#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #12Good afternoon , dear colleagues!
I want to continue my opinion and vision of the current situation on the cryptocurrency market on the example of this instrument.
And in continuation...
In this phase of the market, we have upthrust, which may indicate that we are witnessing a distribution, but there is no confirmation at this time.
I expect the price to be in the range of 25300 - 25600 , after which the market will settle everything.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success, and remember:
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn.
Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #10.Good afternoon , dear colleagues!
I want to continue my opinion and vision of the current situation on the cryptocurrency market on the example of this instrument.
I continue to accompany this asset with a subjective vision.
In my opinion, a deeper correction is needed to continue the asset's gains.
All trading patterns should be searched for on the younger time frames (15 minutes, for example).
But in any case, the market will equalize everything, because it is always right .
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success, and remember:
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn .
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #9Good afternoon , dear colleagues!
I am pleased to welcome everyone who wants to get acquainted with my vision of the current situation on this assets .
At this stage of the situation, we see this algorithm being clearly worked out. When an asset shows a strong movement without corrections.
The current situation only suggests that we need to wait for a possible corrective movement or flat movement.
Dear colleagues, I sincerely thank you all for your attention and wish you success!
And remember one thing:
"sometimes you win , sometimes you learn ".
Entry point
#Btc
Evening trading at profit taking.Market participants take profits and close positions due to stop orders from weak market participants.
Warning, you need to be prepared for a false breakout of local highs.
If you have any questions, leave them in the comments and I will be happy to answer them.
Good luck to everyone and enjoy the trend!
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #8Good afternoon, dear colleagues!
I am pleased to welcome everyone who wants to get acquainted with my vision of the current situation on this assets.
After yesterday's impulsive movement, I expect the price of the asset to rise further. Yesterday, we witnessed professional operators testing the strength of the buyer, which was followed by an impulse movement. Today, the area of interest is 21600 - 21700 for further upward movement. But this is not the final price, it may fall even lower, because everything I write here is my subjective opinion, as the market will settle everything by itself, because the market is always right.
Dear colleagues, I sincerely thank you all for your attention and wish you success !
And remember one thing:
"sometimes you win , sometimes you learn ".
#Btc
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #6Good afternoon , dear colleagues!
I am pleased to welcome everyone who wants to get acquainted with my vision of the current situation on this instrument.
Today, the asset continues to show strength after the weekend, as evidenced by the formation of an uptrend with a buyer's test. For this period of time, I expect the buyer (professional operators) to regain strength and attract retail traders.
The price range for the resumption of the movement is 21600 - 21700.
Dear colleagues, I sincerely thank you all for your attention and wish you success !
And remember one thing:
"sometimes you win , sometimes you learn ".
#Btc
WATCH!!!! Don't fall this BITCOIN TRAP!!BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hello friends i hope you enjoyed your weekend as we are welcomed to a new week.
firstly, I will congratulate and cheers all my followers and everyone who have been taking advantage of my mostly BITCOIN ideas
as i have been consistently killing the crypto market. kindly tap my profile and take a look at my current and previous BITCOIN ideas so you can understand how i feel.
now here is another new idea.
not too much talk every reason and bias are drawing in the chat.
also do not fall the current bitcoin movement as bitcoin is preparing for a massive move to the upside
you can take any positions based of your research, fundamentals and analysis but apply proper risk managements.
bye.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC [SHORT] NEXT 5 Days, Loss of .22%While using the VIX CHEAT SHEET INDICATOR under the indicator section of trading view it gives the following figures for the next five day price analysis of Bitcoin utilizing the VIX.
Within the next five days there should be a retracement of .22%.
Within the next ten days there should be a total gain of 1.00%
Please go ahead and try this indicator for yourself and leave a comment below if it has helped you. Do you have an opinion on this? Please leave a comment below.
BTC bottom around 10k - 14k ? Here's a scenario to look at. I know the curved lines are subjective, but look at the circled part of the chart and the PA that followed after. Im referring to 2013 -2015
We've already seen ETH drop below it's previous ATH and we may see something similar for BTC with a touch of the macro 0.618 fib at around 10k. The 0.5 fib is around 14k so im speculating on a price within this range.
10k would also equate to a 84% drop which has been the trend for BTC whenever it hits its top in the previous 2x
Let's see how this goes
BTC SMASHES MULTI-RESISTANCE STRUCTUREExciting stuff happening with Bitcoin today! The Bulls have just woken up after a nice nap and absolutely RAMMED their horns RIGHT UP THE BEARS ARSE!! And the bulls have the bears on their heels!
I would like to take a moment to express my condolences and prayers to those who have fled, those who are still in and those who have lost loved ones in Ukraine. I stand with Ukraine and uproar the resistance that Ukraine is making against the completely inexcusable actions of a premeditated, unprovoked, and unjustified invasion by a sadistic leader and has materialized through a series of flat out lies to his country's citizens; just to try and relive in the fallacy of the past. Stand Tall, Fly Straight, Ukraine is here to stay.
I addressed that at first because the biggest reason besides bitcoins chart patterns having this pattern already setup to make this pattern happen, but there needed to be a fundamental reason not just a technical reason for this pattern to happen. The sanctions that have been taken against Russia and Belarus by almost all of the countries of NATO that were set in place to essentially demolish the Russian Economy and freeze any assets it had and the ability to trade through SWIFT caused the stock markets to make a dive that was beyond massive (for a stock market anyhow.. in Crypto, well we have these sized pullbacks, +20% and still maintain a bull market) <---- Just as we have in the crypto markets. The run on the banks and ATM cash machines that has happened in Russia and the Ukraine and the fact that both countries have legalized cryptocurrencies in the last 2 weeks has helped fuel the massive $7,000 green candle we have seen on the bitcoin chart today..
Lets dive deeper though into the technicals.
ANALYSIS:
This green, Luke Sywalker Boner, of a candle HAS BROKEN A MULTI-RESISTANCE STRUCTURE!! . Take a look here:
As you can see that multi-resistance structure consisted of 4 different resistance points that were causing issues for bitcoin after breaking our completely manipulated 52% drop in price that stayed within a very thin falling channel (which ultimately is bullish). In a direct aspect look of things, you can see that this pump above this multi-resistance structure has formed a W-Bottom and W-Breakout.
If we zoom out some we can see an even more relevant patter that is has been formed which is the KEY TO WHY THE BITCOIN BULL RUN NEVER ACTUALLY ENDED!!! All of the MoonBoy Mikes and Average Joes calling the bitcoin price drop as the start of the bear market.
Here you see from our first bottom at wick low @ $28,640 that connects with the bottom that got the blast through resistance points to break us out of the first bottom @ $29,750. This potential trend line then was tested a third time and held it with candle body supports @ $35,220. This makes this line a confirmed trend line now. This also makes it an ascending trend line at that. The bottom at $35,220 also makes a MACRO HIGHER LOW!!!! READ THAT AGAIN... A MACRO HIGHER LOW... well now think about our tops so far.. we had a top at $64,850 and then we dropped, made bottom, and then we ran the price back up to $69,900 and then dropped and now have made a W-Bottom.
Well lets see what other pattern resembles price action that has made 2 Higher Highs, and also has made a confirmed trend of Higher lows..... Oh yes that is an ASCENDING CHANNEL!! THIS IS AN EXTREMELY BULLISH CONFIRMATION THAT BITCOIN HAS MADE!!
Now this channel is not a very steep channel in regards to its ascending angle, but that is all due to the price manipulation and also market makers hiding its structure as well for those not well versed in charts to see it. It is hidden by the fact that it DOES HAVE HIGHER HIGHS BEING MADE, but the SECOND HIGH DOES NOT CONTRIBUTE TO THE THE TREND LINE THAT MAKES THE TREND CHANNEL
As you can see here..
One last piece of BULLISH confirmation has come to play out with todays pump that confirmed a W-Bottom & W-Breakout that has made our local bottom. This local bottom has also been supported by 2 of the longest and oldest ascending trend lines of support that were that bottom of the overall bitcoin ascending trend channel that has been made since inception.
What does this local W-Bottom & W--Breakout confirm?? IT CONFIRMS AN ADAM & W-FORMATION MACRO DOUBLE BOTTOM! The MACRO W-BREAKOUT THAT HAS BEEN FORMED SINCE OUR $64.8k TOP WILL BE CONFIRMED FOR EACH FIB EXT LEVEL THAT IS ABOVE US AS RESISTANCE RIGHT NOW THAT IS BROKEN AND HELD AS SUPPORT.
The resistance that held down our $7,000 Pump Today was held by the Daily 100EMA and the .55 Fib Extension level.
If you looked closely and noticed the difference on the charts, of where the daily 200EMA is in relation to the .55 FIb Ext level, there is a reason for that. They are two difference charts. The chart above and the chart below is that the chart above is for the Bitstamp Exchange (exchange specific chart that holds the most data) and then the one i am mostly posting form is the ALL Time History Bitcoin Index chart (goes back even further than Bitstamps chart with candles). But the reason why there is a difference in the price placement of the FIB Extension levels is due to lowest point made in the bear market of 2015.
The low point of the Bitstamp chart came at $151 on 1/15/2015 shown below:
And on the ALL Time History Bitcoin Index chart the bottom came in at $159 on 8/18/2015 shown below:
The placement of each the second and third plot point of the Fib Extension are exactly the same. 2nd plot @ $19,815 and 3rd plot @ $3,215
The significance and the more relevant one comes with which chart has the most data to evaluate from. Since the ALL Time history Bitcoin index chart has the most data. the placement of the FIB levels and the Exponential Moving Averages are the more accurate.
PRICE PREDICTION
Seeing that the daily 200EMA is above the .55 FIb Ext level on the Index chart means that the strongest EMA of resistance is still above the .55 FIb ext, which means we will break that FIb level in order to test the Daily 200EMA, of which we will see a possible rejection but then the .55 FIb Ext level will hold as support because of the daily 13EMA, 21EMA, 55EMA, and the 100EMA all bringing up the rear and providing support at that fib level. Then off thebounce of the .55 FIb we will break the daily 200EMA, of which the next stop.. the .618 Fib Ext.
Usually this would be a challenge but given that we broke the .618 Fib Ext on our second top, and the ONLY REASON we came back below it was due to a complete manipulation of the price, that would make our next price target either the .706 Fib ext level at $94k or quite possibly the .786 Fib Ext Level at $138k. We could possibly see either of these price levels at the .618 fib level by the beginning of April 2022, at the .706 fib level by late May 2022 and the .786 fib level by August of 2022..
OF which we would then see another pullback for bitcoin to cool off before its macro 5 wave (for you elliot wave theory idiots out there).. The parabolic blow off top run to the Full 1 Fib Ext level would look to start in Late October to Early November 2022, and then would run us up to the price level of around $386k by February 2023.
THIS IS **IF** BITCOINS PRICE ACTION DECIDES TO GO ON AN ALL OUT TEAR THAT SMASHES THROUGH RESISTANCE LEVELS AS IT DID IN 2020 and 2021 going from the low of $3800 up to $69.9k
After doing some simulations, based of previous price action moves and extrapolations of candlestick patterns made from the first leg of the bull flag super cycle made so far, we could possibly see something that looks like this:
*** This simulated and extrapolated price action projection should not be taken as the only way the price action will go, future fundamental events & catalysts can and would deviate the price action from this extrapolated and simulated projection. Please understand that you should always be keeping an eye on the markets as they are very dynamic and always is an on-going and ever-changing situation. Please act in the nature that is best associated for your risk tolerance as an investor. Do not Trade what you cannot afford to lose to begin with. This projection is not financial advice and is only my opinion of the markets based on trend analysis and technical analysis patterns that I understand to mean specific things. Most people think I am crazy and call me crazy when I make price predictions such as these (but once it happens they usually are pretty quiet about me being crazy). For example, I saw weakness in the US stock market trend in early 2018 when we had the first pullback, then when Shocktober 2018 occured and we had a correction into bear market territory which created a double top for the year of 2018, I predicted a market crash to happen at the end of Q1 2020 based on the same trend analysis and technical analysis knowledge I use on the Bitcoin Chart. In October 2019 I had narrowed my prediction down to the crash happening on and was within 7 days of my exact date I chose for the crash to occur. I Predicted that the crash was going to start on Friday, February 28th 2020, but because this market crash turned into the COVID-19 CRASH, it started just 7 days earlier on February 21, 2020. Having that kind of skill in the charts to call a crash 25 months prior to it actually happening and then being within 1 weeks time of it actually happening. And the reason it happened before the prediction date was cause of a global pandemic that was going crazy... IS NOT JUST LUCK...
Here is the long standing chart Ive had since 2018 on the DJI. If you were to zoom in on the 2020 crash top, if COVID was not to have crashed the price, it was going to go back up and try for a local double top there too, yet didn't have the opportunity to do so.
Bitcoin - A possible path to a new ATHAfter a sharp downward move caused by the Fed’s announcement yesterday, we are left wondering if we have found a local bottom.
Too many unknown economic factors are at play to be able to make a good prediction, however I think cryptocurrencies may trend lower for a few more weeks. Consider DCA into top performers.
Strong support around 32K for BTC.
If BTC makes a similar recovery as it did following the last correction (May 2021) , we could see a return close to ATH by mid-end of May 2022. If this plays out, it may form a nice cup-and-handle pattern, but with strong support at the 69K level due to previous ATH, providing an opportunity to form a new ATH around 93K by September.
Let’s see how this plays out. I would feel very good about buying Bitcoin at 32K.
PRICE ACTION!!!Yes, Yes here we are from a coldy day in December from Amsterdam...
Here is some basic price action..
I am trying to teach myself not to look at things but really SEE things when you look at them..
The same goes for not trying to listen but really trying to understand while listening...
I am a student of the AL BROOKS (1 week) price action course and here is my starting analysis..
I am open for feedback.. I am a lifelong student..
But what I think is not important what is important is what the chart is telling...
The main lesson is; 80% of breakout attempts out of trading ranges FAILS. 80%(!!)
BTC, highly bullish . But key levels to watch. If you focus on the day to day price-action of Bitcoin you do not get a good perspective of where we are in the market. Looking at shorter time frames and reading through all the FUD does nothing more then create fear. To prevent exiting your positions because of short term fear, let's look at the chart and identify key levels for Bitcoin to stay above before i become bearish on Bitcoin. In other words, where would i exit my positions.
The first key level (for me) is the 53k area. If somehow Bitcoin has a daily close below this level it would invalidate a 4 month uptrend. This would be a very bearish sign. At this point on-chain data becomes very important. If the data at this point suggest Bitcoin is still highly accumulated at these prices i would remain in the market and buy even more. If the on-chain data suggest Bitcoin is highly distributed by large entities i would exit my positions.
The second key level (for me) is the 40k area. If Bitcoin has a daily close below 40k it would invalidate the bull market (for me). I can see Bitcoin can move back to 30k relatively easy if that happens.
So, to conclude it all. I am highly bullish on bitcoin. At this moment technical and on-chain indicators suggest Bitcoin is going up from here. So i'm not worried at all and i think we are still halfway this bull market. But.. it's never a bad idea to zoom out and look at the broader perspective. Hope this helped somewhat. Cheers.
Fake breakouts bitcoin.. Folks,
At the moment of writing we see 2 times a fake breakout above the descending trend line..
What does this mean ?
Simple.. Bears are in control at this moment.
What can we expect?
Well in crypto you never know. 1 man somewhere can change everything in an instant.
But for now.. The sentiment is more down than up.
Personally i think price is correcting to the point it well test the 50 day MA. for me, looking in the past, it is quite a high probability.
Personally i give the chart more time to develop.. 1-3 weeks is normal for a short term trend to develop.
Patience is key. If you are in the markets at this moment.. Please do yourself a favor and set your stop loss..
Happy trading.
BTC expect lower prices soon... Folks,
Will there be a retest of lower prices before breaking trough the resistance levels...
I like to keep it quite simple.. The edge i personally use for my own strategy is making use of price action, Elliot wave theory, candlesticks reading, momentum and RSI..
Momentum is because the way it is constructed the preceder of price.. We see a lower high and new lower low has been set and you can draw the trendline downwards..
It is normal for price keep moving up ( this is called bearish divergence) and is in a strong trend quite normal (early stages).
What we see here are just first signs of the price slowing down..
Take in consideration that we are getting to a resistance line and we see a little rejecting of higher prices.. ( candlesticks)
If you look back in history we see this same resistance line got rejected two times earlier and you see the effect afterwards..
Human psychology is something quite integrating and the chances of these scenarios happening again is quite there..
At the end of the road we play the game of high probability..
We play a game where manipulation is there by some whales... with 1 hit on the button they can take the chart on a totally different road..
A PREDICTION ON BITCOIN PRICE MOVEMENTS IN SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBERThe cryptocurrency market, especially bitcoin, is well-known for its uncertainty and high volatility. In our analysis in late August 2021, we successfully predicted the price corrections of bitcoin for the $44-$42k channel.
Corrections are necessary for any dynamic market as they provide investors with the opportunity to re-enter the game and take profit from swing trade and even long-term investments.
In this analysis, we have adopted:
- 4H Chart Date
- IntorTheBlock.com in-chain data analytics for fundamentals
Note:
- As per reports, the available bitcoins on exchanges are the lowest amount since November 2020, which indicates that the whales are buying the dip, and most of HODLers tend to keep their bitcoins for higher prices.
Bitcoin's recent price correction was majorly due to the manipulations by the major exchanges to liquidate the long and high leveraged positions, which resulted in more than $3.5 billion liquidations so far.
- Bitcoin Dominance is going to be re-established in the market. However, we need to consider the fact that the cryptocurrency market has been expanded vastly, and the market is not restricted to some coins anymore. NFTs, DeFi, fast-growing protocols like ADA, SOL, and Polygone, in addition to ETH 2.0, are now competing to get their share from the market dominance. Therefore, expecting a dominance rate like 60% 0r 70% for Bitcoin is not very predictable, and Bitcoin will continue its story with dominance rates ranging between 45% to 55% in the future.
In this analysis, we have considered the dynamic resistance (tactical level) around $48-50K, which plays a crucial role in breaking out of the critical resistance level of 52-54K.
The emerging golden cross on the daily chart (EMA 50 upward cross with EMA 200) indicates the significant momentum for the new rally. Moreover, on the 4H chart, the current candles strive to break out the Ichimoku cloud, and it will construct a tension in the price by the remaining days of this week.
As indicated in prediction candles (yellow color), we expect a sharp uptrend from tactical resistance for breaking the key resistance of 52-54K. We predicted a quick breakout; however, adequate volume is needed to confirm this action.
Due to this sharp and quick breakout, there will be a high tension are on the days ahead, ranging between $55K and $59k zone as there will be high-pressure sales for taking profit by the swingers. Scalpers can enjoy this moment. This portion of the prediction will take 2-3 weeks.
If the bulls can overcome the challenges in the High Tension Zone and the big brothers (big exchanges), don't manipulate the market to liquidate the high leveraged positions, we expect by the End of October, the bitcoin price can have a successful breakout from ATH (64-65k) strategic resistance.
Thanks for sharing this scenario, following us, and liking this post.
We wish you all profitable trade ahead.
`
BTC/USDT - potential 40% setupHello Traders!
After exiting the May-July flat movement in the $31000 - $40900 range, BTC continued its uptrend.
Between $51000 - $52000 a seller reaction followed, after which the price returned to the trading range of $44200 - $46800.
At the moment the asset is under selling pressure. Buyers are pushing the price and keeping it near the support level of $44200.
Mid-term purchases can be planned based on expectations of a continuation of correction.
The first part in the range of $42500 - $44200.
The second part in the range of $39800 - $40900
Stop-loss shall be placed under the price level of $36500
Price levels would be buy targets
$51500
$55000
$57600
$59600
Good luck and watch out for the market
P.S. This is an educational analysis that shall not be considered financial advice
BTCUSD BITCOIN TRENDLINEBTCUSD BITCOIN Chart after it was given a sharp move towards downside, Price making good chart with support and resistance trendline.
IF IT'S BREAK ANY SIDE WE CAN SEE GOOD MOVEMENT.
AS WE SEE DOWNSIDE CHART GIVE GOOD SUPPORT BECAUSE WE CAN SEE WICK IS VERY HIGH NEAR SUPPORT AREA SO IF IT'S BREAK DOWN SIDE SO WE CAN SEE SHARP FALL AGAIN BUT IF IT'S BREAK UPSIDE THEN WE CAN SEE GOOD UPMOVE BECAUSE THERE IS NO ANY RESISTANCE IT WAS MAKE DURING SHARP DOWNFALL IN PAST.
HERE IS JUST I SHARED MY VIES ONLY NOT RECOMANDED ANY BUY OR SELL. DO IT ON YOUR OWN RISK ONLY.
Bitcoin might breakdown in Short Term. Stay Cautious!As I have stated some major resistance levels for BTCUSD which are also supported by the volume in my previous analysis, Bitcoin seems to get rejections multiple times from the 50-51k level.
For now, Bitcoin is forming a descending triangle which usually breaks down. $49600 is a strong support breaking and retesting of which can make BTC bearish atleast for short-term. Support levels in short-term are marked. In what direction you think will Bitcoin play? Comment down.
For my detailed bitcoin analysis, check
Muneeb.
#SyedMuneebAli
BTC/USDT . Printing head n shoulder (healthy correction)If you look MONTHLY chart
BTC is always facing a pullback every NOVEMBER
(you can check it since 2017-2020 , november monthly candle are always red)
If history repeat again. So maybe the scenario will follow the bars pattern.
considering the RSI days is having a bearish divergence too. and creating a rising wedge pattern.
After that correction. BTC will pump till end of the year.
waddya think?
*not financial advice