Last BTC drop before continue growth?Hey traders!
Here is a fresh update about market situation. Seems like we started to move in 3rd correctional wave of Elliot Waves and according to Fib Retracement we could possibly go to the level around 56.000$. This level is also huge support level for the bullish flag, in which we're moving already for 3 months.
Plus, the RSI is also going lower and looks like it could touch the edge, if we're going to 56k level.
If you're planning to trade, I will try to catch up the long position after the 3rd wave movement will come to the end.
What's your thoughts?
Bitcoinprediction
BITCOIN ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )BITCOIN
HELLO TRADER S
Tendency the price it will trying to reach a resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bullish pressure
TREDN ANALYSIS : yesterday the price closer resistance trendline after dropping to closer support trendline , today the price it will trying again to reach resistance trendline
TURNING LEVEL : a black line around 58,985 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a blue line around 62,475 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price stable above turning level reach this level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 57,363, indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : as long as the price trade above turning level at 58,985 , reach a resistance level at 62,475 , then stable this level reach a 64,136 , if the price breaking turning level reach a support level at 57,363 , then stable below this level touch a 55,767
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 62,475 , 64,136
SUPPORT LEVEL : 57,363 , 55,767
Bitcoin - upside potential in the next 24 hours The cryptocurrency trend was negative over the past 24 hours, as seized Bitcoins continue to be offloaded to crypto exchanges. Yesterday, the German government offloaded an additional 832.7 seized Bitcoins to centralized crypto exchanges such as Kraken and Bitstamp, Lookonchain reports.
On Monday, it transferred 1,500 Bitcoins. The German government still holds a total of 43,859 Bitcoins worth $2.7 billion at today’s price.
The price of Bitcoin dropped 2.8 percent to $61,146 over the past 24 hours, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows. It now trades 17 percent below its all-time high of $73,628.
Standard Chartered foresees its price hitting an all-time high next month and trading around $100,000 by November when the US presidential elections are held, $150,000 by year-end and $200,000 by the end of 2025, the Block reports.
ATTMO forecasts mostly sunny trading conditions for Bitcoin, translating into a slightly bullish market, for the next 24 hours. Check attmo.ai to get insights into the 3-day and 7-day forecast for Bitcoin and the rest of the market.
THE BITCOIN JOURNEYI was expecting this exact move-in my previous idea. Bitcoin is ranging on the bottom of a possible bull flag and till the price is above $56.000, we have nothing to be worried about. Probably the price will chop for the next days and the whole weekend, and we could see some bullsh moves next week
Monthly Chart v. Weekly Chart May Indicate TroubleSince every dollar of price action is raising concern in either direction, let’s take an in-depth look at what’s happening with the price of Bitcoin.
On the weekly chart (left), we can see the RSI is just starting to pivot and we can see the Stochastic RSI will have a cross in the coming weeks, usually indicating an uptrend. Price action has been within the same range for about three months, building healthy market structure. Then we get to the monthly chart.
The monthly chart (right) is showing slowed momentum. We can see in the Stochastic RSI that the orange line is on top of the blue line – usually a bearish indication. This has me a bit concerned and considering how we’ve had ranged price action and are dropping from an RSI of around 80, it may be a warning sign of what's to come.
Take a look at the green arrows on the monthly chart. Every time the purple line crosses above the yellow line, we see a price rally. Now look at the red arrows. When we see the purple line cross below the yellow line, price falls. The first red arrow you see, that was about a 70% drop. The second red arrow you see was about a 52% drop from the next pivot in momentum and a total of a 73% drop once RSI bottomed.
This is when you want to have your strategy in place for if the weekly chart champions the monthly chart or if we do in fact have that RSI monthly purple line cross below the yellow and we go lower. Be ready for whatever the case may be! I'm thinking it's probable we may see a 50% drop before seeing all-time highs and the rally we've all been waiting for.
Bitcoin Weathers the Storm: Resilience Shines Despite DollarBitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, has surprised many by demonstrating resilience in the face of a strengthening US dollar. Despite a historically observed inverse relationship between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin, this comes. The DXY, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, currently sits at a lofty 106, indicating a robust greenback. This level is significant, having only been surpassed for 34 trading days in the past year. Traditionally, a strong dollar weakens the appeal of dollar-denominated assets like Bitcoin, as investors seek havens in other currencies.
However, Bitcoin's current price action defies this historical trend. While not at its all-time high, Bitcoin is currently trading only around $10,000 below that peak, a testament to its continued strength in the market. Several factors may be contributing to this unexpected decoupling.
Shifting Investor Sentiment: The cryptocurrency market has matured significantly since its early days, and investor sentiment is evolving alongside it. While Bitcoin was initially seen as a speculative asset class, it's increasingly viewed as a potential hedge against inflation and traditional financial uncertainties. This shift in perception could be mitigating the negative impact of a strong dollar on Bitcoin's price.
Institutional Adoption: The influx of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and investment firms, into the cryptocurrency space is another potential factor. These institutions often have a longer-term investment horizon and may be less swayed by short-term fluctuations in the dollar's value. Their presence could be lending stability to the Bitcoin market.
Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Adjustment: The Bitcoin network is designed to adjust mining difficulty roughly every two weeks automatically. This ensures a consistent rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, regardless of the computing power dedicated to mining. An upcoming significant decrease in mining difficulty is anticipated, which could further bolster investor confidence.
Positive Developments Within the Crypto Ecosystem: The broader cryptocurrency ecosystem is witnessing continuous innovation and development. The emergence of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), and Layer-2 scaling solutions is attracting new users and capital into the space. This overall growth in the crypto ecosystem could be spilling over and positively impacting Bitcoin's price.
Uncertainties Remain: Despite the positive signs, it's important to acknowledge the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The future trajectory of the DXY and broader economic conditions will undoubtedly continue to influence Bitcoin's price. Additionally, regulatory developments and potential security breaches could pose challenges in the future.
Looking Forward: Bitcoin's resilience in the face of a strong dollar is noteworthy. While the reasons behind this decoupling are multifaceted, it suggests a maturing market with a growing pool of long-term investors. As the cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to evolve and gain mainstream adoption, Bitcoin's position as a store of value and a potential hedge against traditional financial instruments could solidify further. However, close attention should be paid to both internal and external factors that may impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months and years.
#BTC/USDT Critical point. Emergency Update!#BTC needs to break and close above the 100EMA on the daily chart. Keeping it straightforward: until this occurs, the price may target the liquidity below $60k. This is not an opinion, just what the charts indicate!
The rejection in altcoins is concerning.
While I'm not bearish, BTC is currently at a critical juncture. This is the right time for the bulls to step in!
This indicator has been highly effective in identifying local bottoms and tops.
Sooner or later, the market will rally for the final wave. Until that happens, be cautious with leverage and view these times as opportunistic for altcoins.
dyor, nfa
#Crypto
Do hit the like button and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin Cycle TargetCRYPTOCAP:BTC I am keeping my target at $250,000 over the next year, but I will take some profits early if #BTC hits the gold line. I expect the run-up to be front-run. This is all rough estimates, and it depends on how long the bull run lasts. Lowest target I have is $120,000. There is nothing stopping #Bitcoin from going way past 1 million and of course it could have already topped.
BITCOIN Outlook for Q3 2024Hello everyone,
Today is the beginning of the new fiscal quarter, so as usual that means Q3 outlook is here.
I already know that with this one, I will most likely not make any new friends, but things have to be said even if the majority may be against "the Idea".
So first, I would point out that my Base Case from Q2 is still relevant in my opinion : " My Base Expectation for now is that this MAY(June/Q2), MAY be the worst time to become a Buyer/Bull for a prolonged period of time as we potentially already reached our TOP. That is because, as I mentioned in Q1 outlook:
"6. - !!! New REAL Bullmarket didn't Start until Interest Rates reached their bottom rate !!!
Note, this time can be different due to inflation & elevated price levels, which cause more money in rotation, but IT SHOULD NOT change base line of reverse expectations when the correct time comes - 1.FED start cutting, 2.FED stop (is DONE) with cutting, 3.bottom Rate is found" "
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Secondly- Yes, my outlook is Based on Macroeconomy, since I am of the opinion that the Economy and decisions of Central Banks are closely correlated to the charts and prices on them.
With that said, I am going to present a few charts which may bring some clarity to what I am expecting to happen in the next 3 months and Why I am NOT over-optimistic .
Before I start posting these screens, I would like to say, that I believe we are in incredibly tough times to call shorts where price will go since we are in kind of unprecedented times - both chart-wise and macroeconomy-wise kinda too.
So Why I am still more Bearish?
These are just a few examples of Why I am still more bearish..
I am sure that I could add some more, but at this point my "reasons Why" should be clear to everyone and if not, I would suggest you read the Q1 & Q2 outlook too.
Also, I would like to mention that this week we will get a lot of economic data which may provide a clearer view of what is coming next month/quarter. Anyway, I decided to do this TODAY so I am working with what we have "RIGHT NOW". If my opinion changes in the future based on these data I will let you know.
As well, to not be viewed as "perma BEAR", I want to say, that I see possibility that BITCOIN keep going Higher in Q3 and reach new ATHs ( all economic data comes "bullish" and FED still not decided to cut rates), BUT it is not my Base Case for now.
My Base Case as I said - staying the same as was in Q2, at least for now!
Until next time good luck to everyone.
Joe
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Hopefully, some of you found this post interesting and helpful in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me. Thanks!
Is Bitcoin set for rebound?Over the past week, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price dropped below the $60,000 mark on two separate occasions, which was accompanied by a slight increase in the reserves held by exchanges.
Interestingly, alongside the increase in BTC on exchanges, there was a significant uptick in the creation of new addresses.
On the 24th of June, BTC experienced a notable drop of 4.60%, with the day’s trading closing at approximately $60,263.
Despite this close, the price had dipped as low as $58,411 during the day. Similarly, on the 28th of June, BTC’s price again tested lower levels.
It declined to $59,868, and closed at around $60,313, marking a decline of over 2%.
As of this writing, BTC was trading at around $63,215, showing a modest increase of less than 1%. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key indicator of price momentum, was around 43.
This suggested that BTC was in a strong bear trend.
The move might thus precede a potential price rebound.
This week’s price movements have had an impact on broader market dynamics as well, including the creation of new Bitcoin addresses and changes in exchange reserves.
Typically, significant price declines can trigger increased activity on exchanges as traders move BTC to sell or buy at perceived key levels.
Also, new addresses may be created as new or existing participants enter the market to capitalize on the volatility.
Such a significant rise often reflects broader market movements or sentiment shifts, which could have various implications for BTC’s network activity and price dynamics.
BTCUSD Bitcoin Robbery Plan in Bullish DirectionMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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68K FOR $BTC NEXT?Just a quick update after the recent bounce off 60K we should now being looking at $68,000 USD. keep your eyes open for if the price starts to break down then if the signals and price isn't looking good. Then it might be time for a sneaky short.
Please subscribe and boost this if you think similarly.
Al the best.
Bitcoin Dominance at key levelBitcoing dominance at a critical level now. If BTC.D break upper line with weekly candle, BTC will pump more and BTC will make a new ATH in 2024.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Halving: A Historical Look at Price and ScarcityThe Bitcoin halving cycle, a programmed event that roughly cuts the block reward for miners in half every four years, has become a focal point for investors and enthusiasts alike. Historically, these halvings have been followed by significant price increases for Bitcoin, leading many to believe they are a reliable indicator of future bull runs. However, the relationship between halvings and price is more nuanced than a simple cause-and-effect scenario.
The core principle behind the price impact lies in scarcity. By reducing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created, halvings limit the overall supply. In a market driven by supply and demand, a decrease in supply can theoretically lead to an increase in price, as long as demand remains steady or increases. This anticipation of scarcity often fuels a price rise in the months leading up to the halving event. Investors see the limited supply as a bullish signal, prompting them to buy Bitcoin in hopes of future appreciation.
However, the price doesn't always experience an immediate surge after the halving. The newly minted Bitcoins are a significant reward for miners, who contribute computing power to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network. The halving essentially cuts their income in half, which can lead to a temporary decline in mining activity, impacting the network's hashrate (total computing power). This initial drop in hashrate can cause a period of price consolidation, where the price trades sideways as the market adjusts to the new supply dynamics.
The recovery from this consolidation phase is often described as "weak miners dying and hashrate recovering." Less efficient miners, who can no longer operate profitably with the reduced rewards, are forced to shut down their operations. This reduces the overall hashrate and makes the network more efficient as only the most powerful miners remain. As the hashrate recovers, typically within a few weeks or months, the price can experience a significant breakout, fueled by both the scarcity effect and renewed investor confidence.
Looking at historical data, this pattern seems to hold true. Following the 2012 halving, the price of Bitcoin rose from around $11 to a peak of $1,100 in November 2013. Similarly, the 2016 halving was followed by a rise from $650 to nearly $20,000 by December 2017. The 2020 halving coincided with a bull run that saw Bitcoin reach an all-time high of over $69,000 in 2021. However, it's important to remember that these are just a few data points, and the cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile. External factors such as economic conditions, regulatory changes, and broader market sentiment can also significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
The most recent halving, which occurred in April 2024, presents an interesting case study. While the price did experience some pre-halving anticipation, it hasn't yet reached a new all-time high. Additionally, the hashrate recovery has been slower than in previous cycles, taking over 60 days compared to the 24 days observed in 2017. This could be due to a number of factors, including the ongoing global economic uncertainty and the increasing energy costs associated with Bitcoin mining.
Only time will tell how the 2024 halving will ultimately impact the price of Bitcoin. However, by understanding the historical trends and the underlying economic principles at play, investors can make more informed decisions about their Bitcoin holdings. The halving cycle serves as a reminder that scarcity can be a powerful driver of price, but it's just one piece of the complex puzzle that shapes Bitcoin's value.
Bitcoin; historical analysisIn this post, Bitcoin's past behavior, including impulse and correction waves, is analyzed to forecast what could happen in the future. So, let's jump to the main point.
The first Bitcoin move (including the upward and correction waves) lasted much shorter due to initial acceptance. If we do not take into account Bitcoin's first move, the next three major moves, impulse, and correction, have behaved almost very similarly to each other in terms of duration. Especially, the two previous waves; third and fourth. Both waves lasted for 205 weeks, in which, the upward wave lasted for 152 weeks and correction waves lasted for 53 weeks. So, if the same behavior is to be repeated in the future, the two horizontal lines (green and red) are possible endpoint targets for Bitcoin's fifth move. Also, some Fib time analysis were done to adjust these two lines.
Another important point is how much each correction wave has lowered the price. The first one: 93.8%, the second and third ones: 83%, and the fourth one: 77.5%. It can be concluded that Bitcoin's correction waves are getting smaller, in terms of value. So, the next correction wave, the fifth one, could either be equal to 77.5% or less. Of course, this issue is far into the future. But it is worth considering.
Moreover, it seems a classic 5-wave impulse wave is unfolding, and currently the final wave 5 is in play. In addition to this, it seems that the angle of each major upward wave of Bitcoin is decreasing at each stage. Based on these assumptions and Fib extension analysis, the yellow rectangle can be a suitable area for the end of the current bullish wave. Let's see what happens.
P.S. See related links below for step-by-step Bitcoin analysis.
DXY: an indicator to forecast Bitcoin’s directionJust like USDT Dominance, US Dollar Index (DXY) has a somewhat inverse correlation with Bitcoin's direction. If we look at the DXY historically, whenever the DXY was in a downtrend or sideways movement, Bitcoin was in an uptrend. Also, whenever the DXY was in an uptrend, Bitcoin was in a downtrend. Simply put, if the DXY goes up, that means the U.S. dollar is gaining strength or value when compared to other assets and currencies. So, people/traders tend to hold the U.S. dollar instead of, say, Bitcoin. And when DXY goes down, that means the U.S. dollar is depreciating in value, so people/traders tend to hold other assets like Bitcoin or Gold.
2025 Altseason and how we enter Afternoon folks.
Hope you’re having a great day, i wanted to share my opinion about the next big Altseason, showing it with some waves . At first I think we’re gonna have a pullback to 50% so the altcoins can breathe a bit . Then we start the first phase of bitcoin gaining and the bull run till we get close enough to 64% , small correction starts there to point 3 and after we start a stronger bitcoin run to the cycle top which lead the dominance to upper 70% . Altseason starts there by dominance bleeding and sharp falling.
In other scenario we can go to 60% straight from here in gaining prices of course but mostly for bitcoin and falling from there to point 3 would be the fast correction.
Stay safe and see you at the top .
#Bitcoin low could be $54169, Here's Why!#Bitcoin monthly support is around the $56.5k level. We've been struggling to break the upper resistance of $73k.
The final wave is still due, so remain vigilant in the market.
The 9EMA on the monthly chart has been a reliable indicator for dips in the last couple of post-halving rallies.
The current price is at $54,169! Even if we reach that support level, not being positioned in BTC is riskier than being exposed to the market, so be thoughtful when making your decisions.
Remember, the market aims to bore you and kick you out.
Don't let them play with you.
WAGMI
Cheers, and don't forget to hit like and bookmark to stay updated.
#Crypto #BTCUSDT
Bitcoin (BTC): is local bottom achieved?The Bitcoin (BTC) price registered a sharp drop on Monday, falling to $60,330. The asset faced considerable selling pressure as sellers pushed the price as low as $58,474, shown by the long tail on the candlestick, indicating strong buying below $60,000. However, buyers were able to prop the price back above $60,000.
Analysts expect bulls to be quite active between $56,500 and $60,000. This is because if BTC falls below this level, we could see a slide down to $58,000, where the 200-day SMA could prop up the price. If this level is breached, BTC could drop to $55,000.
As seen in the price chart, BTC has strong support at $60,000. This support held on Monday, and BTC made a relatively strong recovery on Tuesday, rising by 2.52% and moving to $61,848. Buyers attempted to push BTC above $62,000, with the price reaching a day high of $62,458 before dropping to $62,458. Wednesday saw sellers back in control as BTC dipped below $61,000, dropping to $60,854 after a drop of 1.61%. The current session sees BTC up marginally as buyers and sellers look to assume control of the session. Looking at technical indicators, we can see the RSI is close to the oversold region, which could indicate a bullish reversal in the near future.
If BTC is able to recover, It will first target the $62,000 level. Should BTC surpass this level, we could see a climb to $65,000, which is a key resistance level. If Bitcoin is able to break and close above $65,000, we could see a rally to $70,000.
BITCOIN'S ULTIMATE PARABOLIC CURVE — EYEING $181,267.00The Parabolic Curve often emerges near the culmination of a major market surge, marking the end result of numerous base formation breaks.
Your support means the world, so smash that like button to keep the motivation flowing! 💙💛
The Parabolic Curve patterns are commonly observed in growth stocks with innovative products, groundbreaking technology, novel business models, or visionary leadership. Typically, these assets represent market leaders — like Bitcoin for crypto.
💡 At the pivotal point of Base 3, symbolized by the "X" on the chart and situated at $25,700, Bitcoin is poised for a potential doubling in the shortest timeframe.
This pattern's hallmark is its staircase-like formation, creating short-term price range bases before catapulting to new highs, repeating the cycle multiple times in its ascent.
I've conducted a detailed analysis using Fibonacci tools and Elliott Waves, projecting Base 4's estimated range between the $60,000 resistance and $46,700 support.
Additionally, considering Fibonacci extensions and channels, the SELL POINT for the parabolic move is anticipated at range between $149,175 and $181,267.00
This parabolic curve, reminiscent of a rocket's trajectory, can endure for weeks or even months. However, caution is warranted as the pattern nears completion. The culmination of the rapid upward momentum often concludes abruptly, plunging in price even faster than its ascent.
$MSTR tricky path to $3000+?This looks like the most interesting long setup in crypto mining should the opportunity present itself.
In the short term, I think price will likely continue up into the $1400-1500 range. If price can't break through that level, I think it'll be a great short.
If you look at the correction so far, we've only had 2 legs down, I think the 3rd is yet to come which will bring us into the sub $1000 support zone.
If we get down there, I think that'll create a great buying opportunity and price should surge higher into the $3000+ resistance level.
So if you buy the bottom and sell towards the top, there's 3x gains to be had.
I'll likely play this in both spot and options as there will be great money to be made if you can time this well.
Good luck.