The Squid Game Shows Why Most People Fail to Profit from Trading"Squid Game, the sensational Netflix series that has taken the world by storm, offers a gripping mirror to human psychology, reflecting the intricate dance of emotions and decisions that we often encounter in the world of finance. Just as unsuspecting individuals are lured into the deadly games by the enigmatic subway stranger, many novice investors are drawn into the stock market by tales of friends striking it rich, often diving in headfirst without a hint of the rules of the game.
It's a rollercoaster ride from beginner's luck to the perilous cliffs of attribution bias. Beginner's luck, that elusive phenomenon where newcomers seem to outshine the experts, can be an enticing trap. It leads to overconfidence, a misplaced faith in gut feelings, and an overzealous desire to trade that often ends up costing a small fortune in fees. These overconfident traders become engrossed in their own world, neglecting the wisdom of statistics and putting all their eggs in a single, precarious basket.
Attribution bias, another insidious cognitive bias, rears its head as traders concoct explanations for their successes and failures. Profit? They're geniuses with uncanny foresight. Loss? Blame it on market conditions or mere bad luck. The mind constantly seeks excuses for every twist and turn.
Even great minds like Isaac Newton, who could unravel the mysteries of the cosmos, fell victim to the madness of financial markets, a glaring example of attribution bias in action.
In Squid Game, the players, after witnessing horrifying tragedies during 'Red Light Green Light,' are given a choice to continue playing or not. Overconfidence and attribution bias grip the survivors as they believe they are destined for victory, much like many traders who cling to the belief that improbable outcomes are within their grasp.
Mob psychology and the bandwagon effect rear their heads in the story, too. The players form alliances and teams based on earlier factions, mirroring the tendencies of investors to follow the crowd rather than adhere to their own strategies and analyses. Panic buying, selling frenzies, and susceptibility to pump-and-dump schemes ensue.
In the financial world, these psychological phenomena can lead us astray, costing us dearly. But unlike the brutal Squid Game, financial markets aren't a zero-sum game. With a solid understanding of market characteristics, rules, and diligent research, you can gain a statistical edge. As a trader, I'd argue that technical knowledge accounts for less than 5% of the equation; it's all about mastering your cognitive biases and maintaining emotional control.
So, just as the surviving players in Squid Game strive to outlast their competition, investors and traders should strive to outsmart their own psychological pitfalls. In the end, success in the market isn't about luck but about mastering the intricacies of the human mind in a complex financial world.
If you found this insightful, don't forget to like and follow for more quality content! Feel free to share your thoughts and questions below—let's navigate this financial journey together!"
This chart is inspired by @Michael_Wang_Official
Beyondtechnicalanalysis
MKRUSDTMKRUSDT was trading in descending parallel channel and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted now and bulls took the charge and now has given the breakout from descending channel.
Currently the price is forming a local support around 1380 region.
Will the bulls take charge again continue for leg higher?
What you guys think of this idea?
XEMUSDTXEMUSDT is trading under declining trendline and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted now and the pair is started to get support within the channel.
Currently the price is forming a local support around 0.0245 region , seems like the buyers are getting ready for some serious move to upside.
Will the bulls take charge again continue for leg higher
AUDCHFAUDCHF is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Recently the price is broken the important support zone and now retesting the broken level, which is also the 0.38% Fib retracement level.
If the sell momentum continues the next target could be 0.5770 followed by 0.5740 region.
What you guys think of this idea
CHFJPYIs CHFJPY exhausting at highs?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 163.6 followed by 162.70
What you guys think of it
OGNUSDTOGNUSDT is trading in more like of triangle pattern and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted now and the pair is started to get support within the triangle .
Currently the price is forming a local support around 0.1150 region and a bullish divergence also indicating the buyers are getting ready for some serious move to upside.
Will the bulls take charge again continue for leg higher
GBPAUDPrice is moving between support and Resistance no big move we have seen for the last few days. recently the price was trading in descending channel and will drop before the horizontal resistance but pair successfully broke it and hit the horizontal resistance then drop down towards the support. Now again it is being expected that, near the horizontal resistance price will push down and start it's bearish journey
GBPJPYIs GBPJPY exhausting at highs?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 181.5 followed by 179.5.
What you guys think of it
EURGBPEURGBP is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 38% fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could be 0.8700.
US30US30 is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Recently the price is broken the important support zone and now retesting the broken level, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level.
If the sell momentum continues the next target could be 33100 followed by 32800 region.
What you guys think of this idea
Now what will be the goal of Gold, see our analysisWe saw that on Friday, when the NFP news came, the market was running at 1820. After that, the market went down and reached 1811.
The market went up to 1835, after which it went down a little. On Friday, the market closed at 1832, and when the market opened today, it opened with a gap, and at that time it was running until 1852.
If the market breaks 1846, then our next target is 1830, which is also support; if the market breaks 1830, then our next targets are 1816 and 1799; and on the other hand, if the market breaks the resistance of 1857, then our next targets are 1870 and 1880.
Due to the war between Palestine and Israel, the whole market is not stable. We request that you monitor the market again and again and use your stop-loss
THE WORLD IS CHANGING, SO IS THE OIL PRICE MOVEMENTSCAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
On the fundamental side, Brent oil prices have been supported by a number of factors in recent months, including:
Strong global economic growth, which has boosted demand for oil.
Supply disruptions caused by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
The decision by OPEC+ to cut production by 2 million barrels per day.
The war in Iran, which has raised concerns about further supply disruptions.
However, there are also some headwinds facing Brent oil prices, including:
The potential for a global economic recession, which would reduce demand for oil.
The release of oil from strategic reserves by the United States and other countries.
The increasing popularity of electric vehicles, which could reduce demand for oil in the long term.
Overall, the fundamental outlook for Brent oil is bullish. The factors supporting prices are likely to outweigh the headwinds in the near term, but there are some risks to the upside potential.
Technical analysis
On the technical side, Brent oil is currently in an uptrend. On the 30-minute chart, the price is above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the RSI indicator is above 50. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price is likely to continue to rise in the near term.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is also above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the MACD indicator is giving a bullish crossover signal. This further confirms the uptrend on the 4-hour chart.
On the daily chart, the price is also above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the RSI indicator is above 50. This suggests that the uptrend is likely to continue on the daily chart as well.
Elliott wave analysis
Elliott wave analysis suggests that Brent oil is currently in the fifth wave of a five-wave Elliott wave sequence. This means that the price is likely to continue to rise until it reaches its target, which is around $100 per barrel.
Conclusion
Overall, the fundamental and technical outlook for Brent oil is bullish. The price is likely to continue to rise in the near term, with a target of around $100 per barrel. However, investors should be aware of the risks posed by a potential global economic recession and the ongoing war in Iran.
Additional thoughts on the war in Iran
The war in Iran is a significant wildcard for the oil market. If the war escalates, it could lead to a major disruption in oil supplies, which would send prices soaring. However, it is also possible that the war will be resolved quickly, with minimal impact on the oil market.
Investors should closely monitor the situation in Iran and be prepared to adjust their positions accordingly.
I am deeply saddened by any war and the conflicts happening around the world. My heart goes out to all those who have been affected by this violence.
I know that words alone cannot heal the pain of those who have lost loved ones or been displaced from their homes. However, I want to express my solidarity with all those who are suffering and to let them know that they are not alone.
I believe that peace and understanding are essential for a better future. I hope that we can find a way to resolve these conflicts peacefully and build a more just and equitable world for all.
This being said, coming back to our analysis, good luck everyone in your financial decisions.
EURAUDEURAUD is trading in descending channel pattern and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted now and bullish take the charge and has given breakout of the channel.
Currently the pair is forming support at 1.6550 level, and it seems like bulls are getting ready for another leg high.
What you guys think of this idea?
USDJPYUSDJPY was trading in rising wedge pattern till the sellers took control from channel resistance and has given the massive sell rally. That sell rally break the inclining trendline of the wedge.
Now the price is retesting the broken trendline and broken support level.
it seems like the sellers can attack again this bearish confluence.
If the sellers takes charge again, the next target could be 147.35
ARBUSDTARBUSDT is trading in bullish parallel channel, and created Head and Shoulder pattern at strong resistance area. And a massive sell rally break the neckline of HnS pattern. any successful retest of broken level will be nice option to sell.
if the sell pressure continues, the next target could be the back to lows at 0.7400 region.
TONUSDTTONUSDT was trading in descending parallel channe and recently it seems like the sellers are bit exhausted then bulls took the charge and break through declining trendline.
Currently the price has given the breakout from falling trendline and now forming a local support around 2.08 region.
Will the bulls take charge again continue for leg higher?
TRUUSDTTRUUSDT is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could be 0.0440.
STMXUSDTSTMXUSDT is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% fib retracement level and the previous broken resistance might be turning as a support. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could be 0.0080.