BTCUSD - Intermediate terms READ - THIS IS IMPORTANT. BTCUSD Intermediate terms is in sell and it is performing. Earlier I predicted BTCUSD will go up. but it didn't perform as per my analysis and came down. Though physiologically I am long, I got sell signal in intermediate trend so I just followed and the same. I must analyse this trade and here it is.
I have noticed one important parameter is, accuracy in predicting market will not be 100%. By only predicting market it is not possible to do successful trade. The only way to make successful trade is to just follow market path. If market tells us to buy we need to just follow the same. This means prediction will not work? my answer is it works! predicting market is NOT science, it is an ART. Accuracy in predicting market makes individual skills, but the most dangerous in prediction is even if you are right 90% and 10% wrong. The 10% wrong will wipe off your entire capital.
This means we must stop predicting market? My answer is NO. we must predict, if you are capable of predicting and you have gather knowledge to do so, then you must predict. According to me, assessing market gives me physiological comfort zone tuning myself from bullish to bearish or vice versa. for example, when I am long in market and if my predictions provided me the information that market may change its direction. This predicted information is vital. I use this information will change myself physiologically from bullishness to bearish.
I know nothing about market behavior, the only way to survive to follow market. if market gives direction to buy just buy if market tells us to sell just sell.
PLAN THE TRADE (As per the system, it must be process driven) - PATIENCE (I failed here 90% and failing even today. whenever I patiently waited and look the right trade my profits are exponential. it is really exponential) - FOCUS(patience will challenge my focus, I need to work here) AND ACTION (90% Looser are very good at this) .
JUST FOLLOW MARKET. KEEP FOCUSING ON YOUR TRADING PLAN AND TILL IT PROVIDE ABSOLUTE ENTRY WAIT PATIENTLY. THIS MUST BE MY KEY MANTRA.
Bill Williams Indicators
ALGO/USDT Up 210% in Last MonthAlgo has had an amazing start to 2020. Since Jan 20th it has risen 210% from 22 cents to a much higher 48 cents.
This has been a relatively healthy paced increase and has the potential to rise even further, but not before a small pullback.
All the early entries from the 22-28 cent range will be reaping profits in this range. This can be seen in the AO where it is indicating the price will continue to fall from the overbought position it currently sits at.
This is a LTF chart and therefore can only be expected to predict two days or so of price action, or 12 full candles.
Another signal of a coming pullback would be the formation of a bearish fractal pattern having 4/5 fractals confirming a bearish trend. That would be a green fractal preceded by two lower green fractals, and followed by to lower green fractals.
This all combines for a likely pullback to the 40-35 cent range.
Ethereum Has Confirmed The Signals To Hit $310Recap:
Very warm welcome on Ethereum’s price action update.
First of all I would like to have some recap below was the chart I published on January 2020 and here have seen that the price action had form a bullish Shark pattern and it was expected that the priceline and it was expected that it will produce up to 123% profit and so far it has produced almost 104% and since then the price action of Ethereum is in uptrend.
Long Term Resistance:
In previous post we have seen the long term analysis and as per that analysis the next long term resistance level is $742 dollars.
Mid Term And Short Term Analysis:
In this post we will see the midterm and short term analysis. And our next midterm and short term resistance level is $310.
At this time we are above the resistance level of $234 which was recently broken by the price action of Ethereum and now the price action is likely to form a bull flag but here is a difference at this time in the movement of the price action if we compare this movement with the previous bull rally of Ethereum.
Which was started since Feb to June 2019 at that time after breaking out at the first resistance level at $149 the price action retested the previous resistance as support and then using that support the price action move to the next resistance level then again the priceline of Etherum broke out the next resistance level of $224 and retested the previous resistance as support.
But this time the price action is behaving differently since the recent bull rally is started first the price action broke out the resistance of $149 and without retesting the resistance as a support the price action formed a bull flag and moved to next resistance level t $224 and after breaking out this resistance level the price action again did not retest the previous resistance of $224 as a support and formed another bull flag and at this time the candlesticks are being consolidated within that bull flag.
There are some certain reasons behind this move that the price action could not retest the previous resistance as a support and moving up in a more bullish manner then the previous Bull rally.
Simple Moving Averages Are Forming Golden Crosses:
This is the first reason I found which is not letting the price action moving down to retest the support, whenever price action is breaking out the resistance levels the simple moving averages with the time period of 25, 50, 100, and 200 are forming golden crosses beneath the priceline. For example when the price action broke out the first resistance level at $149 the 25 simple moving average formed a golden cross with 50 moving average which produced the bullish divergence and after that 25 moving average formed a golden cross with 100 moving average which produced more powerful bullish divergence then 25 moving average formed golden Cross with 200 moving average and this golden cross pushed the price action beyond the next resistance level of $224.
Now after breaking out the $224 resistance level the 50 simple moving average has formed a golden cross with 200 simple moving average and this golden cross is the most popular among the traders community the professional traders always seek for this golden cross between 200 SMA and 50 simple moving average to buy any asset. Now when the candlesticks are being consolidated within the bull flag there is another golden cross expected between 100 simple moving average and 200 SMA, and so far they have come very close to each other to form this golden cross and this cross can produce more powerful bullish divergence that the price action may break the next resistance level at $310.
Ascending Triangle:
If we dig the current bull flag more deeper then on 12 hour chart we can see that the price action of Ethereum is caught in an ascending triangle and the ascending triangle is known as continuation pattern and we already know that the price action of Ethereum is in uptrend therefore there are more chances that this uptrend will be continue. I have placed the volume profile on the complete triangle and as a result we can see that the traders interest is very low at the support of this triangle therefore there are less chances that the price action will break down the support of this triangle. The movement of priceline within this triangle is very much synchronized with stochastic and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator, whenever the price action hits at the support of ascending triangle and stochastic gives bull cross and MACD turns bullish the price action moves up and hits the resistance of the triangle. At this time we can see again after hitting the support of the triangle we have received a bull cross from the stochastic on 31st of Feb and MACD turned weak bearish from strong bearish which is a bull signal and now the price action is moving up towards the resistance. The price action may break out the resistance of the triangle or hits this the resistance and move down again to hit the support but now the price action cannot move within this triangle for more time as the end of this pattern is reached at the end of the triangle it is getting more squeezed.
So the price action may take the decision for breakout or breakdown very soon.
Bill William Three Lines And Alligator Mouth:
The Bill William 3 lines and the alligator’s mouth strategy is playing very much important role in this bullish rally like it has performed in the previous bullish rally. Bill William lines comprises of 3 simple moving averages blue one is simple moving average with time period of 13 and this is called Jaw and red one is simple moving average 8 this moving average is called teeth and green one is simple moving average 5 and this moving average is called lips of alligator.
In previous bull rally the price action moved up from Feb 2019 to April 2019 and formed bull flag then Bill William lines opened the alligator’s mouth by crossing the 5 SMA above all moving averages then 8 SMA which is also called teeth crossed the Jaw (the SMA 13) and the price action moved up to the next bull flag. Then the candlesticks consolidated in that bull flag and again the Bill William’s three lines opened the alligator’s mouth and the price action achieved the most recent high in June 2019 which was $363.29. Then the alligator’s mouth of Bill William three lines was closed and the price action turned into complete down trend from July 2019 up to Dec 2019.
Now we can see that we are again in uptrend and bill Williams 3 lines have again opened an alligator’s mouth the first bull flag was formed on 19th of January 2020 then green line crossed up the red line and moved above all moving averages then teeth or simple moving average 8 moved up and came in the center of both moving averages and the blue one which is also called jaw moved up and it was moving below the other two moving averages and a complete alligator is mouth opened and the price action has entered in the recent bull flag.
Now I am expecting that again the simple moving average 5 will cross up the simple moving average 8 and a complete alligator’s mouth will be opened and soon the price action will hit the next resistance level AT $310.
BTC Fib Retracement ProgressThe Fibonacci retracement from the week's high of 10.5k USD is approaching the resistance level found currently at 9755 USD on a low time frame. This means that by close tomorrow we will see whether or not the resistance level can be flipped.
A close of any two consecutive green candles above that level in the next 24 hours would suggest the price will rise around 150 USD to ~9900 USD quickly.
Rejection at the .382 level would be the third candle on this 4H TF in the last 11 candles, or just one candle shy of 48 hours, indicating the resistance is too much and the support floor at 9575 would likely be next to break in a breakout downwards.
Willams Alligator about to Eat Your Longs!Bill Williams’ Alligator says clear no trade zone. This market is not for those who are faint of heart. It is for the heartless...the bots. Hope you have some cash reserves to buy more lower if the alligator starts eating longs. PS this indicator is fairly accurate on LT periods.
BTCUSD- SHORT-TERMBTCUSD swing prospective, it is still in buy. as of as trading prospective, in my trading time frame which is 15 mins. In 15 mins it is going down and short initiated. I have taken half of the quantities in SHORT side and once it gives 15 mins BUY signal I initiate regular quantities LONG side.
My trading strategy is, I trade intraday in short side that means I will not keep my short position for overnight. Once I get LONG signal then I am aggressive to take my regular quantities and will hold my position for overnight.