Bitcoin is on the edge of collapse!Hello, everyone!
Yes, this is just the bright heading, of course collapse on the Bitcoin will not be in February 2023. Now I anticipate just a correction to allow us to enter the long trade.
On the 4h BTCUSDT chart we can see a lot of bearish signals and if it will continue climbing it would be really weird. The most bearish factor is the double bearish divergence on the Relative Strength Index RSI. We could choose any oscillator and all of them are showing the same. Divergence is the sign of the completion of the wave 5 and BTC should show us the correction soon.
Another one important thing is the trendline support breakdown. I am not keen on trendlines, but this time it looks valid. Moreover the price was unable to reach the trendline resistance and bears took control before. The combination of these factors is enough for me to make the bearish forecast for the next week.
In general, I suppose bullish rally is not over and we have to see another one leg up above $25k before the true collapse. The potential buy zone is still $20500 , there we have to watch out carefully on long trade setups.
Best regards, Ivan
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Bitcoinforecast
BTC Wave B has begun!We are just waiting on confirmation of a break and close over the previous LH ($25,200) to confirm a sign of strength/Quasimodo. This will also further validate the near term protected bottom of 15.5k and present a once a year opportunity to buy the bottom/open short term longs at the retest of $17,600. Keep in mind, this short term bull run is only a 3-3-3 corrective Wave B and will face a major level of resistance around $35,900. We can only speculate for now.
Bitcoin- It's imperative for bulls to keep 21k intactSince the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has entered a strong recovery move, and although I'm not so optimistic and don't see a sustained rise for the next 6 months or so, for me, as a speculator, doesn't matter much if the price of BTC will be 100k or 10k in the next 6 months. All that matter is where BTC's price will be next week.
And all I know is that, at this moment, the old 21k resistance should act as support now.
As I said, the price is very well sustained at this moment and, as long as we are above 21k, bulls hold the upper hand.
That being said, buying dips could be a good strategy if we target 25k and set a stop loss under 21k
Bitcoin Stock-To-FlowThe Bitcoin Stock-To-Flow Indicator has come under alot of attack recently for failing to adhere to the Bitcoin price as originally forecast and has been deemed as an unreliable indicator by many critics. However, what I'm showing you here is a new way to "see" the indicator which might change how everyone views it in the future.
Note how close price is at the point where the S-T-F indicator makes a 900% jump to the next level at the yellow circles. This marks an important point in the S-T-F cycle and the price is right at or even on this point when it makes this jump. The next level jump will occur around the April 1, 2024 date which puts Bitcoin at or near the 150K target range. The likelihood that bitcoin will go higher than this price before this date seems unlikely at this point.... But you never know, the upper Red band is at the 250K level and would mark an extreme top for this cycle.
The Long Term target is around Feb/March 2028 (scroll chart forward) which puts the Bitcoin price in the 1.5 Million range.
Short Term Bitcoin longThe chart for $BTC is showing me many bull flags.
From the chart shown above, you can see a local breakout, Moving Average support is holding $BTC, and that RSI has lowered.
I have done much more analysis to back my long belief, special indicators of mine indicating it will go up among other fundamental and technical analysis.
Keep in mind $BTC is volatile these days so I advise being very careful and vigilant!
STOP LOSS: $22,180
TP1: $23,400
TP2: $23,600
TP3: $23,800
TP3: :$24,000
You may wonder, "Why have you not shared all your TA and other analysis?"
Well simply because the Fundamental side of it is quite long, and honestly I do not like showing all my TA tricks publicly on TradingView.
I also unfortunately cannot tell you where to go to see all my tips and tricks because TradingView will label it as self advertising lol.
BTC 4 HOUR CHART SHORT Here is My Opinion on a short scenario for BTC On the 4-Hour CHart.
BTC Is having a really tough time breaking the 23000 $ LVL ANd COULD Potentially Go Back down to restest some lower LVLS
These might be the 22360 , 21500 , EVEN the 20200 - 19102$ LVLS .
Good Luck out there folks :)
LOVE LOVE
BTC Bitcoin: 1D Chart UpdateToday you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
Bitcoin price has been pumping recently and there is potential for it to keep moving higher, but BTC price and RSI just made a lower low. If price keeps heading lower, it may come back down the channel shown in the chart. The area of support is in the $15K-$16K region. RSI may be cooling down as well.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #millionaireeconomics
BTCUSD WEEKLY HOLALYSISAs of the moment WHALES does its job to induce and liquidate most of retail trader. Everything is engineered. I don't think Bitcoin will break 25k-26k zone at the moment so my over all bias still BEARISH, if so happen to break that zone it a clear change of character from downtrend to an uptrend, definitely change my bias too into BULLISH.
BTC to go to $25159 but how?Hey traders
Pretty impressive rally from the low teens to this level but where to now?
We imagine 3 possible scenarios and in order to work together on this we highly encourage you to comment your opinion or additions you might have.
Scenario one : White line - 5 wave move with the 4th move being at the last high - short term bearish
Scenario two : Orange line - 5 wave move with the 4th move being at the .66 fib - short term bearish
Scenario three: Wick down to take out stops and trigger some local liquidations then continue up without forming a 4th wave .
Which one do you think is the most probable?
BTC TRAP - What goes up, must go down!Greetings Investors, Traders and of course Beez!
Today CryptoQueens have prepared an analysis regarding BTC after its recent pump. So without much talk, let's get to it!
In particular if we watch closely the chart, we can observe that price has been moving inside the descending triangle in the Daily time frame for a long period of time. Eventually, price has either to breakout to the above or breakdown. The majority of times, it tends to breakout to the upside. Hence, after bulls, pushed the price above the descending resistance line, a huge inflows of buying power flew directly into the market pushing Bitcoin even further to the point of 23,390$ breaking the previous high of 22,850$.
Since then, price has been consolidating, between previous high which acted as support and new high. This especially, indicate us that bull are still present, and that they are preparing for the next leg up. Next Resistance - Bearish Orderblock is standing at 25,000$.
In the imminent case of breaking above, we can expect to see prices such as 28,000$, filling the FVG GAP or even test the area of 31,000$ where the next Bearish Orderblock is located.
Make no mistake though, after having a quick peek at the image attached to the chart, we can observe that large positions has been liquidated even at the level of 23,300$ and liquidity from above has already been grabbed at the highlighted levels in all exchanges.
At this point we can expect high levels of FOMO to flow into the market from retailers. Don't fall for it!
IMPORTANT: When price bursts to the upside without consolidation, its considered unhealthy, as it creates no resistance/supports on its way, therefore what goes up quickly, it has to go down swiftly eventually.
Moreover, bear in mind that, reversals tend to occur, when everything indicates the opposite!
After new high has been formed and price get rejected, we highly anticipate a new low to occur!
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling activity of any particular securities. In addition, it should not be considered as ground for taking any trade action. Hence, your own diligence is highly recommended before entering any trade.
If you liked the idea, make sure to support with a like, follow and a comment!
Best Regards, CryptoQueens.
BITCOIN UPDATES SIGN OF NO LIQUIDITY?
Higher Timeframe break on 4hr, then markets makes obvious moves on downside, but leaving always order block on 15min timeframe.
Looks pretty good if you trade since this posted yesterday.
Thanks to all who follow this and trade it.
If you like my Ideas follow for more, Like or comment or suggest it.
Trade only base on your own decissions.
This setup is scalping 15min, im basing only on its order block behind.
BTC Pi Cycle Bullrun SignalHello friends
Today im going to show you a good reason for next Bullrun in Bitcoin.
Pi cycle includes 2 Moving Average:
One Long MA and One Short MA.
when we devide this 2 MA the result equals PI number (around 3.15)
The best Long MA is 471 DAY and the best Short MA is 150 DAY.
I illustrate them in BLX chart and yo see the last 2 times that Pi cycle Bottom works properly.
the first Bottom was on JAN 2015 and second Bottom was on JAN 2019 and NOW on JAN 2023 (as i show them with Red Circles in my chart)
the indicator signal a Potential Bottom for BTC.
If Short MA (RED) surpass Long MA(GREEN) we call it a PARABOLA and the Bottom confirmed.
If you think more about that you understand this cycle happened every 4 years actually on January.
2015 - 2019 and NOW 2023.
So i explained Technical and Time Cycle Analysis for this Strong Indicator.
Hope it predict Bottoms WELL.
Be Profitable
Thank You for reading my Idea
Share me your Opinion.
Do you think BTC make a bottom NOW?
Bitcoin – my next insane trade!Hello, everyone!
It’s time to forget about my failures which I made last couple of weeks and think about new trade ideas. Of course it’s extremely dangerous to buy Bitcoin right now becuase it shows us some sign of weakness.
We will use 4h time frame of BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart to count the waves inside the current cycle. The Awesome Oscillator is our main tool to understand the waves order. It’s maximum value corresponds to the wave 3 top. After that we saw the zero line crossover which is the sign that wave 4 has been finished. Now the BTCUSDT is printing the wave 5. I suppose it’s almost done. I expect the only one fake breakout to $23600 – $23800 price levels. Moreover the wave’s 5 target is located also next to this price value.
The overall uptrend is not finished, but I expect the correction where we can enter the BTC long trade. The target area for the potential dip is $20500 because the wave’s 4 end of lower degree is located here.
Best regards, Ivan
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If you like my trade ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality analytics!
BITCOIN LOOKING STRONG AF!The increasing volume is a clear indication that buyers are stepping in and pushing the asset up. And it's not just any buyers, it's miners! The Hash Ribbons indicator is flashing a buy signal, which has been a historical indication of miner capitulation and big bull runs in the past. This is a rare and powerful signal, one that we haven't seen in a while. The asset has also just broken out of a descending wedge pattern, further confirming the bullish momentum. All these signs are pointing towards a potentially massive price movement in the near future. Don't miss out on this opportunity, the time to act is now!
Bitcoin & Ethereum: Bulls BewareGain-erasing retracements are in the books for BTC, ETH and a host of other altcoins in the form of rising wedges, which act in this case as a type of crooked top. Be sure to take caution in the next few days if you are long in the market. FOMC announcements are expected on Jan 31 which may torpedo the markets based upon the outcome of the meeting. This would coincide with the convergence of the trendlines of these wedges. Projected downside targets are shown in the Fibonacci retracement levels in the event of a selloff.
**If you have patience, strong hands, and like scoring wins, be sure to SUBSCRIBE to this channel. Here's why: I track all USD-paired cryptocurrencies on all the major CEXs and seek out the most lucrative swing trades. All my charts are clean and easy-to-follow with exceptional win rates ranging consistently between 80-85%. My TA is based off a combination of Wyckoff Volume Spread & Fibonacci Ratios. Stop getting smashed and start winning in crypto. My charts will teach you how.
*Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin - Should we watch THIS FRACTAL?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Chart 📈📉
❗ UNPOPULAR OPINION ❗
I discovered a fractal on BTCUSD during 2014 - 2015 that resembles VERY closely what we are currently seeing on BTCUSDT. What followed was a multi-month bear market for BTCUSD. A peak, with a lower high followed by a selling climax and an automatic rally. Could BTCUSDT repeat this fractal? This would link up to an earlier theory that I have involving the US Government Debt and rallying markets (against all odds). Check it out in related ideas below, this could be the bull trap of the century! It's never a bad idea to hedge your risk and secure some profits.
PS I tried to copy a bars fractal pattern from the BTCUSD chart onto the top BTCUSDT chart, but was unable to paste it. If you know how to paste a fractal from one chart onto another, please let me know.
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CryptoCheck
The Ultimate Bitcoin Market Cycle Cheat SheetIn this post, I'll be providing an explanation on market cycles referring to specific time periods and fibonacci support and resistance for key lows and highs.
This post is not financial advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
This post was inspired by @CryptoCon_ on twitter.
Time Periods Explained
- The chart may appear extremely messy, but let's break everything down one by one.
- I first marked all November 28ths of every year on the chart, starting from 2012.
- We can divide each cycle into a span of four years:
- The first cycle lasting from Nov. 2012 to Nov. 2016,
- The second cycle lasting from Nov. 2016 to Nov. 2020,
- The third cycle lasting from Nov. 2020 to Nov. 2024,
- and the fourth cycle beginning in Nov. 2024, ending in Nov. 2028.
Again, keep in mind that this is an extremely speculative approach, based on the premise that what happened in the past, will continue to happen in the future in a similar manner.
We can divide each of the cycles into 4 different phases.
Phase 1: New All Time Highs
- The first phase is the phase of a new all time high.
- At the end of the first phase, Bitcoin marks its new all time highs.
- Such was the case in 2013, 2017, 2021, and I expect it to be the case in 2025 as well.
Phase 2: Bear Market
- The second phase is the bear market phase.
- After we see new all time highs, we start to see a decline.
- In 2014, Bitcoin corrected 78% from its all time highs,
- 85% from its all time highs in 2018, and 75% in 2022.
Phase 3: Accumulation
- This is a phase of accumulation.
- However, this is not to say that we will only see sideways action.
- From 2014 to 2015, we saw a classic price action of accumulation,
- and from 2018 to 2019, we saw a textbook accumulation pattern, followed by an echo bubble.
- However, it is imiportant to note that this echo bubble (or more specifically, its burst) is what set up the foundation for a massive bull rally that led to new all time highs.
- According to this cycle, we are currently seeing Phase 3, where I expect a similar echo bubble to take place. I’ll elaborate more on the current status later.
Phase 4: Recovery
- This is the phase of recovery. This is where we know that the price has bottomed out already, and that we set off to rally towards new all time highs.
- Interestingly enough, all Bitcoin halving events took place in the 4th phase of this cycle classification.
Estimates for Cycle 4
- For the current cycle (cycle 4), I believe that the echo bubble thesis is in play.
- The Fed cannot taper forever, and there is still enough liquidity to be injected into risky assets.
- Despite Bitcoin moving from $16k to $23k in a matter of days, the interest from the general public is nonexistent.
- I believe that a move to 30k is highly likely, and that depending on market situations, we may even see a move up to $45k in the end.
Comparison of Past Echo Bubble
- Let’s compare the current situation to that of the echo bubble in 2018-2019.
- In 2018-2019, we saw Bitcoin rally 268% in an echo bubble. A move from $16k to $45k, today’s echo bubble, would account for a 211% move.
- As for the degree of correction, in 2018-2019, we saw the price slash in half once again - a 56% downward move.
- Taking that into account, and applying the same figure in today’s market situation, that would mean a correction from $45k to $23k.
- If we trace fibonaccin lines based on this speculation, this gives us a target price of $105k per Bitcoin by 2025.
- As for the bear market that will follow, we can expect a bottom to form around $36k, although it’s likely that prices will almost definitely hover below this level.
Statistics
- Let’s take a look at some patterns we can spot in terms of statistics:
- In the first cycle, Bitcoin dropped 77.99% from its all time highs
- In the second cycle, Bitcoin dropped 83.64% from its all time highs
- In the third cycle, Bitcoin dropped 76.64% from tis all time highs
- Assuming that Bitcoin drops 75-85% during the bear market after peaking at new all time highs, anticipating a 65% drop in 2026-2027 would be a conservative, yet realistic estimate.
- As for the returns Bitcoin provided every cycle;
- In the first cycle, Bitcoin delivered 43,236% returns from the lows to highs.
- In the second cycle, it delivered 9,134%, which is a 78% reduced figure compared to the previous cycle.
- In the third cycle, it delievered 2,102%, a 77% reduced figure compared to the previous cycle.
- In the fourth cycle, the current cycle, if it reaches $105k all time highs, it would be delivering a 524% return from its lows, which is a 75% reduced figure compared to the third cycle.
Conclusion
In this post, I take a very rudimentary, speculative, yet simple and direct approach in analyzing Bitcoin’s cycle through this specific framework. This analysis aims to provide a general understanding of when things happen, and to what degree they take place. Based on this framework, I believe that we could see an echo bubble take place in 2023, with Bitcoin reaching $45k, before it corrects down to $23k. Around the end of 2023 to 2024, we would see a phase of recovery in which Bitcoin slowly crawls back up, until it reaches new all time highs of $105k in 2025 before correcting down below $36k in 2027.
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