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BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis! My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA. How do we trade this? 🤔 We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $42,000 🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350 ✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600 ✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000 2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone 3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback 4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000 5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TraderEngineering
1
Bitcoin Price Nears 200-Day SMA: Bullish Signal on the Horizon? Bitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, has been on a rollercoaster ride in 2024. After a strong start to the year, prices dipped below the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) in early July, sparking concerns about a potential bear market. However, recent price movements suggest a potential bullish reversal, with Bitcoin again hovering close to the 200-day SMA. The 200-Day SMA: A Key Indicator The 200-day SMA is a technical analysis tool investors use to gauge the long-term trend of an asset's price. It's calculated by averaging the closing price of Bitcoin over the past 200 days. This metric helps smooth out short-term price fluctuations and provides a clearer picture of the overall market direction. Historically, the 200-day SMA has played a pivotal role in identifying bull and bear markets for Bitcoin. When the price trades above the 200-day SMA, it's generally seen as a bullish signal, indicating an upward trend. Conversely, prices consistently falling below the SMA suggest a bearish market. Bitcoin's Recent Price Movements In early July, Bitcoin dipped below the 200-day SMA for the first time since August 2023. This triggered anxieties among some investors, questioning the sustainability of the current bull run. However, it's important to note that such temporary dips below the SMA have occurred during previous bull markets. For instance, in 2016, Bitcoin fell below the 200-day SMA for three months before embarking on a significant upward trajectory that culminated in the 2017 bull run. Similarly, in 2023, Bitcoin dipped below the SMA in August but recovered shortly after, continuing its bull run through the end of the year. Reclaiming the 200-Day SMA: A Potential Bullish Signal The current situation presents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. It could be a significant bullish signal if the price can successfully reclaim the 200-day SMA and maintain a position above it. This would suggest a continuation of the current bull run and potentially pave the way for further price increases. There's historical precedent for such a scenario. In early 2023, Bitcoin successfully reclaimed the 200-day SMA after a brief dip, marking the beginning of a strong bull run that lasted throughout most of the year. Factors Supporting a Bullish Outlook Several factors contribute to the potential for a bullish reversal. Firstly, Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals remain strong. The network continues to experience steady growth in hash rate, indicating strong miner participation and network security. Additionally, institutional adoption of Bitcoin is on the rise, with major investment firms and corporations increasingly recognizing its potential as a valuable asset class. Secondly, the recent price dip could be attributed to short-term market corrections and profit-taking by some investors. These temporary fluctuations are natural occurrences within any bull market and shouldn't necessarily be interpreted as a sign of a long-term bearish trend. Looking Ahead: Important Considerations While the current price movements suggest a potential bullish outlook, it's crucial to maintain a cautious and realistic perspective. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and unforeseen events can trigger significant price swings. Investors should closely monitor economic factors, regulations, and industry developments that could impact Bitcoin's price. Additionally, conducting thorough technical and fundamental analysis is essential before making any investment decisions. Conclusion Bitcoin's price hovering near the 200-day SMA presents a fascinating situation. While a successful reclaim of the SMA could signal an upcoming bullish phase, continued vigilance and comprehensive analysis are necessary. The cryptocurrency market is dynamic, and investors should be prepared for potential volatility. However, the underlying strength of Bitcoin's network and growing institutional adoption suggest that the long-term outlook remains promising.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Seasonality: GMI Total Liquidity Index CorrelationBitcoin's price action appears to correlate with seasonal trends in global market liquidity, as measured by the GMI Total Liquidity Index. This relationship offers insights into potential Bitcoin price movements throughout the year: Winter (Blue): Often coincides with tighter liquidity conditions. Bitcoin may experience consolidation or downward pressure during this period. Spring (Green): Usually marks the beginning of increasing liquidity. Bitcoin tends to show signs of accumulation and the start of upward movements. Summer (Yellow): Typically represents peak liquidity conditions. Bitcoin often experiences strong bullish trends during this season, with some of the most significant price increases. Fall (Orange/Brown): Liquidity begins to taper off. Bitcoin may continue its upward trend from summer but at a slower pace, or begin to show signs of distribution. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin's price movements might be influenced by broader market liquidity cycles. Higher liquidity periods (spring and summer) tend to correlate with stronger Bitcoin performance, while lower liquidity periods (fall and winter) often see more muted or negative price action. Disclaimer: It's crucial to note that while these patterns are observable, they aren't guaranteed to repeat. Other factors such as regulatory changes, technological developments, and macroeconomic events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price, potentially overriding seasonal liquidity trends. Traders and investors might use this seasonal liquidity perspective as one of many tools for understanding potential Bitcoin market cycles, always in conjunction with other forms of analysis for a comprehensive view.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MacroViewer101
2
BTC/USD Chart Analysis July 10, 2024The chart shows four scenarios for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price movement. Three of these scenarios indicate a potential drop to the GETTEX:52K -$50K range. First Scenario (Yellow Line): The price may sharply drop to around $52K. Second Scenario (Red Line): The price falls further to around $50K. Third Scenario (Blue Line): The price continues to decline to around $50K, but with a steeper trajectory. However, there is one positive scenario: Fourth Scenario (Green Line): If the price touches the EMA200 and successfully stays above the trend line, we might see the price climbing up afterward. 💬 My Opinion: From my observation, although there is a high likelihood of the price dropping, the fourth scenario offers hope for a price recovery. In such a volatile market, it is crucial to stay cautious and be prepared for both possibilities. Keep monitoring the price movements and always check the EMA200 as a key indicator. Whether the price goes down or up, there are always opportunities for good investments and trading strategies. Stay positive and make wise investment decisions! 🚀 #CryptoCommunity #BTC #Bitcoin #TradingAnalysis #StayInformed 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Malaysiancryptocommunity
2
$BTC Summer '24 rhymes with Summer '23 - despite FUD, NEWSQuick CRYPTOCAP:BTC price action on the weekly chart. Technically speaking, we're looking to set a local low. Fundamentally, we are suffering from FUD around Mt. GOX coins and other institutional holders, like Germany. It’s only a few days worth of aggregate volume but the specter of a dump is spooking the market and encouraging the bulls to wait. To me, despite all the news, we look very similar to the March-October period of last year, where it took 3 attempts and establishing 25K as floor price, before finally breaking through the strategic $30k level. This summer, we're likely to see a similar movement play out, establishing $50k as a floor before ultimately breaking above the strategic price of $70k. Perhaps in an inverse head and shoulders fashion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dawsonMoonshot
2
BTCUSD Daily OutlookBTCUSD traded in a narrow range between $53550 and $58200 for the past week. It hit a high of $58200 yesterday. According to Farside investors, spot BTC ETF inflows of $143 million on Jul 6th, 2024. Markets eye US Fed chairman Powell's speech today and CPI data this week for further direction. US markets - NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bearish (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ hits a fresh all-time high on rate cut hopes. Any close above 20500 will take the index to 21000. According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 66.50% from 57.90% a week ago. Technicals- BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average (21 and 55 EMA) and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart. Minor support- $53000. Any break below will take it to the next level at $51825/$50000/$47000. Bull case- Primary supply zone -$57000. Any break above confirms a bullish continuation. A jump to $60000/$63500/$65000/$70000 is possible. Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $75000/$80000. It is good to buy on dips around $55000 with SL around $50000 for TP of $75000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by adiechiii
#BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis, $44k or $58.5k, Fib Levels.#BTCUSDT Weekly Update: BTC is trading just below the crucial level of $58.5k. Let's look at the current situation. Current Situation: - BTC is in a precarious position. The $51k level corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, which hasn't been tested yet. - The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often referred to as the "golden pocket," is also yet to be tested. - A close below the 0.382 level could drive BTC down to $44k or even $38k. This isn't fear-mongering, just a straightforward chart analysis using Fibonacci Retracements. Such a move would likely trigger a broader market downturn, with altcoins potentially experiencing 50% further discounts. Possible Avoidance Scenarios: 1. BTC maintains the monthly support level of $56.5k. 2. BTC closes above the $58.5k level, rendering the current price action as a deviation (false breakdown). For those considering entering altcoins, it might be wise to wait for clear confirmations on either side. Let me know your thoughts in the comments section. Bookmark this chart for future updates, and hit the like button if you found this helpful! Share with your friends. Thank you #PEACE
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Cryptorphic
10
BTC Potential Path To $85,000We have been selling off for quite a bit which is expected after we touched 70k, lining up the trend with previous bull runs you can see that same exact pattern which consists of dipping until the sell is exhausted and the downtrend shifts to a massive pump. This is lining up perfectly with this years price action, there is a chance that August will be the start of the massive leg up which would lead to euphoria, we are quite literally about 22 days away or the downtrend shifts within a week to two and then we see a 3 month run up, this is all hypothetical, but it also makes sense with the election lining up, etf releases, the potential squeezes on GME and AMC, the universe is aligning once again, we’re almost there…. Or we go to 0, not financial advice #WAGMI
Long
by SnyyperT
2
Bitcoin ALL-TIME-HIGH is STILL COMING: Here's WhyA hint... the RSI. The RSI is one of those reliable old-timers, especially useful in higher timeframes to determine longer period price action, such as near term and long term. Together with Elliot Wave Theory, I'm going to present to you an argument for why Bitcoin is STILL BULLISH and what my strategy/expectation is for the coming weeks. I'll also share key metrics to watch and do regular updates should the conditions mentioned in the video be met. Although I am short term bearish, I remain longer term bullish, making it really impossible to label this post as solely "short" or "long". Cheers to the Top10%'ers 🥂 __________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
1
Bitcoin daily analytic we are planning and doing simple and practical live trading in Bitcoin use the simple strategy by set up your mind set first. thinking about how to be rich in a long term and start. if you know well enough this philosophy you would definitely can define it into the market buy reaching high standards of DCA strategy. buying in deep of the market use your regular saving monthly avoiding from all manipulation aspect of the market like shitcoins and high leverages. I described my mind set because it is important for people who follow me to see my analytics. we are looking for bounce back around 53~49 and not selling before 70 zone
Long
by Sepiknows
BTC - what if it's lower than $56 522?On May 21, the INDEX:BTCUSD chart formed a model on the weekly timeframe that describes the key logic behind the price movement. The model was confirmed by touching the trend line: After an unsuccessful attempt to retest the trendline between June 5 and June 8, the price retreated towards the 4 point ($56 522). Right now the price is trying to consolidate above this level, but if INDEX:BTCUSD still fails to trade higher during the week and goes back under $56 522, we could see price levels like $43 349 and $33 229 in the long term.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TSFC
Why are you panicking? 1 of this 2 will certenaly happendWhy are you stressing about COINBASE:BTCUSD bitcoin going down. is beening cleary manipulated. 1 of this 2 scenarios will occur, in their time. 1 scenario, bitcoin drop to 40k support. 2 scenario, bitocin drop to 30k support. If you check the MONTLY chart, you have clean range until 30k (Red Box). So you know what must certainly is gonna happend. Or do you think that WS guys, come to crypto cuz they love this sh!t!? No! They come to crash this sh!t, and try controll it. Simple as that. Be smart. This is a LONG TERM game.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by brunodpferreira
Bitcoin - Is it Time to Panic?At the low yesterday, the price of Bitcoin was down a little over 27% from the all-time high in March. In previous bull market cycles, we have seen many corrections of 30% or more. As was the case in past cycle corrections, we are seeing a lot of panic selling. Another issue is being in over leveraged positions and getting stopped out during corrections. Unfortunately, many inexperienced market participants are not familiar with Bitcoin's past price history. So, when we experience a large correction, they panic and sell when history has shown that these corrections are great buying opportunities. But, unfortunately, past history has shown us that many people will be too scared to buy during this correction and many won't start buying again until the price of BTC is back up near it's all-time high. If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles are very consistent. Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case, then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all downhill from here. But I believe the probability of that is very low. I believe we could see a lot more volatility and possibly even lower prices leading up to the post halving bull market. The German and the US governments still hold significant amounts of BTC which they could sell adding to downside pressure. There is also the Mt Gox BTC that could add to selling pressure driving the price of BTC lower. But in the coming months I believe any excess selling of BTC will be absorbed by the market and eventually the current bearish sentiment will flip to Bullish. I will be using this correction and the time between now and this fall to increase my position sizes. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle; every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long-time horizon.
BNC:BLXLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
Bitcoin on a weekly timeframe is bullishFrom an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, #bitcoin is currently ending a corrective wave 4. Duration is now identical to that of prior Wave 2 so we are fine in that regard. In terms of structure, this correction is complex, alterning with Wave 2´s standard ABC correction. We could either be in a Flat ABC or in a WXY zig zag, this is not yet defined. In any case it looks as if this correction is either finished or soon to be. Momentum is still downwards and buyer have not showed up. So further downward pressure could still push the price a bit more. Expected target for ending this Wave 4 is the purple rectangle: somewhere between $49,360 and the already reached $53,500 level. Unless we see a flash reversal, the $50,000-51,000 level (where prior support sits) would not be surprising. And from there... up Enjoy the ride!
Long
by Ivanbole71
btc 7/7/24out look for this week till the news drop . technical analysis. Price Movements: Bitcoin’s price has seen a notable decline, dropping below $54,0001. This drop follows a period of high volatility, with prices fluctuating between $53,500 and $57,0002. Market Sentiment: The recent sell-off has been attributed to various factors, including large movements of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox, which has raised concerns among investors3. Additionally, there has been a broader market correction affecting cryptocurrencies4. Technical Analysis: Analysts are watching for potential support levels around $54,000, but there is no clear confirmation of a bottom yet1. Some believe that Bitcoin may resume its uptrend soon, potentially catching up with gold’s performance. on todays date btc is at 57222, on my technical terms if btc breaks 58919 it should continue up till weekly open at 63000. on the other side if bull doesn't break 59465 and reject the market we might see market going back to fill in the correction 52900 or lower.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by GoldReaper01
1