17 year experienced trader talks about BITCOINMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and just want to share my thoughts on Bitcoin. This is a very important video and should be watched carefully.
Bitcoin is getting to the end of the consolidation and very close to a move.
Any questions please hit me up
Bitcoinprice
where is best buy of BTC ???? hi im msnp follow me and boost this idea
BINANCE:BTCUSDT forming LH and LL from 13 march until now
we are in a bear channel and losing momentum and forming a head and shoulder
what do you think? you want stay in until market gets to 50 or 48K ?
look at 2021 and think how much market can fall (68k to 15K)
i expect a down trend don't fight with trend...
send me any altcoin name to analysis
follow me
bosst this idea
The Bullrun is imminent.Evening folks. Mastershark here . Market specially altcoins ugly but we are getting to the end of red days very quickly. As you see we’re in a descending channel, right now we still holding monthly support ( which I indicated in orange) and we’re holding super trend in daily , this situation is very reminiscent of 25 k , some other factors help get to decide that this is the bottom and I upload two charts of usdt tonight .
There is total charts and dominances as well if you scroll through my analysis. In my opinion bullrun is very close and can start in very moment ( middle support of the pitch fork ) or in the worst case bottom of the channel which is unlikely based on the altcoins situation.
Stay safe fam
There will be more bull season? #Bitcoin 3M chart#Bitcoin 3M chart;
Bitcoin chart in its simplest and broadest form. 3 months.
What do you see?
Let me make my own interpretation first, then share your thoughts.
In 2022, it went to the IMB region, took its support and made its current peak.
The breakout was MSS because it closed above it while doing so. This is an uptrend signal.
And again it visited the IMB zone for support.
This candle is a June candle, so the next candle opening will be in October.
I hope this is clear enough for those who say there will be no more bulls.
$BTC Update - Can bitcoin price touch $100-150K milestone?I have already shared bitcoin fundamental confirmations on X.
Here are some technical confirmations related to bitcoin 👇
1. Major Bull flag pattern!
2. Big supply at $68K-58K has been succesfully flipped.
3. Hash Ribbon Buy signal!
4. Pi Cycle indicates BTC is yet to form a cycle top!
5. Weekly 50, 100, 200 EMA as support!
6. NO weekly or monthly RSI bearish divergence.
Monthly RSI has not yet touched 85-90.
7. Binance funding rates turned negative for the first time since September 2023.
IF YOU LIKE THIS UPDATE, PLEASE BOOST & FOLLOW. THANKS.
$DJI <> Rate CutsRetail investors often mistakenly believe rate cuts are bullish and will profit, but history suggests otherwise. In the last two decades, we have witnessed three major rate-cutting events that occurred a few months before market peaks, each followed by 40%+ corrections. We have observed similar patterns with retail investors becoming bullish as rate cuts are announced. Markets typically become euphoric for a few months, with retail investors buying at the top, only to experience major drops shortly after.
$RUT <> $BTCDespite popular belief that Bitcoin operates independently, it closely mirrors the Russell 2000 index during risk-on market periods. Both assets show strong correlation, attracting investors seeking higher returns in optimistic economic conditions. This parallel movement reveals Bitcoin's growing alignment with broader market risk sentiment, though it typically exhibits more extreme volatility.
September News:
-Fri, Sep 6th Unemployment Rate & Labor Force Data
-Wed, Sep 11th Consumer Price Index (CPI)
-Wed, Sep 18th FOMC Meeting (Rate Cuts)
BTC Higher Timeframe Outlook 70k Next -> Then 32kIn this video, I break down the market from a top-down perspective, analyzing from higher timeframes down to lower timeframes. I carefully frame key Points of Interest (POIs) to help identify potential trading opportunities.
Additionally, I share a specific short-term trade idea with detailed entry, exit, and risk management strategies. My first target is set at 70k, followed by 32k, and I explain the reasoning behind these levels. Watch to get a clear understanding of the current market structure and actionable insights for your trading journey.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 30, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The "Primary Squeeze" of Bitcoin has experienced a significant drop to our Mean Support levels at 62700 and 60300, and it currently hovers just above the critical Mean Support level at 57600. Currently, the cryptocurrency is positioned for further upward movement, with the primary target being a retest of the completed Interim Coin Rally marked at 64900. It is noteworthy that the selling pressure at this level may lead to a decline in the coin's price towards the Key Support level at 54000.
ETH 1H🔍 ETH/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉
The ETH/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it is crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 24, 2024, 21:00, August 25, 2024, 21:00, August 28, 2024, 12:00 - Red Lines: These times mark potential local peaks. Traders might consider these as moments to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 22, 2024, 21:00, August 25, 2024, 05:00, August 26, 2024, 15:00, August 29, 2024, 15:00 - Green Lines: These times indicate potential local lows, providing favorable conditions for accumulating ETH or entering long positions.
When working with this 1-hour timeframe, keep in mind that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, considering higher timeframes to better grasp the overall market trend.
For short-term, intraday, or scalp trades, consider analyzing lower timeframes.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
Even if This Isn't Distribution, Consolidation Could Take MonthsJust popping in for a quick Bitcoin update. Though cycle proponents will be quick to point out that Bitcoin is way ahead of where it "should" be, price wise compared with previous cycles, it's still struggling to maintain a new all-time high despite supposed institutional interest. People who have been in the market for years are starting to want out, expressing the sentiment that this is going to be their "last cycle." Meanwhile, stocks are significantly up since their last all-time high and some high-performers like Nvidia have well outperformed Bitcoin over the last few years. Bitcoin's price currently looks like consolidation after an explosive move up from the bear market lows near $15.5k. It's taking so long that price is beginning to drift below all the major daily moving averages. Ethereum is really looking quite weak, having retraced all of this year's gains and broken below a major long term trendline.
On my Bitcoin chart, price is hanging out below the large broadening support, dating back to fall 2022, now almost two years ago. It's below all the major daily moving averages, representing current weakness. Seller volume remains generally high in this range.
I drew a secondary trendline and another broadening pattern, this one pointing down. Historically, this can be a bullish pattern. Even if it is, there appears to be plenty of room structurally for more sideways movement into the fall. The pattern comes to completion by the end of the year. This is an example of what I'm thinking, for bullish and bearish options:
Bulls hope that consolidation this long produces a major move up, perhaps all the way to $300K + and to the top of the broadening pattern. This sounds crazy, but it's roughly the same magnitude of price increase as the last bull marker. Though, due to diminishing returns, this does really seem unlikely. Of course, this is a lot of foo-foo guesswork, but understanding charts visually has always been how I like to roll. Fundamentals are then also important.
On the bearish side, a breakdown from these patterns could easily send prices back below $40k. Let's see how things play out! I'm still betting on crypto largely becoming a forgotten "industry" due to lack of authentic utility and therefore little fundamental value. Even though ETFs exist, ETFs exist for many things. I don't think investors are necessarily prepared for the slow fade, where Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remain niche and their value starts to decline over time. I'll easily be proven wrong if prices sustain new all-time highs.
Thanks for reading! I'll provide updates when I can. This is clearly speculative and not meant as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
#Bitcoin to US Narrow Money Supply (M1) ratio 1W chart;#Bitcoin to US Narrow Money Supply (M1) ratio 1W chart;
I suggest you read it to the end.
This type of chart is used to understand how much Bitcoin has gained or lost in value relative to the Narrow Money Supply in the US.
In the chart, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin is plotted against the US Narrow Money Supply (M1). M1 includes money in circulation (cash) and demand deposits at banks. This type of ratio can help to understand how valuable Bitcoin is in the macroeconomic environment.
In a nutshell;
If the chart is rising : Bitcoin is rising.
If the chart is falling : The US money supply is increasing.
If the US money supply increases and Bitcoin's market capitalization remains the same, then the chart will fall again. It means that Bitcoin is losing value against the US dollar.
In short, we need to look more carefully at what is causing the decline.
When does the US Narrow Money Supply (M1) appreciate?
- Raising interest rates
- Economic empowerment
- Liquidity reduction
The first 2 points above are not hard to guess, but let's elaborate on point 3;
The FED may implement monetary tightening policies to reduce the amount of dollars in the market. In this case, the money supply may contract and the value of the dollar may rise. This is called illiquidity.
To summarize;
An appreciation of the US money supply often puts pressure on risky assets such as Bitcoin and can depress their prices.
There are also important historical notes above the chart
The white trend line is important . Because every time it comes here, we see that it experiences strong price movements with important news.
Therefore, it may be necessary to follow the agenda closely when it comes to this trend line again.
BTC FINISHING its 2024 BULL RUN / 2025 CRASH🔍 BTC/USDT Analysis: Weekly Timeframe 📉
The BTC/USDT chart on a weekly timeframe highlights significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. These should be analyzed in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
• September 2, 2024 - Green Line: This date marks a potential local low, providing favorable conditions for accumulating BTC or entering long positions.
• January 13, 2025 - Red Line: This date signals a potential local peak. Traders might consider this as a moment to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
When working with this weekly timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering even higher timeframes for a more global perspective.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few days. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
WAITING FOR A BIG CRASH
BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Bearish Confirmation? Oops!Like Ive mentioned in my previous BTC analysis, that $61,500 was critical zone and if it drops below that level, we will see further downward movement and this is exactly how it turned out.
The SHORT position targets are marked on the chart using the Risological swing trader.
Stay safe and all the best.
Bitcoin price analysisBTC had been in an upward trajectory as the previous week drew to a close, rising by 3.50% on Wednesday before a slight drop on Thursday as the 50-day SMA came into play, allowing sellers to push BTC down by just over 1%. However, bulls took control on Friday, with BTC registering an increase of 5.97%, pushing above the 50- and 200-day SMAs to settle at $64,032. In fact, BTC reached a day high of $65,054, but sellers pushed the price back below $65,000, a level they were expected to defend vigorously.
The weekend saw buyers and sellers struggle to take control, with BTC only managing a marginal increase on Saturday. Sunday saw buyers attempt another push towards $65,000 while sellers tried to drive the price below the 200-day SMA. However, neither could establish control, and BTC remained at $64,085. The current week began with BTC dipping below the 200-day SMA after a 1.85% drop as sellers tightened their grip on the market. As a result, BTC dropped to $62,903. Bearish sentiment intensified on Tuesday as markets crashed, with BTC dropping by 5.40% to slip below the 50 and 20-day SMAs and the $60,000 price level to $59,506. The current session sees BTC remain in the red, down by 0.50%, as sellers look to drive the price lower.
With Tuesday’s reversal, sellers have established control in the market, with any move above $64,000 ruled out for the time being. With September historically being a difficult month for BTC, it could drop further should sellers remain in control. Buyers will attempt to regroup and reclaim the $60,000 level, which is crucial to resume a push back above the moving averages and move towards $64,000. Should sellers continue to dominate, BTC could drop to the $58,000 support level.
Phemex Analysis #17: BTC 10% Dip - A Buy or A Sell?The cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant shake-up in recent days, with PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P , the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, suffering a 10% decline. This sharp drop has ignited widespread speculation and uncertainty among investors, prompting questions about the future trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
Is this a temporary setback, a much-needed correction before a renewed bullish run, or a harbinger of a more prolonged downtrend? To navigate this volatile landscape and make informed trading decisions, it is essential to carefully analyze various potential scenarios and factors influencing Bitcoin's price movement.
Potential Scenarios and Trading Strategies:
1. Small Retracement.
Bullish Signal: If Bitcoin forms a higher low above the previous low of $50,000 (or preferably $56,000) and bounces back with high volume, it could signal a bullish trend.
Trading Strategy: Consider buying the dip as a potential opportunity.
2. Bearish Drop.
Bearish Signal: If the price continues to drop sharply below $56,000 and even $50,000, it could indicate a bearish trend.
Trading Strategy: Look out for support levels like $41,500, as a price reversal might present a buying opportunity.
3. Consolidation and Bullish Rise.
Scenario: Bitcoin might undergo an extended consolidation period to accumulate buying power.
Bullish Signal: If the price breaks through $65,000 with high volume, it could signal a bullish trend.
Trading Strategy: Consider entering the market to ride the bullish wave.
Conclusion.
The recent 10% drop in Bitcoin's price has sparked uncertainty among investors. While it's impossible to predict the market with absolute certainty, analyzing potential scenarios and key factors can help you make informed trading decisions. Whether Bitcoin is experiencing a temporary setback or a more significant shift in trend depends on various factors, including market sentiment, technical indicators, and macroeconomic conditions.
By carefully considering these elements and implementing sound risk management strategies, you can navigate the volatile cryptocurrency market and potentially capitalize on both bullish and bearish trends.
Exciting Update on Phemex:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin's local perspective 26.08.24Overall, nothing is happening globally, we have been trading within the MDB of May 21 and we continue to do so - the market has been particularly boring for the last two weeks😐
As for the local outlook, either through liquidity removal around the $65,300 level, or immediately - it makes sense to expect #BTC to drop to the $62,581 and $61,646 levels, where we will try to gain a small position on the rebound.
BTC soon breakout?Hello traders!
Here's a quick update on BTC. My thoughts remain the same—it's likely that we'll see growth soon.
The reasons are:
1) Bears are quite weak.
2) According to wave patterns and the flag, we're moving toward the top.
3) Historically, autumn has shown upward movements.
IMPORTANT! Always follow your risk management strategy. Don’t risk more than 5%. Happy trading!