Hey Trading Fam! BTC at a Key Level – Big Moves Coming?Hey trading family, let’s keep this chill and easy to follow. Bitcoin’s sitting at a key spot right now, $91,700. This is where things could get interesting, and we’ve got a few scenarios to watch:
Does $91,700 hold? If it does, we might see BTC slide back down into the $86K-$80K range.
Do we break higher? A push past $91,700 could take us to a solid $94K take profit zone.
What about $99K? If the bulls really show up, BTC could climb even higher, but a correction could follow soon after.
This is where the game gets exciting. What’s your plan if we hold, or if we break? Let’s trade smart and stay ready.
Like, comment, and share this post to help the community grow! Got questions or insights? Send me a DM – I’d love to hear from you.
Mindbloome Trading // Kris
Trade What You See.
Bitcoinprice
BTC sell???📊 Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍 Entry:
Breakout Confirmation: $90,700
A breakout from the symmetrical triangle indicates strong momentum, suggesting a downward trend.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Level: $92,563
Place your stop loss above the breakout point to minimize risk.
🎯 Take Profit:
1️⃣ TP1: $88,959 (First support zone)
2️⃣ TP2: $86,250 (Key demand level)
3️⃣ TP3: $83,505 (Strong historical support)
🧠 Analysis Overview:
The symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour BTCUSDT chart is a classic continuation pattern. With a confirmed breakout, this setup presents a great risk-to-reward ratio.
📉 Additional Notes:
Increased volume during the breakout adds validity to this move.
Monitor RSI for signs of overbought/oversold conditions.
Price action near $88,959 will determine if the trend strengthens or consolidates.
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BTC Top for this cycleI recognized a sort of "pattern" for the ROI of BTC, taking the Halving as a starting point and the cycle top as the end. The ROI seems to be reduced by a factor of 0.22-0.27. For this reason I took the ROI of last cycle, starting from the Halving, and reduced it down to 25%. When I apply it to this cycle, it comes out that the top should be at around 169k.
To be honest, I will sell earlier than that just to reinvest the earnings into something else (Alts if it is Alt Season). Nonetheless, I believe the top is realistic given the circumstances with new institutions coming in and the adoption of BTC and other Cryptocurrencies for institutional portfolios.
BITCOIN ON ITS WAY TO A NEW ALL TIME HIGH! TA + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Price Action:
The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. It suggests that Bitcoin is likely preparing for an upward breakout. The price has been respecting the support trendline (ascending) while testing the resistance level at around $91,700.
There is strong upward momentum, confirmed by the price movement toward the resistance, with higher lows indicating growing buyer interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The indicator shows a bullish divergence (green color), which often suggests that the price is likely to break above resistance, supported by buying momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is currently at 61.77, which is in the neutral zone (neither overbought nor oversold). This suggests that Bitcoin still has room for upward movement before becoming overbought.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic is at 88.21, indicating a potential overbought condition, suggesting that while there may be an upward push, a pullback could follow soon if the price rises too quickly.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The HMA histograms show bullish momentum (green area), which indicates strong upward trends, though the shift to red on lower timeframes suggests caution for short-term corrections.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is showing a value of 51, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure. This suggests that while the market has potential for an upward move, it is still neutral in terms of volume and money flow.
Volume Analysis:
The volume profile shows a buildup of buying activity with the price consolidating near the resistance zone. Volume is steadily increasing, which is usually a positive sign for a breakout.
There is lower volume in the consolidation area, which could indicate a breakout is imminent.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Buy Position: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance level at $92,212 with high volume, consider entering a long position. This breakout could push the price toward the next resistance at $95,000 or higher.
Watch for confirmation with volume spikes and RSI maintaining below 70 to avoid entering when the market is overly extended.
Target Price (Take Profit):
The next immediate resistance levels to target are $95,000 and $102,500. Set partial take profit orders around these levels.
A more aggressive target would be $105,000 (based on the breakout projection).
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support trendline or around $85,000 to mitigate risks in case of a false breakout or price reversal.
For more conservative risk management, a tighter stop loss around $87,500 could be used if the breakout is confirmed with strong volume.
Risk Management:
Use proper risk management, aiming to risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on each trade.
Watch for volatility and unexpected moves, especially considering the high stochastic reading, which might indicate a short-term overbought condition.
Alternative Scenario (If Breakout Fails):
If the price fails to break above resistance and falls back into the consolidation zone, consider a short position only if the price breaches the support line.
Watch for bearish divergence in the indicators (such as RSI or MFI) for confirmation of a potential downtrend.
This plan provides a clear strategy for trading Bitcoin, balancing potential profits with careful risk management. Stay alert for market updates, and adjust your strategy accordingly if significant changes occur.
Bitcoin: Projecting the 5th and Final Phase of the Bull Market
### **Introduction**
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the historical and projected market behavior of Bitcoin, focusing on cyclical market patterns and emphasizing both bull and bear phases. By dissecting previous cycles, this study aims to shed light on potential market movements, offering a roadmap for the 5th and final phase of the current bull market cycle, as per my expectations.
### **Historical Overview & Cycle Breakdown**
Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited well-defined market cycles consisting of accumulation, rapid growth, corrections, and subsequent recoveries. Each cycle presents unique behaviors influenced by macroeconomic factors, adoption rates, technological developments, and regulatory impacts.
**Key Phases Highlighted:**
1. **Accumulation Phase:**
This phase, often occurring during market lows, signifies periods of relatively low activity where investors accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices. It is marked by low volatility and slow upward movement.
2. **Expansion (Bull Run) Phase:**
Characterized by significant price growth, this phase attracts a surge of new investors and increased trading volume. Historically, it has ended with a parabolic price surge, as seen in prior cycles.
3. **Correction and Bear Market Phase:**
The market retraces following the explosive growth, leading to a prolonged downturn or 'crypto winter.' This phase often involves a return to support levels established in previous cycles, accompanied by investor uncertainty.
**Annotated Analysis:**
The attached chart illustrates these phases through visual annotations, showing multiple cycles and their respective movements. Each major bull and bear phase has been marked, alongside critical resistance and support levels that have influenced market sentiment over the years.
### **Current Bull Market Context**
**Expected 5th and Final Phase:**
The current bull market cycle appears to be entering its 5th and final phase, as marked on the chart. Key indicators leading to this projection include:
- **Momentum Analysis:**
Recent price movements suggest a steady upward trajectory indicative of a final parabolic surge before an anticipated correction.
- **Resistance Levels and Trendlines:**
The yellow horizontal lines represent critical resistance levels that Bitcoin must break to maintain its bullish momentum. Historical analysis suggests that each cycle typically ends near these zones, followed by corrections.
- **Macro Indicators and On-Chain Data:**
The green arrows highlight potential momentum shifts, emphasizing buyer activity and renewed confidence in the market.
### **Projections for the Final Phase**
Based on historical data and current market behavior, my analysis projects that the 5th phase will see a peak price surge, potentially reaching a new all-time high. However, this growth phase is expected to be followed by a significant correction, bringing Bitcoin prices back to key support levels outlined on the chart.
**Factors to Monitor:**
1. **Market Sentiment and News Events:**
External factors, including macroeconomic news, regulatory announcements, and institutional participation, can heavily influence price movements.
2. **Adoption Trends:**
Growing adoption and use cases for Bitcoin and blockchain technology could further propel the market upward during this phase.
3. **On-Chain Metrics:**
Metrics such as transaction volumes, wallet distributions, and miner activity should be monitored closely for shifts in market behavior.
### **Concluding Remarks**
This analysis aims to offer a comprehensive overview of market behavior, assisting community members in making informed decisions. While historical trends offer a glimpse into potential future movements, market conditions remain volatile. Therefore, cautious and strategic investment decisions are recommended as we enter this pivotal stage in Bitcoin's cycle.
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**Disclaimer:** This report is intended for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risk, and individuals should conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Post-4th Halving– Is the Rally Just starting?
📊 Bitcoin's Price Action and Policy Impact (November 18, 2024):
Bitcoin is trading at $89,862 USD, reaching new all-time highs following the 4th halving in April 2024. A wave of bullish developments, including U.S. policies under President Donald Trump, is reshaping the market narrative. Here’s how Bitcoin’s post-halving patterns and strategic initiatives are driving its meteoric rise.
1️⃣ U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: A Game-Changer?
The U.S. Senate, led by Senator Cynthia Lummis, is advancing the BITCOIN Act, proposing the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve:
Objective: Securely store 1 million BTC in decentralized vaults over the next five years.
Funding Mechanism: Revalue assets such as gold certificates to purchase Bitcoin.
Impact: Analysts believe this initiative could significantly strengthen the U.S.'s financial position and solidify Bitcoin’s role in the global economy.
David Bailey, CEO of BTC Inc., has called the proposal the "most transformational policy on Trump’s agenda," highlighting its potential to reshape global finance.
2️⃣ Post-Halving Historical Patterns
Historically, Bitcoin halvings have been pivotal in driving exponential growth. Here's a look at prior cycles:
1️⃣ 1st Halving (2012):
Post-halving rally: +9,295%.
Peak price established Bitcoin’s first bull market.
2️⃣ 2nd Halving (2016):
Post-halving rally: +3,061%.
Institutional interest began to take shape as Bitcoin gained recognition as a store of value.
3️⃣ 3rd Halving (2020):
Post-halving rally: +693%, peaking at ~$69,000 in 2021.
The rise was driven by institutional adoption, DeFi growth, and macroeconomic uncertainty.
4️⃣ 4th Halving (April 2024):
Bitcoin is currently trading at $89,862 USD, with analysts predicting a rally of +600% or more, potentially pushing Bitcoin to $600,000 - $700,000 USD by late 2025.
3️⃣ Current Market Drivers
Federal Reserve Policy: Monetary easing is enhancing Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.
$35 Trillion U.S. Debt Concerns: With fears of economic instability, Bitcoin is emerging as a "safe-haven" asset.
Institutional Adoption: ETFs, corporate treasuries, and retail investors are fueling demand.
4️⃣ Bitcoin Price Outlook
Resistance Levels: $100,000 (psychological barrier), $250,000.
Potential Peak: Historical patterns suggest a peak between $500,000 and $700,000 USD in late 2025.
Correction Risk: After reaching the peak, Bitcoin could see an 80%+ correction, consistent with prior cycles.
Key Events to Watch
✅ BITCOIN Act Progress: The U.S. Senate’s discussions could accelerate Bitcoin adoption globally.
✅ U.S. Elections Impact: Historically, political transitions influence market sentiment and Bitcoin’s trajectory.
✅ Global Adoption: Developments in other major economies, like China and Europe, could further boost Bitcoin’s price action.
💬 Do You Believe Bitcoin Can Hit $600,000 - $700,000?
With policy support, post-halving dynamics, and institutional demand aligning, is Bitcoin poised for another historic rally?
The MOST IMPORTANT Chart On The Planet - $1M Bitcoin Incoming MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on the most important chart on the planet which is the XLE chart.
This chart will change the entire world
XLE is looking beautiful , very nice chart for more upside
Very similar to SPX500 which also went parabolic
Do not miss out on XLE as this is a great long term opportunity
Watch videos for more details
Ethereum's Fading Dominance: A 2023 Trend That Could ContinueEthereum's relative strength against Bitcoin has been waning throughout 2023, and technical analysis suggests this trend may persist.
A Breakdown in the Making
Ethereum (ETH) has been showing signs of weakness relative to Bitcoin (BTC) throughout 2023. This trend and a recent technical breakdown suggest that ETH/BTC could continue its downward trajectory.
Key Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI for ETH/BTC has been declining, indicating a loss of momentum in Ethereum's price action relative to Bitcoin.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for ETH/BTC have crossed over, forming a bearish "death cross" pattern. This pattern often signals a potential downtrend.
3. Support Levels: ETH/BTC has struggled to hold onto key support levels, suggesting that selling pressure is increasing.
Why is Ethereum Losing Ground to Bitcoin?
Several factors may be contributing to Ethereum's relative weakness:
1. Network Congestion and High Fees: Ethereum's network has been plagued by congestion and high transaction fees, particularly during periods of peak demand. This has led to a decline in user experience and network adoption.
2. The Rise of Layer-2 Solutions: While Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism have helped alleviate some of the congestion issues, they have also fragmented the Ethereum ecosystem.
3. Competition from Other Smart Contract Platforms: Other smart contract platforms, such as Solana and Cardano, have been gaining traction and challenging Ethereum's dominance.
4. Bitcoin's Growing Institutional Adoption: Bitcoin has been increasingly adopted by institutional investors, who view it as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This increased demand for Bitcoin could be driving capital away from Ethereum.
The Potential Impact of the Merge
The Merge, a significant upgrade to the Ethereum network, was expected to improve network efficiency and reduce energy consumption. However, the impact of the Merge on Ethereum's price performance has been mixed. While the Merge may have long-term benefits for the Ethereum ecosystem, it has not been enough to reverse the short-term trend of ETH's underperformance relative to Bitcoin.
Conclusion
Ethereum's relative weakness against Bitcoin is a concerning trend for ETH holders. The technical indicators suggest that ETH/BTC could continue to decline in the coming months. While the Merge was a significant milestone for Ethereum, it may not be enough to offset the challenges facing the network. Investors should closely monitor the price action of ETH/BTC and be prepared for further downside.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
LMACD suggesting tops around April 2025.According to LMACD histogram , we might see a similar bull market duration ~800 days(green histogram bars). LMACD found tops ~100 days before histogram shift to red bars. This might give us an estimate date of peaks around April 2025? Aligning this with the LGC results in a price target of 150k.
BTC Bitcoin Potential Retracement Soon If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally:
Now you need to know that Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to an all-time high of $93,434 has reignited excitement in the crypto markets. However, as the euphoria peaks, warning signs suggest that the king of cryptocurrencies might be due for a pullback. Currently trading at a Relative Strength Index (RSI) level of over 86—a threshold signaling overbought conditions—Bitcoin appears overstretched in the short term.
Historically, RSI readings above 70 often precede market corrections as buying momentum wanes and profit-taking sets in. While Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals remain strong, its price trajectory has repeatedly shown susceptibility to sharp reversals after rapid ascents. A retracement to $80,000—a key psychological and technical support level—could provide a healthier foundation for Bitcoin’s next leg upward.
Traders and investors should remain cautious, especially as Bitcoin consolidates at overheated levels. A correction to $80K might not signal the end of the bull run but rather a necessary recalibration before the next rally.
BTC about to breakout on the H4 ChartBTC is currently trading above a major daily trend that goes back to January of 2024. The trend cuts the bearish and bullish action in half. That line is about to flip back into bullish territory. This spells major gains for btc in my opinion. There will be a H4 updated following with the smaller trend playing with the larger trend.
ALGOUSDT Surges by 82.83%The cryptocurrency ALGOUSDT has experienced a powerful rally, rising by an impressive 82.83% and achieving a price of $0.21900. This significant growth marks the successful attainment of the second target, reinforcing its bullish momentum. Despite reaching this milestone, ALGOUSDT shows no signs of slowing down, with the uptrend still intact. The trade remains
open, as further potential for upward movement is anticipated. This remarkable performance highlights the strength and optimism in the market for ALGOUSDT. Traders are encouraged to monitor this dynamic asset closely.
CLV: Explosive Opportunity – Don’t Miss the Pump!We’re aiming for $2, and the goal is clear: CLV is about to take off, and the move could happen at any moment. Telegram, Reddit, and Discord pump groups are already preparing for the next big boom, and we’re giving you a heads-up so you don’t miss out.
Why bet on CLV now?
The token has an extremely low market cap, making it the perfect candidate for a sudden breakout. With so much untapped potential, CLV can easily surpass $1 billion in market value.
This week alone, we’ve seen several meme tokens hit billions, and now it’s CLV’s turn. The setup is ready, and the next big move is being planned.
Immediate action is key:
Don’t miss this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Jump in now, load up your bag, and get ready for the pump. The plans are already in motion, and those who act early will reap the biggest rewards.
⏰ The time is now! Join before it’s too late. COINBASE:ETHUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
Long set up bitcoin from 15 novembreYesterday, 15 November, I posted that the price of Bitcoin was bullish and I wanted to see a break of the red box to open a long. That's what I did. Now I'm in profit and I'm waiting to hit the 97.000k. I did what I said in the chart In my analysed before. The price was bullish. She was in a falling wedge as she did also a successfully head and shouders. Now wait to hit the take profit
BITCOIN - why I expect (120K -130K) is a peak of this cycle
My wish is to reach $200k but I have a reason and I would like to share it with you.
The reason is related to historical and time assumptions and it is the core of the markets (logarithmic movement).
🔸Here are some statistics:
- Bitcoin's decline rate in 2014-2015 was 87%
- The decline rate in 2017-2018 was 84% (3% small difference).
- The decline rate in 2021-2022 was 77% (difference 7%)
🔸 - Why did 2022 record a lower rate? Because of time
Yes, because it rose to a close to the top with a slight difference early and had a full year until the end of the cycle, so it reached 64,000, then fell 55% and returned to rise 140% and formed a double top from this movement and ended its cycle on time in November 2022, as the oscillation process took 7 months on two sub-waves before the end of the cycle, so achieving the top before its time is important to settle the rest of the calculations.
But the two cycles 2014-2017 because the rate of rise was flexible and had space, it achieved large ascending rates and from there it fell directly without oscillation.
And we said with the passage of time and the stability of the cycle every 4 years and also we have decreasing peaks and bottoms, it will definitely work on oscillation when it achieves the main peak until the cycle ends.
🔸 Notice in blue the formation of the peaks and how they were different in 2021-2022 on M shape and indicator of exploiting the time period until the end of the cycle, which is expected to happen in this cycle for a long oscillation and the formation of more than one peak until the time ends and it falls.
🔸Ok now it has a very long time until the end of the current cycle which will end in November - December 2025 we are talking here about a whole year what will it do?
From this point of view everyone has seen the majority's expectations that it will rise to astronomical numbers 500k and a 1M we all hope for that but the reality is different.
So I currently expect 120,000 - 130,000 a major peak in which I guarantee myself not to enter into high assumptions and risks.
But be careful here an important condition must be met which is the basic sign of the end of the rise of Bitcoin ..
🔸 What is it? (The explosion of ALTS to the point of hysteria and here we say that the peak has been achieved).
This means that the violation of expectations and their conformity lies not in the rise of alternative currencies but in a crazy explosion regardless of whether the price of Bitcoin is higher or lower than my expectations.
🔸Okay, is there any objection to Bitcoin going to 200k and 300k?
Of course the answer is no in a restricted way, meaning that Bitcoin rises at a sharp angle like 2014-2017 and takes advantage of the entire cycle time, so it will naturally achieve those numbers, but it conflicts with the behavior of the logarithmic movement between price and time.
🔸Final point:
The percentage of the decline in the next cycle will be less based on past data. If we assume that the percentage will be between 65% and 60%, and considering that the main bottom will be between 58,000 and 48,000, Bitcoin's rise may extend to $150,000 as a maximum, but as I said, it is governed by the condition of the explosion of altcoins, as they are the ones who will determine the credibility of all those numbers and percentages.
BEST Regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin Rally Faces Key Test Head and Shoulders Pattern in FocusThe rally in Bitcoin could partly be attributed to broader market optimism, often driven by political events. When markets are buoyant, Bitcoin, seen as both a hedge and a speculative asset, benefits from increased risk appetite among investors. That said, Bitcoin’s behavior in relation to politics can be unpredictable.
So, with that in mind, we’re now looking at Bitcoin on a 4-hour chart, and a head and shoulders pattern is forming. If this plays out, we could see Bitcoin break the neckline and drop to $80,064.72. But don’t forget Bitcoin is still bullish, especially with the influx of money following the November 5th victory of the newly elected president. Keep that in mind as we watch this pattern unfold.
If you’re following along, hit that like button. Have a great day!
Flipping Options: A Bearish Signal for Bitcoin?
I'm not a psychic, and I don't have a crystal ball, but here's what I clearly see and can share with you: for several days now, there’s been a flow of options at the 100,000 strike changing hands.
What's crucial is that this option series still has 14 days left before expiration, and there's a high probability it could go in the money, meaning it could exceed the 100,000 mark.
However, these options are being flipped, locking in profits, which suggests that traders aren't expecting further upside or don't believe in it.
The 'strong hands' are selling to the 'weak hands,' indicating that sentiment isn't favoring further growth.
The bottom line : Bitcoin's upward momentum is either facing or has already encountered some serious headwinds.
It's unlikely that we’ll hit 100,000, and if we do, it might just act as a ceiling for any near-term growth
Data Source: CME
Most optimistic price prediction for BitcoinI took price of bitcoin from every top of bull market and then compared it with the next bull market peak. In 2018 in comparison with 2020 price has risen around 1200%. From 2020 peak to 2022 bitcoin has increased its value by +/- 300%. Taking it into consideration I can predict that next beak will be nearby $150.000 top.