Bitcoinlong
Spot Volume Drives BTC Rise – Time to Long!We are about to witness an exhilarating ride, and I don't want you to miss out on the opportunity to long BTC.
Spot Volume: The Driving Force behind Bitcoin's Rise
In recent weeks, Bitcoin's price surge has been primarily fueled by spot volume, which refers to the buying and selling of actual Bitcoin on cryptocurrency exchanges. This is a significant departure from previous rallies, where futures trading often played a more dominant role. Spot volume indicates a strong demand for Bitcoin from traders and investors who want to own the real asset, rather than just speculating on its future price movements.
Why is this important? Well, spot volume-driven rallies tend to be more sustainable and less prone to manipulation. They reflect genuine market sentiment and confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value. This shift signifies a maturing market and sets the stage for a potentially explosive upward trajectory.
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Now, more than ever, it's crucial to seize this moment and position yourself for potential gains. The spot volume-driven rally indicates a growing belief in Bitcoin's value proposition and its ability to act as a store of value and hedge against inflation. This sentiment is shared by both institutional investors and retail traders alike, creating a perfect storm for Bitcoin's ascent.
So, what's the call-to-action? It's simple – long BTC! Take advantage of this exciting market trend by strategically entering long positions on Bitcoin. With spot volume driving the rise, you can have confidence in the market's support and the potential for sustained upward momentum.
Whether you're an experienced trader or just starting your crypto journey, this is an opportune time to capitalize on Bitcoin's rise. Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and spotting trends early can lead to exceptional profits.
Don't Miss Out – Act Now!
The crypto market is buzzing with anticipation, and the time to act is now. Don't let this thrilling opportunity pass you by. Take advantage of the spot volume-driven rally and long BTC to potentially ride the wave of Bitcoin's rise.
Bitcoin Near-Term Price TargetFuelled by its imminent ETF approval, Bitcoin broke past resistance at $28,000 and has seemingly begun a new bull market. For those of you who got in on this move, myself included, I have identified what I think will be a temporary top and a good place to take profit within the next 1-2 months.
On the 1W timeframe we can see the cloud edge to edge trade is in progress and typically price will reach the flat line at the top of the cloud, which is at about $42,000. This level is the 50% fibonacci retracement of the previous bull market high in November 2021, and the bear market low in November 2022.
Additionally the level roughly coincides with the top of the monthly bollinger bands which will act as resistance. Of note is that the bollinger bands are in the process of squeezing together, which occurs prior to a high volatility move.
Once we hit the $42,000 area and the ETF approval is officially announced, I expect that there may be a sell the news event as we have already been pumping on the rumour. Then there will be sideways for a few months until the halving. New chart patterns will likely form during this period, which will provide an opportunity for re-entry and a continuation of the bull market.
I would be fibbing if I told you it wasn't going to $150k
ETF will have a sell the news
Halving will have a sell the news
Retail will enter in late 2024 when we push past old ATH
People will sell $100k early, and it will cruise through this level
Laser eyes will get greedy and focus on $200k
We will top out, and the cycle we restart
TOP AT OR ABOVE THE 2.618 extension on he weekly like every cycle
Shibe out!
[Watch] MARA versus Bitcoin 5️⃣7️⃣| Year to date:312,05%What's going on Team SKILLING:US100 : MARA
Avoid margins, and do not ask for money to buy your shares.
Let's all be better, get a 2nd job, and save money so you can invest in this opportunity.
I know there are other mining companies in the US, but Marathon Digital Holdings is still my favorite because I think they are making the effort to cut their energy expenses, and that matters the most when it comes to mining
BTCUSD
Let's congratulate the new Pine Wizards Tradingview in 2023.
They have many great tools to enhance your trading and maximize every opportunity.
Let me share the link with you:
www.tradingview.com
Until my next video...
Above All and All-in-All, God Bless America :)
J.R. Jaén
Risk Disclaimer:
1️⃣Past Performance is not indicative of any future performance.
2️⃣Trading and Investing are risky. Only trade and invest with resources and capital; you can afford to lose, and it will not change your lifestyle or family situation if you do not make the returns you wanted or if things go wrong and you lose everything.
3️⃣I can and will have a position in MARA anytime because I like the stock and company.
4️⃣Never go All-In. You do not have to buy with your rent money; you do not have to believe with all your savings because NO one is asking you to do so. This video is a video log, a journal, and a path to share with others how they can gain exposure to Bitcoin without the need to in NASDAQ:MARA o invest 20,000 dollars immediately.
Bitcoin Peaks at $42,000 - What's Next? Bitcoin Peaks at $42,000 - What's Next?
In a new surge of momentum fueled by widespread optimism that the U.S. securities regulator may soon approve a spot bitcoin ETF, Bitcoin briefly surpassing $42,000 to reach a 20-month high.
There is a sense of optimism in the space regarding the potential approval of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the U.S. securities regulator. Such approval would likely enable a new type of investor to enter the cryptocurrency market through the regulated stock exchange, leading to an influx of capital into the digital asset. In October, SEC Chair Gary Gensler alluded to the agency's consideration of up to 10 bitcoin ETF filings.
Additionally, falling inflation in the US is making higher-risk assets such as Bitcoin more attractive.
This sounds like a certain bullish environment, right? Well... nothing is certain in crypto so some downside projections might be appropriate to consider too. So, with that in mind, the gap on Sunday still needs to be filled, starting with approximate prices at $39,600 and $39,000.
BITCOIN REVERSAL RISING WEDGE - DONT MISS THISWhat is a Rising Wedge? What helps us look at it and confirm it?
✅ Upward Trend: The pattern typically forms during an upward price movement.
✅ Converging Trendlines: Both the support and resistance trendlines slope upwards, but they converge as the pattern matures.
✅ Volume: A declining volume accompanying the formation often strengthens the pattern's bearish signal.
✅ Breakout: Confirmation of the pattern occurs when the price breaks below the lower support trendline, where we short
I've been calling this reversal since November 17 on X
WHO AM I?
- New to chart here, but a20K Followers on X @dogdaddevan constantly posting
- MEXC Official Partner
- I bought ATL SHIB Nov 2020 (only vol that day) and sold early like a bozo.
Bitcoin LongBTCUSDT Chart Analysis
Data
The chart analysis was conducted using weekly charts of the BTCUSDT price from 2011 to the present.
Technical Analysis
A clear uptrend is visible on the weekly chart. The BTCUSDT price has risen in 2023. The resistance level of 32.000 was reached on Jul 2023, but not exceeded. Since then, the price has declined and has now stabilized in a sideways movement.
Big Cycle Analysis
A statistical analysis of BTCUSDT prices shows that there have been regular cycles in the past where the price has risen by 50% to 100%. These cycles typically lasted about 1.5 to 2 years.
The current uptrend began on Jan 2023, which is about 10 months ago. It is therefore possible that the BTCUSDT price will experience another rise in the next weeks.
Prediction
Based on the technical analysis and the cycle analysis, it is likely that the BTCUSDT price will continue to rise in the next weeks. The resistance level of 32.000 could be overcome this time, which could push the BTCUSDT price up to 36.000.
Probabilities
The probability of a further rise in the BTCUSDT price in the next 2 weeks is estimated to be 70%. The probability of a decline in the price is estimated to be 30%.
Risk Warning
It is important to note that any investment in cryptocurrencies carries a high risk. The predictions should therefore be understood as only indicative.
Visit our website for your trading edge! Discretionary and algorithmic trading is our day-to-day business.
BTC Shows Positive Awesome Oscillator and RSI Signals!I am thrilled to share with you some positive indicators that have recently emerged for Bitcoin (BTC), which may present a lucrative opportunity for potential gains.
Firstly, let's talk about the Awesome Oscillator (AO). It is a technical analysis tool that measures market momentum, specifically the difference between the 34-period and 5-period simple moving averages. The Awesome Oscillator for BTC has been displaying a remarkable upward trend, indicating a strong bullish momentum in the market. This is a positive sign for those considering entering a long position on BTC.
Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is another powerful indicator that measures the speed and change of price movements. BTC's RSI has recently shown a significant surge, crossing the threshold into overbought territory. This suggests that the buying pressure has been consistently strong, potentially leading to further upward movement shortly.
With these positive signals from both the Awesome Oscillator and RSI, it's hard not to feel optimistic about the potential for BTC's price to continue its upward trajectory. As traders, we need to seize such opportunities when they arise.
Therefore, I encourage you to consider taking a long position on BTC currently. However, as always, it is crucial to conduct your own thorough analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and it's essential to stay informed and exercise caution.
If you're interested in exploring this opportunity further, I recommend keeping a close eye on BTC's price movements and monitoring any additional positive indicators that may emerge. Timing is key, so be sure to stay vigilant and act accordingly.
I hope this news brings a smile to your face and ignites a spark of excitement within you. Let's make the most of this potential opportunity and continue to navigate the cryptocurrency market with enthusiasm and positivity!
Wishing you happy trading and successful ventures ahead!
Bitcoin Hits Target Range: From $27,800 to $40,900🚀🚀🚀Exciting news for Bitcoin enthusiasts! As anticipated, Bitcoin has successfully achieved our projected targets, soaring from $27,800 to an impressive $40,900. This remarkable performance underscores the cryptocurrency's resilience and potential for substantial gains. Stay tuned for further market insights and potential opportunities. 🚀 #Bitcoin #CryptoSuccess
Get Ready for an Exciting BTC Upswing! 🚀I couldn't contain my excitement as I analyzed the most recent weekly Bitcoin (BTC) chart, which hints at an imminent upswing that could bring substantial gains. So, buckle up, and let's dive into the details!
As we all know, BTC has been consolidating within a wedge pattern over the past few weeks, exhibiting a narrowing range of price movements. However, the latest developments have me feeling particularly bullish about the future. The wedge is reaching its apex, indicating that a significant breakout is just around the corner!
The beauty of wedge patterns is that they often precede explosive price movements, and this one seems no different. The narrowing range suggests that the market is preparing for a strong move, and history has shown that these breakouts can lead to substantial gains for those who seize the opportunity at the right time.
Now, let's talk about the call-to-action that could potentially change the game for your trading portfolio. I strongly encourage you to consider going long on BTC to anticipate this upcoming upswing. By opening a long position, you position yourself to benefit from potential price surges and maximize your profit potential.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this could be the perfect moment to take advantage of the market's momentum. As always, it's important to conduct your analysis and assess your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. However, given the current market conditions and the promising wedge pattern, it's hard not to feel a surge of excitement about the potential gains that lie ahead!
So, my dear traders, seize this opportunity and make the most of this potentially game-changing upswing. Keep a close eye on the BTC charts, set your entry and exit points wisely, and let's ride this wave together!
BTC To $38830/highr or $37,500/lowerSo for waiting on either of 3 specific scenario to happen before taking an entry. It's a more refined strategy combining some keys things that provided me with high probability setups.
1. For long scenario my target would be $38,830 or as high as $40k. So wouldn't immediately close at $38,830 but would take 50% profit for sure. Entry would be around current price after I see a particular confirmation.
2. For 1st short scenario .
Entry around $38,700 area after a particular confirmation and target $38,200
3. Or Short Entry under $38,250 if bulls fail to hold and target $37,500 or lower
All scenarios offer Great risk to reward of at least 3:1 with good stop placements. No, need to go lower for sniper entry, if anything I'll go higher tf to glance at what's happening overall and just to keep in mind amount of time left in a particular htf candle but main focus will be on 30 minute tf.
Also, I purposely hide some stuff from my chart but no indicators, just some things I don't feel comfortable revealing. Call it gate keeping or whatever. Anyone trading for a good while might have a clue.
Risk for these trades is 0.25% Right now, I tend to size down from .5% If I have a few back to back losses and size up to max 1% when things are going well. So for all those people who think I'm going to get liquidated because of a few trades, am not your guy lol, I'll be here for a while Mfers.
Also Important news happening now. With a few more to come. So careful might get violent spikes.
ApeCoin: the 100X Coin Everyone Knows AboutCOINBASE:APEUSD
ApeCoin has caught my attention recently. Mostly because it's flashing bullish signals with a foreseeable 10X -- if not higher -- upside. So let's check off the speculative prediction before I dive into my 1W chart analysis.
With a max token supply of 1 billion tokens and a market cap of only $585M USD at the time of this idea, it's my opinion that ApeCoin could see some serious gains in the anticipated bull market. At only 1B tokens, if ApeCoin secures a market cap of $5 billion USD then its single token price would be a whopping $5.00 -- a 217% gain from the APE's current value ($1.58). While $5 billion is nothing to shrug your shoulders at, that is a relatively small market cap in crypto. I won't even compare this to Bitcoin or Ethereum since they are blockchains and on a whole different tier, but in comparison to other tokens such as Shiba Inu ($4.84B) or Doge ($11.5B), APE has a lot of room to grow.
Typically tokens with this type of potential are new and extremely risky, and while there is always an inherent risk when investing in crypto, ApeCoin already has a solid reputation due to its celebrity-backed NFT collection, Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC).
Okay, now for the 1W chart analysis:
As of late October '23, the volume has began to increase with a rising token value that's nearly doubled since its low of $0.98. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows a positive slope which suggests an increase in buying pressure with a Money Flow Index (MFI) that is resting in neutral territory.
I've drawn out a projected Cup & Handle pattern with a cup profit target near $6.43 and a handle purchase target around $3.72. Should this pattern continue and become a valid Cup & Handle, I believe a breakout target of $9.17 is both likely and reasonable since the depth of the cup has a price range of $5.45. I did not annotate it on the chart but if the Cup & Handle completes then it will also form an Inverse Head & Shoulders (the head = cup and the right shoulder = handle).
I think it goes without saying that there will be plenty of short-term trading opportunities during this pattern formation and, while I am optimistic on an approaching crypto bull market, there is always the chance of market sentiments turning south. Regardless, APE has most certainly caught my attention as a bright short-term and long-term investment opportunity.
$BTCUSD Long to 40KThe current analysis of BTCUSD suggests a discernible momentum shift, indicating potential trading opportunities. Our proprietary indicator, Cristallu ( w.aritas.io ), reinforces this observation, recommending entry points at 37,700-37,800. This strategic entry is accompanied by a Take Profit (TP) target at 40,500 and a Stop Loss (SL) set at 0.23% of 37,800. It's essential to monitor the market closely for updates and adjust positions accordingly.
The context of the Bitcoin market is further enriched by insightful analysis on TradingView:
.As discussed in your analysis, the imminent introduction of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is a pivotal factor to consider. ETFs have the potential to significantly influence market sentiment, introducing both opportunities and risks.
The anticipation of Bitcoin ETFs underscores the importance of a nuanced approach to trading. While the market may experience heightened volatility and increased trading volumes, strategic entries and exits can be leveraged for optimal results. Your analysis on TradingView provides valuable context, emphasizing the need for caution and vigilance.
As we navigate the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape, it's crucial to stay attuned to market developments, incorporating both technical indicators like Cristallu and broader market trends such as the potential impact of ETFs. This comprehensive approach ensures a well-informed and adaptive trading strategy, aligning with the ever-evolving nature of the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin Halving: Understanding the Impact on Market Expansion I want to share with you some interesting statistics about the price of Bitcoin during previous halvings. As you know, halving is an event when the amount of new bitcoins that are mined is reduced by half. This leads to a reduction in the supply of bitcoins in the market, which can affect their price.
Let's take a look at what happened to the price of Bitcoin during previous halvings. Each halving had its stages of development, which include four phases:
Bull Market,
Bear Market,
Accumulation,
Expansion.
The first halving occurred in 2012, and the price of one bitcoin was $12.2. After that halving, the price increased by 6.6 times.
The second halving occurred in 2016, and the price of one bitcoin was $657. After that halving, the price increased by 12.9 times.
The third halving occurred in 2020, and the price of one bitcoin was $8,500.
Now we are waiting for the fourth halving, which will occur in 2024. Each of these stages is characterized by certain market trends.
Bull Market: This is a period of rising asset prices. In the case of Bitcoin, it means that the price is rising. This stage can last from several months to several years.
Bear Market: This is a period of falling asset prices. In the case of Bitcoin, it means that the price is falling. This stage can also last from several months to several years.
Accumulation: This is a period when the price seems stable but is usually at a low level. This stage can last from several months to several years.
Expansion: this is a period when the price starts to rise again after a previous accumulation period. This stage can last from several months to several years. It should be noted that not all halvings were accompanied by the same market phases, but this is a general pattern that can be observed in the Bitcoin market.
Therefore, based on historical data, it can be argued that the halving affects the price of Bitcoin. However, the halving is not the only factor that affects the price. Other factors such as news, government regulations, and technical aspects can also affect the price of Bitcoin.
It is also important to note that it is difficult to predict the exact developments of Bitcoin prices. Although history can give us a general idea of how the price may change in the future, the actual impact on the price depends on many factors that may turn out to be unpredictable.
Therefore, for traders and investors, it is important to study the market, analyze news and technical aspects, and be prepared for unpredictable events in order to make the best decisions for their portfolio.
If you liked the idea, don't forget to like and leave a comment!
Best regards,
BTC Skyrockets Above $38,000! Seize the Opportunity to Long BTC Bitcoin (BTC) has just made an astonishing breakthrough, surging above the $38,000 mark! This remarkable jump can be attributed to a recent dovish comment made by the Federal Reserve governor, signaling a potential bullish run for BTC.
The crypto market is buzzing with excitement as this significant price movement indicates a golden opportunity for those who are quick to act. Now is the time to capitalize on this momentum and seize the chance to long BTC, potentially reaping substantial profits in the process.
The Federal Reserve Governor Waller’s dovish comment has sent shockwaves through the traditional financial markets, driving investors towards Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. With the ever-increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies and the continuous influx of institutional interest, BTC is poised for an explosive surge in the near future.
So, what are you waiting for? It's time to ride the wave and take advantage of this exciting development. Here's your call-to-action: Long BTC now and position yourself to potentially reap enormous gains! Don't let this opportunity slip through your fingers!
To assist you further, I want to highlight a few key indicators that support the bullish case for BTC:
1. Positive Market Sentiment: The recent dovish comment from the Federal Reserve governor has injected renewed enthusiasm into the market, boosting confidence among traders.
2. Growing Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions, corporations, and even governments are increasingly embracing cryptocurrencies, which further solidifies BTC's position as a valuable asset.
3. Technical Analysis: Expert analysts predict that BTC has the potential to break through key resistance levels, paving the way for even greater gains.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this moment is ripe with immense potential. As BTC pushes above $38,000, it's essential to act swiftly and strategically. Stay informed, keep an eye on market trends, and consider consulting with trusted experts to make well-informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, the recent dovish comment from the Federal Reserve governor has set the stage for an exhilarating bull run in the Bitcoin market. This is your chance to join the ranks of successful traders who seize opportunities when they arise. Long BTC now and position yourself to ride the wave of extraordinary profits!
biggest CRASH in the world history The dollar is dying
You probably hear it all day long. The government is printing more money…
Congress is raising the debt ceiling…
The dollar is no longer backed by gold… or anything.
These are some of the reasons Robert Kiyosaki says the dollar is dying.
Like Robert Kiyosaki says…
“Wake up you guys. If you're saving US dollars, you're like the skipper on the titanic. You know they're going to have to print more and more and more and more all the time… This makes savers the biggest losers on planet earth.”
But here is what is fascinating… I know you will agree.
As the dollar gets weaker and weaker, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are getting stronger and stronger.
I’m going to say that again because it is so important. As the dollar gets weaker and weaker, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are getting stronger and stronger.
The giant hedge funds and investing firms are slowing their purchase of dollars and U.S. bonds...
They are now using their profits to buy cryptocurrencies.
The Wallstreet Journal reports that mainstream hedge funds are pouring BILLIONS of dollars into crypto. They go on to say that world famous traders including Alan Howard and Paul Tudor Jones are said to be increasing their trading in cryptocurrencies.
I can tell you firsthand that Robert Kiyosaki is.
You know what that tells you, of course. We all see it. If all the major players are getting in on cryptocurrencies, you’d better too.
📈Bitcoin weekly prediction, 40K or 32K?📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello dear traders. If the price of Bitcoin stays above Bollinger midline, Bitcoin can continue the bullish scenario up to the target of 39K-40K.
This week, the price of Bitcoin is in a stabilization trend and has lost its upward momentum at the level of 38 thousand dollars. (in yellow).
The Bitcoin Dominance chart is in a 5-day time frame, and according to the formed pattern, it is expected to decrease to the specified area. On the other side, Dominance Tether (Weekly TF) has hit an important support line, and the probability of its upside has increased.
All in all, in my opinion, until the price of Bitcoin falls below the support of the yellow line, there is a possibility that it will rise to test the level of $40,000. But if the price loses the red support line, then the $32,000 area will be a strong support for Bitcoin in a bearish scenario.
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Bitcoin Moving To The $40k Range? Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Bitcoin has been dropping for the last 3 days and today the market is looking like it might expand the decline even more.
The main reason for this decline is investors and trader sentiment, notice how everyone is worrying currently waiting for any hints from the Federal reserve regarding interest rate cuts.
Which would explain why we have been seeing a strong bullish movement on Gold breaking the $2000 levels.
For a while now we have been seeing Bitcoin eyeing the $40k level, What would make it soar and break that level and possibly way higher is the Spot ETF Approval .
Cryptocurrency traders and investors are keeping a close eye on the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as it considers establishing a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). The market is vibrating with excitement as Bitcoin continues to rise below $40,000 per coin. The conclusion of the ETF's evaluation, as well as the imminent Halving event in Q2 2024, have fueled speculation that the value of BTC might potentially quadruple. YES YOU HEARD ME RIGHT!! QUADRUPLE!
The favorable atmosphere around the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is adding to the bullish outlook for BTC. An ETF would provide a regulated investment vehicle for Bitcoin exposure, possibly opening up the market to a larger base of investors who have been waiting for more traditional ways to obtain exposure to the cryptocurrency.
The sentiment surrounding the possible approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is adding to the positive outlook for BTC's price. An ETF would provide a regulated investment vehicle for exposure to Bitcoin, potentially opening the market to a broader base of investors who have been waiting for more traditional avenues to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency.
Also notice how we have witnessed a golden cross on the BTC Chart.
You need to keep your eyes on these levels :
1) Support at 32944.72
2) Support at 25146.53
3) Resistance at 40037.76
4) Resistance at 42609.51
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
📈Bitcoin weekly prediction, 40K or 32.5?📉BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello dear traders. If the price of Bitcoin stays above Bollinger midline, Bitcoin can continue the bullish scenario up to the target of FWB:39K -40K.
In this week, bitcoin price breaks the ascending channel (in yellow).
Overall, in my opinion, as long as the price of Bitcoin does not fall below the red-line support, there is a possibility that it will go higher.
But if the price loses the support, the level of 31,700 to 30,200 will be a strong support for Bitcoin in the bearish scenario.
✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌
✍🐱👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱👤✍
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Bitcoin Elapsed Time Between Events ChartI am once again publishing this Bitcoin chart (3-day time frame) showing the entire price history, and just how closely the last two cycles matched as far as the elapsed time between events.
The reason for publishing it again is that I have added another event (when a new all-time high was hit).
I then measured the elapsed time from each bear market bottom to when a new all-time high was hit. Once again, I was amazed how close these measurements were to each other for the last two cycles.
Obviously, this isn't a massive discovery, but I find the consistency very interesting. It will also be interesting to see if the elapsed times for this market cycle once again come close to the last two market cycles.
Before continuing I want to say that Bitcoin’s very first market cycle was much shorter than the last two market cycles. So, it is possible that the fact that the last two matched so closely was just a fluke. Anyway, I will be watching closely to see how this market cycle plays out.
So far, the elapsed time from the bear market bottom on November 21st, 2022, to the halving which is estimated to take place in late April 2024 (approximately 512 days) should be very close to the last two cycles.
Bitcoin Market Cycle #2 vs #3
Cycle #2 - Bear market bottom to halving = 542 days
Cycle #3 - Bear market bottom to halving = 513 days
Cycle #4 - Bear market bottom to halving = estimated = 512 days
Cycle #2 - Halving to Bull market peak = 526 days
Cycle #3 - Halving to Bull market peak = 548 days
Cycle #2 - Bull market peak to bear market bottom = 363 days
Cycle #3 - Bull market peak to bear market bottom= 376 days
Cycle #2 - Bear market bottom to a new all-time high = 723 days
Cycle #3 - Bear market bottom to a new all-time high = 717 days
Market cycle #2 total duration (bottom to bottom) = 1431 days
Market cycle #3 total duration (bottom to bottom) = 1437 days
Just for fun I want to use this data to estimate when a new all-time high might be hit for this current market cycle. What I will do is split the difference between cycle #2 (723 days) and cycle #3 (717 days) which would give me 720 days.
So, if I project out 720 days from the bear market bottom on November 21st, 2022, I get the date November 9th, 2024. Obviously, I wouldn't expect it to hit the exact date but I would watch for a new all-time high sometime in October or November of next year.
Of course this could all be meaningless and Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high much sooner.
Like I said this is more just for fun.
If we wanted to take it a step further and try to calculate when this current market cycle might peak we cold add the elapsed times from cycle #2 (Bottom to peak = 1068 days), and Cycle #3 (Bottom to peak = 1061 days). So if we split the difference we would get 1065 days.
So, if I project out 1065 days from the bear market bottom on November 21st, 2022, I get the date October 20th, 2025 for the peak of this market cycle.
Most likely this is all meaningless but looking at the past price history of Bitcoin the bottoms and tops do tend to occur primarily in November and December. So this might not be far off unless this market cycle is much different than the last two.
As I said earlier, I will be watching to see hoe this current market cycle plays out and how it compares to the last two cycle.