BITCOIN ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price stabilizing support trendline , indicates the price is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a orange line around 57,401, indicates if the price trade above this level reach a resistance level , but if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 59,669 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for bitcoin
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 54,326 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for bitcoin
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing above turning level around 57,401 , in my opinion until the price trade above turning level ,indicates buying have more supply for bitcoin, so reach a resistance level at 59,669, then breaking this level reach a next target at 63,083, if the price breaking turning level , indicates selling have more demand for bitcoin, so reach 54,326 ,stabilizing below this level reach a 51,902
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 59,669 , 63,083
SUPPORT LEVEL : 54,326 , 51,902
Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Potential Bull Run in Q4 2024 & Q1 2025 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) currently holds a strong support level at $55,300. This key level presents a significant opportunity for potential gains. If the support at $55,300 fails, the next critical supports are at $52,000 and $48,500. Given the approaching bull run, we expect a bounce from these levels, particularly in Q4 2024 and Q1 & Q4 2025.
As with previous bull runs, we anticipate substantial volatility during this period. Remembering to exit the market around March or November 2025 is crucial, as the bull run is expected to conclude around this time.
Based on historical data and calculations, the Minimum target for Bitcoin in this bull run is $253,623. If Bitcoin flips the resistance at $253,623 by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Previous bull runs in 2013, 2017, and early 2021 exhibited unexpected price pumps, and we may witness similar volatility this time. While observing resistance zones, it's essential to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions by March or November 2025.
For more detailed analysis and insights, follow us on TradingView to stay updated with our latest ideas and benefit from our expertise.
BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis!
My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA.
How do we trade this? 🤔
We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $42,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350
✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600
✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000
2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone
3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback
4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000
5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
BTC PA Model- i usually don't speak much when i don't see anything.
- Right now we can just speculate on some scenarios.
- so you can just imagine those scenarios with the figure i drew ( ending Diamond )
- you can notice some H&S and a big inversed H&S in the middle of graph.
- BTC volatily is still low ( around 15ish)
- i didn't find any convincing divergences yet.
- The PA range have been respected almost perfectly.
- it seems like a consolidation between 60 to 70k+.
- BTC tried to break 70k++, 5 Times exactly.
- Soon or later a breakout will happen ( next could be 85k$ ish )
- Halving is still young and the decoupling not yet started.
- if we dip under 60k.
- 50k is next small support.
- 40k is a strong support.
- very simple.
- There's a time for trading and a time for waiting.
Happy Tr4Ding!
Bitcoin Can Go Up TemporarilyIt seems that Bitcoin has finally managed to break the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) as I expected in my previous Posts .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , the main wave 5 in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) has ended, and we should wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to rise, at least temporarily, to the target I specified on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>(Update)Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100) and close to the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . (The Maximum of wave 4 can be up to $65,080 , and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) can continue.)
Before the better result, let's take a look at Market Cap BTC Dominance% (BTC.D%) and Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) .
It seems that BTC.D% has managed to complete 5 impulse waves in the Heavy Resistance zone(60%_57%) , and we should expect BTC.D% to fall in the coming days and weeks.
USDT.D% has managed to break the Important Downtrend line , and this indicates the increase of USDT.D% and possibly the break of the Resistance zone(5.54%_4.97%) in the following days, which also confirms the fall of Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) again after the completion of wave 4 , and then Bitcoin will fall and at least fill the CME Gap($62,085_$60,400) .
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $65,580, the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin started to fall for the umpteenth time with the news that the Mt.Gox exchange would return Bitcoins to the losers , as if the Mt. Gox exchange would start refunding BINANCE:BTCUSDT and BINANCE:BCHUSDT from the beginning of July 2024 (almost 6 more days).
After a few months, the Fear and Greed index entered the " Fear " range again. But I think it will also enter the " Extreme Fear " range.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100) , the 21_SMA(Weekly) , and the lower line of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern . ( pullback is probably being completed )
Note: Bitcoin has come below the 21_SMA(Weekly) after almost 250 days.
Note: When a reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . If the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) breaks, we can confirm the end of wave 4.
Before concluding, let's take a look at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart.
USDT.D% has managed to break the Important Downtrend line , and this indicates the increase of USDT.D% and possibly the break of the Resistance zone(5.54%_4.97%) in the following days, which also confirms the fall of Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) again after the completion of the microwave 4 of the main wave 3, and the break of the Heavy Support zone can coincide with the news of the refund of the Mt.Gox exchange .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100), the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Monthly Chart v. Weekly Chart May Indicate TroubleSince every dollar of price action is raising concern in either direction, let’s take an in-depth look at what’s happening with the price of Bitcoin.
On the weekly chart (left), we can see the RSI is just starting to pivot and we can see the Stochastic RSI will have a cross in the coming weeks, usually indicating an uptrend. Price action has been within the same range for about three months, building healthy market structure. Then we get to the monthly chart.
The monthly chart (right) is showing slowed momentum. We can see in the Stochastic RSI that the orange line is on top of the blue line – usually a bearish indication. This has me a bit concerned and considering how we’ve had ranged price action and are dropping from an RSI of around 80, it may be a warning sign of what's to come.
Take a look at the green arrows on the monthly chart. Every time the purple line crosses above the yellow line, we see a price rally. Now look at the red arrows. When we see the purple line cross below the yellow line, price falls. The first red arrow you see, that was about a 70% drop. The second red arrow you see was about a 52% drop from the next pivot in momentum and a total of a 73% drop once RSI bottomed.
This is when you want to have your strategy in place for if the weekly chart champions the monthly chart or if we do in fact have that RSI monthly purple line cross below the yellow and we go lower. Be ready for whatever the case may be! I'm thinking it's probable we may see a 50% drop before seeing all-time highs and the rally we've all been waiting for.
BTC looks bearish (12H)From where we put the green flash on the chart, it looks like BTC correction has started.
This correction is a triangle or a more complicated pattern, in the first step we wait for the green range to drop.
By maintaining the specified supply, it can move towards the targets.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC to 53k?As we know BINANCE:BTCUSDT couldn't break old High which is at 73750, now trading at 61k. I was focusing at 61k-63k range to look LONG-FUTURES trade but looks like BINANCE:BTCUSDT is shifted other way and much possible to check 53k area. There is a valid Order Block zone between 57k-59.5k. But as I mentioned earlier BINANCE:BTCUSDT more likely to hit 53k in coming days. Don't worry even BINANCE:BTCUSDT hit 53k we are still in bull market!
I will consider LONG-FUTURES trade around 53k. Will do update on entry and take profits!
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Cup & Handle PatternBitcoin is moving near the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a Cup & Handle Pattern . ( continued pattern )
After breaking the neckline, I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the target I've specified on the chart.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Update: 150K Incoming?Bitcoin is now moving in a decent uptrend, making new highs. A correction is possible before hitting a new all-time highs and continuing its journey to above $100K. The key support is at GETTEX:48K , and the ultimate target for this cycle is around $150K, IMO. Stay tuned
Bitcoin Analysis==>> FallingBitcoin once again started to react strongly after entering the Resistance zone($73,800_$71,900) . Although it tried to break this zone😊.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the Main wave 5 .
In the chart, we can also see the Sell signal between 50_SMA(Daily) and 100_SMA(Daily) (it is a Bearish sign ).
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to continue falling at least to My targets .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Possible pattern of BitcoinIt seems that Bitcoin's correction has started from where we entered "Strat" on the chart.
Two waves of the same degree can be seen on the chart.
It is expected that the price will reach supply and then drop to low demands.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC LEVELS FOR LONG Currently, we received a reaction from the daily level, which was at 65k, and the price is holding for now. If at some point we see that the correction continues, the FVG located from 63k-64.5 is an excellent longa zone. Of course, we always have to be ready for both cases, below there are strong levels of 60-61k. Only below that is the possibility for 50k. Better to go step by step and follow the changes
FVG BTC-a se takodje poklapa sa daily fvg na total marketu.
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Heavy Support zone!!!Bitcoin managed to break the Support zone($66,080_$65,860)(15-minute time frame) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue its decline to at least the previous low of $65,000 and likely break the Heavy Support zone($65,730_$64,240) .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>FallingBitcoin is breaking the Important Support line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Support zone($65,730_$64,240) .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC buy setupBTC still has good momentum. Bitcoin is trading in a range.
It is expected to reject upwards when it reaches the POI.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter any position without confirmation and trigger.
Do not enter a position without setting a stop.
Do not enter a position without capital management.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks
Bitcoin - On the EdgeHello everyone,
today I decided to do a quick update before I come back with Q3 update in July.
I haven't planned to do more updates this month, but I noticed something very interesting in my opinion and I think that more people should pay attention to it.
As I said before - my Base Case for Q2 was that this quartal may be the BAD time to Invest in BTC for a longer period of time due to previous experience when we had similar macroeconomic conditions. Today, we are about the same Price range, in fact, we are around 7% lower than we were at the time of that statement. So I am still going to stick with that idea until my requirements are no longer met.
Now, to the reason why I am doing this Saturday morning update...
Reason is that 20SMA & 21EMA CROSSED . It may look like nothing extraordinary we should pay attention to, but I think otherwise. Looking back on the whole History of Bitcoin, we can see that this Case didn't occur so many times, but when it did, most of the time it resulted into the decline of price in upcoming weeks/months.
For better visualization I decided to use simple Arrows, to point out the magnitude of the move before 20SMA&21EMA crossed.
- If we count the relevant Cases (ones that occurred after the STRONG upwards move) - it looks like 7 out of 7 times we experienced a significant correction in price.
- If we count all cases then it is 7 out of 11 times. In these 4 cases, we moved sideways with slightly bearish price action, BUT once we tested the price at 20SMA&21EMA and were able to hold above that price, it continued to rally to higher prices.
At this exact moment, it's hard to say with Higher% certainty which of these cases we are experiencing right now because our criteria are mixed up...
We got BOTH - strong move upside & at the same time we have been in SIDEWAYS move for several weeks already...
So I am looking for what is going to happen next week/s when we reach our 20SMA&21EMA price, because it may give us a CLEAR signal in which group we are right now.
Until then I would suggest everyone practice patience, unless you like to gamble.
Hopefully, this update was helpful for some of you in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me.
Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive more predictions with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM.
Best Regards,
Joe
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Resistance zone!!!Bitcoin started to rise above the Support line after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement.
Currently, Bitcoin has managed to go above the Support zone($69,340_$69,000) and 100_SMA(4-hour TF) again and break the Resistance line .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing wave 4, and we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the Resistance zone($70,890_$70,140) .
I expect Bitcoin to go up to at least $70,600(Cumulative Short Positions Liquidation) .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Is it time for a Bitcoin rally?
BTCUSD :
Bitcoin is out of our flag channel but should hold above 67000.
The movement we expect from Bitcoin is to move up to the specified targets.
But we have two scenarios in mind.
1. Shorts position scenario:
If it loses the support range of 67,000, it will move to the price of 65,000
And you can wait for the price to return to 67000 for a sell position down to 63000.
2. Long position scenario:
Consider the flag is completed.
And open your position at this point for buying with a stop loss of 59800
Or to be more sure of the start of the upward trend, we should set our buy stop position at the limit of 72500 and 74000.
For the specified targets:
84
100
110
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>15-minute time frameBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($70,890_$70,140) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . So far, the main wave 4 structure is a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Support zone($69,280_$69,120) . If the support zone breaks , we can confirm the end of main wave 4.
This post is a continuation of the following post.
Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the Resistance zone($70,890_$70,140), The scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Bull Flag: Last Hurdle for a Major Rally
Over six weeks ago, Bitcoin start forming a Bull Flag pattern. The breakout above the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) confirmed a low, setting the stage for a potential rally towards the Bull flag's target of approximately $100K. Fast forward to today, BTCUSD has not only surpassed these SMAs but also cleared the Ichimoku Cloud, positioning the price above the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day SMAs. This alignment signals a bullish outlook.
Recent Price Action
Recently, Bitcoin has surged past the $71,600 mark, showing a 3.30% increase in the last 4 days. This rise is driven by renewed enthusiasm from both new and short-term investors. According to GlassNode’s latest report, the market is seeing a resurgence in speculative interest. Long-term holders (LTHs), considered the most experienced market participants, are maintaining their positions and continue to accumulate Bitcoin, indicating strong confidence in its long-term growth potential.
Technical Resistance and Support
Since its all-time high in March, Bitcoin has faced resistance at the Bull flag's upper trend line, with three failed breakout attempts in April an May. As of June 7, BTCUSD is testing this critical resistance again. A successful breakout could lead to a significant rally to $100K, while failure to clear this trend line might result in a correction towards the $54-55K range — watch carefully on SMAs an Ichimoku Cloud.
Market Sentiment
The "Sell-Side Risk Ratio" suggests that most profit-taking has already occurred within the current price range, pointing to the potential for volatile movements soon. Despite recent market consolidation, long-term holders have shown minimal selling activity, reinforcing their confidence in Bitcoin's future appreciation.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s market outlook remains optimistic. The alignment of key SMAs and the Ichimoku Cloud supports a bullish scenario, with further gains likely as speculative interest increases and long-term holders remain steadfast. The next critical test is the $71,300 resistance level, which, if cleared, could pave the way for a substantial rally.