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Breadth Indicators

Officer Omicron and Insurgent Inflation Team Up To Fight the FedScene 1 Darth Powell summons the legends of the past to formulate the plan to fight the Omicron and Inflation insurgence. Brigadier Bernanke, General Greenspan and Veteran Volcker report for duty. “We are at an event horizon, what should we do?” declares Powell. “Pretend it isn’t happening”, says Greenspan “Bailout everything, print more money,” says Bernanke “I killed inflation forever, this cannot be happening,” says Volcker Powell rises from his throne and addresses the senate. "There is nothing to see here. We will continue as normal, and start to cool off our insurgent inflation with the ice bath of interest rates, and the tepid taste of tapering." In the background the sound of screaming. Cut Scene 1. Scene 2. The morning after a sweet night of passion, Omicron and Inflation wake up with a hangover and get to work on terrorizing the economy. Officer Omicron has already infected 30% of the planet and inflation is rampant. Cut Scene 2. Well, that was exciting, but if the global economy was a star wars movie, it would be something like this. A big gap down today, and the short-term outlook is definitely to the downside, with limited room for stimulus, and unlimited room for inflation, virus infections, and lockdowns. Short-term RSI – Nasty KST – Nasty AD Ratio - ouch Choose Your Ending Scene 3. After two hard years the people of Naboo (earth) are battered yet determined to summon the force to fight whatever stands in their way. It will be tough, but we will beat nature and fight to live another day. 15% to 20% drop in equities, a collapse in crypto, followed by a green revolution where we live in ESG harmony. Scene 4. Mother natures death star finally scourges us to hell causing the next great depression, which takes an entire generation to recover from. (Like the 2000 dotcom bust 8-year recovery) Scene 5. Darth Powell farts, and the world goes on as normal 😊 Cast your vote now. Scene 3, 4, or 5. If you like, then hit like. Barry
SP:SPXShort
by liberatedstocktrader
4
1hr to go. Bullish OBV on the 4H for $BTC?These bullish divs in the 4H BTC chart often play out quite well. I'm not excited that we are below the SuperTrend on that timeframe, but the OBV div is set to print in the next 50 minutes. Keep your eyes peeled. Elliot Wave has fully played out as well on multiple time frames. Let's see how it goes. Market feels super heavy except for NEAR and AVAX is holding onto it's POC at around $85. $*7 for AVAx is quite a critical point . REMINDER: It's Friday, a weekend. We have had historically bad dumps on Friday nights when everyone is AFK. Keep those stops tight. Stay safe and rich out there.
Long
by Enigma_Fund
Ketchup Market elken(B)readthHey Traders, Got a little behind in posting some weekly look-backs and wanted to catch-up to this current week. I consolidated the "Weekly RSI Divergence" and the "elken(B)readth" charts into one. We will be looking back at the week closes using my "blocker" rectangle; the obvious black-out on the right side of the chart. I will post from the start of the year to now (which is ~three weeks from quarter end). Flour: Blue is 20 Daily Moving Average Red is 50 DMA Yellow 100 DMA Teal 200 DMA Crust: The $SPX is shown in white. We will be focusing on the RSI divergences compared to the white line. The EMA's are there for reference. Yeast: Look for RSI divergence on the fast moving (B)readth BLUE line. This can indicate an upcoming change in market direction (and in this market it just might mean FLAT). Please bear with me as I will try and post the rest of the weeks in update format to this idea to get us all caught up.
INDEX:S5TW
by elkenpolar
1
$NEAR, easy invalidation on an asset with relative strengthYour job as a trader is to find assets with RELATIVE STRENGTH to this downward trend (if you're long). $NEAR fits that description, for a simple reason: It's at support on the OBV, right above the daily MA200 and the MA200 is pointing up. This means that not only is the asset still bullish, it also has a significant edge in your favor: EASY INVALIDATION OF A CLOSE BELOW THE MA200. Thought to find these opportunities in this market. This is a gift. Enjoy!
Long
by Enigma_Fund
1
Using the Keltner and Gaussian Channels to prepare for another NTLDR: If we see the NASDAQ enter the Gaussian Channel or NDX/SPX enters the Gaussian Channel it is a time to start looking for long term investments. If you see something you like (and maybe that includes giving you dividends) you would buy the base of the keltner channel. Analysis I think Have done a good job of putting the information on the main chart in an easy to understand way. One thing I have tinkered on in the past but am not going to detail in this post is how I often see a lot of curious price action occur within important wicks or candle bodies. You cannot always guarantee what kind of price action that you will get in one of these wicks. After all, they could be continuation or reversal. Either way, if you are doing this analysis on a monthly chart or something similar you might be looking for a pattern to develop on that time frame. And if you are on a monthly chart looking for at monthly candle sticks to make a pattern that can take years to develop. Another thing I am not digging into is other indicators looking for bearish divergence. They are there, but I am kinda time bound right now. A look at the weekly chart of NQ1!/SPXUSD shows after price went above the last monthly wick of NDX/SPX that price formed a double top and price is right at the valley low. Sure, they may be a bounce, for some odd reason, but I am not betting on it. I use the NASDAQ Futures versus SPXUSD because that gets me the most time based data but the inclusion of SPXUSD prohibits me from using any volume analysis, but that is fine for some pure charting technical analysis. I use the fib tar getting on that is pretty solid and while price may zigzag down on NDX/SPX the target shows that NDX is going to take a slagging compared to SPX. If you are familiar with your US indices, then you know generally that NDX is going to take the biggest hit, then SPX, then DJI. If this is similar to the dot Com bubble pop then Gold should be looking pretty good. And after Gold looks good, silver and the other precious metals should get a run. Here is a look at NDX and Gold. We might be in a decades long bull run of Gold against NDX. A look at GoldFutures/NDX seems to have a lot of bullishness in the monthly chart with your classic bullish divergence on the monthly. Gold versus Ethereum also looks very bullish divergence on the MACD and the Stoch picking up. What I am doing (for now) My crypto account is either in Tether, PAXG, or taking shorts. My normie employer restrictive retiremnet fund is poised for interest rates to rise. My own trading account is building a portfolio around precious metals and miners.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by This_Guhy
3
MicroStrategy testing FibonacciWe can see a high correlation between the company and BTC since the pandemic. Looking at the monthly chart, the fact is that the price is now in an important Fibonacci region at 50%. On the 1-hour chart, on the ADX indicator, we can see a decrease in the selling force (red arrows), and an increase in the buying force (green arrows), forming a kind of symmetrical triangle, signaling a temporary indefiniteness. I'm waiting in the cabin to see what happens.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by andre_007
Incision with the indexes Market hanging on by a thread. - After testing overnight lows, we had a reversal of market internals (UVOL / DVOL, TICKS, Breadth) and rocketed higher closing the day in the highs. - PCC gave a buy signal mid day, VIX Ratio almost gave a buy signal. - My take away is we should bounce here, but we need to look for a failure near the daily SMAs (20, 50, 100, 200). - Downside target if we fail is 444 on SPY. - Earnings next week + FOMC the week after should accelerate RV. Stay alert.
SP:SPX
by NicTheMajestic
2
AT&T ready to for the next big jump? Dear TradingView-Community, today I want to share the first investment idea and I hope it will help you making the right decisions or bring a new perspective to your analysis. I really would like you to ask for feedback, that I can also learn from different views to become better over time. Thanks a lot for your time and I really hope it is not wasted, but for your benefit. As you can see on the chart, it is a really long cycle of the AT&T stock performance. As many communication stocks at that time AT&T hit its all-time high shortly before the dot-com bubble reached its biggest volume. AT&T have never seen this price since. Instead over the years there were several up and downs, but all had one thing in common >> every high and low stayed within a triangle (purple lines) and the volatility went down more and more. In October 2021 after presenting Q3 results, the stock price went to free fall and left the triangle to the lower end. But the downturn haven't stopped there, also the last significant support zone at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement - red line and active since 2005 - couldn't stop the sell off. Instead the chart went down almost until the last significant low from both - end of the dot-com correction (2002-2003) and end of the financial crisis (end of 2008-2009) (red bubbles). Now let's take a closer look to the indicators, to find out if this also is a similar extreme reaction of the market as it was twice in the last decade. 1. RSI - Relative Strength Index As you can see in the picture only 4 times since 2000 we could see a oversold situation in the weekly RSI chart until today. It is relatively easy to interpret the first 3 oversold situation because it was always the end of a broader market correction (dot-com, financial crisis, Covid 1st wave). Therefore it was also pretty easy to predict that the oversold situation will be corrected by increasing stock prices after the fear went out of market and the optimisim took place. But what about the current situation? We have an even more oversold situation, in fact we reached a new all-time low at 16.46. It would be very easy to argue that this is a perfect moment to buy stocks as much as possible, because this oversold situation will be cleared for sure very soon. But... In my opinion there are several obstacles on the way and it is not that clear that a higher RSI also comes along with a higher stock price. 1. Currently we don't have had a broader market event that explains the downturn of this stock. 2. The competitor situation has changed dramatically over the last decade. (rise of T-Mobile US and recently the rollout of Tesla's StarLink project. 3. The liability situation becomes worse dramatically over the last 5 years with acquisitions of DirecTV and TimeWarner. 4. Both really large acquisitions are already on the way to separate again from AT&T in new corporations, but for a far lower value than purchased before. 5. The necessity of investing into 5G and fiber optic infrastructure to fight the competitors. 6. The latest spin-off announcement and the merger of HBO and Discovery also leads to dividend cuts for the first time since 50 years. 7. Technically the bearish cross of the triangle is a massive sell signal, but this is already happen and the price dropped already 20% since then. Nevertheless, I need to point out that all above arguments also have some positive counterparts + we need to differentiate between a long-term investment based on value investment strategies and an short to mediate technical based investment. So let's find out the positive things about the current situation and the nearer future: 1. Technically we are at an extreme low point when it comes to fib-retracement and RSI - that can lead to a turnaround with a short-term potential until $24.75 (23.6% Fib-retracement) or even $29.34 (38.2% Fib and connection to the triangle. 2. The merger of HBO-Discovery leads to a lot of additional stocks from the new corporation (70% of the AT&T stocks when you hold your stocks until the merger went through (approx. mid 2022). As you can see after several spin-off of different companies (e.g. Mercedes-Benz AG split from Mercedes-Benz Truck and Buses) the sum of both stocks are very often more worth than the stock before the spin-off. Means even when the AT&T stock price is not tending upwards, the spin-off and merger next year brings lots of potential. 3. The Spin-off leads to a significant liability reduction for the AT&T stock and that leads to a better value for the whole company. 4. The new merger is one of the market entertainment leader and with its digital and subscription growth strategy as well as its plans to expand to Europe, the best position in sport documentation and the strong brands will be a great base for expansion. 5. The reduced dividend kicks out dividend investors, but also leads to more free cash-flow to speed up the extension of 5G and fiber network. 6. The separation from the media section leads to more focus on the core business and allows to slimline the customer approach what also will safe operational costs. 7. AT&T is still a strong brand and one of the biggest communication companies in the world. It serves not just the US but the most countries of the world on all continents. Especially in raising Latin America AT&T is leader in costumer experience and working environment. A great foundation for further growth. Also the connection to the US government and especially into the emergency and health sector is a Garant for stable returns. What I am now looking for to find a safe trade-in point with a W/L ratio of at least 2/1: 1. MACD weekly When the blue line is crossing the red line again upwards that is a clear sign of strength and very bullish to interpret. Especially on the weekly basis. To trade-in earlier and have both - more potential and risk - you can use the daily basis instead. But the risk of a false signal is slightly higher. 2. OBV weekly OBV stands for On-Balance-Volume and symbolize the activity of "smart money". Means a new high in OBV symbols massive institutional activities and could be interpreted that there is a lot of big money in the stock. On the other side new lows symbol the complete opposite. As you can see in the chart above the idea is to figure out new extreme points and use them as an investment chance. In my opinion, we currently see a big uncertainty from institutions about the plans AT&T is planning to go. Or more likely because of the uncertainty the big money went out of the stock to observe the ongoing events and the next steps of the company from the side lane. This brings me to think about against the main stream and feels a lot like over fearing. For me a good signal to get in, because as soon as the smart money comes back, the stock price is likely already jump by 10% or more. 3. CMV weekly The Chaikin-Money-Flow stands for buying pressure when positive and for selling pressure when negative. As you find in the Chart, very often a new low of the CMV leads to a massive return reaction in the chart price. Therefore I am thinking again with this new all time low, the technical pressure to the upside is already in the making and could lead to a new buying period over the next couple of month. What do you think about my interpretation on AT&T? Is it a buy, a hold or still a stock to short? I am already excited about your additional indicators that had work for you and what this indicators may tell about the next move of the AT&T stock. Please also feel free to comment critic on my interpretation, but it would be great, when you also add some value how to do better in future. Again thank you very much for your time and if this was value for you, you are always welcome to donate. That helps me to stay motivated in sharing my analysis. Best wishes and maximum profit for all of you. Daniel from EcoFinLife >>> When all passengers in a boat are leaning to much over port it's time to go to starboard. Earlier than later the others will follow. <<<
NYSE:TLong
by TradingMasteryHub
6
Engulfing Candles Menace Big TechPrice action in the market has grown more cautious, especially toward technology stocks. The first big pattern occurred on Monday, when the SPDR Technology ETF jumped to a new all-time high above $175. But it was negative within an hour and closed the session under Friday’s low – a big bearish engulfing candle. Similar patterns appeared on November 22 and December 1. Next, gains have narrowed in Big Tech as Apple accounts for more of the upside. (Consider the second chart comparing XLK to AAPL.) Meanwhile former workhorses of the sector like ServiceNow and Adobe have teetered. Finally, MACD made a lower high this month as XLK made a higher high – bearish divergence. The weakness resembles patterns earlier in the year as bond yields jumped. This time, it occurs shortly before the Fed is expected to accelerate tapering. Is it the start of a new trend as Jerome Powell looks to unwind historic stimulus? TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradingView is not affiliated with TradeStation Securities Inc. or its affiliates. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
AMEX:XLK
by TradeStation
11
London Stock Exchange (LSE)A 2300% gain and following overbought condition (green column) there now exists a 16 month bearish divergence between price action & RSI on the above 10-day chart. Time to collect profits. Sell out between current price action until 10.5k, no rush. Target price? For as long as the RSI resistance exists price action will likely fall through and until 2023. 1st target 4400 2nd target 2000 Fundamentally as a business LSE provides a variety of financial services. Many of them to EU located individuals and businesses. Since the UK left the EU much of that trading business has and/or will continue to move to another EU country. As the UK opted for self inflicted economic sanctions (a world first?), charts are now showing a number of EU owned UK based businesses with similar divergences. Most notable within Financial services and Engineering businesses.
LShort
by without_worries
4