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Bitcoin (Hold your Breath) detailed comparison: GOLD VS BITCOIN ### 1. **Nature and Function** #### Gold: - **Physical Asset:** Tangible, with a long history as a store of value and medium of exchange. - **Utility:** Used in jewelry, electronics, and various industries. - **Historical Value:** Recognized for thousands of years as a reliable store of value and hedge against inflation. #### Bitcoin: - **Digital Asset:** Intangible, created in 2009 as a decentralized digital currency. - **Utility:** Used for digital transactions and as a speculative investment. - **Modern Value:** Seen as "digital gold" due to its limited supply and role as a store of value. ### 2. **Supply and Scarcity** #### Gold: - **Finite Supply:** Limited by natural availability and mining capacity. - **Production:** Mining can increase supply, but at a relatively slow and steady rate. #### Bitcoin: - **Capped Supply:** Maximum of 21 million BTC, controlled by its underlying protocol. - **Production:** New bitcoins are created through mining, with rewards halving approximately every four years, reducing the rate of new supply. ### 3. **Market Characteristics** #### Gold: - **Market Size:** Large, established market with significant global liquidity. - **Price Stability:** Generally more stable, with price movements influenced by macroeconomic factors, industrial demand, and investor sentiment. #### Bitcoin: - **Market Size:** Smaller but rapidly growing market. - **Price Volatility:** Highly volatile, with prices influenced by market sentiment, regulatory news, technological developments, and macroeconomic factors. ### 4. **Investment Profile** #### Gold: - **Risk Profile:** Considered a safe-haven asset, low to moderate risk. - **Returns:** Historically steady, long-term appreciation with lower short-term gains. #### Bitcoin: - **Risk Profile:** High risk, with potential for high rewards and significant losses. - **Returns:** Has delivered substantial returns over the past decade but with considerable volatility. ### 5. **Role in a Portfolio** #### Gold: - **Diversification:** Used to diversify portfolios and hedge against economic downturns and inflation. - **Liquidity:** Highly liquid, with a well-established global market. #### Bitcoin: - **Diversification:** Increasingly used to diversify portfolios, particularly in the context of digital assets and technology investments. - **Liquidity:** Growing liquidity, but still more limited compared to gold, with risks of regulatory changes affecting access. ### 6. **Regulatory Environment** #### Gold: - **Regulation:** Generally well-regulated across the globe, with established markets and trading norms. - **Ownership:** Easily transferable, with well-defined legal frameworks for ownership and trade. #### Bitcoin: - **Regulation:** Varied regulatory landscape, with some countries embracing it and others imposing restrictions or bans. - **Ownership:** Can be transferred digitally across borders, but subject to changing regulatory environments. ### 7. **Future Potential** #### Gold: - **Stable Demand:** Likely to remain a valuable asset for investors seeking stability and a hedge against inflation. - **Limited Upside:** Potential for steady appreciation, but dramatic price increases are less likely compared to riskier assets. #### Bitcoin: - **High Growth Potential:** Could see significant price appreciation if adoption increases and it becomes more integrated into the financial system. - **High Risk:** Faces regulatory uncertainties and competition from other cryptocurrencies and digital assets. ### Conclusion Both gold and Bitcoin serve as stores of value but differ significantly in their characteristics, risks, and roles within an investment portfolio. Gold offers stability and a long track record, making it a safe-haven asset. Bitcoin, with its high volatility and potential for significant returns, appeals to those willing to accept higher risk for the possibility of substantial gains. Investors might choose to include both in their portfolios for diversification, leveraging gold's stability and Bitcoin's growth potential.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
XAU 7,777$ Its about TIME 1. **Economic Indicators:** - **Inflation:** Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. Rising inflation typically boosts gold prices. - **Interest Rates:** Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which doesn't yield interest. Conversely, lower rates tend to support gold prices. - **US Dollar Strength:** Gold prices are inversely related to the strength of the US Dollar. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, potentially increasing demand. 2. **Geopolitical Events:** - **Political Uncertainty:** During times of political instability or geopolitical tensions, investors often flock to gold as a safe-haven asset. - **Global Crises:** Events such as pandemics, wars, or significant political upheavals can drive up gold prices due to increased uncertainty. 3. **Market Sentiment:** - **Investor Demand:** The sentiment of large institutional investors and retail investors can significantly impact gold prices. - **Market Trends:** Technical analysis and trend-following strategies can provide insights into potential future movements based on historical price patterns. 4. **Supply and Demand Dynamics:** - **Mining Production:** Changes in gold mining production can affect the supply side of the equation. - **Jewelry and Industrial Demand:** Demand from sectors like jewelry and technology can influence gold prices. 5. **Central Bank Policies:** - **Gold Reserves:** Central banks' decisions to buy or sell gold can have substantial effects on the market. ### Current Trends and Forecasts (as of mid-2024) 1. **Inflation and Monetary Policy:** - If inflation remains elevated, and central banks adopt a dovish stance, gold prices could see upward pressure. - Conversely, if inflation is controlled and interest rates rise significantly, gold prices might face headwinds. 2. **Global Economic Stability:** - Continued global economic uncertainty, whether due to geopolitical tensions, trade issues, or lingering effects of past crises (like COVID-19), could support gold prices. - A robust global economic recovery might reduce the safe-haven appeal of gold, putting downward pressure on prices. 3. **Technical Indicators:** - As of recent technical analysis, key support and resistance levels should be monitored. If gold breaks through significant resistance levels, it could indicate further upward potential. - Conversely, a breach of key support levels might suggest a potential decline. ### Conclusion Gold's future potential (XAU/USD) is shaped by a complex interplay of economic, geopolitical, and market factors. Keeping an eye on these indicators and understanding the broader context can help in making informed predictions about its future trajectory. For precise forecasts and investment decisions, consulting with financial experts and staying updated with the latest market analyses is recommended.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrojanBible
Bitcoin 300% more.Bitcoin bull markets have historically seen significant price increases, but the percentage gain can vary widely between different bull markets. Here’s a summary of the percentage increases during major Bitcoin bull markets: 1. **2011 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $0.30 (January 2011) - Peak: Around $32 (June 2011) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 10,500% 2. **2013 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $13 (January 2013) - Peak: Around $1,100 (December 2013) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 8,300% 3. **2017 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $1,000 (January 2017) - Peak: Around $20,000 (December 2017) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 1,900% 4. **2020-2021 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $10,000 (October 2020) - Peak: Around $64,000 (April 2021) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 540% ### Average Percentage Increase To find the average percentage increase of these bull markets, we can calculate the mean of the individual percentage increases. \ Let's compute that: \ So, the average percentage increase during Bitcoin bull markets is approximately **5,310%**. Note that this is a rough average and the actual performance in future bull markets can vary significantly due to a wide range of factors including market maturity, regulatory changes, macroeconomic conditions, and technological developments.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
BTCUSD Long: To the moon?Context: Currently trading above previous high from Nov. 2021 with bullish FVGs on monthly chart - but we are now in a consolidation, but with upwards tendency. Same for the weekly chart - we just took out the previous week high. Idea: • Entry between prev. week high and prev. day high after 4h close above bearish FVG. • Entry in mentioned area preffered with a lower timeframe setup like a reversal candle on 30min. • Approach of the entry should be without FVGs on 30min. Otherwise wait for bearish 30min FVG to be closed. Stop: Below your 30min entry setup → 1st TP: Around ATH / 73500 → 2nd TP: trailing stop: "sky is the limit" When does this scenario become invalidated? If the current 4h candle becomes a confirmed reversal candle. Then we could rally lower to at least 69000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MichaelBw
Bitcoin's Bullish Surge Supported by Rising Open InterestBitcoin's Bullish Surge Supported by Rising Open Interest: $80K Next? Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a bullish surge, fueled by rising Open Interest (OI) in the derivatives market. This strong showing indicates a growing optimism among traders, with long positions dominating the market. Let's delve deeper into this trend and explore what it might mean for the future price of Bitcoin. Strong Hands in Control: The Rise of Open Interest The derivatives market offers a glimpse into investor sentiment through Open Interest (OI). OI refers to the total amount of outstanding futures contracts that haven't been settled yet. In simpler terms, it reflects the future price movement. total value of bets placed on Bitcoin's A recent surge in OI signifies a rise in trading activity and growing confidence among investors. This is precisely what we're witnessing in Bitcoin's market. As of June 4, 2024, OI has reached 17.89 billion, demonstrating a significant increase over the past week (5.98%) and even within the last 24 hours (0.06%). Bullish Sentiment: Longs Take the Lead The dominance of long positions in the derivatives market is another key indicator of bullish sentiment. Long positions represent traders who believe the price of Bitcoin will increase. Their willingness to pay premiums to short sellers (those betting on a price decrease) further strengthens the bullish case. This current trend suggests that investors are generally optimistic about Bitcoin's future prospects. They are placing their bets on a price rise, injecting confidence into the market and potentially propelling the price upwards. Increased Liquidity, Volatility, and Attention The rise in OI is accompanied by a rise in liquidity, volatility, and market attention. Increased liquidity makes it easier for traders to enter and exit positions, promoting smoother price movements. Volatility, while it can be risky, also indicates market vibrancy and can attract new investors seeking potential gains. More importantly, the surge in OI reflects heightened market attention towards Bitcoin. This increased scrutiny places Bitcoin in the spotlight, potentially attracting a wider range of investors and further fueling the bullish momentum. Can Bitcoin Touch $70,000? With the current bullish trend and rising OI, Bitcoin appears poised to break through key resistance levels. The $70,000 mark, once a distant target, now seems within reach. However, it's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can trigger price corrections. A Word of Caution While the current market conditions are encouraging for Bitcoin bulls, investors should always exercise caution. The cryptocurrency market remains unpredictable, and past performance does not necessarily indicate future results. Conducting thorough research, employing sound risk management strategies, and maintaining a long-term perspective is crucial before entering the Bitcoin market. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent surge, coupled with rising Open Interest in the derivatives market, paints a bullish picture. The dominance of long positions increased liquidity, and heightened market attention are positive signs for the world's leading cryptocurrency. While the $70,000 target appears achievable, cautious optimism is warranted due to the market's inherent volatility. By carefully evaluating market conditions and implementing strong risk management practices, investors can position themselves to potentially benefit from this exciting chapter in Bitcoin's ongoing story.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
🔥BTC might be ready to target 75k: Update and multitimeframe🔥Please see previous ideas for more context ☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yelli_trades
7
💡BTCUSD Multitimeframe Analysis💡☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yelli_trades
6
Bitcoin Breaches $69,000: Bullish Breakout?Bitcoin Breaches $69,000: A Bullish Breakout or a Fleeting Glimpse? Bitcoin (BTC) bulls were ecstatic as the world's leading cryptocurrency climbed above $69,000 during early Asian trading on June 3rd. This move marked a significant milestone, breaking a resistance level that has held firm for the past 12 weeks. However, the crucial question remains: is this a decisive breakout or a temporary blip within a prolonged trading range? The recent surge follows a period of relative stability for Bitcoin. After reaching a new all-time high near $69,000 in early March, the price retreated and consolidated within a range of roughly $60,000 to $67,000. This consolidation phase, while frustrating for some investors hoping for immediate gains, can be a healthy sign for the long-term health of the market. Several factors are fueling the current optimism surrounding Bitcoin: • Institutional Adoption: The continued influx of institutional investors into the cryptocurrency space is a major driver of growth. Large investment firms, hedge funds, and even traditional banks are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin's potential as a valuable asset class. This institutional interest provides much-needed stability and legitimacy to the market. • Positive On-Chain Metrics: Analysis of on-chain data, which tracks the movement of Bitcoin on the blockchain, suggests positive signs for future price movements. Metrics like active addresses and exchange outflows indicate that investors are accumulating Bitcoin and holding onto their assets, which can reduce sell-off pressure and contribute to price appreciation. However, there are also reasons for caution: • Resistance at $69,000: The $69,000 level represents a significant point of resistance. Previous attempts to break above this level have been met with selling pressure, pushing the price back down. Successfully flipping this resistance into support will be a crucial step for a sustained bullish run. • Macroeconomic Concerns: The broader macroeconomic environment remains a source of uncertainty. Rising interest rates, a potential global recession, and ongoing geopolitical tensions could all dampen investor sentiment and negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. • Regulation: Regulatory scrutiny surrounding cryptocurrency remains a potential hurdle. Government intervention could stifle innovation and limit market growth, although clear regulations could also bring more stability and attract hesitant investors. So, will Bitcoin's climb above $69,000 be a lasting victory? Experts are divided. Some analysts believe this is a breakout signal, paving the way for a continued price increase towards new all-time highs. They point to the confluence of positive on-chain metrics, institutional adoption, and increasing scarcity of Bitcoin due to its capped supply. Others remain cautious. They highlight the strong resistance at $69,000 and the potential for a pullback if bulls fail to maintain momentum. Additionally, they emphasize the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market and the influence of external factors like global economic conditions and regulations. Ultimately, the future direction of Bitcoin remains uncertain. However, the recent surge above $69,000 signifies a renewed sense of optimism in the market. Whether this translates to a sustained bull run or a temporary blip within a trading range will depend on various factors, including the ability of bulls to overcome resistance levels and the overall health of the global economy. In the coming weeks, investors should closely monitor key metrics such as trading volume, order book depth, and news surrounding regulations and institutional adoption. These factors will provide valuable insights into the strength of the current uptrend and the potential trajectory of Bitcoin in the near future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSDT Forms Bullish Flag Pattern, Eyeing $80000 Target.BTCUSDT has recently formed a bullish flag pattern, indicating potential for a substantial price increase. The immediate target is set at $75,000 following three months of consolidation. However, traders are advised to maintain a stop-loss strategy to manage risks. BTCUSDT (1D Chart) Technical analysis BTCUSDT (1D Chart) Currently trading at $69600 Buy level: Above $69500 Stop loss: Below $65900 TP1: $72000 TP2: $75000 TP3: $80000 TP4: $90000 Max Leverage 5x Always keep Stop loss Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
Bitcoin is Going for 88 K - Cup Handle Pattern Hello My dear Traders, I am Bullish for Bitcoin for a Target of 88 K The cup and handle pattern is a technical analysis pattern used trading to identify potential bullish continuation patterns It's formed by a price movement that resembles a cup with a handle. Here's how it typically looks: Here are the stages for cup and handle pattern. First stage - Cup : The price initially forms a rounding bottom, creating the shape of a cup. This phase usually represents a period of consolidation after a previous uptrend. The up move Started from 58 K to 71k and now the cup is fully formed. Second Stage - Handle : Following the cup formation, there's a slight downward drift in this case from 71 k to 67 k in prices, forming a smaller consolidation pattern resembling a handle. I have marked the likely handle formation on the chart. range of handle is from 67 k to 71 k levels - a short lived bearish trend or we can say consolidation near the zone of resistance. How to enter Trade in Cup and Handle Pattern - The buy signal occurs when the price breaks out above the handle's resistance level, indicating a potential continuation of the previous uptrend. In this case any break above 71 K levels will be bullish for the target of 88 k on the charts. what are the confirm the Pattern Confirmation characteristics ? Volume: Typically, volume should decrease as the cup forms and increase during the breakout phase. Same in happening this case also. Depth: The cup should be relatively deep, indicating a significant retracement from previous highs. The depth of cup is from 58 k to 71 K - qualifies for adequate depth Duration: The pattern should ideally take several weeks to form, indicating a solid base of support. In this case. Seven Weeks have been taken in formation of the cup as marked on the chart. The formation of handle is still in progress for last two weeks. Completion is expected in by another two weeks. I hope this analysis of mine will help you learn something more and new about Cup and Handle Pattern in technical analysis Do follow and like / boost my work to motivate me God Bless you all
by KINGSFALCONTRADERS
Bitcoin Eyes $70,000 as Strong US Data Weakens Dollar Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a surge in price, defying expectations and climbing towards the $70,000 mark. This bullish momentum comes after the release of positive US economic data, which surprisingly weakened the US dollar. The data, including strong GDP figures and lower-than-anticipated jobless claims, has instilled confidence in riskier assets like Bitcoin across the board. Breaking Through Resistance Bitcoin has been battling resistance levels around $60,000 for the past few weeks. However, the recent economic data from the United States appears to have flipped the switch, propelling the cryptocurrency above this key barrier. Analysts believe this breakout could signal a continuation of the upward trend, potentially reaching targets as high as $70,000 or even beyond. US Dollar Loses Footing The positive US data, while traditionally seen as positive for the US economy, has had an unexpected consequence for the US dollar. Investors are interpreting the strong economic performance as a sign that the Federal Reserve may slow down its quantitative easing (QE) program sooner than anticipated. This tapering of QE could weaken the dollar's value relative to other assets, including Bitcoin. Risk Assets on the Rise The positive sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is spilling over into other risk assets. Stock markets worldwide are experiencing gains, and other cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of bullishness. This broad-based rally suggests that investors are feeling more optimistic about the overall economic outlook, which is translating into increased risk appetite. Is This a Sustainable Rally? While the current surge in Bitcoin's price is encouraging, some analysts remain cautious. The long-term sustainability of this rally will depend on several factors, including the future trajectory of US Federal Reserve policy and global macroeconomic conditions. • Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions will significantly impact the US dollar and, consequently, Bitcoin's price. If the Fed tapers QE more aggressively than anticipated, it could lead to a sustained weakening of the dollar, benefiting Bitcoin. However, a more hawkish stance from the Fed, including interest rate hikes, could dampen investor enthusiasm for riskier assets like Bitcoin. • Global Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic factors, such as geopolitical tensions and inflation levels, will also play a role in shaping Bitcoin's price. If these factors worsen, it could lead to a flight to safety, pushing investors towards traditional assets and away from Bitcoin. Looking Ahead The coming weeks and months will be crucial for Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency faces several challenges, but the recent positive momentum suggests that there is still significant upside potential. Investors should closely monitor US Federal Reserve policy decisions and global macroeconomic developments to gauge the sustainability of this rally. Key Takeaways • Bitcoin is experiencing a surge in price, breaking through resistance levels around $60,000. • Strong US economic data has weakened the US dollar, benefiting Bitcoin. • The rally is likely due to increased risk appetite as investors become more optimistic about the economic outlook. • The sustainability of the rally hinges on factors like Federal Reserve policy and global macroeconomic conditions. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is recommended to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln