Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D Pushing Higher Toward 60% LevelFinally some strong moves in money flow into Bitcoin.
We can see the Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D Pushing Higher Toward 60% Level.
This is a strong signal that money is flowing into Bitcoin, likely from BTC ETF's.
The biggest thing holding it back in my opinion is the DXY has been pushing higher also, but is at a resistance level, and will likely drop from here.
So we're likely close to a rally in Bitcoin, but I think we'll see a few days of retracement 1st.
Nice looking upward trajectory on BTC.D here.
Bitcoindominance
BTC: I think it'll go to 58KIf the break out from this bull flag will happen in this month I expect a retracement to the middle fo the flag (more or less 58K or a bit lower) and then a pump toward the break out.
DXY is going up but so BTC.D as you can see here:
I always expected BTC dominance to reach 60%, this could in part lead to BTC price going up as I don't think all the money would flow into fiat or stablecoins. However if we remain on BTC chart analysis on 4h there is a bullish DIV on RSI and a hidden bullish DIV on OBV. Moreover with the weekly shaping this way
it's really unlikely we'll see a green candle this week, so plenty of time to make a new local low.
Take the occasion to buy the alts you think are interesting and with good potential.
Good luck.
Rising Wedge Targeting Weekly SupportBTC Dominance has formed a rising wedge right into weekly resistance. If it loses local support around ~54-55%, it may drop to weekly support around 44-47-49%.
This could mean the entire market drops hard, or if Bitcoin holds up for the most part, it could instead mean a potential run for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance breaking 59% and holding above it invalidates this idea.
Sell Signal For Bitcoin DominanceOn Friday, my indicator combo gave us a big old SELL, meaning dominance by Bitcoin is about to dump. This does not mean the price of BTC will drop. In fact, it could continue to rise.
What it signals is that the altcoin market is about to 🚀🚀🚀! Therefore, if Bitcoin rises, Altcoins will rise even faster. Get ready! The rocket ship is about to launch for alts. Bull run incoming.
BTC.D is going where I thoughtTHere isn't much to say beside BTC dominance is going up to that resistance between 60% and 62% as I anticipated many months ago. It's likely we'll still have some bleeding for altcoins but as soon as BTC.D will reach that level I expect it to range close there after a rejection and follow the scheme you can see here
Just keep buying what you like, altseason is close!
Good luck!
Bitcoin FULL Analysis PART 2In a previous analysis, I discussed the relationship between Bitcoin, the Altcoin market and Bitcoin Dominance.
An important rotation exists between these three; and by using TOTAL3 together with BTC.D, you can get a clearer picture of where BTC is trading in the current cycle.
In this video, I make an important suggestion based off Elliot Wave Theory. This theory is backed up by the points mentioned but also by the Logarithmic view:
From the log scale, we can see BTC is still trading relatively low compared to previous cycle top-outs. So the question remains - the end... or just the beginning?
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COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
BITCOIN DOMINANCE UPDATE: WHEN ALTSEASON?Hey everyone!
Appreciate a like and follow if this analysis helps!
Bitcoin Dominance is a key indicator for potential altcoin seasons. While there's been anticipation, the market hasn't shown significant changes yet. Let's analyze the Bitcoin Dominance chart for clues.
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin Dominance has formed a large rising wedge pattern and is approaching strong resistance. This level acted as support in 2019-2020 but has now turned into resistance.
We're currently in a potential "maximum pain zone." This period can present opportunities to accumulate promising altcoins for potential gains during the upcoming bull run.
Important to note: Accumulating now might involve short-term losses of 20-30% due to market manipulation. However, the potential for 20x-30x returns during the bull run makes this risk worthwhile for some.
Key Takeaway:
Seize the Opportunity: Start accumulating quality altcoins now to capitalize on the potential bull run.
Embrace Risk: Be prepared for short-term losses to reap long-term rewards.
Let's discuss it! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin Dominance and the potential for an altcoin season? Share your analysis in the comments below.
Where is Bitcoin Dominance headed?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D 1W chart;
Bitcoin Dominance has been moving horizontally at the same level for 3 weeks.
Let's not forget that the chart is weekly.
Although I think it will most likely return from the 58.25% level , I also stated that it may be better to go down after at least testing the 62.52% level above. The reason is that this will be very useful in the next bull cycle.
Considering the immediate level, it will start a downtrend with a close below the level indicated as +OB .
The noteworthy point here is the orange circle; the Golden Cross formed by the combination of 50EMA and 200EMA . This is a bullish sign.
However
After such a deep and prolonged decline, it would not be right to expect the chart to change direction and rise with the first Golden Cross . For this reason, I should mention that the level around 47% is important.
If the 47% level does not break sharply downwards, it may use this as support and start rising. If it breaks, we may see a decline up to 40%.
BTC : HARD DROP Likely BEFORE New ATHHold on to your horses - in today's analysis we're going to do a really deep dive on Bitcoin, the altcoin market (TOTAL 3) and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Make sure you watch all the way until the end to reach the final conclusion!
In this video, I systematically point out two main reasons why the corrective phase isn't over, as well as what could possible happen NEXT based on the rotations between alts and BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
For months I've been anticipating a multi-month corrective pattern, before another impulse wave up which I believe leads us to our final all time high (ATH) for this bullish cycle. Although I've said "multi-month" quite a few times... who knew it would be such a drag! I nearly thought BTC was ready to turn towards the upside, but after THIS* happened (together with the analysis in the video) it's likely we're still heading lower:
*https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/h2bMes4J-BTC-FINALLY-Bullish-BREAKOUT/
THIS* is referring to my update on BTC two days ago, where it seemed like a bullish breakout. At this point however, the price is not able to hold the support zone (which was the condition I listed) and therefore it's likely a fakeout.
If you're looking for the idea I referred to in the analysis on the Altcoin dump find it here:👇
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Altcoin Season Approaching? BTC Dominance Signals Major Shift!Yesterday, Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD) tested the 50% Fibonacci resistance level at 2,848, resulting in a significant daily bounce off this key level. Today, BTCD is attempting to break higher. However, if the daily close remains below this resistance, we anticipate a sharp decline.
In this scenario, Bitcoin Dominance could experience a substantial pullback, potentially targeting the 50% Fibonacci support area near 2,600. This support level not only aligns with Fibonacci analysis but also corresponds to a previous resistance zone, indicating strong market activity at this point.
If this bearish scenario unfolds, it may signal the onset of a robust Altcoin Season. Traders should prepare for the opportunities that may arise during this period!
Bitcoin Dominance Update: Potential Market Dump!The Bitcoin Dominance chart has just reached a key resistance level, which is expected to trigger a rejection and initiate alt-season. However, given the market's volatility and technical structure, another short-term bearish scenario is also anticipated. In this scenario, BTC dominance could spike up to 67% over the next two months, potentially until November-December 2024. On the other hand, if the resistance level is rejected, we can expect a market pump accompanied by a strong alt-season. DYOR
BTC Dominance Update - Alt season confirmed ?#BTC.D #Analysis
Description
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+ Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has surged to a local high amid a sharp decline in altcoins, driven by recent recession fears. This rise in dominance has brought BTC.D close to a significant resistance level, a key area to watch for the potential start of an alt season.
+ The current BTC dominance is hovering around 57%, near a major resistance line. Historically, a rejection at this level has been crucial for the onset of alt season, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
+ Looking at past trends, alt season has typically followed a rejection of BTC dominance from this resistance. If history repeats itself, a pullback from this level could signal the beginning of a strong altcoin rally.
+ Should BTC dominance begin to decline, the next significant support level is around 40%. A move towards this support could trigger a substantial shift in market dynamics, favoring altcoins.
+ A downward trend in BTC dominance from current levels would likely fuel a major alt season, as capital flows out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. This scenario could present significant opportunities for traders focusing on the altcoin market.
Conclusion:
BTC dominance is at a critical juncture, with its proximity to a key resistance level potentially setting the stage for the next alt season. A rejection at this resistance could lead to a decline in dominance towards the 40% support, igniting a robust rally in altcoins.
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Is #Bitcoin Dominance falling down?#Bitcoin Dominance 1W chart;
I would like to start by telling you that I have some good news
As I mentioned in the previous chart, 58.25% and then the OB resistance level of 62% are important.
I think it will have much more positive effects if it reaches 62% because it will weaken the resistance at this level.
This is the level that will help us in the next bull cycle. That's why I care about it.
Now for the good news...
As can be seen on the weekly chart, the RSI seems to have begun to mismatch.
After a fake out to the resistance level at 58.25%, I think that it will ease down for the initial target of the pattern.
After the 50% level is seen, I expect it to start a rise again and to turn its direction down as it tests the OB level, which is the second resistance while completing this pattern.
BULLISH Altcoins NOW: Final SHAKEOUT CompilationWe're seeing what could be the final shakeout across the entire altcoin market. This drain of liquidity will likely go into Bitcoin to propel the next impulse wave up, after which the money rotates BACK into alts for Altseason2.0.
We're spotting multiple bottom patterns across the altcoin markets such as inverse head and shoulders and W-bottom patterns.
1) FLOW
2) RNDR
3) SOLANA
4) LINK
5) ETH
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I'll keep adding to the list over the next few days as there are MANY more. FOLLOW for alerts!
BTC Dominance Update (1W)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related Ideas" section at the bottom of the page.
According to the analysis we published months ago, it is moving.
In this update, we updated the supply.
When bitcoin dominance hits the supply area, the alt party can start and we can see altcoins pumping.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Altseason ahead: Bitcoin Dominance - a Pullback, or Reversal?BTCDOMUSDT is showing signs of being overheated, and we believe the price may have topped out, at least in the short term. This comes after a strong rejection at the double Fibonacci resistance level around the psychological 2600 mark, suggesting that a significant pullback could be coming.
Currently, the price seems ready for a relief bounce, which should mark the beginning of a long-term trend reversal. If this scenario plays out, we might witness a massive altcoin rally as funds rotate out of Bitcoin dominance and into alternative cryptocurrencies.
Keep an eye on this setup, as it could signal an exciting opportunity for altcoin traders. Prepare for the potential shift, and stay tuned for what could be an electrifying period in the crypto markets! 🔥
When will altcoin season start?
Of course, nobody knows exactly when altcoin season will start, but we can make a prediction by what we see on the charts.
I think we are getting closer and closer to an altcoin season.
We have an ICT unicorn model, a breaker that overlaps with an FVG. We hit the midpoint of the FVG and the 50% level of the range.
I don't trade with indicators and chart patterns, but they do seem to work on BTC.D
— The RSI is overbought and showing signs of weakness.
— The Stochastic RSI is also overbought.
— We are at the end of a bearish pattern, I am not sure what it's called because I don't trade them. But I am able to recognize them.
Bitcoin has been consolidating between 74k-53k for a few months. I think this is bullish because ''The bigger the base, the harder the rally''
Fundamentals:
The Ethereum ETF got accepted = Bullish for altcoins
USA Elections (with a Pro crypto president) = Bullish for Bitcoin and Altcoins
High probability of rate cuts= Bullish for Bitcoin and Altcoins
Big institutions like BlackRock buying the dip=Bullish for Crypto
Germany almost done selling all their bitcoin=Bullish for Crypto
Thank you for reading this,
don't forget to follow me!
Crypto Market Insights: Bitcoin.D and Bitcoin Price PredictionUnderstanding Bitcoin Dominance:
Bitcoin dominance is crucial for understanding the broader crypto market, identifying potential growth projects, and making informed decisions to balance your crypto portfolio. BTC.D is approaching a significant resistance level of 57.42, which we expect to hit by October or November. Following this, a potential downtrend in BTC.D is anticipated.
Bitcoin Key Levels and Market Reactions:
Bitcoin has a strong support level at $53,400. If this support breaks, we might see BTC dominance around 57.42. Historically, when BTC dominance rises, Bitcoin's price tends to fall, and vice versa. The resistance zone at 57.42 has not been hit yet, but it is expected to by September. We foresee Bitcoin's price hovering between 52K and 48K, leading to a significant movement. A bullish market is likely to start after November, with increased volatility expected in Q4 2024.
Bitcoin Bull Market Projections:
Based on historical data and calculations, Bitcoin's bull run targets a minimum of $253,623. If Bitcoin flips this resistance by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Past bull runs in 2013, 2017, and 2021 saw unexpected price pumps, and similar volatility is expected this time. It's crucial to keep trades active while monitoring resistance zones, with a strategic exit from long positions by March or November 2025.
As we anticipate these market movements, staying informed and prepared is key. By understanding and acting on these insights, you can navigate the crypto market more effectively. Remember, each bull market brings its own set of opportunities and challenges.
For more in-depth analysis and to stay updated with our latest trading ideas, follow us on TradingView. Gain valuable insights and make informed trading decisions with our expert analysis.
BTC.D looking to decrease -> Altcoin Run until the end of 2024- Yearly range provided a reversal point with a clean market strcuture shift to the uspide, which price bounced off from to the 50% of the range.
In range trading we call this take profit nr 1.
- Price now usually bounces off a bit from the 50% (which price is currently at) into a FVG (marked in blue) / support level targetting the high of the range.
With the expectation to drop into the fvg, altcoins should witness a push to the upside until the end of the year 2024.
Afterwards we are expecting a rapid upmove of BTC.D to target 2 until the year of 2027, which would result in altcoins bleeding out.
This idea gives us a great confluence with the TOTAL3 chart analysis, which we published before. You should have a look at this as well.
(www.tradingview.com)
Bitcoin Dominance at key levelBitcoing dominance at a critical level now. If BTC.D break upper line with weekly candle, BTC will pump more and BTC will make a new ATH in 2024.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Golden Cross Re-test - Brief / Strong AltseasonAlternative idea for Bitcoin Dominance.
Small rising wedge breakdown on the weekly that began forming at the start of a Golden Cross of the weekly 20/100 and 50/200 MAs (and EMAs, not pictured)
Often after golden crosses, before the real bull run there is a strong re-test.
A re-test of the 100 and 200 weekly MA over the next month or so would target the exact same TP 2 as the rising wedge breakdown, around 49%.
49% also sits at the wick high of weekly support.
I see the possibility of a sharp drop down to ~49%, and if that level holds, a sharp rise up.
This could mean altseason is right around the corner, but could also mean it gets cut short around end of July or in the fall.
For a a different outlook considering a longer altseason and a sharper drop in dominance, see this other related idea:
For a short-term bearish then bullish outlook on Bitcoin Dominacne, see here:
Rising Wedge Breakdown Near Resistance3-daily chart for BTC.D
Targets:
Possible drop to support support initially.
Then TP 1 around 47
TP 2 ~43-44%.
Prereqs:
Remain below the wedge and lose 54% and then the 200 day EMA/MA just under it.
Some confluence:
My hand-drawn rising wedge on the log chart above has a measured TP 2 that lines up almost perfectly with the linear chart's "Rising Wedge" auto-pattern indicator.
Daily line chart view:
Bitcoin Dominance Technical AnalysisCurrently, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) retesting the channel trend line after a breakdown from it and bounced back from the support zone (Green) at 53.69% - 54.39%. BTC.D was moving in an ascending channel from august 2022 till May 2024.
Due to the upward movement of BTC.D after making support from green zone to ascending channel trend line the alt market is heavily bleeding. That is why we always say every time you take a trade use stop loss because this market is very volatile.
If Bitcoin Dominance rejects from the channel and breaks down from the green zone we will see massive gains in the price of alt’s market and if it do inverse and did not break the zone in green moves upwards and breaks into the channel that will be a bad dream for the alt’s.
According to our analysis, we could see BTC.D pull back from here and we will see it moving towards the next levels and massive pumps in alt coins price.
Overall, we understand that BTC.D is currently in a bullish momentum. It is retesting the channel trend line and has rebounded upward from the support zone, indicating a bullish sign. However, if it breaks down from the support zone, it could shift to a bearish momentum.