Ethereum Dumps As CPI Comes in HotEthereum was trekking in the $1700's yesterday, after making an attempt for $1800, which failed earlier this week. After CPI data came in, it dumped back down to $1547, which was our target from yesterday. We are currently finding good support there, but if not, $1424 is the next level down. If we are able to pivot we will face immediate resistance from $1653, and a cluster of levels in the $1700's. We warned you not to get too excited about 'the merge', which some thought would take ETH back to $2K or higher, and this is exactly why.
Blockchain
How Will CPI and the Fed Impact the Crypto Market?Bitcoin was edging higher, hoping that a reasonable CPI print yesterday would give risk on assets the green light to rally. Unfortunately, CPI came in red hot, suggesting that the Fed will double down their tightening efforts in order to get it under control. Bitcoin rejected $22.4K, and smashed through $20.7K. Currently we are clinging to support at $20K with $19.5K the next level to provide support. It will take some time for BTC to recover from this, but we must break through $22.4K before considering higher levels.
September 14 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to CoinShare, digital asset investment products saw outflows totalling US$63m, the 5th consecutive week of outflows. Bitcoin is down 8.75% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $19,860.82. The largest cryptocurrency plummeted alongside the traditional equity market as the U.S core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased more than expected, rising to 6.3% from 5.9% in July. This suggests that the Fed will stick to its aggressive hiking plans and keep monetary policy restrictive for longer-than-expected. FedWatchTool shows that the probability of the Fed raising rates by 100 basis points next week has been significantly increased to 38%. If this happens, the BTC/USDT pair could decline further.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
KKR Makes Its PE Fund Accessible to Individuals via Blockchain
Private equity giant KKR, which had $471 billion in assets under management at the end of 2021, will offer its Health Care Strategic Growth Fund on Avalanche through a partnership with Securitize. Qualified investors (with $5 million in investable assets) will be able to invest in KKR's health-care fund through a tokenized feeder fund on the Avalanche blockchain after setting up an account with Securitize and going through KYC and AML accreditation. After one year of holding, investors will be able to sell it to other qualified investors on a secondary market managed by Securitize.
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Bitcoin Testing Key Resistance LevelBitcoin is edging higher, but is facing stiff resistance at $22.4K, the level we identified yesterday. We are seeing steep resistance here confirmed by red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still bullish, but may not register enough momentum to suggest the divergence needed to break through. If we do, then $23.9K is the next target. If we reject current levels, we should see support at $20.7K.
Can Ethereum Hold the $1700's?Ethereum made a run for $1800, falling just short of this target, and careening through several levels of support below. We have broken into that cluster of levels in the mid $1700's that we have discussed many times, and appear to be finding support just above $1653, a familiar level tested by ETH from above and below many times as of late. This level should continue to provide support, but if not, then $1547 should provide further support if we break through. If we are able to pivot, we will see if ETH has enough momentum to break through to our target of $1821, but we will need to see more momentum come through.
Litecoin Attempts to Find Value in the $60'sLitecoin has edged down from $64.37, our target. We have found support just below $61.75, holding strong in the $60's for now. We are currently seeing a nice pivot back through $61.75, and may be forming value between $60 and $64.37. Watch for LTC to range in the price area.
September 13 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to Glassnode, the total value in the ETH 2.0 deposit contract reached an ATH of 13,638,560 ETH. Bitcoin is up 2.55% over the last 24 hours and rose to an intraday high of $22,494.42. The cryptocurrency market and the traditional equity market have rallied since 09 Sept, suggesting that the investors believe the inflation has peaked, and the market has priced in the possible 75 basis point hike in the next FOMC meeting. The U.S. August consumer price index (CPI) will be released today at 12:30 UTC, and the market expects August CPI (YoY) declines to 8.1% from the previous 8.5%. If this happens, the BTC/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the overhead resistance at $25,211. Conversely, if the figure is worse than the expectation, the recent rally could be ended.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
Ethereum Completes Last Shadow Fork
Ethereum research and engineering firm Nethermind has confirmed that the transition in Mainnet-Shadowfork-13 — the last shadow fork — was successful, indicating that the network is ready to migrate to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. Testnets allow Ethereum developers to practice functions such as running nodes, deploying contracts, and testing infrastructure. Thus, shadow forks allow developers to evaluate network upgrades before they happen. As part of the upgrade, the community needs to update the Ethereum client and run a combination of execution and consensus layers.
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Litecoin Hits Our Target!Litecoin caught a strong burst of momentum, which broke through our level at $61.75. This was a strong upper bound for Litecoin for a while, and was providing significant resistance. We saw enough momentum to hit the next target of $64.37. We are seeing a slight retracement after hitting this level, with strong support at $61.75. If things turn south there is a vacuum zone back to $55.84. After that, we could test the base of the $50 handle again.
Ethereum Makes a Run for $1800Ethereum has broken past significant resistance levels in the $1700's and made a run for $1800. We fell just short of this target, topping out at $1790 or so, in the middle of the vacuum zone between $1748 and $1821. We are seeing quite a few red triangles on the KRI suggesting strong resistance. If we are able to break through $1821, then $1872 is the next target. We should have further support in the $1700's if prices continue to fall, with $1653 being our anticipated floor price for now.
How Long Can Bitcoin Rally?Bitcoin has risen sharply off a rally in stocks and a strong selloff in the US dollar. We have blasted through $20.7K and have almost completely crossed the vacuum zone to the next level at $22.4K. However, we are running into resistance confirmed by a series of red triangles on the KRI, and thus the price action is likely to round off some point soon. If we reject $22.4K, we will likely see support from $20.7K. If the rally continues, then $23.9K is the next target.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For September 9, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin prices had rebounded from our Key Sup $18,900 and completed Outer Coin Dip $18,665 as specified on ''Daily Chart Analysis For September 2'' and moved aggressively to our Mean Res $21,600. As of this publishing, the coin's main retreat target is $20,200 before resuming up move.
LUNC Short opportunityLUNC/USD
Bearish Case
- Bearish Divergence on the 1hr, 4hr and 8hr
- Broken out of the ascending channel
- MACD on the 4hr looks to be turning bearish
- Topped out at 2.618 fib extension.
- Currently bouncing off the 0.236 fib retrace area,
Target Zone
- $0.00044958 (0.382 fib retrace)
- $0.00036185 (0.618 fib retrace)
Thoughts?
Litecoin Tests the $60's AgainLitecoin has pivoted off of the low $50's, blasted through $55.84, and crossed the vacuum zone to reclaim the $60's. We are currently testing $61.75, which provided prohibitive resistance. We are currently contending with this level, and starting to run into resistance. The next level is $64.37 if we are able to break through. If not, we could fall all the way back to $55.84, or to the base of the $50 handle again.
Ethereum Edges HigherEthereum blasted through $1653, the first of a series of resistance levels extending into the $1700's. We are starting to see resistance here, as we are running into this cluster of levels. We should see continued resistance, but if we are able to continue to break through, then $1821 is the next target. If we retrace, then $1547 should provide support after $1643.
Bitcoin Regains the $20K'sBitcoin shot up after the stock market rallied yesterday, and the US dollar fell on a retracement. We were able to jump past $19.5K, which was a significant barrier earlier. After this, we made a run for $20.7K, where we are beginning to run into resistance. If we are able to continue the rally, we should enter the vacuum zone between this level and $22.4K. If we reject $22.4K we should find support at $19.5K then $18.6K.
Blockchain Companies: Expectation vs RealityCryptocurrency bubble?
When analyzing the financial data of companies in the blockchain/cryptoassets area, more specifically the EPS (Earnings per Share), we can see a huge discrepancy between expectation and reality.
It should be noted that some of these companies have never made a profit during their entire existence, and have negative cash flow.
The question is: to what extent has the market already priced in these negative results?
Would there be more room to fall?
Below is the concept of EPS, and shortly after a snapshot of the current EPS versus expected EPS, from the main companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain area.
I'm not optimistic about this data, unless there's something that only I didn't see.
What is basic EPS?
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. When companies report financial results, earnings per share is one of the most commonly measured metrics.
(TradingView)
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Companies analyzed:
Marathon
Riot Blockchain
Hut 8 Mining
Coinbase
Bitfarms
BitNile
CleanSpark
Core Scientific
Argo Blockchain
Canaan
Hive Blockchain
Digital Bit
Galaxy Digital
BIT Mining
Valour
Ebang
Greenidge
Iren
The Blockchain Group
TeraWulf
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ETFs analyzed:
Proshares Bitcoin Strategy
Grayscale Ethereum Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
What is BitcoinLet’s start with a very simple description of Bitcoin….
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency, based on an open-source software design, that is used to transmit value between pseudonymous users.
All transactions, after being confirmed by miners using PoW as the consensus mechanism, are stored on a distributed ledger, called a blockchain.
Changes to the blockchain are append-only and are synchronized about every10 minutes across thousands of nodes located all over the world over a P2P network. All information stored on the blockchain can be viewed publicly, in real-time.
Cryptographic techniques such as public-key cryptography, hash functions, and digital signatures are used to keep the blockchain secure and immutable so it can be accessible to everybody but hackable to nobody.
Got all that?
But as you can clearly see, the crypto world is full of technical jargon !
Jumping into crypto introduces a large number of terms that most people will be unfamiliar with.
The crypto world seems to have its own language and those wishing to learn about the topic can quickly become overwhelmed with all the jargon, acronyms, and other technical terms.
But if you really want to understand cryptocurrencies and how they are different, it’s really important that you do familiarize yourself with certain core foundational concepts.
My goal is to cover terms and phrases that you may initially not know, but do need to know.
Together, we will blast jargon into smithereens so you’re able to easily speak the language of the crypto world with ease.
September 9 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to OKLink, the total number of ETH 2.0 pledged addresses has exceeded 430,000, reaching a record high of 430,308. Bitcoin is up 4.88% over the last 24 hours and rose to an intraday high of $20,320.00. The largest cryptocurrency managed to break the psychological level of $20,000, which indicates strong demand at the $20,000 price level. The relative strength index (RSI) is moving away from the oversold zone, suggesting the bears are losing control. If the price breaks above the 20-day EMA ($20,344), the BTC/USDT pair could rally toward the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($21,964).
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
SEC to Set Up New Cryptocurrency Disclosure Office
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will set up a new office for cryptocurrency filings. Cicely LaMothe, the associate director for disclosure operations, said the office would be part of the Division of Corporation Finance, which handles disclosures for publicly traded firms. The SEC believes the new office is necessary to address “unique and evolving” filings around crypto assets, the vast majority of which are considered securities by the SEC, LaMothe said at a legal conference in Washington on Thursday. According to LaMothe, the SEC is expected to have legal and accounting branches for crypto firms to consult and file with.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
Litecoin PivotsLitecoin saw a strong pivot from lows. We anticipated the low $50's to provide support. We broke through $55.84, which has given LTC trouble in the past. We are currently stalling just above this level, but if more momentum comes through we could easily cross the vacuum zone and test $61.75 again. We should see strong resistance there, however. If things turn south, we should continue to see support from the low $50's.
Ethereum Testing ResistanceEthereum pivoted from $1547, after breaching this level briefly. Swift momentum took us back to $1653. Recall that this is the beginning of a series of levels extending through the $1700's, which will provide resistance. It will take significant momentum to break through. Though the Kovach OBV has picked up sharply, we will need more follow through if we hope to break out much further. If we reject current levels, then $1547 is a likely target. Otherwise, $1424 is the next level below.
Can Bitcoin Recover $20K?Bitcoin has pivoted from lows, but can't seem to break through to the $20K's. It is currently struggling with $19.5K, the next technical level below $20K. The rally seems weak and sufficient momentum will be needed to take us back to $20K. Support at $18.6K should hold, but if it does not, then $17.6K is the next level below that.
September 8 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 75 basis point rate hike in the September meeting has risen to 80% from 69% a week ago. Bitcoin is up 2.59% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $19,464.80. As investors worry about the Federal Reserve could continue with its aggressive tightening monetary policy, risky assets have been under selling pressure lately. However, the largest cryptocurrency rebounded alongside the traditional equity market today, which could be a short-term adjustment. For now, the bulls need to push the Bitcoin price above the psychological level of $20,000 to establish a relief rally.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
SEBA Bank Launches Ethereum Staking Services For Institutional Clients
Swiss-regulated crypto platform SEBA Bank has launched ETH staking services for institutional clients. SEBA Bank said that the product allows users to receive ETH staking rewards on a monthly basis and variable lock-up periods will be instituted post-merge. However, no staked ETH can be withdrawn from Ethereum’s Beacon Chain until after a subsequent network upgrade, dubbed Shanghai, expected in the second quarter of 2023. Earlier in December last year, SEBA Bank launched the "SEBA Earn" program, which will allow institutional clients to obtain rewards through services such as staking, lending, and DeFi.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.