be the upper channel boundary around $110,000 or above. A breakdown below $92,000 could invalidate the ascending channel, with a potential decline to $88,000 or lower.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
When can we buy PEPE?hello friends
Considering the strong upward trend experienced by this currency, we expected price correction from it.
Now that the price has been corrected, we have several buying opportunities:
1: In the same range, which is well supported by the price.
2: In case of further correction, the price of the lower ranges that we specified for you.
Be successful and profitable.
Litecoin, Shitecoin: An OpportunityAs much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin.
I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now.
Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. bitinfocharts.com
As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent.
It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come.
Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn.
Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support.
Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me.
This meant for speculation and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down from Here?Where does Bitcoin go from here?
In my previously published idea I supported the idea for a bounce from 95k. We did closed above 95K but looks like we are not going to hold it..
According to Fibonacci (using my Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator), if we now close below the preliminary fib line around 95K, this could spell trouble for Bitcoin and result in more downwards price action.
Also according to the DFR , targets for that would be:
80.5K USD (The Orange 'Median Line') and 70-73K USD (Inside the blue Fib Golden Pocket)
Follow me for more BTC analysis!
BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position.
Entry Position:
- **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations).
Stop Loss:
- **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk).
Target:
- **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
Could this be the Ultimate movement of Bitcoin in 2025?if we put Elliot waves (impulse waves on BTC's weekly chart, we can see that the price has completed the 3rd wave last week and now started the 4th wave which is the correction wave!
the bullrun since mid 2023 can be observed through the eyes of elliot like this:
-first wave ended on march 2024
-second wave which was a correction wave, ended in september!
-third wave which is also a sharp movement, has ended in december.
-the 4th wave can be completed in the first 3 months of 2025.
-5th wave is gonna create a new ATH around 130K!
the correction waves shall begin afterward!
note that correction waves reacted positively to Pivot lines (Bi-yearly)
the end of the correction wave can be around 88k!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Scalping Sell Signal📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Scalping Sell Signal
✅ Suggestion: I anticipate a downward move for Bitcoin, aligning with the arrow drawn in the analysis.
🎯 Scalping Opportunity: A short-term sell position can be considered to capitalize on this expected drop. 🚨
💬 For managing this signal and exploring more setups:
1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊
2️⃣ Send me a private message for detailed guidance.
💎 Let’s trade wisely and seize the market’s potential! 💰
Short Setup Masterclass: Perfect Retest of dOpenKey Observations
1.) Wave Structure & Flat Top Formation:
The completion of a 5-wave structure aligns with Elliott Wave Theory's indication of a potential reversal or corrective phase.
A flat top pattern at the 5th wave signifies a strong resistance level, which led to a structural break to the downside.
2.) Daily Open Retest:
Price perfectly retested the daily open (dOpen) before rejecting it. This level now acts as a strong resistance, offering a favorable risk-to-reward (R:R) ratio for short entries.
Stop-loss (SL) placement is ideal just above the daily open to minimize risk.
3.) Lack of Bullish Volume:
Current ranging behavior lacks bullish volume, further supporting the bearish case for a continuation to lower levels.
Support Zone & Confluence Factors
The immediate target for this short trade lies at the confluence-rich support zone near $3.3184, identified by the following factors:
1.) Fibonacci Levels:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, confirming its significance.
2.) VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price):
The VWAP from the swing high indicates $3.32 as a key level.
3.) Negative Fibonacci Extension (-0.618):
Projecting from the recent impulse points to this area as a potential corrective target.
4.) December 16th High:
This level now acts as a magnet for liquidity, increasing the likelihood of a revisit.
5.) Liquidity at Swing Low:
The swing low at $3.3184 holds significant liquidity, which could be swept during a bearish
move.
6.) Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.618):
The 0.618 speed fan intersects around $3.32, adding further confluence to the zone.
Trading Strategy
Short Trade Setup:
Entry: The ideal entry was at the dOpen retest. A short trade can now be initiated at the current price with a smaller position size.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the daily open to minimise risk.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the confluence zone at $3.3184.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to support zone and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few moments ago, the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke it. Then price made a retest and some time traded inside the resistance zone, after which it rebounded and started to grow to the trend line. When BTC grew to the trend line, it turned around and made impulse down to the 101000 resistance level, broke it, but later it tried to grow and failed. After this, the price continued to decline and fell until below the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later BTC rebounded up to 99250 points and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to 92700 points, breaking the support level and soon turned around and made impulse up to the trend line, breaking the support level one more time. After this, BTC some time traded near the trend line and later broke this line too, and rose a little higher. But a not long time ago, the price dropped to the support level, breaking the trend line one more time, and now trades close to this level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will fall to the support zone, after which it can start to grow to the trend line. When it reaches this line, the price can break it and continue to move up next. That's why I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Opulous ($OPUSDT): Bullish Setup for a Strong Move
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Opulous ( BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT ): Bullish Setup for a Strong Move
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $1.686 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.595
- Take-Profit Target:
- TP: $5.145
Fundamental Analysis:
Opulous ( BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT ) is a revolutionary platform combining decentralized finance (DeFi) with the music industry. It enables artists to mint music as NFTs, allowing fans to invest directly in their favourite creators. This innovative approach to music rights and revenue sharing is gaining traction, with BINANCE:OPUSDT positioned as a key player in the growing MusicFi sector.
Recent partnerships and collaborations with global artists have further enhanced its visibility, making BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT a token to watch in 2024.
Tokenomics Overview:
- Total Supply: 500 million BINANCE:OPUSDT tokens.
- Key Utility: Facilitates transactions for music NFTs and DeFi staking.
- Community Growth: Rapidly expanding user base with increasing NFT volume.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $1.898
- Moving Averages:
- 50-EMA: $1.700
- 200-EMA: $1.500
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 65, reflecting bullish momentum nearing overbought levels.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $1.600
- Resistance: $2.000
The price action indicates that BINANCE:OPUSDT BINANCE:OPUSDT is on a bullish trajectory, having already activated the entry level at $1.686. With strong support at $1.600, the token is poised for a breakout toward the take-profit target of $5.145.
Market Sentiment:
Community engagement around Opulous remains high, with significant interest in its MusicFi use cases. Social media chatter and increasing trading volume reflect growing confidence in its long-term potential.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $0.595 limits downside risk while allowing room for volatility. The take-profit target offers a massive **205% return** from the entry point, making this a high-reward setup for mid- to long-term traders.
Key Takeaways:
- BINANCE:OPUSDT ’s innovative approach to music rights through NFTs positions it as a leader in the emerging MusicFi sector.
- The trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with the token’s bullish momentum.
- Long-term holders could benefit significantly from this breakout opportunity.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
BTC/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHi everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart, looking at the 4h time frame, we can see that the price is moving in a triangle where we are getting close to the exit and taking the direction of further movement.
In the short term, we can start by defining potential SLs in a situation where the price continues to correct:
SL1 = 94431 USD
SL2 = 92902 USD
SL3 = 91260 USD
SL4 = 88598 USD
However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts to gain strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = 96526 USD
T2 = 98225 USD
T3 = 99528 USD
T4 = 101113 USD
When we look at the additional indicators, we can see how the CHOP indicator and the RSI indicator are around the middle of the range, which indicates a possible movement in both directions, but here we also have the STOCH indicator, which shows an upward movement below the middle of the range, which in the short term may raise the price a bit more.