Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin encountered a substantial decline during this week's trading session, reaching Mean Support 55800 and Key Support 53800, and subsequently retesting completed Outer Coin Dip 54000. The considerable selling pressure finalized Outer Coin Dip 51000 and major Key Support 50700. The overall upward trend remains ongoing, leading to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance 61700 and the completion of the Interim Coin Rally 62600. The potential extension towards Mean Resistance 65500 and 68500 holds significant promise for the forthcoming week's sessions. The likelihood of temporary downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 57400 exists before the coin resumes its upward trajectory.
GTAU/USDT : Waiting for Consolidation ! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the GT Protocol chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that after the entire cryptocurrency market experienced a significant drop last week, this cryptocurrency was no exception and corrected down to $0.45. Currently, GT Protocol is trading around $0.51, and we need to see whether it can stabilize within the $0.45 to $0.49 range this week. This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin Rallies Back to $60K Despite Soft Economic Data & MoreTakeaways
Bitcoin's value dropped below $50,000 early this week, marking its lowest point since mid-February: But prices quickly bounced back, briefly pushing near $60,000 on Thursday, as major indices regained their footing despite fears of a US recession.
Amid global market turbulence, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $168.4 million in net outflows on Monday: Grayscale’s GBTC led the withdrawals, while macroeconomic issues and crypto-specific factors intensified the market selloff.
Crypto coalition asks for clarity on digital assets: A group of more than 50 crypto asset firms, dubbed The Crypto Market Integrity Coalition, wrote a letter to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris asking the White House for more regulatory clarity around digital assets.
New Ethereum wallet addresses have fallen to their lowest level this year amid the launch of spot ether ETFs: Solana, however, saw an uptick in new addresses due to its growing DEX ecosystem and interest in memecoins.
Ripple is advancing its stablecoin strategy with the upcoming launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD): Set to debut on XRP Ledger and Ethereum, RLUSD will reportedly help advance the company’s focus on cross-border transaction innovation.
Bitcoin Drops Below the $50,000, then Pushes Back to $60,000 Amid Economic and Geopolitical Concerns
Bitcoin saw its fourth consecutive day of decline during Asian trading on Monday, plummeting under $50,000 before recovering to around $60,000 at the midpoint of the week. The cryptocurrency's downturn is attributed to increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing concerns about the global economy, both of which have shaken investor confidence. Many are also concerned the Federal Reserve has not been fast enough in responding to signs of a weakening US economy.
Gemini data indicates that bitcoin hit a low of $49,540 before slightly rebounding. Meanwhile, ether fell to almost $2,000, its weakest point since early January this year. This sell-off resulted in more than $1 billion worth of liquidations in the crypto futures market, with ether accounting for more than $350 million.
The sharp decline in cryptocurrency values was part of a broader market downturn fueled by fears of a global recession, turmoil in Japan’s market, and heightened tensions in the Middle East. The start of the week was not positive for global markets. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index tumbled by 12.4%, the Stoxx Europe 600 Index decreased by 2.8%, and S&P 500 micro futures lost 2.9%. The NASDAQ also tumbled by almost 2.5%. This panic selling reflects investor anxieties about potential economic instability and geopolitical unrest.
🏖️ Topic of the Week: Solana (SOL): Scaling Crypto to the Masses
➡️ Read more here
Bitcoin Loong!This coin has been forming a falling flag for the past few days. Considering that the price tested the lower trend and bounced back, there might be a bullish impulse. I anticipate that the bulish momentum will go on and retest the upper trendline at 70000.
Entry point - 60000
SL - 56000
Take Profit - 69000
Bitcoin Ascending Regression Trend (Bullish) With the recent market dip, most indicators show an oversold to neutral range:
Bollinger Bands: neutral
CCI: oversold
RSI: Neutral
MACD: oversold
Fear and Greed Index: fear
In other words, the market does have room to grow, but it needs market drivers to do so. The FED rate decisions in September might just be the catalyst Bitcoin needs.
If liquidity comes to the markets according to expectations, BTC might end the year in the $66k to $95k price range.
Uptrend Resumes - Standard wave 4 correctionIf this is an actual impulse with 5 total waves, then the recent pullback to a 38% retrace of wave(3) to complete wave(4) on the lower end of the channel was nothing unusual.
If price falls out of the channel and under (4) it's very likely the move up from the lows was an ABC move.
Upside of 100k for wave(5)? Stay within the channel and let's see.
LONG X 50 HIGH PRECISION ODER FLOW TRADINGBTC futures leverage x 50 LONG
Entry Point : USD 53250
Target : USD 69700
Stop Loss : USD 52750
Stall Brake : ??? USD
Leverage is extremely risky and must be executed with money that we are willing to lose or hit the stop loss.
Trading is the only profession in which the only person responsible for our actions is ourselves, our worst enemy is ourselves, here there is no one to blame, this is not a collective work, the only one who presses the sell button buy and know how much you invest and where to put a stop to losses, it is you, and only you, so always remember that.
Important note: THE LEVEL OF LEVERAGE OR LEVERAGE, the alert for taking early profits, loss stop adjustment and forced operation closure are not made by this means.
And also remember to always have control over your losses, focus on this and you will last.
Comment: WARNING!!!!
I AM NOT A FUTUROLOGIST, I DO NOT MAKE PREDICTIONS, I DO NOT DO ANALYSIS,
I AM 100% A MARKET OPERATOR, I WORK BASED ON MY EXPERIENCE, CONSISTENCY AND MY PLANNING IN TRADING.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Together we can dominate the markets.
BTC is filling the CME Gap. Bullish or Bearish?Hello Traders,
In this video, I dive deep into the current market landscape, focusing on several key aspects that are crucial for developing our trading strategies. First, we'll discuss the CME Gap and explore how this gap might influence market movements.
Next, we take a closer look at the trend direction and analyze how it has evolved in recent days and what it could mean for upcoming trading opportunities. I'll show you how to identify the trend and incorporate it into your strategy.
Another essential topic we'll cover is confirmations: I'll explain how to ensure that your trade is on solid ground and how to avoid unnecessary risks.
Finally, I present two different trade ideas and share my expectations for these setups. You'll learn about the scenarios I envision and how I plan to respond to various market developments.
Join me as we delve into chart analysis and learn how to apply this information to your own trades!
Bitcoin's Falling Wedge: A Cautious Approach
The cryptocurrency market is renowned for its volatility and unpredictability. While technical analysis tools like the falling wedge pattern can offer potential insights into price trends, it's crucial to approach them with a critical eye. Even after identifying a seemingly bullish pattern, several factors warrant caution when considering Bitcoin as an investment.
The Falling Wedge: A Double-Edged Sword
A falling wedge is a chart pattern that indicates a potential bullish reversal. It's characterized by a narrowing price range with lower highs and higher lows. However, it's essential to remember that patterns are not foolproof predictors of future price movements. They are merely tools to help analyze market sentiment and potential trends.
Moreover, the formation of a falling wedge doesn't necessarily guarantee an immediate or sustained price increase. It's possible that the price could consolidate or even decline further before breaking out. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors beyond technical analysis, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment.
Fundamental Risks Persist
Beyond technical analysis, Bitcoin faces significant fundamental challenges. The cryptocurrency's price volatility, energy consumption concerns, and regulatory uncertainties continue to pose risks for investors.
• Volatility: Bitcoin's price has historically exhibited extreme volatility, making it difficult to predict short-term movements. While this volatility can create profit opportunities, it also exposes investors to substantial losses.
• Energy Consumption: The energy required to mine Bitcoin has drawn criticism for its environmental impact. Governments and regulatory bodies are increasingly scrutinizing the cryptocurrency industry, which could lead to stricter regulations or even bans.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies remains unclear in many jurisdictions. This uncertainty can create legal and operational challenges for businesses and investors alike.
Alternative Investment Opportunities
Considering the risks associated with Bitcoin, investors may want to explore alternative investment options. Diversification is a key principle of sound investment strategy, and allocating assets across different asset classes can help mitigate risk.
• Traditional Assets: Stocks, bonds, and real estate offer more established investment avenues with potentially lower volatility and greater diversification benefits.
• Other Cryptocurrencies: While the cryptocurrency market as a whole is volatile, some altcoins may present more attractive risk-reward profiles than Bitcoin. However, thorough research is essential to identify promising projects with solid fundamentals.
• Emerging Technologies: Investing in companies or funds focused on emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, or clean energy, can provide exposure to high-growth sectors.
Conclusion
While the appearance of a falling wedge pattern on Bitcoin's weekly chart might be tempting for some investors, it's crucial to maintain a cautious approach. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, and past performance is not indicative of future results. By carefully considering the risks and exploring alternative investment options, investors can make more informed decisions and protect their portfolios.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in Bitcoin is a personal one that should be based on individual risk tolerance, investment goals, and a thorough understanding of the cryptocurrency market.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conducting thorough research and consulting with a financial advisor is recommended before making investment decisions.
BITCOIN STILL following the 2013 - 2017 Fractel - the latest I do not really need to say to much, the image says it all.
As I have been saying for over a year now, I strongly believe THIS is what we are doing.....
This is the Current Bitcoin PA with the 2013 ATH to 2017 ATH Fractal overlaid and you can see for yourself, it pretty well matches. There were some things that pulled PA Lower, like LUNA and FTX issues but here we are, taking a retrace in the same month and almost, so far, to the same % Drop
So, Here is the PA from 2013 - 2017 and we have zoomed into where I think we are now in the 2024 cycle. The Two White Arrows in the main chart show these points
This is now August 2016 - we have seen a sharp -28% Drop, PA leveled out, recovered a little and then. in September, took off to head to the Next ATH - December saw a Spike to a high, a dip back and then off we went.
And Exactly the same is expected currently, with many saying September is when we really start moving and December is possibly a new ATH.
Fractels work until they do not...and we have been following this one since Nov 2021 - that is a remarkably long time. And if it paints a true picture of what is to come, 2025 will be truly EPIC with the Next final ATH of this cycle at around $1Million
I find that hard to believe but, Hey, if it happens, I am not going to say No.........
No Mans Land, Trending more on the bearish sideCOINBASE:BTCUSD
Bull Flag in Play:
The daily chart shows a bull flag pattern still in play. Although there was a brief breakout above the flag, the price has since pulled back into the channel, indicating indecision.
- Support and Resistance:
- Support: The first target zone around $51,000 has been tested, providing immediate support.
- Resistance: Key resistance lies near $60,000, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
- Moving Averages: The 50MA is above the 200MA, which maintains a bullish outlook for now, but this is about to change if the price drops further meaning a Death Cross to come...
- Volume Analysis: Volume has been relatively low during the recent price movements, indicating a lack of strong conviction from either bulls or bears.
Outlook:
- Bullish:
If BTC can hold above the $51,000 support and push above $60,000, it may validate the continuation of the bull flag and target higher levels.
- Bearish:
However, if it fails to hold above $51,000, we could see a further decline toward the next key support zones around $45,000 (Target 2) or even $38,000 (Target 3).
Conclusion:
The current technical setup suggests a cautious approach. The overall trend remains bullish if BTC can maintain its position above the $51,000 level, but a failure to do so may indicate a bearish shift. Traders should watch for a decisive move either way to confirm the next significant direction.
No Mans Land, Trending more on the bearish sideCOINBASE:BTCUSD
Bull Flag in Play:
The daily chart shows a bull flag pattern still in play. Although there was a brief breakout above the flag, the price has since pulled back into the channel, indicating indecision.
- Support and Resistance:
- Support: The first target zone around $51,000 has been tested, providing immediate support.
- Resistance: Key resistance lies near $60,000, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
- Moving Averages: The 50MA is above the 200MA, which maintains a bullish outlook for now, but this is about to change if the price drops further meaning a Death Cross to come...
- Volume Analysis: Volume has been relatively low during the recent price movements, indicating a lack of strong conviction from either bulls or bears.
Outlook:
- Bullish:
If BTC can hold above the $51,000 support and push above $60,000, it may validate the continuation of the bull flag and target higher levels.
- Bearish:
However, if it fails to hold above $51,000, we could see a further decline toward the next key support zones around $45,000 (Target 2) or even $38,000 (Target 3).
Conclusion:
The current technical setup suggests a cautious approach. The overall trend remains bullish if BTC can maintain its position above the $51,000 level, but a failure to do so may indicate a bearish shift. Traders should watch for a decisive move either way to confirm the next significant direction.
Bitcoin's local perspectiveAt the moment, the INDEX:BTCUSD price has come to the support of $54 821.76 (the HP level of the turquoise model). If the price goes under this level, the next two zones where we can expect the price to be would be $52 612-$51 858 and $49 394-$49 247.
To continue the growth at least to the area of $59 900-$60 143 the price needs to go beyond the turquoise pattern by breaking the trend line, which looks more unlikely at the moment.
BTCUSDT.1DIn my latest technical analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) daily chart, I've identified several significant technical indicators and price levels that are crucial for understanding the potential future movements of Bitcoin. Notably, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a significant bearish divergence, as indicated by the substantial gap between the MACD line and the signal line. This suggests strong bearish momentum, which could mean further declines unless there's a positive crossover in the near future.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 31.47 is hovering near the oversold territory, indicating that the selling pressure might be nearing its peak. An RSI below 30 typically suggests that the asset is oversold, which could potentially lead to a price rebound if buyers step back in.
Looking at the price action, Bitcoin has recently tested the support level at $49,565.4 (S1). This is a critical point; if it holds, it may serve as a springboard for a potential recovery towards resistance levels at $60,428.64 (R1) and possibly extending to $73,001.98 (R3) if a bullish trend resumes. The chart also depicts a scenario where Bitcoin might bounce between these levels, indicated by the green and red arrows representing potential bullish and bearish movements respectively.
However, it's crucial to consider that a break below the support at $49,565.4 could lead to a further drop towards the next significant support level at $38,706.45 (S2). Such a movement would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish trend, necessitating a cautious approach for traders.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's market is currently at a pivotal juncture. My strategy would involve closely monitoring the $49,565.4 support level. A confirmed bounce from this level could provide a buying opportunity, targeting the first resistance at $60,428.64. However, a break below this support would be a bearish signal, suggesting potential exits or short positions towards the lower support at $38,706.45. Traders should remain vigilant and responsive to price actions and key technical indicator signals.
Bitcoin Down 14% from Halving Event: What Happens from HereThree posts ago, we discussed the intricate relationship between Bitcoin’s halving events and broader economic conditions. The recent market developments have indeed proven this connection, as Bitcoin has experienced a significant 14% drop since the halving event on April 20th 2024.
Context of the Recent Market Crash
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent decline:
1. Macro-Economic Conditions : The Bank of Japan's rate hike on July 31, 2024, significantly impacted global markets. This move made borrowing more expensive, disrupting the carry trade involving the yen and causing a ripple effect across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
2. Market Sentiment and Sell-offs : The anticipation of Mt. Gox creditor repayments, releasing around $8 billion worth of Bitcoin into the market, created fear among investors, prompting a sell-off that drove prices down to as low as $53,600.
3. Broader Equity Market Decline : Global equity markets have also been under pressure, with major indices experiencing significant losses. This broader market downturn has influenced Bitcoin's price, as investors often sell off riskier assets during periods of economic uncertainty
It's Not All Doom and Gloom
Over the long term, Bitcoin has always shown resilience and growth, particularly in the years following a halving event. Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to experience significant increases 6-12 months after each halving. This pattern has been consistent across the previous three halving events:
2012 Halving: Bitcoin surged from around $12 to over $1,000 within a year.
2016 Halving: Bitcoin climbed from approximately $650 to nearly $20,000 within 18 months.
2020 Halving: Bitcoin soared from $8,000 to over $60,000 in the following year.
These historical trends indicate that despite short-term volatility and market downturns, Bitcoin has a strong track record of long-term growth. This resilience is driven by the fundamental principle of reduced supply through halvings, which creates scarcity and can drive demand.
Position Update from Our Trend Model
The Model had gone cash one day prior to the sell-off, resulting in a small loss of 6% from the long entry price back in July, the model was however able to avoid what was to come after that, which was a 20% drawdown within 72 hours. The model remains bearish for the medium term and we'll update in another post when the time comes.
As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider both macroeconomic factors and market sentiment when making investment decisions. Stay tuned for more updates and insights as we continue to monitor the evolving market conditions and their impact on primarily crypto 🚀.
Bitcoin's Rollercoaster: A Temporary Respite or Precipice of a CBitcoin, the digital currency that once seemed invincible, has undergone a tumultuous period. A dramatic plunge from its peak to a low of $49,300 sent shockwaves through the crypto market. However, a surprising recovery has seen it rebound to $56,000. This raises a critical question: is this a reprieve before another, more devastating crash, or the beginning of a renewed bull run?
Factors Fueling the Fall
To understand the potential trajectory of Bitcoin, it's essential to examine the factors that precipitated its decline. Macroeconomic conditions, including rising inflation and interest rate hikes, have cast a long shadow over risk assets, and Bitcoin is no exception. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly in the United States, has also contributed to market volatility. Additionally, concerns about the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining have led some investors to reconsider their positions.
The Rallying Cry
The recent recovery can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, a wave of buying from institutional investors has helped to bolster Bitcoin's price. These large-scale investors often view market downturns as buying opportunities, believing that Bitcoin's long-term value proposition remains intact. Secondly, the ongoing development of Bitcoin's underlying technology, including advancements in scalability and privacy, has continued to attract investor interest. Finally, the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a payment method by major corporations has reinforced its status as a digital store of value.
A Fork in the Road
While the current rebound is encouraging, it's crucial to approach it with caution. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and past performance does not indicate future results. Several factors could derail the recovery and push Bitcoin back into a bear market. For instance, a more aggressive monetary tightening policy by central banks could trigger a renewed sell-off in risk assets. Additionally, increased regulatory scrutiny or negative publicity surrounding Bitcoin could erode investor confidence.
Looking Ahead
Predicting the future of Bitcoin is a complex endeavor. However, investors can make more informed decisions by carefully considering the factors outlined above. Those with a long-term investment horizon may view the recent dip as a buying opportunity, believing that Bitcoin's underlying value proposition remains intact. On the other hand, short-term traders should exercise caution and be prepared for increased volatility.
Ultimately, the fate of Bitcoin will depend on a confluence of factors, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it's essential to stay informed and adapt to changing circumstances.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, and it's essential to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
BTC LONG TERM PREDICTIONI'm forecasting a short-term correction for Bitcoin, with the price potentially dropping to the $30,000 range. After this dip, I anticipate a rebound leading to a rise toward the ATH area and above (270K~~). This movement aligns with historical support and resistance levels and suggests a potential buying opportunity around the lower price point for a move back to the mid-$50,000s.