Post Election Bitcoin and Crypto Market UpdateThis is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets.
Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly.
Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time...
But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support.
Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows.
In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull.
Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013.
As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout.
Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything!
Brett
Bitcoinprice
BTC 3 MONTHS LONG Starts, this week?Waiting for a last impulse 140 ds/3 months on INDEX:BTCUSD BITCOIN, this week could the 3 months BTC LONG START . Why? Let´s see:
- Channel with 4 elliot waves done. Looking for Wave 5.
- RSI 3D breaking out, like 1 year ago.
- RSI W Just about to Break out, like 1 year ago. Looking for confirmation.
- Rate Cuts this week, lets see.
www.tradingview.com INDEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin BTC Forecast: Trump Wins, What’s Next for Crypto?Hello, Skyrexians!
Earlier this year we made the predictions for Bitcoin and Ethereum. We assumed that price has finished the wave 4 for Bitcoin and wave 2 for Ethereum. Here you can find predictions:
Today it looks like our forecasts are playing great. Trump won the elections in USA and cryptocurrency showed us the significant growth in one day. Bitcoin was even able to set the new ATH, some altcoins are also feel good. In today's article we are going to discuss if Trump really triggered new wave of bull run, or this is just a fake pump and soon we will see huge crash.
Navigating Bitcoin bull run: where is the final target
First of all let's take a look at the entire bull run which started at $15k. We can see on the chart below the beautiful impulsive wave.
This bull run shall consists of 5 Elliott waves. Maximum Awesome Oscillator value corresponds to the wave 3. Then we have seen the corrective wave 4 to 0.5 Fibonacci level. Look at this perfect touch! Do you remember the panic on the market on August 5? But we were sure that this is the end of dump. Awesome Oscillator crossed zero line also at this period of time. It was the early indiction that all this annoying correction is almost done. Then we saw the growth with the new ATH for Bitcoin.
Now price is printing the wave 5. Where is the target? Using our methods we predict the finish of bull run in the range between $85k and $107k. If you noticed - targets are unchanged! So, we suppose that bull run for BINANCE:BTCUSDT is almost over. It will continue climbing up on this optimism, but not so far. Now let's try to understand more global price action.
Bitcoin's Unstoppable: The next U.S. President won't matter!+67%COINBASE:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT
🚀 Bitcoin’s Unstoppable: The next U.S. President won’t matter! +67% Potential! 🚀
In this video GEM, we dive deep into Bitcoin: Private Link below breakdown!
Disclaimer: The video is long, but it is thorough and informative. Worth a full watch, IMO!
1️⃣ A detailed look at the "High Five Setup" with MASSIVE Multi-Year Cup & Handle and Bull Flag Patterns.
2️⃣ A historical review of CRYPTOCAP:BTC to uncover the characteristics of TOPS and BOTTOMS. Spoiler: We haven’t TOPPED yet!
3️⃣ Potential trade insights, including entry/exit points and price targets.
PRIVATE LINK TO TV VIDEO:
Drop your 2025 Bitcoin predictions in the comments below!
LIKE | FOLLOW | SHARE
STAY TUNED 🔔
Not financial advice.
BTC Reaches New All-Time High as U.S. Election Excitement SpikesBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has surged to record-breaking highs, exceeding the $73,800 mark on November 6, driven by growing excitement surrounding the U.S. presidential election. The cryptocurrency experienced a robust 8.63% gain over the past 24 hours, briefly touching $75,011.06, as per CoinMarketCap data. This rally marks a pivotal moment for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), reflecting both fundamental shifts and robust technical momentum.
Election-Driven Momentum and Investor Sentiment
The U.S. election has played a significant role in this surge, with Bitcoin’s price mirroring heightened market anticipation. During early New York trading hours, CRYPTOCAP:BTC climbed more than 3%, hitting $70,577. We attribute this performance to political forecasts, many of which favor Republican candidate Donald Trump. On decentralized prediction platforms like Polymarket, Trump's odds of victory surged past 60%, driving speculative interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Investor sentiment also appears split amid this rally. Prediction markets have become a focal point for traders eyeing short-term price shifts, and a boost in Trump’s winning odds correlated directly with Bitcoin's breach of the $70,000 threshold. However, uncertainty persists: major Bitcoin spot ETFs, including Fidelity and Ark Invest, have seen outflows totaling $541.1 million, while BlackRock's IBIT ETF stood out with $38.3 million in inflows.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) exhibits strong upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 67.76, indicating that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is nearing overbought territory but still has room for further gains before reaching extreme levels. Moreover, a bullish crossover has occurred: the 9-day moving average has risen above the 21-day moving average, signaling sustained bullish sentiment.
Support levels also highlight the strength of Bitcoin's price action. BTC’s current support at $69,000 has been tested multiple times, acting as a reliable floor for price movements. If Bitcoin were to pull back, analysts identify $64,000 as the next critical support level. On the upside, resistance at $75,000 is significant, but breaking past this barrier could propel CRYPTOCAP:BTC to a target range between $80,000 and $85,000, setting new benchmarks for price stability.
Fundamental Factors: Halving and ETF Developments
Bitcoin’s impressive rally builds on fundamental developments, including the April 2024 halving, when mining rewards were reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. Historically, halvings have constrained Bitcoin's supply, often triggering significant price appreciation. This year’s halving has once again underscored Bitcoin's deflationary nature, contributing to its ongoing seven-month upward trend.
Additionally, the emergence of U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs has catalyzed further interest in the cryptocurrency market. Since their debut in January, these ETFs have amassed over $450 billion in daily trading volume, with inflows reaching $22.5 billion in 2024. Nevertheless, ETF performance has shown mixed signals. Notably, on November 5, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows of $72.67 million, marking a three-day streak. Fidelity’s FTBC ETF recorded a substantial single-day outflow of $68.24 million, suggesting some investors remain cautious.
Options Market Insights and Leverage Risks
The options market reveals bullish sentiment for key November dates, with many traders targeting price levels between $72,000 and $75,000. However, caution is also evident, as one trader placed $64,000 worth of put options, hedging against potential downside risk. The stakes are high, as CoinGlass data indicates a price drop below $68,000 could liquidate roughly $484 million in long positions. Conversely, a breakout above current levels may trigger forced liquidations of $215 million in short positions, underscoring the volatility driven by leveraged trading.
Leverage plays a crucial role in Bitcoin's market dynamics. Should BTC’s price move sharply, liquidation cascades could amplify price swings, heightening market turbulence. This setup remains a double-edged sword, promising either rapid gains or significant losses for traders.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's ascent past $75,000 showcases its resilience as a digital asset, bolstered by election-driven sentiment, favorable technical indicators, and a foundation of growing institutional adoption. While uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election outcome and ETF flows present risks, Bitcoin’s robust support levels and bullish momentum signal a promising outlook. As market participants watch for the next breakout, CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains a focal point in the ever-evolving digital economy.
$COINBASE as BTC going UP! 3 targets, let´s see.To continue with my theory, Q4 is from the Cryptos.
Q2 and Q3 were stocks, but now is the Crypto moment, and the stocks that will do well in my view are from this sector.
In the case of NASDAQ:COIN we have a Breakout on the Daily RSI, about to do so on the weekly, which would give a confirmation. And we need to break the 200 MA for another confirmation.
So:
Confirmation 1 Breakout MA 200.
Confirmation 2 Breakout RSI weekly.
Stop Loss: At $154.
Targets:
T1: $255.78
T2: $317.92
T3: $399.04
Maximum 5% of the portfolio.
BTC conclusionAnalysis by Ahmadarz📊
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone:
- 🛡️ A significant support zone is marked around 48,987.22, which has been tested multiple times as indicated by the green arrows.
- 📈 The price has recently bounced from this support, suggesting strong buying interest in this area.
2. Resistance Levels:
- 🚧 Multiple resistance levels are identified at 58,312.00, 62,497.20 - 62,454.00, 68,067.36, 71,773.98, and 76,514.94.
- ❌ These levels are marked with red arrows and have historically acted as barriers to upward movement.
3. Chart Patterns:
- 📉 A descending triangle pattern is evident, typically a bearish pattern. However, the price has broken below the triangle but then recovered, indicating potential bullish momentum.
- 🔄 The chart suggests a possible bullish reversal, with the price projected to move upward after holding above the support zone.
4. Price Action:
- 💹 The current price is 55,530.01, showing a recent recovery from the lows.
- 📊 There is a marked projection showing a potential upward move towards 76,514.94, passing through intermediate resistance levels.
Detailed Analysis:
- Bullish Scenario 📈:
- 🟢 If the support at 48,987.22 holds, the price could see a gradual move upwards.
- 🎯 Immediate targets would be the resistance levels at 58,312.00 and 62,497.20 - 62,454.00.
- 🚀 A successful break above these levels could lead to further upside towards 68,067.36 and beyond.
- Bearish Scenario 📉:
- 🔴 If the price fails to hold the support at 48,987.22, we might see a retest of lower levels, potentially around 43,103.08 or even lower.
- ⚠️ Failure to maintain above this critical support could indicate continued bearish pressure.
Trading Strategy:
1. Entry 🛒:
- Consider entering long positions near the support zone of 48,987.22 with a stop loss slightly below this level.
- Alternatively, wait for a confirmed break above the immediate resistance at 58,312.00 before entering a position.
2. Targets 🎯:
- Initial targets would be the resistance levels at 58,312.00 and 62,497.20 - 62,454.00.
- Extended targets could be 68,067.36 , 71,773.98, and ultimately 76,514.94.
3. Stop Loss🛡️:
- Place stop-loss orders below the support zone at 48,987.22 to manage risk.
Conclusion:
📊 The chart suggests potential bullish momentum if key support levels hold, with several upside targets. However, traders should remain cautious and watch for any signs of weakness at the support levels. External factors and market sentiment should also be considered in conjunction with this technical analysis. 🚀📉💡
BITCOIN's Meteoric Rise Targets New Highs – Massive Gains AwaitBITCOIN Analysis:
Bitcoin (BTC) has continued its upward trajectory, hitting initial targets TP1 and TP2, with TP3 and TP4 in sight. This bullish momentum aligns with recent market developments, showing signs of further growth potential.
Key Highlights:
Price Action : BTC has breached significant resistance levels, marking strong bullish activity on the 1D timeframe.
Targets Remaining: With TP1 ($68,220.2) and TP2 ($73,980.5) already achieved, Bitcoin's bullish push looks set to challenge TP3 ($79,740.9) and TP4 ($83,300.7).
Supporting Factors:
Market Cap Surge : Bitcoin’s market cap returned to the top 10 global assets, driven by a recent spike to $75K.
Liquidation Event : A single trader was liquidated for $75M on Binance during Bitcoin's latest surge, highlighting heightened market interest and volatility.
Technical Indicators:
The Risological Dotted Trendline shows a strong upward inclination, adding to the bullish outlook. If BTC continues on this path, TP3 and TP4 could be within reach soon.
This setup signals promising profit opportunities as Bitcoin continues to capture massive interest worldwide. Keep an eye on the remaining targets as BTC pushes towards new potential highs.
BTC Poised for a Breakout: Will Bulls or Bears Take Control?hello guys.
let's analyze BTC
Ascending Channel: BTC is trending within an upward channel, with a broken resistance line acting as support, indicating a bullish trend.
Scenarios Outlined:
Scenario 1 (Bullish): BTC could continue its upward movement, aiming for $74,000 and potentially $76,000 if momentum holds. This scenario suggests a strong rally after breaking through resistance levels.
Scenario 2 (Pullback): BTC may pull back to retest the $66,000–$67,000 range, which would be a healthy correction within the trend. This level could provide a solid support base before the next upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Around $66,000, where Scenario 2 will likely play out if a correction occurs.
Resistance Zone: Between $74,000 and $76,000, a potential target for a bullish continuation.
In summary, BTC is currently at a decision point. A breakout above the $74,000–$76,000 zone could lead to a sustained rally, while a retest of the $66,000 support could provide a better entry for bulls. Watch closely for price action at these levels!
BTC/USD | We could possibly see new highs before this year ends!We've seen former US President Trump used Bitcoin to pay for the food and drinks of patrons who attended the crypto-themed bar in New York. I guess this unique situation speaks for itself.
If he will get re-elected, be ready for another breath taking crypto rally.
But honestly here's my opinion, inflation is the greatest enemy of fiat currency because of the unlimited supply thus fiat currency loses its value as time passed and since BTC is limited, I think Bitcoin will be the safest storage of wealth in the future. Unlike Gold, you can bring your Bitcoin in any part of the world.
BITCOIN HEADING HIGHER! BUCKLE UP!!!COINBASE:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT
🚀BITCOIN HEADING HIGHER! BUCKLE UP!!! 🚀
Bitcoin is unstoppable, and the next U.S. President won’t change that! 🌟 +67% Potential!
In our previous video, we did a deep dive into Bitcoin. Here's what we covered:
1️⃣ High Five Setup: MASSIVE Multi-Year Cup & Handle and Bull Flag Patterns.
2️⃣ Historical Review: CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops and bottoms – spoiler: we haven’t topped yet!
3️⃣ Trade Insights: Entry/exit points and price targets.
We've successfully bounced off the BULL FLAG retest area and are heading higher. Breaking $74k could mean a breakout of the multi-year cup n handle pattern, targeting over $100k! 🚀
It's early on election night, but in the long run, it doesn't matter for Bitcoin. Don’t believe the FUD.
NFA
#Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingStrategy #HighFiveSetup
Bitcoin and Crypto US Election Day Forecast and Bullish TargetsHi everyone,
In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here...
I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks...
We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle...
But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster.
We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP!
I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust.
This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy.
If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more.
But we're not here to talk about politics!
It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters.
I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news".
Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k.
And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k.
I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios.
Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world!
I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown.
Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use.
Brett Fogle
Moonstream Crypto
Bitcoin is volatile#bitcoin #btc is trying to break the falling channel just before the elections results. CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has tested 4H ichimoku span resistance zone and for now just declined there. Further declinations will weaken the structure. Very volatile few days we' ll see. Avoid high leverage positions and take care for your funds. Just a friendly reminder.
All-Time High Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Future Bitcoin's mining difficulty has recently reached a new all-time high, a significant milestone that underscores the network's growing security and resilience. This metric, which adjusts every 2016 blocks to maintain a consistent block generation time of approximately 10 minutes, reflects the increasing computational power dedicated to securing the Bitcoin network.
What Does Increased Mining Difficulty Mean?
• Enhanced Network Security: A higher mining difficulty implies that it becomes increasingly challenging for malicious actors to launch attacks like 51% attacks. This strengthens the network's security and protects its integrity.
• Increased Energy Consumption: As more miners join the network to compete for block rewards, energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining tends to rise. This has sparked debates about the environmental impact of the network.
• Price Volatility: Increased mining difficulty can influence Bitcoin's price volatility. A surge in mining difficulty may lead to price fluctuations as miners adjust their operations to maintain profitability.
Bitcoin Open Interest Surges Ahead of Elections
In the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election, Bitcoin's open interest has seen a significant uptick. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts on a particular asset. A rising open interest indicates increased market activity and potential for heightened price volatility.
Bitcoin Breaks Above $70K
Bitcoin's recent surge above the $70,000 mark has generated considerable excitement and speculation. This milestone highlights the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. However, it's important to note that such rapid price movements can be accompanied by periods of volatility.
"Calm Before the Storm": Anticipating Volatility
The term "calm before the storm" is often used to describe a period of relative tranquility before a significant event. In the context of Bitcoin, it suggests that the current period of relative price stability may precede a period of increased volatility.
Several factors could contribute to this anticipated volatility:
• Election Uncertainty: The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
• Regulatory Developments: Changes in regulatory policies can influence the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
• Market Sentiment: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news events, social media trends, or economic indicators, can lead to rapid price fluctuations.
Navigating the Volatile Market
Given the potential for increased volatility, investors and traders must adopt a cautious approach. Here are some tips for navigating the volatile Bitcoin market:
• Do Your Research: Stay informed about the latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency market.
• Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across different assets to reduce risk.
• Set Stop-Loss Orders: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
• Manage Your Risk: Avoid overtrading and stick to a well-defined trading strategy.
• Stay Patient: The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility. It's important to maintain a long-term perspective and avoid making impulsive decisions.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's increasing mining difficulty, surging open interest, and recent price surge highlight the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. While the potential for volatility remains, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, driven by its underlying technology and growing institutional adoption.
Bitcoin’s Fate on U.S. Election Day: Predicting Market MovementsAs the world closely watches today’s U.S. presidential election, the crypto market is gearing up for a reaction that could be pivotal for Bitcoin’s future. Historically, U.S. elections have had a positive impact on cryptocurrencies, and many traders are optimistic about Bitcoin's outlook. With two contrasting candidates—one a proponent of crypto and the other leaning towards regulation—the stakes are high for Bitcoin holders and investors alike.
A Trump Win: The Fuel for a Parabolic Bull Run
If Donald Trump, a vocal supporter of cryptocurrency, secures the win, the market is likely to respond with a powerful surge. Trump’s favorable stance on digital assets could inspire confidence among crypto investors, sparking a parabolic bull run that may push Bitcoin past its previous all-time high. Many traders are poised to buy into Bitcoin if Trump’s victory is confirmed, anticipating a rush of institutional and retail investment that could propel prices to unprecedented levels.
A Kamala Win: The Calm Before the Comeback
In contrast, a win for Kamala Harris could trigger an initial wave of panic selling. Harris has shown a more cautious approach toward cryptocurrency, which may incite fear among investors and lead to a sharp pullback. However, it's important to note that strong support zones around $60,000, as indicated in the chart, are expected to buffer any drastic price drops. Despite the potential sell-off, these levels have historically provided resilience and could stabilize Bitcoin, leading to a period of consolidation.
Once the initial shock settles and investors digest the news, the market may start to regain strength. Confidence in Bitcoin’s fundamentals could draw investors back, fueling a renewed push towards the all-time high. While a Kamala win might delay the anticipated bull run, the scenario of Bitcoin falling below critical levels like $50,000 or $40,000 remains highly unlikely.
Caution: Trading Amidst Volatility
For those trading with leverage, today and the coming days present heightened risks. Apart from the election, Thursday’s FOMC meeting will bring the Fed’s Interest Rate Decision, a significant event that could add volatility to an already charged market. It’s essential to tread carefully, as both events could create sudden price swings and impact liquidity.
In conclusion, regardless of who wins, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook appears resilient. A Trump win may bring immediate bullish momentum, while a Kamala win might usher in short-term turbulence but is unlikely to derail Bitcoin’s upward trajectory entirely. Traders and investors should brace for a dynamic week, as Bitcoin prepares to navigate these significant events.
Trade safe everyone,
Cheers!
Bitcoin Faces Rejection at Resistance: Short-Term Downsidehello guys.
Failed Breakout: Bitcoin attempted to break above the resistance zone around $69,400–$69,600 but was unable to sustain the move, indicating a potential lack of buying strength at these levels.
Broken Trendline: The price has already broken below a key ascending trendline, reinforcing the bearish bias in the short term.
Bearish Zone: The shaded pink area represents a strong resistance zone, which Bitcoin struggled to overcome. Sellers defended this zone effectively.
Potential Downside Target: With the rejection at resistance, the price may head toward the support area around $67,963–$67,934, as indicated by the green zone.
Lower High Formation: The lower high structure suggests that the trend could continue downward if the current pattern holds.
Zoom out: Bull Flag Pattern Points to Potential Upside TargetTechnical Overview
The COINBASE:BTCUSD weekly chart suggests a bullish setup, with a Bullish Flag pattern and Descending Broadening Triangle playing out. Current price action shows BTC retesting previous resistance as new support around $67,000.
Support and Resistance:
- Support: The zone at $67,000 serves as immediate support within the flag pattern.
- Resistance: Key resistance lies at Bullish Target 1 ($77,750), which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Outlook:
- Bullish: If BTC holds above $67,000 and breaks through $77,750, a rally towards Bullish Target 2 at $88,000 is plausible, with a long-term target of $112,993.
- Bearish: A breakdown below $67,000 may lead to a retracement toward $60,000 or lower.
Conclusion:
The weekly setup remains bullish if BTC can defend $67,000, with $77,750 and $88,000 as primary upside targets. A decisive breakout could confirm continuation to higher targets.
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion.
Elevated Volatility Expected
Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market.
Political Uncertainty Looms Large
The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors.
Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC.
Historical Trends and Market Sentiment
Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy.
Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart:
1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction.
2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment
Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors.
Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns
Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Incoming – $100k Target!!Bitcoin is forming a bull flag pattern on the daily chart, hinting at a potential breakout that could propel the price towards $100,000. Currently trading at $65,859, Bitcoin is testing the upper boundary of the flag, with multiple rejections seen in previous attempts to break out. This consolidation within a descending channel, following a strong upward trend, suggests a bullish continuation if the breakout is confirmed.
If Bitcoin successfully breaches the flag’s resistance, the measured move from the prior leg indicates a target of $100k. Bull flags are known for signaling a continuation of the prevailing trend, and with Bitcoin’s bullish momentum intact, a breakout could lead to a significant surge. Traders should watch for a clean break above the upper trendline as a confirmation of this setup.