Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin/USDT on 1-hour timeframe Binance. TA+Trade plan by B.F.Descending Channel Pattern:
The price is trading within a descending channel. The upper boundary (resistance) and lower boundary (support) are clearly defined.
Descending channels typically indicate a bearish trend, but if the price breaks out of the channel, it could signal a trend reversal.
Possible Breakout to the Upside:
The chart highlights the possibility of a breakout above the descending channel, supported by a bullish blue trendline.
The breakout area is noted around the 61,758.48 USDT level. If the price moves past this level, it could lead to further upside momentum.
Volume:
Volume appears moderate, indicating that the market has yet to show a strong momentum surge. A breakout on higher volume would confirm the upside move.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows multiple green dots, suggesting bullish divergence and potential reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is in neutral territory around 58.66, indicating no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. If it crosses above 60, it may confirm the bullish breakout.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic shows a bullish signal, with the %K line at 90.29 and the %D line at 88.42. However, it’s approaching overbought territory, suggesting caution as there could be short-term pullbacks.
HMA Histogram: Shows a slight downtrend in the short term (negative values). If it turns positive, it could confirm the breakout move.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: 61,758.48 USDT (upper boundary of the channel and key breakout level).
Resistance 2: 64,591.15 USDT (previous high, and next major resistance zone if the breakout happens).
Support 1: 60,301.68 USDT (lower boundary of the channel).
Support 2: 59,000 USDT (psychological support and lower range of the broader consolidation).
Trading Plan:
Long Position:
Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above 61,758.48 USDT with a confirmation candle (preferably on higher volume).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the descending channel or at the 60,301.68 USDT support level to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: The initial target would be the next resistance at 64,591.15 USDT. Partial profits can be taken here, with further upside potential if momentum remains strong.
Short Position (in case of failure to break out):
Entry: If the price fails to break above 61,758.48 USDT and falls back into the channel, consider a short position targeting the support at 60,301.68 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly above 61,758.48 USDT to protect against an unexpected breakout.
Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the channel and potentially below, near 59,000 USDT.
Conclusion:
The overall structure indicates a potential breakout from a descending channel. A confirmed breakout above 61,758.48 USDT could signal a bullish reversal and upside toward 64,591.15 USDT. However, if the price fails to break out, it may continue to trade within the channel, offering short-term trading opportunities.
Monitoring volume and key levels (especially 61,758.48 USDT) will be crucial for confirming the next major move.
COIN Technical Analysis: Wave (4) Correction Nearing CompletionTechnical analysis chart of the cryptocurrency "COIN" using Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that suggests that financial markets move in predictable patterns based on a series of five waves.
The information provided in this post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not an advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Based on the chart, we had identified a potential impulse wave pattern from January 2023 to the present. An impulse wave pattern consists of five waves, with each wave labeled (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5).
Wave (1): This is the first wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend. In this case, wave (1) appears to have run from the low near 31-32 to a high near 114.
Wave (2): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (1). It is typically a retracement of wave (1), but it can also extend beyond the starting point of wave (1). Wave (2) appears to have run from the high near 114 to a low near 69.
Wave (3): This is the second wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strongest upward trend that extends most of times. Wave (3) given move from 69 to 283
Wave (4): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (3). It is typically a retracement of wave (3). Wave (4) is currently in progress, but at verge of completion now any time.
Wave (5): This is the final wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend that completes the pattern. Wave (5) is expected to start soon and could potentially reach the levels of 300 plus.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTC at Critical Support: Strategy for the Breakout or Further DeBTC is currently holding strong around the $60K support level, but the overall trend is still showing a downtrend on the hourly chart, with the price trading below the EMA21, EMA50, and EMA200. The market is at a crucial point, and patience is key to avoiding unnecessary risks. Here's my detailed strategy for short-term trading in this scenario:
1. If the trend breaks out:
- I'll wait for confirmation of a breakout above the current trendline.
After the breakout, I will enter a buy position on the pullback, targeting an entry around $60,900 and a stop-loss set just below $59,900 to manage my risk.
- My take-profit target 1 is $63,100, and my take-profit target 2 is $66,000, where I expect potential resistance. This setup ensures I'm following the trend with minimal risk.
2. If the downtrend continues:
I'll hold off on any immediate trades and wait for the price to reach the next support zone around $58K-$57K, as highlighted on the daily chart.
- I will only consider entering a position if the price manages to go above the EMA21 and EMA50, signalling potential bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal.
If the price breaks below $57K, I’ll reassess the situation, as further downside to GETTEX:52K -$50K could be possible.
Advice: It’s important to remember that no trade is guaranteed, and risk is always involved. My approach is to wait for clear signals before entering any position, ensuring the risk is managed correctly. I’ll also closely watch for volume spikes and any potential news influencing market movement.
Finally, with the market being highly volatile, this is *not financial advice*. I always recommend doing your own research and making sure you're comfortable with the risk involved before making any trade decisions. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and remember that sometimes the best trade is the one you don’t take!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCommunity #RiskManagement #NotFinancialAdvice
Bitcoin’s Ready for Liftoff!!!Everybody´s on disbelief.... Its DO or DIE today.
There is a bullish time at mode trend about to confirm on today´s daily close.
If we close the daily charts above $64,850 we´ll be in for a ride.
Targets of $67,150 and $69,950 will be in the scope.
Moon wen? fingers crossed....
BTCUSD I 1 hr double bottom formation and long opportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4h timeframe TA+Trade plan by BFDescending Broadening Wedge
Pattern Description: This is a bullish reversal pattern. As shown, the price of Bitcoin is testing the support line of the wedge, which typically suggests that a breakout to the upside might occur after the completion of the pattern.
Potential Breakout: The chart indicates a potential breakout above the upper boundary (resistance line) of the wedge, possibly signaling the beginning of an upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
60,301.68 USDT: This is a near-term support zone where price could find buyers if it revisits these levels.
53,988.89 USDT: A deeper support level shown on the chart, which might come into play if Bitcoin faces a significant sell-off.
Resistance Levels:
64,591.15 USDT: A strong resistance zone that Bitcoin would need to surpass for a sustained upward move.
68,556.87 USDT: A higher resistance level that could become the target in the case of a breakout.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B Divergences: It appears to show divergence. A green dot below indicates potential bullish divergence, suggesting price may increase soon.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 31.48, which indicates oversold conditions. This level usually implies that the asset is undervalued, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic reading is at 23.61 (blue line) and 20.43 (red line), indicating oversold conditions as well. This adds further strength to the bullish argument, aligning with the RSI's signals.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): The HMA histogram shows green bars, suggesting a bullish trend might be forming or momentum is starting to shift to the upside.
Trading Plan
Long Position Setup
Entry:
A breakout above the resistance line of the descending broadening wedge would be the ideal entry signal. You may consider entering around 61,750–62,000 USDT.
Take Profit:
First take-profit target could be around 64,591 USDT (resistance zone).
If momentum is strong, a secondary target can be set around 68,556 USDT.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss just below the recent low at 60,000 USDT, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish wedge pattern and signal further downside.
Alternative (Cautious) Approach
Wait for confirmation of a breakout with a strong candle close above the wedge's resistance line, paired with bullish indicators on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart).
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on this trade, adjusting position size accordingly.
Final Considerations
Monitor for any false breakouts as Bitcoin could retest the wedge's resistance line before confirming the breakout.
Keep an eye on volume; a breakout with strong volume increases the likelihood of the wedge pattern playing out successfully.
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders PatternInversed Bitcoin chart to showcase this thesis. Not much to this idea but I would recommend saving this chart for the trendlines and levels that I have highlighted. Happy trading and happy charting my friends. We are almost there.
Here are my price predictions:
End of September - $58,000~61,000
End of October - $66,000~69,000
End of Year - $80,000~100,000
BTC REACHING LOWER HIGH BEFORE DIVINGYesterday we almost nailed to movement, to one key level too low, but globally to trend was good.
Now it is bouncing on the old key level of a few days ago and it has to go up after retesting that.
After this light blue pattern it should dive once and for all from 63640
BITCOIN - must happen to see new ATHAs I told you in my previous analysis of Bitcoin, it is a triple bottom and it will rise and it is the end of bear market, while the majority expected its decline to continue from 57k to 40k levels.
Check out my analysis and drawing the chart attached below and you will see for yourself that what I say is true... remmember i see what others don't
Now I tell you!
Bitcoin is going to reclaim the 200MA
the last time Bitcoin tried this was in august 2024 but it ended up being a fakout leading dumpto 52.5k
now it's trying to reclaim the 200MA again and if it can hold this level we could be looking for a massive breakout a head
this analysis will be constantly updated , so follow us to receive all news updates
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC & Crypto Market Forecast. 4 Yr Cycle Top and Elliot WavesIn this video, I've pulled up an old chart from 2022 I've had on my desktop (not my original chart) that shows potential Waves 3-5 for Bitcion and the 4 year cycle high time targets.
In my new chart, I've re-created this showing that we're ahead of schedule from the dark study, and the 4 year past cycle time targets for reaching ATH around 539 days after the halving.
But as we know, we hit ATH's this cycle already BEFORE the halving, so it's unclear how that's going to affect the next phase. It would certainly make sense, that everybody (Big money, smart money and even us dumb money retail traders) will be looking to 'go all in' early...
But also to GET OUT early.
Remember, it's a game of musical chairs.. and the music is speeding up.
For these reasons, and other global economic and political influences...
I think we could STILL see a left-translated cycle and a parabolic bull rally going into Dec of this year... Unsure if that would be THE Top, but I'd be looking for some profit taking and correction there, which most likely WILL LOOK like the top. But may not actually be.
We may still see the 4 year cycle play out, and continue to push higher until October '25 as the original study suggests (539 days post-halving).
On the one hand, some are suggesting a deflationary market bust in early 2025 for both the stock market and Bitcoin / crypto.
We'll have to wait and see.
But it does look like we're experiencing the Wave 4 pullback, and poised to beging the final Wave 5 phase of the bull-run.
What do you think?
Would appreciate any likes, comments, or compliments below. Cheer always welcome!
To the moon 🚀
UPTOBER HERE WE COME!Dear Traders and CryptoLovers!
October is here, and that means one thing—Uptober!
Historically, October has been a bullish month for crypto, and with signs of a Bullish Harami forming, we could be gearing up for a potential reversal in the market. The pattern we're watching suggests a possible shift from the recent downtrend. The key here is the smaller second candle closing within the first, signalling the bulls might be stepping back in.
While the start of the month could be choppy, the confirmation of this pattern by the October monthly close could be the push needed for a strong rally ahead.
Bullish Harami: a bullish reversal pattern (which occurs after a downtrend). When it appears in a downtrend, it is a bullish signal.
Recognition Criteria
To identify a general Harami pattern, look for the following criteria:
There is a prevailing trend, whether it’s an uptrend or a downtrend.
The first candle must continue in the direction of the current trend. It will be the same colour as the current trend and have a long body.
The second candle must be contained within the first candle’s body (so it opens and closes within the first candle's body). It can be either colour, and it will have a smaller body. Only the body needs to be contained within the first candle; the wicks are irrelevant.
The next candle confirms this pattern (this is the October monthly close)
If you have any questions, please reach out!
BTC | LTF and HTF TargetsIf this zone cannot hold the price, it means that we have moved from the quick no retest rise phase to the deep retest phase.
The deep retest phase is the stage where traders who cannot catch the price during the rapid rise try long from everywhere to compensate for this.
If I try my luck here once and stopped out, I will wait for the real buyer and cheap zone below.
BTC is ready to go to 80KHello based on my previous post we get a nice reaction on my favor, based on simply market structure, Eliot wave and Wyckoff my expectations are BTC next ATH high is 80K minimum. For myself i opened up some positions that are running very well.
(it is my vision, doesn't mean you have to follow them.)
Regards
Nick
Technical analysis of the Bitcoin/US Dollar 4H chart by BFTechnical analysis of the Bitcoin/US Dollar 4H chart by Blaž Fabjan
BTW: My previous analysis was accurately forecasted.
Technical Overview:
Descending Trading Channel (Past Trend):
The chart shows a previous descending trading channel that occurred in August and early September.
During this period, the price was continuously making lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend.
The channel was eventually broken at the marked point, followed by a reversal.
Reversal Signal:
A clear breakout from the descending channel occurred, signaling a potential trend reversal.
This was confirmed with a higher low formation just before the breakout.
Ascending Trading Channel (Current Trend):
After the breakout, the price moved into an ascending trading channel, with visible support and resistance lines marked in the chart.
The price has been oscillating within this channel, with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish short-term trend.
The chart shows a current position near the support of this ascending channel.
Potential Bounce (Highlighted Area):
There is a highlighted area where a price bounce is expected around the support of the ascending channel. The chart suggests a potential upward movement toward the upper resistance of the channel.
The overall market sentiment is bullish within the channel, and the projected path is an upward movement.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B: Shows divergences and a rising momentum (green dots indicate potential buy signals).
RSI (14): Around 63.72, indicating mild bullish momentum but not overbought.
Stochastic RSI: Stochastic RSI is at 83.55, showing that the price may be nearing overbought conditions, which could indicate a temporary pullback before continuing the upward trend.
HMA Histogram: Histogram is red, indicating a slight bearish correction, but the overall bullish channel and indicators suggest it is likely a minor pullback before the continuation of the uptrend.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Consider entering a long position near the lower boundary (support) of the ascending channel, around the current price level (potential bounce area).
Monitor the RSI and Stochastic RSI levels to ensure that a bounce is confirmed.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss just below the lower boundary of the ascending channel to protect against further downside risk.
This would be below the recent support level.
Take Profit:
Target the upper boundary (resistance) of the ascending channel for the first take-profit level.
If a strong breakout occurs above the channel, the next take-profit target could be around $68,000, following the upward projection marked by the arrow.
Risk Management:
Given the overbought levels in the Stochastic RSI, consider scaling into the position or waiting for confirmation of a bounce to reduce risk.
Adjust stop-loss as the price moves higher, to lock in profits.
Monitoring:
Keep an eye on macroeconomic events, as external factors can impact Bitcoin's price.
Pay attention to potential divergence signals in the VMC Cipher B for early warnings of trend reversals.
This analysis suggests a bullish continuation in the short term, but caution is advised due to the potential for pullbacks as indicated by the overbought Stochastic RSI levels.
Two buying scenarios for BitcoinThe range of daily supply, which the price is now involved in, can lead to a price drop that you can think about the short position by getting confirmation in the 1-hour time frame and consider the final target in the range of $60,000.
From that area, you can think of scenario number 3, a buy position in the range of $60,000 with a final target of $74,000.
There is a high possibility that Bitcoin will pass through this area, but the price range of 69-70 thousand dollars is the volume of sell orders that can lead to a medium-term drop in the price of Bitcoin. If you have a long position, you can save profit in that area.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan
Chart Patterns
Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon.
Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation.
Indicators
VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction.
Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards.
HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum.
Volume:
The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle).
Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle.
Trading Plan:
Breakout Strategy:
Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT.
Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle.
Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT).
Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is.
Risk Management:
Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period.
Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade.
In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.