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Beyond Technical Analysis

Markets top on euphoric news.Did Donald Trump ringing the opening bell at the New York Stock exchange today, Signal a dip before a rip? Isn’t it strange that he spoke with Jim Kramer? What are the market makers really up to? Big money, always leaves, clues or crumbs. A real technical analyst always attempts to follow the money and what clues they’re leaving behind and to where they are placing their bets. Is market manipulation real? How much influence do these people really have to fade the market in an ability to buy at lower prices and shake everyone out? How many people fall for it? There’s still remains many questions as to where the big money has to invest. Mini mutual funds and or investors have a fiduciary responsibility to invest capital for their shareholders and what not. I’ve read the book one up on Wall Street and I’ve come to the conclusion that you as a retail investor can place yourself in a favorable position to capture some of the gains or leftovers of the big players.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ParabolicP
Bitcoin Sideways Continues But, For How Long? AltcoinsIt is an interesting question, and it is also an interesting guess... Bitcoin sideways has been confirmed but, how long will it take? Don't you think it would be interesting to know? Are you trading Bitcoin? It is confirmed now that the Altcoins are going bullish one after the other; first one group moves, then another one and another one... While Bitcoin continues sideways. Seeing how big the Altcoins market is right now, Bitcoin can go sideways for months. It is like it is being confirmed with each passing day. It is truly important and it makes all the difference if you are in Crypto, navigating the market on a daily basis. If you know this is the case, then you can enjoy the Altcoins while Bitcoin goes through its consolidation phase. It is only normal. It is only natural... Bitcoin grew massively and it moved ahead of the pack. We know Bitcoin is not set to move lower nor to go on a bearish wave. Why? Because we are in bull-market territory and post-halving, which means maximum growth ahead. We've been here before. When Bitcoin stops it goes sideways, when it resumes it goes up. It never goes down for long after the halving. Well, there is one major drop post-halving, this is what we saw in August 2024. So all major bearish action is a thing of the past. We should see up, up, up with two major stops. This is the first one. Huge projects, giants, such as Aave, Cardano and XRP are moving up growing 2-3X within weeks. Small projects, the small capitalization projects, are breaking out and producing two to three digits green. This only happens in a bull-market. Bull-market confirmed. This is it. It is like 2025 is the door and we are right in front of it, December 2024. We are knocking at the door of the bull-market and we are not there yet, we are not in the bull-market but the bull-market is already happening; higher highs and higher lows. We have two dates to consider for the top. We already know about the huge variations. Many pairs will peak in April-May, but many more will peak in late 2025. Here is the thing, a big portion of the market bottomed in August 2024. These pairs, considering a 365 days bull-market, can peak in August 2025. Easy! Many pairs bottomed in November 2024. These pairs, considering the market growing straight for a year, can peak in November 2025. See how that works? We can build a map and use it to know when to close our long-term positions so we don't remain holding after the end of the bull-run. Some pairs bottomed in June and July 2024. Let me give you some examples: Aave hit its lowest 2024 price in April. Aave is part of the group moving first. What can we learn from this? Aave can be in the group that peaks first also. Meaning, Aave can easily peak in April 2025 while some pairs will peak in June, August, September, etc. 2025. This is important because we cannot make money if we do not sell when the top is in. We don't have to catch the exact top just as we don't have to catch the exact bottom, but it will be wise to collect profits. When you think about it, 4 months is not that far away. Since there are so many pairs and so many variations, we need to look closely at the market. Another example: XRP lowest price in 2024 happened in July. XRP is in the group that is moving first. XRP can be in the group that peaks first. Boom! Another one, this is worth money. While Bitcoin is going sideways many of the Altcoins will grow. While some Altcoins are growing strong, others are trading low. Opportunities are endless but we have to be smart. Plan ahead. Start planning now and study closely which pairs you hold and how exactly they are going to behave in the coming months. You can be planning for long-term growth, but some will be over in a few months. While for others you might be thinking that their wave is about to end, but they have plenty of time left to develop their bullish waves. It is hard to lose when everything is going up. But we can lose by not maximum potential profits on a major bullish wave. We might not lose like going into the red, but we can end up with 2-3X, when the market is offering 10 to 20X. Ignore the big ones. Search for smaller pairs. The big ones are for the whales. Come on... You can do this. We've been here before, many times before... We already have experience, this time around, let's produce the best possible results. And remember, when one door closes, 700,000 new doors open up. There is no way to be wrong. We just have to keep going and going and going until we reach the top. Never give up. Keep trying, keep insisting, go higher, keep pushing; nothing can stop us. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
2
EURUSD Next possible moveSAXO:EURUSD Title "EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Sell Entry Targets Lower Levels | Dollar Strengthens" Market Context "EUR/USD faces renewed selling pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens on hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. Weak Eurozone sentiment adds to the pair's downside bias." Technical Analysis *"Today’s sell entry is supported by the following: Trend Structure: Persistent lower highs and lower lows signal a prevailing downtrend. EMA Dynamics: Price remains below the 20 and 50 EMAs, highlighting continued bearish momentum. RSI: Falling below 45, indicating growing selling pressure. MACD: Negative histogram bars are widening, confirming the bearish tone. Key Levels: Support: 1.0490 (intraday), 1.0460 (next target). Resistance: 1.0525 (intraday), 1.0550 (key pivot). A break above 1.0550 could neutralize bearish sentiment."* News Context "Upcoming: U.S. ISM Services PMI and Eurozone economic reports could drive intraday volatility. Previous: Strong U.S. labor market data reinforced expectations for tighter monetary policy, keeping the dollar supported." Call to Action "Will EUR/USD break below key support levels, or can buyers reclaim control? Share your insights and strategies in the comments!"
Short
by RBSBALA
Analysis for MSFT – December 11, 2024Key Observations: * Price Movement: MSFT is currently trading at $448.40, testing resistance levels near $450, while support lies around $445. * Volume Insights: Volume has been relatively steady but shows spikes near critical levels, indicating institutional activity. GEX Levels and Interpretation: 1. Resistance Levels: * 450 (Highest Positive NETGEX/Call Resistance): This represents the strongest call resistance and may act as a cap unless significant buying pressure occurs. * 455 (2nd Call Wall): A breakout above $450 could lead to testing this level, with moderate resistance at $455. 2. Support Levels: * 445: Key immediate support; a breach below could drive MSFT toward lower support zones. * 440 (Put Support): A critical level supported by significant put flow, likely to cushion further downside moves. Options Oscillator Insights: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 7 – Implied volatility is extremely low, indicating cheap options. Suitable for buying strategies rather than selling. * IVx (Implied Volatility Average): 19.9% – Reflects moderate volatility expectations. * Call %: 41.9% – Indicates a moderately bullish sentiment, with calls being favored slightly over puts. Options Trade Recommendation: 1. Bullish Scenario: * Trade Setup: Buy MSFT $450 Call expiring December 22, 2024. * Target Levels: Look for a breakout to $455. * Risk Management: Stop-loss at $445. 2. Bearish Scenario: * Trade Setup: Buy MSFT $440 Put expiring December 22, 2024. * Target Levels: Breakdown to $440 or below. * Risk Management: Stop-loss above $450. Conclusion: MSFT is consolidating near key resistance, with a breakout above $450 signaling bullish momentum. The Options Oscillator suggests low implied volatility, making it favorable for directional trades. Both bullish and bearish opportunities exist depending on price action around critical GEX levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade based on your risk tolerance and consult with a financial advisor.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
2
The Truth About Trading EOS: Bottom Prices & The New GenerationDid you miss the EOS wave? It is not possible to miss EOS because it is still very early, the bull-market is not over, we might be looking at the beginning of it but we are not there yet. This is positive. I want to share with you some positive news. Some people were able to catch the bottom and that's great, we feel good for them; good riddance, enjoy! you deserve it. But this doesn't mean that EOSUSDT is already a missed opportunity. Think of Bitcoin. Bitcoin grew from a low point of $470 in August 2016 to a high $20,000 in December 2017. Bitcoin hit $162 in August 2015. It went up and then came back down. Bitcoin hit a low of $3,125 in December 2018... It is currently trading at $100K. Where is the opportunity missed? Even if you bought the top in 2021 you would be in profits. If you bought the top in 2017, this would be a nice 5X. It doesn't matter when or where you buy... When considering EOS, we are not trading anywhere near a top, we are looking at bottom prices. The ATH for EOSUSDT stands at ~$15. Current price is $1. Ok, it is still early. This is the good positive news I mentioned at the start. A new All-Time High can easily hit $24 and this gives us huge potential for growth. If EOSUSDT produces extra-ordinary growth, something that we expect, the new ATH can hit around $32, with an entry price of $1... Wait, where was the bottom again? We can be looking right now at bottom prices, it all depends on your goals; are you trading short or long-term? We like spot and long-term. We enjoy the easy, stress free, no anxiety, buy and hold. Market conditions are great. We have a major bull-market coming in 2025. We already have the preview, some Altcoins are breaking up and growing 200% in a single day. This only happens preceding a bull-market, it never happens in a bear-market. In a bear-market, the best you get is a 35% bounce and whatever green you see turns red the next day. We are seeing green, green, green and instead of down, when we get a retrace the retrace is erased in a matter of days, and we get additional growth. It is early. It is not only early for EOS but it is early all across. This is a friendly reminder. This is an awesome opportunity but it doesn't show up very often. There are endless opportunities but this one here right now only shows up every four years, and since we are likely looking at a super-cycle the prices we have now might not become available ever again. Do whatever you have to do, but make sure to be in Crypto in 2024, 2025 and beyond. It is an opportunity for the new generation, this is the equivalent of the Internet bubble for the people that are already old. Every generation has its booms and its busts. Imagine all those old people that became rich just holding a few stocks. Life is cyclical and our times will offer this same opportunity again. It is already here, but fortunes will be made with Crypto, these are the new Google's, the new Apples, the Internet, the new technology, the future, the present. It is normal, it cannot work in any other way. Life continues to unravel. The markets continue to evolve. In the past we had cassettes, floppy disk and cds, in 2025, the buzzword is Bitcoin. Get in on Crypto. Think about 20 years into the future... Are prices too high? What about 30 years from now? It is the opportunity of a lifetime and it is available to everybody in the whole world, literally. This has never been done before. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
7
Buying idea CDA with a stop at 15.19CDA has done well and last earnings has jumped. with this the price trading at almost longterm high. had build a good base just above 50 day MV. with positive market sentiment this share can go to next level if it can break this level. at 5% risk good place to get in and see where it will go next :) DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such.
ASX:CDALong
by Gihanhemachandra
Questions Halving Promotors Never Want to Answer Many people here are eager to explain the bets people should make based on the halving but they're never willing to answer the obvious questions about the hypothesis. Here's a collection of questions I must have asked here 100 times in replies to my posts that I've still not gotten an answer to: Why the indices correlation? When you run an analysis on SPX price moves and BTC price moves post halving, they have a coefficient of 0.85. This means all the statistical evidence points towards BTC moving in tandem with risk on/off cycles in equities. ----- Why do people ignore this correlation when it is as reliable (or more) than the halving? Why does the exact same moves in indices and BTC get treated totally differently? When has the halving thesis ever deviated from simple SPX correlation? If there are no deviations, why isn't it best to assume it's related to SPX tracking? ----- Why would the entire market know an event to move price higher was coming and then wait an exact number of days to take action on that? If you've been in the market any length of time you'll have surely heard the saying "Buy the rumour, sell the news". You may have also heard, "Markets prefer to travel than suddenly arrive". This has been a guiding principle of all markets for all time. Why is the halving a "Sell the known coming event, then ignore the news for x days and then buy the event after the fact? ----- Given all halving dates are already known, why isn't this priced in now? Why in the biggest FOMO market there is would there be this organised "Waiting period"? Why has game theory and market dynamics not led to front running? How do these supply/demand dynamics reflect anything about S/D known in markets? ----- What are the failure conditions of the halving bet? I have some of the dumbest convos on this. People insist I MUST BE LONG NOW to not miss out on the halving and then when I ask them what level price can not go under inside of the halving theory ... it gets real fuzzy. And when you dig into it, the answer generally ends up being "Up to 70% drawdown".... Okay - so trying a short here is fine inside of that, right? ----- Why are people making all knowing statements about exactly what should happen and unable to give the most basic risk control? What happens to people who listen to you if you're wrong? Do you have plans to let them know if the theory fails? If not, why are you not telling them the risk if wrong is 70% (Inside of accepted risk). And I suppose the idea is to just entirely ignore the limitless risk if the whole thesis is wrong? ----- When has the BTC halving idea ever overcome a SPX drop? I've been told various times in 2020 there was a deviation from the halving cycle because there was a swan event. Fair enough ... but then this means that the halving forecast will only be right if nothing broadly bearish happens, right? In any instances where we've had halving theory vrs indices bear move - following the indices has won. ----- Why is this not considered evidence against the thesis and for the correlation? Why are you not caveating your forecasts with this known risk? Is it far to say the BTC cycles thesis can easily fail if there's outside events? ----- These things simply do not make sense. They're elephants in the room. People act like the cycles thing is some sort of esoteric knowledge that only a select few know. That's nonsense. I have a kid cousin who can't tie his shoelaces yet but can tell you what the halving forecast is. He does not really understand everything he's saying. He's just repeating things he's heard ... but, that's kinda true for most of you to be honest. Because it takes about 5 mins to understand the halving thesis. Takes about another 1 min to come up with the obvious tests and objections and then maybe takes 10 mins to test those and highlight the flaws. There are some people who've spent literally hours and hours on my posts berating me about why I should be blindly following the halving and in all of this time they've not answered the questions I think should be thought of in the first minute. And I do ask them. Directly and repeatedly. They change the topic or go quiet. To be honest, most of the time they start to drop insults. It's wild, when you think about it. "I am heralding in the future of finance and here to tell you about this halving cycle which I know everything about and expect to be infallible". "Okay. Could you answer a few questions I have about this?" "LMAO. Have fun staying poor". === Think about how disconnected the way BTC bulls act is relative to what they proport to be a part of. Why are you not eager to answer these common sense questions?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
3