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BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis: Current Price: $102,859.06 Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance) Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound) 🚨 Signal: Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉. Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area). 💡 Strategy: Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC. Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces. 📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻). 🔐 Risk Management: Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level). Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Long
by ehsancrypto72
Bitcoin: $73K Breakdown or $130K Breakout ? Your Thoughts !Post your thoughts and analysis in the comments and share your charts! I’ll respond and discuss your predictions. Let’s decode Bitcoin’s next big move together! Bitcoin is at a critical Gann crossroad where time and price meet—a setup that traders cannot ignore. 📉📈 Is BTC ready to blast off to $130K, or will it lose momentum and plunge to 73K? Understanding Market Cycles Through Gann's Principles- W.D. Gann, one of the most legendary traders, discovered that markets move in predictable cycles based on time, price, and natural law. Gann's philosophy states that markets are not chaotic; they follow repetitive patterns influenced by planetary cycles, angles, and geometry. These cycles allow traders to identify turning points in price with incredible accuracy. 1. Time Cycles: Gann emphasized that time is the most critical factor in forecasting market movements. He believed that history repeats itself, as cycles tend to recur after specific intervals. For example, key highs and lows often form at regular intervals (like 30 days, 90 days, or annual cycles). Gann connected these patterns with planetary cycles, such as the Saturn return (29.5 years), which often marks major shifts in financial markets. 2. Price and Geometry: Gann introduced the concept of geometric angles, where price moves in harmony with time. The Gann Fan, for instance, uses angles like 1x1, 2x1, and 4x1 to predict the support and resistance levels based on a balanced relationship between price and time. When a market breaks through a Gann angle, it signals a major trend change or continuation. This principle highlights how BTC could now be at a decisive point between 73K (downside Gann target) and $130K (upside Gann target). 3. Cycle Extremes and Reversals: Markets tend to hit extremes before reversing. Gann believed that natural time cycles, such as the seasonal year or 90-degree quarters, correspond to price extremes. For example, Bitcoin may currently be completing such a time cycle, aligning with a potential breakout or breakdown. Recognizing where we stand in this cycle allows us to anticipate the next big move. 4.The Law of Vibration: Gann’s Law of Vibration explains that every financial asset vibrates at a specific frequency. By identifying these vibrations through time and price charts, traders can forecast future price movements. BTC's current consolidation may be a result of price vibrating at a critical frequency before a decisive upward or downward move. Understanding market cycles through Gann’s time-tested principles is like decoding the market's hidden language. BTC’s current setup aligns perfectly with Gann's theories, signalling a potential major move. Is it a $130K breakout or a 73K crash? 👉 Share your thoughts and analysis. How do you see this market cycle unfolding? Let’s discuss! Bitcoin: 73K Collapse or $130K Explosion? What's Next? Share Your Analysis!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by GannAstroTrader
1
Bitcoin Halving & Its impact on price growth update from 13 Dec.Addition to previous analysis from 13 Dec 2024 Executive view I won't delve deeply into the definitions of price movements for KRAKEN:BTCUSD , as an in-depth analysis was already provided in my previous article dated 13 December 2024. You can find the full breakdown here: In this updated version, I aim to provide a broader perspective on Bitcoin's future price movements and its potential trajectory. If the outlined theory holds true, we are still in the mid-term phase, and the cycle’s top has not yet been reached. I maintain my view that the top for KRAKEN:BTCUSDT could approach $200,000. Disclaimer: Conduct your own research and ensure proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Adilforgood
Bitcoin Halving and Its impact on price growthExecutive Summary BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s halving events have historically marked significant milestones in its price trajectory, often serving as catalysts for substantial growth. Each halving reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half, effectively decreasing Bitcoin’s issuance rate and increasing its scarcity. This predictable supply shock, combined with growing global adoption, has led to a recurring cycle of price surges post-halving. In this analysis, I'm trying to explore Bitcoin’s price performance after each halving event, focusing on the time it takes to surpass previous all-time highs (ATHs) and reach new price peaks. Using historical data and trendline analysis, we provide insights into Bitcoin’s current trajectory following the April 19, 2024, halving, and evaluate the potential for its price to reach unprecedented levels in this cycle. Key observations November 28, 2012 Halving After Bitcoin's first halving, it took approximately 368 days to surpass its previous ATH of ~$31 (set in June 2011). New ATH (November 2013): ~$1,242. July 9, 2016 Halving Post-halving, Bitcoin took 266 days to exceed its prior ATH of ~$1,242 (set in November 2013). New ATH (December 2017): $19,764. May 11, 2020 Halving Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin surpassed its previous ATH of $19,764 (from December 2017) in just 161 days. New ATH (November 2021): $69,000. April 19, 2024 Halving (Projected) As of December 2024, 238 days post-halving, Bitcoin has already surpassed its prior ATH of $69,000 (from November 2021) and is currently trading at $101,393. Trendline Analysis Drawing a trendline connecting the 2017 ATH ($19,764) and 2021 ATH ($69,000) reveals a potential upper boundary for BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s post-halving growth. This trendline indicates that Bitcoin may test the upper range, with a target price around $200,000 USD in the current cycle. Risks to Consider Macro-Economic Factors: Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, or regulatory actions could disrupt market trends. Market Liquidity: Declining liquidity could delay BINANCE:BTCUSD price breakout despite favorable conditions. Unexpected Events: Network-specific issues or technological vulnerabilities may impact price movements. Recommendations For Traders: Monitor key resistance levels and trading volumes for breakout confirmation. For Long-Term Investors: Consider accumulating during consolidation phases for optimal entry points. For Analysts: Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators and Ethereum’s network activity to validate price movement projections. Conclusion Bitcoin’s consistent post-halving price surges underscore the significant role halvings play in shaping its growth trajectory. Historical data and trendline projections suggest that Bitcoin has the potential to reach unprecedented highs in this cycle, with a plausible target near $200,000 USD. While macroeconomic factors and market dynamics may influence short-term movements, the long-term growth pattern remains compelling for investors and analysts alike. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers are advised to conduct their own research.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Adilforgood
1
BITCOIN ABOUT TO DUMP?BTC has been consolidating around the $90 - $100k price now for 20 days or so, the weekly time frames are clearly showing price slumping as liquidity and volume slows down due to traders liquidating positions and capitalising at the $100k mark. I do believe people are still buying BTC and there will be LOTS of fomo buyers at this price, but usually this is where the markets catch those who are to late to the party and they are the ones who are stung when price dumps. There is some TA to back a potential dump, we have the slumping of price clearly shown by the candle formations, rejections of major key levels ($100K) as well as some patterns like a rising wedge / rising consolidation however i'm not much of a pattern trader but it is worth taking into consideration as i know a lot of retail traders do trade patterns so this could influence areas of liquidity and help predict future market movements. It's likely we see a spike through $100k before price dumps to grab liquidity above the $100k mark. I'm fully expecting a volatile and highly manipulated market as it plays out over the next few days. If price does dump i would think it will dump to the $72,000 level (-%30) as this is the next major level so again there will be a lot of liquidity in the form of buy orders from traders expecting to 'buy the dip'. It also makes sense for the market to pull back / dump this much as we hade a massive bull market / pump for 3 weeks and there is always relief after a big increase in price simply due to profits being taken so supply will increase. Be wary, if BTC does dump so will 90& of alts.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT Continuation Setup Trade Idea: - Target downside liquidity to approximately $98,500 with a short, followed by a high-confluence long entry in the 4H/Daily FVG. Short Setup: - Target: $98,500 to capture downside liquidity. - Stop-loss: Tight stop above $101,500 to manage risk. - Confluence: - 4H OB rejection. - Rising wedge breakdown aligning with bearish structure. Long Setup: - Entry Zone: Around $98,500 , in the 4H/Daily FVG for a discounted entry. - Target: - TP1 at $101,500 . - TP2 at $104,000 , targeting liquidity above the weak high. - Confluence: - 4H and daily Kijun support. - Strong reaction potential after liquidity grab at $98,500 . Quick Take: This strategy aims to capture both short-term downside liquidity and the subsequent bullish continuation. Ensure confirmation on both sides for precise execution!
Long
by Fondera
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin's repeated pullback in this week's trading session by upholding firmly at the Mean Sup 96000 price level within the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 is now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely retest the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600 by navigating the weak Mean Resistance 102300. This movement is anticipated to revitalize its upward trajectory toward the projected Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. Furthermore, a potential decline to the Mean Support 97000 would prepare the market for the subsequent phase of a bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
1
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup Trade Idea: - Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB). Confluence: - Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion. - Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum. - Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment. Risk-Reward: - Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone. - 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000. Quick Take: Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
Short
by Fondera
BTC up to $250K - Remarkably Accurate Projection 2022/25Initial projection from December 12, 2022, ➡️ ​⬅️ When the price was at $17K, aimed to predict the bottom of the cycle, but primarily to predict Bitcoin's next all-time high and its timing. This projection has been spot on​!!! The two-year forecast has proven to be exceptionally and remarkably accurate, demonstrating high credibility. The analysis employed a multifaceted approach, including these key factors: - Projected symmetrical parallel channel for price forecasting - Volume Price Range (VPR) for identifying Points of Interest (POIs) - Price range (PR) tool, to project the peak from the hypothetical bottom - Measurement of days between halving events and peaks - Measurement of days between peaks - The symmetrical parallel channel , ( Green and Red lines ) derived from previous highs and lows, linking them enabled the projection of a clear symmetrical parallel channel into the future, this channel has proven to be highly predictive of price movements, whenever the price reached the channel's boundaries, it consistently signaled reversals or marked the cyclical highs and lows. As shown by the three green arrows, the price consistently reversed direction upon reaching the lower boundary of the channel. The orange arrow points to the most recent bottom, the initial analysis predicted that the bottom would be reached only in January 2023, with a price somewhere between $10K and $1​2K, which did not materialize, in fact, the bottom was reached in December 2022​ a month early, with the price hitting a low of $15K, a slight deviation from the projection." - Volume Price Range (VPR) ( Combined yellow and blue bar projection )​ was employed to identify Points of Interest (POIs) by connecting reversal bottoms to peaks, then red rectangles were projected on the chart to align with these bottoms, indicating potential reversal zones for BTC. Both projections (Red Rectangles ) accurately predicted a reversal in this zone, whatever in the recent bearish cycle, the exact reversal point was slightly higher than anticipated VPR indicators remain a valuable tool for forecasting future price movements and identifying key areas of interest, and have proven to be reliable tools for identifying potential reversal ​zones. - Price range (PR) tool ( Parallel channel with a white upward projection arrow ), was applied to projected from the December 2022 bottom until it intersected with the upper band ​( Red line ) of the symmetrical channel, a level that historically coincided with cycle peaks. - Measurement of days between halving events and peaks: 2nd Halving on July 2016 to Peak December 2017 +/- 500 days 3rd Halving on May 2020 to Peak November 2021 +/- 500 days 4th Halving on April 2024 to Peak October 2025 +/- 500 days ➡️ Projection ⬅️ The measurement of days between halving events and peaks for the 2nd and 3rd cycles was approximately 500 days, based on the results of the two previous cycles, we observe a potential temporal pattern and correlation between halving events and price peaks. This correlation is reinforced by our projection, we forecast the peak of the 4th cycle to be around October 2025, occurring roughly 500 days after the halving (16-17 Months ). Measurement of days between peaks we started by measuring from the December 2017 peak to the November 2021 peak and found that it took 47 months (approximately 1430 days) to reach a new peak, with a price increase of 250% We then measured the duration from the latest BTC peak in November 2021 to October 2025 which was the month that coincided with our projection of a new peak. Remarkably, we discovered that this period was identical to the previous cycle at exactly 47 months. Intrigued and Astonished, we decided to copy and paste the measurements ( Blue Rectangle ) from the previous cycle and were stunned, the range was exactly the same 47 months and approximately 130 days. And when we thought nothing could surprise us more, to our further amazement, the price increase was a striking 250% the same as before. This uncanny correlation is truly astonishing. What a heel, what is this? CONCLUSION The remarkable accuracy of the December 12, 2022 projection underscores the robustness and reliability of the multifaceted analytical approach employed. Multiple coinciding patterns and consistent correlations have converged to validate the forecast, enhancing its credibility significantly. Symmetrical Parallel Channel: The use of green and red lines to establish a symmetrical parallel channel accurately anticipated price reversals at the channel boundaries. The consistent directional changes upon reaching these boundaries highlight the channel’s effectiveness in signaling cyclical highs and lows. Volume Price Range (VPR): [ By identifying Points of Interest (POIs) through the combination of yellow and blue bars, the VPR method successfully pinpointed reversal zones. The alignment of red rectangles with these zones accurately forecasted price reversals, reinforcing the tool’s reliability in predicting key market movements. Price Range (PR) Tool: The projection of the peak from the hypothetical bottom using the PR tool intersected precisely with the upper band of the symmetrical channel. This intersection historically aligns with cycle peaks, further validating the projection model. Halving Events and Peak Correlation: The consistent interval of approximately 500 days between halving events and subsequent peaks across multiple cycles reveals a strong temporal pattern. Projecting this correlation forward suggests a peak around October 2025, maintaining the established 16-17 month post-halving window. Measurement of Days Between Peaks: The identical duration of 47 months (approximately 1430 days) between consecutive peaks, along with a consistent 250% price increase, showcases a compelling cyclical pattern. The replication of these measurements in the current cycle with precise alignment adds to the projection’s accuracy. The convergence of these diverse analytical methods​ each independently demonstrating high predictive accuracy​ creates a compelling case for the projection’s validity. The alignment of historical patterns, consistent temporal correlations, and the successful anticipation of recent market movements collectively inspire strong confidence in the forecast. Projection: Given the synchronized alignment of these multiple indicators and patterns, it is highly plausible that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach approximately $250K by October 2025. This projection not only aligns with historical trends but also exemplifies the power of comprehensive, multifaceted analysis in accurately forecasting cryptocurrency market movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by The_One_Trader_
Breaking: Riot Platforms' $500M BTC Buy Sparks Rally to $101KIn a landmark move, Bitcoin mining giant Riot Platforms has catalyzed a fresh surge in Bitcoin’s price by purchasing over $500 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC within two days. This acquisition underscores the growing trend of institutional Bitcoin adoption, as more firms strategically bolster their reserves to capitalize on the cryptocurrency’s potential. Riot’s Bold Bet on Bitcoin Between December 10 and 12, Riot Platforms acquired 5,117 BTC at an average price of $99,669 per coin. This significant purchase was funded through the proceeds of a $525 million convertible bond offering. With this addition, Riot’s total Bitcoin holdings have soared to 16,728 BTC, valued at approximately $1.68 billion at current market prices. This purchase aligns with Riot’s broader strategy to lead the institutional charge into Bitcoin accumulation, a move reminiscent of MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to $BTC. Riot’s CEO, Jason Les, emphasized that this initiative bolsters their position as a key player in the Bitcoin ecosystem while highlighting its strategic importance in managing long-term value. Wall Street’s Quiet Bitcoin Race Riot Platforms isn’t alone in this institutional push. MARA Holdings recently invested $1.1 billion to acquire 11,774 BTC, while Australia’s AMP Pension Fund allocated $27 million to Bitcoin as part of its diversified portfolio strategy. These moves signal a subtle competition among institutions to secure Bitcoin, further solidifying its position as a hedge and a valuable reserve asset. Even at the state level, Bitcoin is gaining traction. In Texas, a proposed bill to establish a Bitcoin reserve could pave the way for government-backed cryptocurrency holdings, potentially reshaping fiscal strategies in the U.S. Technical Analysis At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $101,000, up 1.49% over the past 24 hours. The technical indicators suggest room for further growth: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 58, the RSI indicates a balanced market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC neither overbought nor oversold, signaling potential for further upward movement. - Moving Averages: Bitcoin is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing its bullish momentum. - Support Levels: In the event of a correction, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level provides a critical support zone, offering stability for further consolidation. Fundamental Impact This aggressive Bitcoin acquisition by Riot and other firms reflects a paradigm shift in institutional attitudes toward Bitcoin. Riot’s purchase highlights confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value and its ability to serve as a hedge against economic uncertainties. As more firms follow suit, Bitcoin’s status as a mainstream financial asset continues to strengthen. With the $101,000 milestone reclaimed, the question remains: can Bitcoin maintain its momentum and push toward new highs? Conclusion Riot Platforms’ latest acquisition not only reinforces Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” but also showcases the rising institutional interest that underpins its price trajectory. With technical indicators favoring further gains and institutional players driving demand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is poised for an exciting phase in its journey to redefine the financial landscape. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
InDepth analytics for ETH/USD price movementBINANCE:ETHUSDT Exectuive Summary BINANCE:ETHUSDT , as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has exhibited consistent price behavior following Bitcoin (BTC) halvings. Historically, ETH consolidates and takes over 200 days to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH) after each BTC halving event. This report analyzes this trend, providing insights into the possible price trajectory of Ethereum after the April 19, 2024 BTC halving. Key Observations 2016 BTC Halving (July 9, 2016): Consolidation Period: 238 days. Outcome: Ethereum broke past its ATH and experienced a significant price rally. 2020 BTC Halving (May 11, 2020): Consolidation Period: 245 days. Outcome: Ethereum surpassed its previous ATH and continued to gain momentum, reaching new price heights during the 2021 bull market. 2024 BTC Halving (April 19, 2024): Current Status: As of December 13, 2024, 238 days have passed since the BTC halving. Trend Projection: Based on historical data, Ethereum appears poised to break its previous ATH in the coming days or weeks, assuming the pattern holds. Analysis of Key Drivers BTC halvings reduce Bitcoin’s block reward, creating a supply shock that influences the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum, being a correlated asset, often experiences delayed but significant upward price movements post-BTC halvings. Market Sentiment: Historical data suggests a build-up of bullish sentiment following BTC halvings, which trickles into altcoins like Ethereum. Current market trends indicate increased institutional interest in Ethereum due to its staking mechanisms and growing utility. Projections for 2024-2025 If Ethereum follows its historical pattern BINANCE:ETHUSD may surpass its previous ATH in coming days. Risks to Consider Macro-Economic Factors: Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, or regulatory actions could disrupt market trends. Market Liquidity: Declining liquidity could delay Ethereum’s price breakout despite favorable conditions. Unexpected Events: Network-specific issues or technological vulnerabilities may impact price movements. Conclusion Ethereum’s historical post-halving behavior suggests a strong likelihood of price appreciation in the near term. As we approach the critical 245-day mark post the 2024 BTC halving, investors should remain vigilant for potential breakout signals while factoring in broader market dynamics and risks. Recommendations For Traders: Monitor key resistance levels and trading volumes for breakout confirmation. For Long-Term Investors: Consider accumulating during consolidation phases for optimal entry points. For Analysts: Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators and Ethereum’s network activity to validate price movement projections. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers are advised to conduct their own research.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by Adilforgood
Ripple Receives Approval for StablecoinMarket Update - December 13, 2024 Amazon shareholders urge the company to allocate 5% of its reserves to bitcoin:  The proposal highlights bitcoin’s outperformance against traditional assets and echoes similar moves by companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla. Crypto liquidations hit $1.5 billion Monday as bitcoin dipped below $95K:  But the world’s largest cryptocurrency rallied past $101,000 on Wednesday after positive inflation data set the stage for a rate cut next week. Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin secures approval from New York’s financial regulator:  The launch will now proceed with exchange and market-maker partnerships already in place. Hong Kong accelerates crypto licensing as global competition heats up:  Plans include streamlined approvals for crypto trading platforms and new regulation for stablecoins. The Cardano Foundation's X account was hacked, leading to fake announcements about a token and an SEC lawsuit:  The breach triggered significant trading activity and community confusion before being addressed by the Foundation. 🫱 Read more here ➕ Topic of the Week: IPOs, ICOs, and STOs – What’s the Difference?
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term. However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation. Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks): Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high. Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase. Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%. Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months): Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences. Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase. Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jpantsjoha
Momentum GrowingThe crypto industry and Bitcoiners in particular will remember 2024 as a very successful year. That final bastion of TradFi acceptance, ETFs, was taken. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted more than $34 billion in inflows. Bitcoin crossed that big psychological barrier of $100,000 and is now a 6-figure asset. Total crypto market capitalization exceeded a remarkable $3.6 trillion. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has become the most successful ETF ever launched on the market. But as is usual in Crypto, the journey was far from straightforward. Ethereum, and many other Altcoins, lagged behind. Solana paced ahead of other Altcoins and saw more than 300% growth. Memecoins took off. In some parts of the industry, mania took hold. Pump.fun, a platform that enables anyone with a $5 wallet and an idea to create a token in two minutes, saw 4.5 million tokens launched. The Phantom wallet, commonly used for on-the-go memecoin trading, reached top positions in the App store. A particularly low point was reached when Pump.fun temporarily launched a live-streaming feature. When things deteriorated rapidly, pump.fun had to quickly disable the feature. In the last few weeks, momentum accelerated as some of the users who had quit the market with FTX' collapse returned. The prices of 'old' coins such as XRP, Cardano and others, took off. Traders continue to wait for possible pull-backs of BTC to the $80,000-90,000 range. But for now, momentum seems to be building and instead, Bitcoin has ranged above $100k for the longest time so far over the past 24-48 hours. More momentum could be on the way. A very crypto-friendly US administration is coming. US regulatory winds against crypto are likely to shift. All the while, interest rates are likely to drop further, leading to more available liquidity in the market. We all know that History does not repeat but it can rhyme. Bitcoin's price cycles regularly included one year of decline followed by three years of growth. If this trend continues, then 2025 may be the last, and possibly the most explosive year of this bull-cycle. For now at least we can say: momentum is growing.
Long
by Coinrule
BTC Breaks $101,000: BlackRock Advocates 2% Portfolio AllocationBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the world’s leading cryptocurrency, has reclaimed the $101,000 mark, riding a wave of institutional endorsements and bullish technical indicators. A groundbreaking paper from BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in diversified portfolios, suggesting a 1% to 2% allocation as a “reasonable range.” This development comes as Bitcoin surges amid macroeconomic and political tailwinds. BlackRock’s Strategic Endorsement BlackRock’s latest report emphasizes Bitcoin’s place in multi-asset portfolios, comparing its risk profile to the "Magnificent Seven" technology stocks in a 60/40 stocks-and-bonds portfolio. While cautioning against exceeding a 2% allocation due to increased portfolio risk, BlackRock’s endorsement underscores the asset’s growing legitimacy. According to Samara Cohen, BlackRock’s CIO of ETF and Index Investments, “A Bitcoin allocation would provide a diverse source of risk, while overweighting tech stocks amplifies portfolio concentration.” The paper also notes Bitcoin’s low correlation with traditional assets, albeit with significant volatility. Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Rally Bitcoin’s recent surge is bolstered by multiple factors: - Political Support: President-elect Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance and his appointments of blockchain-friendly officials have revitalized market confidence. - ETF Adoption: The January 2024 launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a game-changer. These funds have amassed over $113 billion in assets, with $10 billion inflows recorded since Trump’s victory in November. - Institutional Interest: With BlackRock’s IBIT leading the pack, institutional adoption is seen as a harbinger of reduced volatility and enhanced legitimacy. However, BlackRock’s report tempers optimism by pointing out Bitcoin’s historically sharp drawdowns, ranging from 70% to 80%. While wider adoption could stabilize prices, it may also curtail the dramatic gains that attract speculative investors. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Trajectory? Bitcoin’s technical indicators signal potential bullish momentum as it consolidates above $100,000. Here’s a closer look: - Current Price Movement: Bitcoin is up 0.41% at the time of writing, showing resilience after a dip to $96,000 during a selling spree. - Key Resistance Levels: A breakout above the $115,000 pivot could ignite a bullish rally, potentially driving prices to $150,000 by Christmas. - Support Zones: Should consolidation persist, support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, coinciding with $95,000. - Market Sentiment: Bitcoin’s year-to-date growth of 140% underscores robust investor confidence, despite its inherent volatility. Balancing Risk and Reward The BlackRock report advises adopting a “risk budgeting” approach to Bitcoin investments, particularly given its outsized impact on total portfolio risk. While Bitcoin’s low correlation to traditional assets adds diversification, its volatility demands cautious sizing. For investors eyeing Bitcoin’s potential to reach $150,000, the strategy should account for key risk factors, including possible retracements and the evolving regulatory landscape. As institutional adoption grows, Bitcoin could mature into a less volatile but equally vital component of diversified portfolios. Conclusion Bitcoin’s ascent past $101,000, coupled with BlackRock’s ringing endorsement, marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market. As 2024 draws to a close, Bitcoin remains a high-reward, high-risk asset poised to redefine portfolio strategies. With technical and fundamental indicators aligning, investors are watching closely—whether for the next breakout or the next buying opportunity at key support levels. Will Bitcoin’s rally extend to new heights, or will its infamous volatility temper the excitement? Only time will tell, but the stage is undoubtedly set for an electrifying finish to the year.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BTCUSD - Possible sells?Here is our signal on BTCUSD . Potential short opportunity. As the price on BTCUSD is moving in a “range” we could take this into our advantage and sell BTCUSD at the top of it. With smaller time-frames such as m15 we can see a clear break of the 100k support zone. We can enter into safe sells and target at around 98k. Our entry is sitting at the break of the support zone at 100296 . Our SL (Stop Loss) is sitting at 101273 while our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 98276 . PARAMETERS - Entry: 100296 - SL: 101273 - TP: 98276 KEY NOTES - BTCUSD broke the support zone on m15. - BTCUSD is trading in a range. - We are at the top of the range. Happy trading! FxPocket
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FxPocket