Bitcoin Price ResistanceBitcoin is currently re-testing the significant supply region from December 2021, where price spent almost a month failing to move higher after the initial move down from ATH.
Since putting in a final bottom in late 2022, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly along with other risk assets. However, if this trend has been a corrective ABC move, the pattern looks near enough to complete to start looking for a strong reversal from this region for confirmation. The c wave price has reached the typical corrective fibonacci extension resistance range from the a wave, and at a low timeframe has reached a 3.0 extension of the wave 1 of c.
If the current trend is part of a new leg higher, price should easily reach 76k which would be the 1.618 extension from the initial sequence off the low.
The conservative trading approach would be to take partial or full profits on longs at these levels, respecting the important price resistance and risk of a double top, and wait for price to confirm a breakout over prior ATH to re-enter a long position.
The downside risk, if price is currently filling out a corrective ABC retrace, would be a > 80% loss to re-visit 10.2k or lower before price would ultimately find a durable bottom.
Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
Bitcoin break out to a new ATH 78k - 81k ?Here is a huge bull flag breaking out as I write this on the 4hr chart. This can easily be a fake out but with the strength that BTC has shown, I can't underestimate it. Still with halving right around the corner, and BTC already being in extreme overbought zones, a -30% pull back can happen at any moment. 👍
Anticipation Builds for Bitcoin Halving Event Anticipation Builds for Bitcoin Halving Event
Bitcoin is currently holding strong above the $50,000 mark in anticipation for the event known as "the halving."
The Bitcoin halving is a regularly scheduled event that occurs approximately every four years, where the reward for miners is halved. Historical data indicates that after each halving event, Bitcoin’s value surges. The last halving event in 2020 propelled Bitcoin to an all-time high of $69,000.
With the next halving event two months away, Bitcoin might be looking bullish, with higher highs recorded within an ascending parallel channel. Although, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in overbought territory at 80, and Wednesday saw the first down day after 7 days of gains. Even so, previous overbought conditions in the RSI didn’t cause the expected pullback though.
Buying pressure could lead Bitcoin to target 5% and 15% gains, with the first being the $55,000 level, and the second being the $60,000 psychological level.
Bitcoin Analysis for 2024!Bitcoin Analysis for 2024!
We have been witnessing upward movements in Bitcoin for a while now. As 2024 approaches, we want to share with you the potential price movements Bitcoin might make.
Bitcoin's price is hovering around the resistance range of $44,372 - $45,821 . We believe that unless Bitcoin achieves weekly voluminous candle closures above the $45,821 level, it may initiate a downward movement. If BTC manages to close candles above the $45,821 level for two consecutive weeks, the next upward target would be $53,256.
However, if Bitcoin fails to secure weekly candle closures above $45,821, we anticipate its descent to the initial support range of $38,150 - $36,163. If BTC finds strong buyers in the $38,150 - $36,163 support range, it could bounce back and ascend to the $44,000 - $45,000 range. Nevertheless, it is crucial to note that for the upward trend to continue, a weekly candle closure above $45,821 is essential.
In the event that Bitcoin's ascent from the $38,150 - $36,163 support range cannot surpass $45,821, a renewed descent may commence, leading to a range between $32,380 - $30,420. We believe that the actual upward trend for BTC will originate from the support range of $32,380 - $30,420, as indicated by the purple lines in our analysis.
If Bitcoin initiates an ascent from the $32,380 - $30,420 support range, we anticipate it reaching $53,256 .
In our 2024 Bitcoin Analysis, we focus on weekly timeframe movements rather than those on lower timeframes.
Not Investment Advice.
WAGMI.
BTCUSD: Weekly continuation?Today's focus: BTCUSD
Pattern – Continuation (Bullish)
Support – 41,450, 38,514
Resistance – 44,713, 47,540
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Bitcoin on the weekly chart.
So far, so good, as buyers continue to push at resistance and push forward with a bullish continuation idea. After rejecting the last low and forming a doji candle pattern, buyers continue to do the right things for a potential continuation pattern.
Will we see price contnue to push higher and test 47,540 resistance? We have also reviewed a few aspects of what to look for when scouting for a continuation pattern set-up.
Good trading.
BTC pivot point @ 48k, breaking trend lines to under 30kVertical price push is due for a pull back.
Depth of pull back can develop into a few possible scenarios:
Bearish: pull back leg of the longer term consolidation in the 15k-69k range. Bouncing off the 20k will be neutral vs. under 20k will be bearish, looking to test and break 15k.
Bullish: Bounce off the 48k and dip to ~28k to form an ascending triangle or cup handle before breaking to ~150k
If we push past 48k, next resistance is 55k. I am skeptical about any pre halving push without some kind of easy credit like low interest rates or cash injections.
Lets see how deep this pull back goes.
BITCOIN Breakdown of Whats Going On - 06/02/2024Hello everyone,
I have to update on update of previous post, to break it down little clearer for some of you, to explain why RIGHT NOW Im very causious...
For that purpose Im going from Highier to Lower timeframes, to get clearer picture of what is the MOST possible at this moment..
So, If we go from 5Day to 4h timeframe, its clearly to see that we are "stucked" in consolidation of last 5D candle, which was our "top" of 2023 and we are in process of "accumulation/distribution" either shorts/longs before moving further (as stated yesterday, longer we stay highier, chance of continuation of going highier increasing)...
So as you know, I WAS of opinion, that we should go lower to swept Sellside liquidity, before moving further... but since FED meeting changed nothing, I HAVE TO stick with my Highier TimeFrame perspective...
And thats it, as presented in Q1 update - Due to previous experience in similar market conditions I should suggest that until nothing change & FED start cutting rates, market will move Highier with Time until this change come!
Breakdown :
5 DAY -
to
1 Day -
On 1Day, we can see much better, that we first swept Buyside liquidity of that 1st Rectangle consolidation, before we processed to swept Sellside liquidity... BUT NOW, we came EXACTLY BACK where we WAS, which SHOULDNT be CASE if we continuing LOWER with confidence...
So, we HAVE TO go to 4hr, to make "better and clearer" guess of whats happening...
4h -
So , I added 1 more layer of rectange... which is LAST WEEK RANGE...
You can see, its relatively tight with its own "consolidation" (i put green cut line between for better visibility)... and YESTERDAY, we firstly swept highs, then lows and now we proceeding to going back up.. in this case, IF WE ARE ABLE to MOVE ABOVE that FED HIGH I would expect with high probability of moving further up, ONCE WE GET ABOVE OUR CONSOLIDATION BOX, both of them!
-- One more 4hr chart with SMA , which I do not use as "trading tool", but in my obsertvation-> When they are stacked like now and we moving in tight range in same time.. WHEN Price BREAK above/under them with "test" - in most cases it continuos in that direction for pro-longed period of time.
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
Bitocin next support zones
the following fibonacci levels are the most relevant support zones as long as the short-term high is 49k. What happens after an impulse wave has touched the golden pocket is a complete correction to the 0.38 - 0.61 - 078 zone.
following this idea, the next level 0.38 with a POC, is a good area for a temporary rebound or trend continuation.
Bitcoin Next Move ?Pair : BTCUSD ( Bitcoin / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from the Upper Trend Line. It has completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and making its Correction. We have Strong Divergence we can Look for Short If it Breaks Lower Trend Line Otherwise Trend is your Friend
UNDERSTAND THE BITCOIN ETF - PRICE ACTIONHello Family!
10th January of 2023. We are hours away from the Approval, delay or Rejection of the Bitcoin ETF.
We need to be careful since the Bitcoin price still needs to confirm the 30-32k area as a SUPPORT.
WE've done this in every Bitcoin cycle after we created a BOTTOM structure and going into a RETRACEMENT.
We are in the biggest RETRACEMENT levels. This is a critical zone where the price could get rejected and where many expert traders are taking profit from the ACCUMULATION zone (15-25k)
So, right now Bitcoin has huge risk of ROI vs potential downside.
If you are waiting on a sideline, It would be better to wait for the MACRO correction, or wait if the Bitcoin Dominance starts to fall and liquidy goes into Altcoins.
Legendary day.
The force be with you.
BTC Bullish Pattern on Oct 1st, 2023We can see a falling wedge pattern in daily chart. This is a bullish pattern for few days.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
The Bitcoin Triangle: In the Midst of a Fundamental TsunamiHard to not draw when its already outlined for you. Market manipulation is probably most prominent in the crypto sphere and notably with Bitcoin. It is the breakout trader, the technical analysis pioneer, that is the target. Give them an image, that creates a bias, a bias strong enough for them to enter the market with conviction (in the form of leveraged positions) and the self fulfilling prophecy will occur. Breakout or fake-out, stop losses will be taken out, by the crypto whale like plankton in the gambling ocean of retail traders in motion.
Regardless looks bullish. Doesn't it?
RUNE 2023 - BTC 2019 (COMPARISON) part 1RUNE 2023 - BTC 2019 (COMPARISON) part 1
you can clearly see what im doing here, hard to tell where horizontal price levels (unfortunately) are as rune has exaggerated pumps compared to btc.. but the basic shape is there.
momentum shapes are the same, thats good. if this fractal is true its one more leg to go then its cool off for the whole market.
gl
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #12Good evening from Ukraine!
Dear colleagues, I am glad to welcome you!
Work plan.
Because it is necessary.
There may be a slight deviation.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
- thoughts out loud
- thoughts out loud
- thoughts out loud
P.S.
...Think positive)
Bitcoin Macro Uptrend & Near Term Pullback ZoneBitcoin's chart shows that it's potentially topping out here and due for a pullback.
See my other recent post related to a pullback to the $38k zone to re-test prior resistance.
While we could push higher here in the final stage of an exhaustion rally to the Fib Golden Pocket, it's more likely that BTC retraces back down to the $38k - $40k zone before resuming the push to $50k.
But again, the Blackrock and other ETF approvals are the wildcard.
Either way Bitcoin is in a nice upward trending channel that likely takes us to new highs if not $100k by the Halving.
See my other related studies and 'The Path to $155k Bitcoin and Beyond'.
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #11Good evening from Ukraine!
Dear colleagues, I am glad to welcome you!
Work plan.
Because it is necessary.
There may be a slight deviation.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
- thoughts out loud
- thoughts out loud
- thoughts out loud
P.S.
...Think positive)
Bitcoin Peaks at $42,000 - What's Next? Bitcoin Peaks at $42,000 - What's Next?
In a new surge of momentum fueled by widespread optimism that the U.S. securities regulator may soon approve a spot bitcoin ETF, Bitcoin briefly surpassing $42,000 to reach a 20-month high.
There is a sense of optimism in the space regarding the potential approval of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the U.S. securities regulator. Such approval would likely enable a new type of investor to enter the cryptocurrency market through the regulated stock exchange, leading to an influx of capital into the digital asset. In October, SEC Chair Gary Gensler alluded to the agency's consideration of up to 10 bitcoin ETF filings.
Additionally, falling inflation in the US is making higher-risk assets such as Bitcoin more attractive.
This sounds like a certain bullish environment, right? Well... nothing is certain in crypto so some downside projections might be appropriate to consider too. So, with that in mind, the gap on Sunday still needs to be filled, starting with approximate prices at $39,600 and $39,000.
🟡 - Bitcoin Whales 11.6.2023We are witnessing an intriguing phenomenon recently, Bitcoin has slowed down since 24 so far, although it managed to rise 35,971 but fell fast despite this, As I highlighted on October 24th, considerable resistance has emerged within the $35-36,000 threshold for Bitcoin.
This is not just a coincidence. Current market dynamics, upon closer inspection, reveal that Bitcoin whales are actively applying selling pressure at this critical point. It's a strategic game, and these market drivers aren't just participants—they set the pace.
This can be a short-term pressure and does not indicate that Bitcoin will collapse or crash completely but it indicates that there is a challenge at a specific price, once everything slows down and then Bitcoin shows signs of weakening after whale pressure, this means that Bitcoin's performance is not strong enough yet in this game
Within the provided graph, I have pinpointed three critical areas of interest through Q1 and Q2 of 2023, delineated by two prominent green circles and one salient red circle(today). These circles illuminate the pivotal buying and selling actions of Bitcoin whales.
Green Circles (January to May 2023): These larger green circles underscore the zones where substantial whale purchases occurred at specific price points. Within these zones, numerous smaller blue circles are visible, courtesy of an analytic indicator that tracks whale transactions, signifying either buying or selling maneuvers. Particularly under the line, these blue small circles consistently indicate that whales have been 'buying low.'
Red Circle (Recent Weeks): Conversely, the large red circle captures the locus of recent whale selling, as marked by small red circles above the line. Each of these red circles flags an instance where whales 'sold high.' Notably, since these red markers last materialized around October 23rd, Bitcoin has exhibited a somewhat decelerated pace over the following 16 days.
Short Term Chart
Long Term Chart
This pattern prompts further inquiry into the strength and momentum of Bitcoin. I've applied additional metrics to gauge Bitcoin's vitality. While certain indicators reveal short-term weakness, from hourly to daily perspectives, Bitcoin maintains robust signals of long-term fortitude.
Forward-Looking Considerations:
It is pivotal to monitor both the short-term indicators and the long-term trajectory. Should signs of long-term weakness begin to align with the short-term trends, it could presage a potential downtrend. At present, however, the evidence suggests a moderation in momentum rather than an outright downturn.
By staying attuned to both whale behavior and a suite of analytical indicators, we can better navigate the currents of the Bitcoin market and anticipate potential shifts.
BITCOIN: ON THE MOVE.Everyone's eyes are on BTC at the moment because it is making some promising moves and so far, it is doing great. With BTC touching the $30k price range, I am expecting the next target to be $32k to BER:33K followed by a correction.
What are your expectations? Let me know in the comments.
Trade safely.
Bitcoin's Projected PathTraders,
Bought more BTC here. TBH, this just looks like another bull flag. I can see us hitting our heads on the 30k again where I may sell some but eventually that resistance will break. And I think sooner than later. Then we'll have to tackle that 31.6k level. If we can break above that, my prediction from Jan-Feb still stands - 37k by then end of the year.
Best,
Stew